Stefan Rayer. Education. Work, Research, and Teaching Experience. Publications (Refereed)
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1 Stefan Rayer Education Population Program Director, Associate in Bureau of Economic and Business Research Ayers Technology Plaza, Suite 150 University of Florida Gainesville, FL x Doctor of Philosophy, Development Sociology, Cornell University Concentration in Population and Development, Regional Science, and Research Methods Dissertation: Units of Analysis Matter: A Study of Spatial Structural Change in Large Metropolitan Areas of the Northeastern United States Master of Science, Development Sociology, Cornell University Master s Thesis: The Structural Dimension of Net Migration and Migration Efficiency in the Mid-Atlantic Region, Bachelor of Arts with High Honours, Sociology, University of Saskatchewan Work, Research, and Teaching Experience 2014 Present Population Program Director, Associate in, BEBR, University of Florida Research Demographer, Associate in, BEBR, University of Florida Research Demographer, Assistant in, BEBR, University of Florida Demographic Statistician, MISER, University of Massachusetts Research Assistant, Cornell University (Working with Professor David L. Brown) Teaching Assistant, Cornell University (Introductory Sociology, Research Methods) Publications (Refereed) 2015 An Evaluation of Population Forecast Errors for Florida and its Counties, , by Stefan Rayer and Stanley K. Smith. Pp in Emerging Techniques in Applied Demography. New York: Springer Publishers Population Projections by Age for Florida and its Counties: Assessing Accuracy and the Impact of Adjustments, by Stefan Rayer and Stanley K. Smith, Population Research and Policy Review 33: Population Aging, Disability, and Housing Accessibility: Implications for Sub-national Areas in the United States, by Stanley K. Smith, Stefan Rayer, Eleanor Smith, Zhenglian Wang, and Yi Zeng, Housing Studies 27: Evaluating Population Forecast Accuracy: A Regression Approach Using County Data, by Jeff Tayman, Stanley K. Smith, and Stefan Rayer, Population Research and Policy Review 30: Factors Affecting the Accuracy of Subcounty Population Forecasts, by Stefan Rayer and Stanley K. Smith, Journal of Planning Education and Research 30 (2): Empirical Prediction Intervals for County Population Forecasts, by Stefan Rayer, Stanley K. Smith, and Jeff Tayman, Population Research and Policy Review 28:
2 Stefan Rayer, Page 2 Publications (Refereed), continued 2008 Aging and Disability: Implications for the Housing Industry and Housing Policy in the United States, by Stanley K. Smith, Stefan Rayer, and Eleanor A. Smith, Journal of the American Planning Association 74 (3): Population Forecast Errors: A Primer for Planners, by Stefan Rayer, Journal of Planning Education and Research 27 (4): Population Forecast Accuracy: Does the Choice of Summary Measure of Error Matter, by Stefan Rayer, Population Research and Policy Review 26 (2): Geographic Diversity of Inter-County Migration in the United States, , by Stefan Rayer and David L. Brown, Population Research and Policy Review 20 (3): The Volume and Composition of Internal Migration to and from New York, by David L. Brown and Stefan Rayer. In New York in the 21 st Century, edited by Thomas A. Hirschl and Tim B. Heaton. New York: Greenwood. Publications (Technical Reports) 2014 Population Projections by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin for Florida and Its Counties, , with Estimates for 2013 by Stanley K. Smith and Stefan Rayer, Florida Population Studies, Bulletin Projections of Florida Population by County, , with Estimates for 2013 by Stanley K. Smith and Stefan Rayer, Florida Population Studies, Volume 47, Bulletin Population Projections by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin for Florida and Its Counties, , with Estimates for 2012 by Stanley K. Smith and Stefan Rayer, Florida Population Studies, Bulletin Projections of Florida Population by County, , with Estimates for 2012 by Stanley K. Smith and Stefan Rayer, Florida Population Studies, Volume 46, Bulletin Population Projections by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin for Florida and Its Counties, , by Stanley K. Smith and Stefan Rayer, Florida Population Studies, Bulletin Projections of Florida Population by County, , by Stanley K. Smith and Stefan Rayer, Florida Population Studies, Volume 45, Bulletin Population Projections by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin for Florida and Its Counties, , by Stanley K. Smith and Stefan Rayer, Florida Population Studies, Volume 44, Bulletin An Evaluation of Population Forecast Errors for Florida and Its Counties, , by Stanley K. Smith, and Stefan Rayer, Special Population Reports, Number 9, July Projections of Florida Population by County, , by Stanley K. Smith and Stefan Rayer, Florida Population Studies, Volume 44, Bulletin Revised Annual Population Estimates for Florida and Its Counties, , with Components of Growth, by Stanley K. Smith, Scott Cody, and Stefan Rayer, Special Population Reports, Number 7, May Population Projections by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin for Florida and Its Counties, , by Stanley K. Smith and Stefan Rayer, Florida Population Studies, Volume 43, Bulletin Projections of Florida Population by County, , by Stanley K. Smith and Stefan Rayer, Florida Population Studies, Volume 43, Bulletin 156.
