NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio October 3, 2012 Presidential Election Questionnaire

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Morris Maxwell
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1 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll Ohio October 3, 2012 Presidential Election Questionnaire Screener <Marist Poll Introduction> Are you 18 years of age or older? Do you consider your permanent home address to be in Ohio? HH SELECTION LANDLINE FRAME ONLY GENDER GUESS October 2012: Residents: n=1379, MOE +/-2.6%; Registered voters: n=1241, MOE +/- 2.8%; Likely voters: n=931, MOE +/- 3.2% May 2012: Residents: n=1257, MOE +/-2.8% Have I reached you on your cell phone or on your regular home phone? Cell Regular home phone REGISTERED VOTERS October 2012 September 2012 Cell Regular home phone Cell Regular home phone October 2012: Residents: n=1379, MOE +/-2.6% September 2012: Residents: n=1504, MOE +/-2.5% May 2012: Residents: n=1257, MOE +/-2.8% Are you registered to vote at your current address in Ohio? Yes No Not a U.S. Citizen Unsure Registered voters October 2012 September NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll OH October 3, 2012; Page 1

2 If November's presidential election were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: LIKELY VOTERS - Including leaners* October 2012 September 2012 Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans Other 1 1 Undecided 4 6 REGISTERED VOTERS - Including May 2012 (asked October 2012 September 2012 leaners* without the VP's) Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans Other Undecided * Leaners are defined as voters who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate Would you say you strongly support <candidates> somewhat support <candidates>, or do you think you might vote differently on Election Day? Strongly support Somewhat support Might vote differently 2 2 Unsure 0 1 Strongly support Somewhat support Might vote differently Unsure NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll OH October 3, 2012; Page 2

3 Thinking about November's presidential election, do you plan to vote early or by absentee, vote on Election Day, or have you not decided? Vote early or by absentee Vote on Election Day Have not decided Vote early or by absentee Vote on Election Day Have not decided Have you ever voted before in a presidential election? Yes No 7 4 Yes No Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president? Approve Disapprove Unsure 5 6 Approve Disapprove Unsure NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll OH October 3, 2012; Page 3

4 If November's election for U.S. Senate in Ohio were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are: LIKELY VOTERS - Including leaners* October 2012 September 2012 Sherrod Brown, the Democrat Josh Mandel, the Republican Other 1 0 Undecided 7 9 REGISTERED VOTERS - Including leaners* October 2012 September 2012 May 2012 Sherrod Brown, the Democrat Josh Mandel, the Republican Other Undecided * Leaners are defined as voters who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate October 2012: Residents: n=1379, MOE +/-2.6%; Registered voters: n=1241, MOE +/- 2.8%; Likely voters: n=931, MOE +/- 3.2% All in all, do you think things in the nation are generally headed in the right direction, or do you feel things are off on the wrong track? Headed in the right direction Off on the wrong track Unsure 4 4 Headed in the right direction Off on the wrong track Unsure Headed in the right direction Off on the wrong track Unsure NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll OH October 3, 2012; Page 4

5 October 2012: Residents: n=1379, MOE +/-2.6%; Registered voters: n=1241, MOE +/- 2.8%; Likely voters: n=931, MOE +/- 3.2% In which year were you born (recoded into age of respondent)? 18 to to to or older to to to or older to to to or older October 2012: Residents: n=1379, MOE +/-2.6%; Registered voters: n=1241, MOE +/- 2.8%; Likely voters: n=931, MOE +/- 3.2% Are you white, black or African-American, Latino or Hispanic, Asian, or Native American? (If not Latino: Are you Hispanic or Latino background, such as Mexican, Dominican, Puerto Rican, Cuban, or some other Spanish background?) White African American or Black Latino or Hispanic 2 2 Other 2 2 White African American or Black Latino or Hispanic Other White African American or Black Latino or Hispanic Other NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll OH October 3, 2012; Page 5

6 October 2012: Residents: n=1379, MOE +/-2.6%; Registered voters: n=1241, MOE +/- 2.8%; Likely voters: n=931, MOE +/- 3.2% Which of the following includes your combined family income before taxes: Less than $15,000 a year $15,000 to just under $25, $25,000 to just under $50, $50,000 to just under $75, $75,000 to just under $100, $100,000 or more Less than $15,000 a year $15,000 to just under $25, $25,000 to just under $50, $50,000 to just under $75, $75,000 to just under $100, $100,000 or more Less than $15,000 a year $15,000 to just under $25, $25,000 to just under $50, $50,000 to just under $75, $75,000 to just under $100, $100,000 or more NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll OH October 3, 2012; Page 6

