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US Education Shifts Adults, 1990-2000 50 Percent Change 40 30 20 10 0-10 -20 K-9 grade 9-11grade HS grad Some College Bachelors Postgrad
CA Education Shifts Adults, 1990-2000 Percent Change 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 K-9 grade 9-11grade HS grad Some College Bachelors Postgrad
States with Adult Dropout Gains
States with Adult Dropout Gains 1990-2000 California 492,215 Texas 242,002 Arizona 128,462 Nevada 85,746 Colorado 34,983 Utah 13,696 New Mexico 10,007 Alaska 1,038
California 1990s Demographic Change Percent Change 12 10 8 6 4 2 0-2 -4-6 -8 Natural Increase Immigration Domestic Migration
California Diversity Shifts 46.7% 2000 1990-2000 3.4% 6.4% 11.1% 32.4% 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 4,564 0 89,484-1,000,000-2,000,000 white black Indian/Other Asian Hispanic
1000 800 600 400 200 0-200 -400-600 CA Education Shifts 1990-2000 Hispanics Whites Dropouts HS Grads Some College College Grads
Education by Race CA Adults, 2000 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Whites Blacks Asians Hispanics Dropouts HS Grads Some College College Grads
Demographic Change, 1990s 15 Bay Area LA Region San Joaquin Valley Percent Change 10 5 0-5 -10-15 Natural Increase Immigration Domestic Migration
College Grads to HS Dropouts US 1.27 California 1.15 SF Metro 2.76 LA Metro.83 Fresno Metro.51
Child Populations By Race, 2000 US CA White Black Am Indian Asian Hispanic Others
Percent in Private School California K-12 Students 16 14 14.5 Percent 12 10 8 6 4 11.4 8.8 5 Whites Asians Blacks Hispanics 2 0
Child Poverty Rates 35 30 30.4 27.2 25 Whites Percent 20 15 16.5 Asians Blacks 10 8.9 Hispanics 5 0
Child Poverty Rates 2000 US 16.6% California 19.0% SF Metro 8.7% LA Metro 24.2% Fresno Metro 31.3%
Percent Child Poverty, 2000 Above 20% 15 to 20% Below 15 % Above 20% 15 to 20% Below 15%
Child Poverty Growth, 2000 Growth above 20% Growth above 20% Growth below 20% Growth below Decline 20% Decline
Child/Adult Dependency Ratio US.34 California.41 SF Metro.28 LA Metro.41 Fresno Metro.54
Race Education Gap California Adults, 2000 Dropouts College Grads White Black Am Indian Asian Hispanic
California Projected Race Compositions, 2025 Age 0-17 Age 18-64 Age 65 + 25% 34% 52% white black Indian Asian Hispanic
US$ Thousands 50 40 Per Capita Personal Income By Region 1990 2000 30 20 10 CA Avg Cent. Coast Bay Area San Diego S. CA Sac. N. CA SJ Valley Inland Emp. Sierras
US$ Thousands 70 60 Median Household Income By Region 1990 2000 50 40 30 20 S. CA Sac. Inland Emp. San Diego N. CA Bay Area Cent. Coast CA Avg. Sierras SJ Valley
Percent 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 Individuals Under Poverty Level As Percent of Total Regional Population 1990 2000 6 N. CA SJ Valley Inland Emp. Cent. Coast Sac. S. CA CA Avg. San Diego Bay Area Sierras
Some High School, No Diploma As Percent of 25 Year Old and Over Pop., By Region Percent 18 16 1990 2000 14 12 10 8 Inland Emp. SJ Valley N. CA S. CA CA Avg. San Diego Bay Area Sierras Cent. Coast Sac.
Associate Degrees As Percent of 25 Year Old and Over Pop., By Region Percent 9.5 9.0 8.5 8.0 7.5 7.0 1990 2000 6.5 Sac. N. CA San Diego Inland Emp. CA Avg. S. CA Sierras Cent. Coast Bay Area SJ Valley
Bachelor Degrees As Percent of 25 Year Old and Over Pop., By Region Percent 24 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 1990 2000 8 San Diego Cent. Coast CA Avg. Sierras SJ Valley Bay Area Sac. S. CA N. CA Inland Emp.
Graduate Degrees As Percent of 25 Year Old and Over Pop., By Region Percent 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 1990 2000 2 San Diego CA Avg. Bay Area Cent. Coast S. CA Sac. N. CA SJ Valley Sierras Inland Emp.
Bachelor Degree or Higher As Percent of 25 Year Old and Over Pop., By Region Percent 40 35 30 25 20 15 1990 2000 10 San Diego CA Avg. Bay Area Cent. Coast Sac. S. CA Sierras SJ Valley N. CA Inland Emp.
Percent 50 40 CA Public School Enrollment As Percent of Total Enrollment, By Race 1991 2001 30 20 10 0 Hispanic White Black Asian American Ind. Filipino Pac. Is.
