Description of the Region 1
Geographic Area of Central Texas Education Profile Austin-Round Rock Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) Bastrop County Caldwell County Hays County Travis County Williamson County Plus Austin Community College (ACC) Service Area Blanco ISD Fredericksburg ISD Gonzales ISD Harper ISD Johnson City ISD Nixon-Smiley ISD Includes: 35 traditional public school districts 16 charter school districts 8 institutions of higher education 2
Central Texas School Districts
Central Texas Schools
Partner School Districts Austin Bastrop Del Valle Eanes Elgin Hays Hutto Lake Travis Leander Manor Pflugerville Round Rock San Marcos Taylor These Districts: Participate in E3 Alliance community engagement & alignment activities Represent 83% of all CTX PK-12 students enrolled Central Texas School Districts Other CTX School Districts Blanco Coupland Doss Consolidated Dripping Springs Florence Fredericksburg Georgetown Granger Harper Jarrell Johnson City Lago Vista Liberty Hill Lockhart Luling McDade Nixon-Smiley Prairie Lea Smithville Thrall Wimberley Charter School Districts American Youthworks Charter Austin Achieve Public Schools Austin Discovery School Cedars International Academy Chaparral Star Academy Harmony Science Academy (Austin) Katherine Anne Porter School KIPP Austin Public Schools Inc. Meridian World School LLC NYOS Charter School Texas Empowerment Academy Texas Preparatory School The East Austin College Prep Academy University Of Texas Elementary Charter University Of Texas University Charter Wayside Schools 5
Institutes of Higher Education Based in Central Texas Public 2-year College Austin Community College District Public 4-year Universities Texas State University* The University of Texas at Austin Private 4-year Universities Concordia University Huston-Tillotson University St. Edward s University Southwestern University Western Governors University-Texas *Includes both the San Marcos campus and the Round Rock Higher Education Center (Williamson County) 6
Central Texas Demographic Profile 7
Percent of Population Age Profile of Central Texas is Similar to Texas Percentage of Population by Age 100% 8% 11% 80% 60% 55% 52% 40% 20% 29% 30% 0% 7% 8% Central Texas Texas Source: 2013 American Community Survey: 5-year Estimates Under 5 5-24 25-64 Over 64 8
Population Under Age 5 Growth in Central Texas Under 5 Population Declined After 2009 Population Estimates for Children Under Age 5, Central Texas* 150,000 130,667 132,912 124,258 125,397 126,260 127,956 128,556 125,000 115,517 111,397 100,000 75,000 50,000 25,000 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Year *Bastrop, Caldwell, Hays, Travis, and Williamson Counties Source: 2013 American Community Survey: 5-year Estimates 9
Percent Change in Population 15% Central Texas Child Population Growth Rate Peaked in 2008 and is Slowing Biennial Population Growth by Age Group, Central Texas* 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% 2008 2010 2012 *Bastrop, Hays, Travis, and Williamson Counties Source: American Community Survey, 1-Year Estimates Under 5 Ages 5-17 Ages 18-24 10
Central Texas Has Larger White Population than Texas Percentage of Population by Ethnicity, 2013 Central Texas Texas Asian 4% White 54% Asian 5% White 45% Black 12% Black 7% Other 2% Hispanic 32% Other 2% Hispanic 38% Source: 2013 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates 11
Population By 2050, The Majority of Residents Will Be Hispanic 1,200,000 Population Projections for Central Texas by Ethnicity 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 400,000 Black Other Hispanic White 200,000 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 Year Source: Texas State Demographer, Population projections for 2010-2050 12
Percent Inflow to Texas 100% Vast Majority of Legal Immigration to Texas Driven by People Moving from Out-of-State Persons Entering Texas from Other Countries vs. Other States 14% 16% 15% 16% 16% 15% 80% 60% 40% 86% 84% 85% 84% 84% 85% 20% 0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 From Other Countries Source: DHS-Yearbook of Immigration Statistics, 2013 State-to-State Migration Flows, 2013 American Community Survey, 5-Year Estimates From Other States 13
Higher Levels of Education in Central Texas Than in Texas Educational Attainment of Adult Population (25 years+), 2013 Central Texas Texas Bachelors or Higher 41% Some College 23% Bachelors or Higher 27% Some College 22% Less than High School 12% Associates 6% High School Graduate 19% Less than High School 19% High School Graduate 25% Associates 6% Source: US Census Bureau, 2013 American Community Survey - 5-year estimates 14
More Adults in Central Texas Have Some College Experience or a College Degree Educational Attainment of Adult Population (25 years+) 2008 2013 Some College 21% Some College 22% Less than High School 14% College Graduate 44% Less than High School 12% College Graduate 47% High School Graduate 21% High School Graduate 19% Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2008 3-year and 2013 5-year estimates 15