3 Stefan Rayer, Page 3 Publications (Technical Reports), continued 2009 Population Projections by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin for Florida and Its Counties, , by Stanley K. Smith and Stefan Rayer, Florida Population Studies, Volume 42, Bulletin Projections of Florida Population by County, , by Stanley K. Smith and Stefan Rayer, Florida Population Studies, Volume 42, Bulletin Population Projections by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin for Florida and Its Counties, , by Stanley K. Smith and Stefan Rayer, Florida Population Studies, Volume 41, Bulletin Projections of Florida Population by County, , by Stanley K. Smith and Stefan Rayer, Florida Population Studies, Volume 41, Bulletin Population Projections by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin for Florida and Its Counties, , by Stanley K. Smith and Stefan Rayer, Florida Population Studies, Volume 40, Bulletin Projections of Florida Population by County, , by Stanley K. Smith and Stefan Rayer, Florida Population Studies, Volume 40, Bulletin Population Projections by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin for Florida and Its Counties, , by Stanley K. Smith and Stefan Rayer, Florida Population Studies, Volume 39, Number 3, Bulletin Projections of Florida Population by County, , by Stanley K. Smith and Stefan Rayer, Florida Population Studies, Volume 39, Bulletin Population Projections by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin for Florida and Its Counties, , by Stanley K. Smith and Stefan Rayer, Florida Population Studies, Volume 38, Number 3, Bulletin Projections of Florida Population by County, , by Stanley K. Smith and Stefan Rayer, Florida Population Studies, Volume 38, Number 2, Bulletin Population Projections by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin for Florida and Its Counties, , by Stanley K. Smith and Stefan Rayer, Florida Population Studies, Volume 37, Number 3, Bulletin Projections of Florida Population by County, , by Stanley K. Smith and Stefan Rayer, Florida Population Studies, Volume 37, Number 2, Bulletin MISER Population Projections for Massachusetts, , by Stefan Rayer, Internet Release, MISER 1999 Subcounty Population Estimates by Age, Sex, and Race, by Stefan Rayer, Internet Release, Ecological and Social Structural Determinants of Intercounty Migration in the United States: , by Stefan Rayer and David L. Brown. Working Paper Series, Population and Development Program, Cornell University, Professional Presentations 2012 Population Forecast Errors for Florida Counties by Age, Sex, and Population Size. Southern Demographic Association, October 10 12, Williamsburg, VA An Evaluation of BEBR Population Projections for Florida Compared to Census Federal-State Cooperative for Population Projections, May 2, San Francisco, CA.