7 October 2012: Residents: n=1379, MOE +/-2.6%; Registered voters: n=1241, MOE +/- 2.8%; Likely voters: n=931, MOE +/- 3.2% Which county in Ohio do you live in (recoded into region of the state)? Cleveland Area East Northwest/Toledo Columbus Area South/Cincinnati Cleveland Area East Northwest/Toledo Columbus Area South/Cincinnati Cleveland Area East Northwest/Toledo Columbus Area South/Cincinnati Do you consider yourself a: (party identification) Democrat Republican Independent Other 1 1 REGISTERED VOTERS October 2012 September 2012 Democrat Republican Independent Other 1 1 NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll OH October 3, 2012; Page 7

8 Do you consider yourself a: (party identification) Strong Democrat Not strong Democrat 8 9 Democrat leaning Independent Just Independent Republican leaning Independent Not strong Republican 9 8 Strong Republican Other 1 1 REGISTERED VOTERS October 2012 September 2012 Strong Democrat Not strong Democrat 9 10 Democrat leaning Independent Just Independent Republican leaning Independent Not strong Republican 9 8 Strong Republican Other 1 1 Do you consider yourself to be a supporter of the Tea Party Movement? Tea Party Supporters No Unsure Tea Party Supporters No Unsure NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll OH October 3, 2012; Page 8

9 Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Barack Obama? Favorable Unfavorable Unsure/Never heard 3 5 Favorable Unfavorable Unsure/Never heard Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney? Favorable Unfavorable Unsure/Never heard 8 9 Favorable Unfavorable Unsure/Never heard Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Joe Biden? Favorable Unfavorable Unsure/Never heard 10 9 REGISTERED VOTERS October 2012 September 2012 Favorable Unfavorable Unsure/Never heard NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll OH October 3, 2012; Page 9

10 Overall, do you have a favorable or an unfavorable impression of Paul Ryan? Favorable Unfavorable Unsure/Never heard REGISTERED VOTERS October 2012 September 2012 Favorable Unfavorable Unsure/Never heard Thinking about November's presidential election, overall, would you say you are very enthusiastic, somewhat enthusiastic, not too enthusiastic, or not enthusiastic at all about voting? Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic 10 9 Not enthusiastic at all 5 4 Very enthusiastic Somewhat enthusiastic Not too enthusiastic Not enthusiastic at all NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll OH October 3, 2012; Page 10

11 Which candidate will do a better job handling the economy: Barack Obama Mitt Romney Unsure 7 7 Barack Obama Mitt Romney Unsure Which candidate will do a better job handling foreign policy: Barack Obama Mitt Romney Undecided 8 9 Barack Obama Mitt Romney Undecided NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll OH October 3, 2012; Page 11

12 On another topic, politically speaking, do you consider yourself to be very liberal, liberal, moderate, conservative, or very conservative? Very liberal 6 7 Liberal Moderate Conservative Very conservative Very liberal Liberal Moderate Conservative Very conservative October 2012: Residents: n=1379, MOE +/-2.6%; Registered voters: n=1241, MOE +/- 2.8%; Likely voters: n=931, MOE +/- 3.2% Are you Protestant, Catholic, Jewish, or Muslim? Protestant Catholic Jewish 2 2 Other 6 5 No Religion 9 10 Protestant Catholic Jewish Other No Religion Protestant Catholic Jewish Other No Religion NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll OH October 3, 2012; Page 12

13 October 2012: Residents: n=1379, MOE +/-2.6%; Registered voters: n=1241, MOE +/- 2.8%; Likely voters: n=931, MOE +/- 3.2% Are you currently married, living with a partner, separated, divorced, widowed, or single, that is never married (recoded)? Married Not married REGISTERED VOTERS October 2012 September 2012 Married Not married RESIDENTS October 2012 September 2012 Married Not married October 2012: Residents: n=1379, MOE +/-2.6%; Registered voters: n=1241, MOE +/- 2.8%; Likely voters: n=931, MOE +/- 3.2% What is the highest level of school you completed or the highest degree you received (recoded)? Not college graduate College graduate Not college graduate College graduate Not college graduate College graduate NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll OH October 3, 2012; Page 13

14 October 2012: Residents: n=1379, MOE +/-2.6%; Registered voters: n=1241, MOE +/- 2.8%; Likely voters: n=931, MOE +/- 3.2% Have you ever served in the U.S. Military? Yes No REGISTERED VOTERS October 2012 September 2012 Yes No RESIDENTS October 2012 September 2012 Yes No October 2012: Residents: n=1379, MOE +/-2.6%; Registered voters: n=1241, MOE +/- 2.8%; Likely voters: n=931, MOE +/- 3.2% Are you male or female? Male Female Male Female Male Female NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll OH October 3, 2012; Page 14

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