Percent of Population 100% Wide Gaps in Educational Attainment Across Central Texas Populations Education Outcomes of Central Texans Age 25 and Older, 2013 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Asian Black Hispanic White Less than High School Diploma High School Grad or GED Some College or Associate's Bachelor's or higher Source: American Community Survey, 2013 5-Year Estimates 16
Less Than Half of Adults in Central Texas Born in Texas Percentage of Central Texas Adults, 25 Years and older, by Place of Birth, 2013 Born in another state 35% Native; born outside the US 2% Born in Texas 45% Foreign born 19% Source: 2013 American Community Survey: 5-year Estimates 17
Percent of Population 100% Central Texas Adults Born Outside of Texas Most Likely to Hold Bachelor s or Higher Central Texas Adults Age 25+ Educational Attainment, by Place of Birth, 2013 80% 37% 51% 48% 31% 60% 15% 40% 31% 31% 31% 19% 20% 0% 23% 36% 15% 14% 9% 3% 7% Born in Texas Born in another state Native; born outside US Foreign born Less than High School High School Graduate Some College or Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree or Higher 2015 E 3 18 Source:2013 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates Alliance
Central Texas Economy 19
Health Care Largest Industry in Central Texas Health care & social assistance Retail Trade Accommodation & food services Educational services Professional & technical services Administrative & waste services Manufacturing Government Construction Wholesale trade Finance & insurance Other Services, excluding govt Information Real estate & rental & leasing Transportation & Warehousing Arts, entertainment, & recreation Utilities Mining Mgmt of companies & enterprises Agriculture, forestry, fishing & hunting Number Employed by Industry, 3Q 2014 Source: Texas Workforce Commission: TRACER 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000 120,000 Number of Jobs 20
Government and Education Industries Decline Mining Professional & technical services Administrative & waste services Arts, entertainment, & recreation Accommodation & food services Real estate & rental & leasing Construction Information Manufacturing Health care & social assistance Retail Trade Other Services, excluding govt Transportation & Warehousing Finance & insurance Agriculture, forestry, fishing & hunting Wholesale trade Mgmt of companies & enterprises Utilities Government Educational services Change in Employment by Sector, 2010-2014, Central Texas Source: Texas Workforce Commission: TRACER Employment Estimates -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Percent Change 2015 E 3 21 Alliance
Mining Health Care & Social Assistance Professional & Technical Services Construction Educational Services, Public & Private Accommodation & Food Services Administrative & Waste Services Mgmt of Companies & Enterprises Real Estate & Rental & Leasing Information Arts, Entertainment, & Recreation Finance & Insurance Other Services, excluding govt Government Retail Trade Wholesale Trade Transportation & Warehousing Manufacturing Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing, & Hunting Utilities All Industries Project Growth Projected Change in Employment by Industry, Central Texas 2012-2022 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Change in Employment Source: Texas Workforce Commission: TRACER Industry Projections 22
Projected Growth in Employment in Education Industry Higher in Central Texas than Texas Projected Change in Employment by Industry, 2012-2022 Educational Services, Public & Private Information Government Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing, & Hunting Real Estate & Rental & Leasing Professional & Technical Services Construction Retail Trade Finance & Insurance Manufacturing Mining Accommodation & Food Services Other Services, excluding govt Utilities Administrative & Waste Services Arts, Entertainment, & Recreation Health Care & Social Assistance Transportation & Warehousing Wholesale Trade Mgmt of Companies & Enterprises Greater Growth in Central Texas Greater Growth in Texas -10% 0% 10% Difference Between Central Texas and Texas Projections Source: Texas Workforce Commission: TRACER Industry Projections 23
Education and Health Will Add More Jobs in Central Texas than Other Industries by 2022 Educational Services Health Care & Social Assistance Accommodation & Food Services Professional & Technical Services Administrative & Waste Services Projected Change in Central Texas Employment by Industry, 2012-2022 Retail Trade Government Construction Manufacturing Wholesale Trade 2012 2022 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 Source: Texas Workforce Commission: TRACER Industry Projections Number of Jobs 24