4 Stefan Rayer, Page 4 Professional Presentations, continued 2011 An Evaluation of Population Forecast Errors for Florida, Southern Demographic Association, October 19 21, Tallahassee, FL Aging, Disability, and Housing: Implications for States. Southern Demographic Association, October 22 24, Galveston, TX Subcounty Population Forecast Accuracy: An Analysis Beyond Size and Growth. Population Association of America, April 30 May 2, Detroit, MI An Evaluation of Subcounty Population Forecasts in Florida. Southern Demographic Association, October 30 November 1, Greenville, SC Aging and Disability: Implications for the U.S. Housing Industry. Southern Demographic Association, October 11 13, Birmingham, AL Empirical Prediction Intervals for County Population Forecasts. Population Association of America, March 29 31, New York, NY Modeling Complexity: Does Forecast Sophistication Pay? Southern Demographic Association, November 2 4, Durham, NC From Swamps to Shopping Malls: A Century of Demographic Change in Florida. Winter Institute in Arts Management, March 3, Palm Beach Gardens, FL Small Area Population Projections in Practice: Challenges and Opportunities. Southern Demographic Association, November 3 5, Oxford, MS Stability Over Time in the Distribution of County Population Forecast Errors. Southern Demographic Association, November 3 5, Oxford, MS Evaluating County Population Projections Using a Century of Census Data. Population Association of America, March 31 April 2, Philadelphia, PA Assessing the Accuracy of Trend Extrapolation Methods for Population Projections: The Long View. Southern Demographic Association, October 14 16, Hilton Head Island, SC Developing Projection Assumptions in a Cohort-Component Framework. Federal-State Cooperative for Population Projections, March 29 31, Boston, MA MISER Subcounty Population Estimates for Massachusetts. Federal-State Cooperative Program for Population Estimates, April 28 29, Minneapolis, MN Intra-Metropolitan Linkages in a Polycentric Metropolis. Population Association of America, May 9 11, Atlanta, GA Bridging Race: Comparing Census 2000 Race Data to those of Earlier Censuses. The Case Of Massachusetts. The Association of American Geographers, March 19 23, Los Angeles, CA Changing Settlement Patterns: An Investigation of Population Change in Boston and New York, 1980 to Rural Sociological Society, August 15 19, Albuquerque, NM The Central City-Suburb Link: An Analysis of Population, Income, and Employment Change in the Boston, New York, and Philadelphia CMSAs. Rural Sociological Society, August 13 17, Washington, DC The Evolving Metropolis Analyzing Changes in Metropolitan Morphology for the Boston, New York, and Philadelphia CMSAs, The Association of American Geographers, April 4 8, Pittsburgh, PA Recent Trends in the Distribution of Population and Employment within Large Metropolitan Areas in the Northeastern United States. Population Association of America, March 23 25, Los Angeles, CA.
5 Stefan Rayer, Page 5 Professional Presentations, continued 1999 Recent Patterns of Population Redistribution in the Boston, New York, and Philadelphia CMSAs. Regional Science Association International, November 11 14, Montréal, QC Economic, Demographic, and Geographic Complexity of County to County Migration in the United States, Regional Science Association International, November 11 14, Santa Fe, NM Ecological and Social Structural Determinants of Intercounty Migration in the United States, World Congress of Sociology, July 26 August 1, Montréal, QC The Structural Dimension of Net Migration and Migration Efficiency in the Mid-Atlantic Region, Rural Sociological Society, August 13 17, Toronto, ON. Professional Service 2012 Discussant, Intersections Between Internal and International Migration. Population Association of America, May 3 5, San Francisco, CA Chair, Steering Committee, Federal-State Cooperative Program for Population Projections Vice-Chair, Steering Committee, Federal-State Cooperative Program for Population Projections The Volume and Composition of Internal Migration to and from New York. Legislative Briefing to New York State Assembly, March 2, Albany, NY Session Chair, Visual and Geographic Methodological Approaches, Rural Sociological Society, August 4 8, Chicago, IL Session Chair, Metropolitan Investments and Policy, Regional Science Association International, November 11 14, Santa Fe, NM. Reviewer: Australasian Journal of Regional Studies, Journal of Maps, Journal of Planning Education and Research, Population Research and Policy Review, Rural Sociology, USDA-ERS Economic Information Bulletin. Awards, Fellowships, and Honors 2011 E. Walter Terrie Award for State & Local Demography, Southern Demographic Association 2007 E. Walter Terrie Award for State & Local Demography, Southern Demographic Association 1999 Doctoral Dissertation Research Grant, HUD 1998 Phi Kappa Phi 1997 Alpha Kappa Delta 1997 Gamma Sigma Delta 1995 University Prize in the Social Sciences, University of Saskatchewan
6 Stefan Rayer, Page 6 Membership Federal-State Cooperative Program for Population Estimates Federal-State Cooperative Program for Population Projections Population Association of America Southern Demographic Association
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