Number Employed Average Annual Wage Majority of Central Texas Workers in Low-Wage Jobs 180,000 160,000 140,000 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 Central Texas Employment by Occupation, 2014 $160,000 $140,000 $120,000 $100,000 $80,000 $60,000 $40,000 $20,000 $0 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics: May 2014 Metropolitan Area Occupational Employment and Wage Estimates 25
Poverty Levels Are Lowest in Williamson County Percent of Total Population Below Poverty Level Williamson Blanco Gillespie Bastrop Hays Travis Caldwell Gonzales 7% 9% 12% 17% 17% 17% 19% 22% Texas U.S. 15% 18% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Percent Below Poverty Level Source: 2013 American Community Survey 5-year estimates 26
% Growth in Poverty Central Texas Child Poverty Rate Decreased in 2013, for the First Time in More Than a Decade Poverty Growth Rate for Children 0-17 140% 120% 100% 80% 95% 60% 40% 20% 0% -20% 39% 32% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 U.S. Texas Central Texas Source: Kids Count Data Center, Central Texas: Bastrop, Blanco, Caldwell, Gillespie, Hays, Travis and Williamson Counties 27
Percent Below Poverty Level 40% Central Texas has a Poverty Rate Similar to Most Urban Areas in Texas Percent of Total Population Below Poverty Level Past 12 Months, by MSA, 2013 35% 30% 35% 25% 20% 23% 15% 10% 5% 15% 15% 16% 16% 0% Dallas Central Texas* Houston San Antonio El Paso RGV *Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos MSA Source: 2013 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates 28
Percent of Population in Poverty 35% Poverty Rates Decline with Higher Levels of Educational Attainment Adults Age 25+ with Income in Past 12 Months Below Poverty Line by Educational Attainment, 2013 30% 25% 30% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Less than High School Source:2013 American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates 13% High School Graduate 8% Some College or Associate's Degree 4% Bachelor's Degree or Higher 29
Median Income $70,000 Median Income in Central Texas Increases Dramatically with Higher Levels of Education Median Income by Educational Attainment Adults Age 25+, Central Texas, 2013 $60,000 $65,707 $50,000 $40,000 $50,744 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $19,408 $27,177 $34,994 $0 Less Than High School Source: American Community Survey, 2013, 5-Year Estimates High School Graduate Some College or Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Graduate or Professional Degree 30
Median Income Median Income in Central Texas Increased for Individuals with Bachelors or Higher $70,000 $60,000 Median Income by Educational Attainment Adults Age 25+, Central Texas, 2010 and 2013 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 2010 2013 $10,000 $0 Less Than High School High School Graduate Source: American Community Survey, 2010 and 2013 5-Year Estimates Some College or Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Graduate or Professional Degree 31
Unemployment Rate Central Texas Fared Better than Texas and US During Great Recession 12 Unemployment Rates for Persons Age 25 or Older 10 8 6 4 2 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: Texas Workforce Commission: TRACER Note: All rates are for December of the given year Central Texas Texas US 32
Unemployment Rate 14 Texans Without High School Diploma Hit Soonest and Hardest During Recession Texas Unemployment Rate for Persons Age 25 and Older 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Less than High School Diploma Some College or Associate's Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics-Geographic Profile of Employment and Unemployment, 2003-2013 High School Graduate Bachelor's or Higher 33
Income and Employment Factors Increase Dramatically With College Experience Educational Attainment Less than a High School Graduate High school Graduate Some College or Associate's degree Bachelor's degree or higher Earn $19/hr or less Workers age 30+ Income below poverty level Age 25+ where poverty status determined Median Income Age 25+ with earnings Unemployed Age 25-64 Not in labor force Age 25-64 75% 30% $19,408 8% 30% 60% 13% $27,177 6% 22% 48% 8% $34,994 6% 17% 29% 4% $50,744* 4% 13% * Median for individuals with Bachelor s; median for individuals with graduate or professional degree is $64,501. Note: All values relative to Austin/Round Rock Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA). Source: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey, 2012, On The Map (http://onthemap.ces.census.gov/) 34
The conclusions of this research do not necessarily reflect the opinions or official position of the Texas Education Agency, the Texas Higher Education Coordinating Board, or the State of Texas. E 3 Alliance www.e3alliance.org