Thousands 90 80 70 CA Public School Dropouts Grades 9-12, As Percent of Total Enrollment Dropouts - L Dropout Rate - R Percent 9 8 7 6 60 5 50 4 3 40 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 2
Those Who Have and Those Who Don t Los Angeles Area Income Disparities, 2000 Indicator Santa Monica Inglewood Population - 16 and Over 73,115 79,516 Labor Force 50,815 47,184 Median Household Income $50,714 $34,269 Median Family Income $75,989 $36,541 Per Capita Income $42,874 $14,776 Individuals Under Poverty 10.4% 22.5% Prof./Service/Sales Occup. 93% 75% Distance From Each Other 10 Miles
Those Who Have and Those Who Don t Bay Area Income Disparities, 2000 Indicator Menlo Park East Palo Alto Population - 16 and Over 24,761 20,037 Labor Force 15,849 12,309 Median Household Income $84,609 $45,006 Median Family Income $105,550 $44,342 Per Capita Income $53,341 $13,774 Individuals Under Poverty 7.0% 16.2% Prof./Service/Sales Occup. 91% 73% Distance From Each Other 4 Miles
Those Who Have and Those Who Don t San Diego Area Income Disparities, 2000 Indicator Encinitas National City Population - 16 and Over 46,306 39,841 Labor Force 32,681 19,891 Median Household Income $63,954 $29,826 Median Family Income $78,104 $31,497 Per Capita Income $34,336 $11,582 Individuals Under Poverty 7.0% 22.0% Prof./Service/Sales Occup. 89% 67% Distance From Each Other 29 Miles
Purchasing Power Comparison Pacific Palisades vs. Central Los Angeles Pacific Palisades Central Los Angeles Square Miles Same Same Population 22,826 184,060 Number of Households 9,128 49,892 Median House Income $122,942 $23,500 Purchasing Power $1.1 Billion $1.1 Billion
CALIFORNIA CAREER LADDERS TO THE 2Ist CENTURY Work with employers to identify opportunities for their low paid or unskilled workers Establish training programs for employees to obtain the skills necessary to move up the ladder Training should result in higher pay and increased job retention
CAREER LADDER EXAMPLES San Jose Fairmont and Hotel Employees, Restaurant Employees Union Entry-level workers (e.g.,housekeepers, kitchen workers) attain higher paid year round careers. Trained in computer literacy, guest services and VESL. Kaiser Permanente and Service Employees International Union (SEIU) Entry-level workers in housekeeping, food preparation and medical records are trained to be Medical Assistants and earn an $8000 pay increase. Life Care Center of Escondido Provides an industry model that trains Long-term Certified Nursing Assistants to advance to Senior Nurse Assistant positions. RIM Corporation Hospitality Career Step Ladder Project Enables upward mobility in eight business functions with six career steps in each area. California Bankers Association (CBA) Focuses on smaller community banks. Upgrades entry-level workers in administrative, operating and lending specialties. Santa Monica College Knitwear Technology Training Project Multi-firm project establishes a model for the Los Angeles textile and fashion industry. Minimum wage textile workers gain skills needed for career mobility.
Providing labor transition services into technology and health care Before Training Average pre-catalyst annual income of a Catalyst associate: Percentage of Catalyst associates on public assistance at acceptance: $7,543 40% After Training Average post-catalyst annual income of a Catalyst associate: Percentage of accepted associates completing training: Percentage of completing associates receiving full-time positions: Percentage of associates in full-time jobs retained $29,521 75% 100% 89%
CRITICAL PATH ANALYSIS Examine each part of the California education system, from kindergarten through graduate school. Identify strengths and weaknesses. Find the bottlenecks that prevent more Californians from earning college degrees in science & technology. Make policy recommendations.
PROJECTED GROWTH IN HIGH-TECH INDUSTRIES 18,200 5,100 51,800 41,000 8,200 13,900 3,700 13,900 Additional Undergrads1 7,000/year 12,100 1,500 800 occupations that require a Bachelor s Degree Source: State of California, EDD
RATIO OF S&E DEGREES TO THE 24-YEAR OLD POPULATION, BY COUNTRY (1999) Source: National Science Board, Science and Engineering Indicators - 2002
HIGH-TECH WORKFORCE PRODUCTION PROCESS FLOW DIAGRAM
THE K-12 SYSTEM 6 million students Latinos are largest and fastest growing ethnic group HOW DO WE RANK? Per-pupil spending now at national average, but lagged by 15-20% for a decade. 4th and 8th grade math and science scores among worst in country. Teachers less well educated than other states. 40,000 teachers under-qualified, with emergency permits or waivers.
COMMUNITY COLLEGES 1.6 million students 91,000 degrees/year, 6,000 in S&E Most students part time IMPORTANT STEPPING STONE More than 55,000 transfer to 4-year institutions each year - only 10,000 in S&E. Transfer students do well. Most students are first-generation college goers. Faculty quality high, but overall resources limited. Important role in remediation and for increasing diversity.
BACCALAUREATE SCHOOLS Over 590,000 students 19,000 S&E degrees/year Public institutions grant 82% of S&E degrees HOW DO WE RANK? California, nation s technology leader, ranks 9th in S&E baccalaureates per capita. Rise in S&E baccalaureates not keeping pace with overall growth of baccalaureates. Engineering degrees dropped 13% in the past 10 years.
TREND OF CALIFORNIA S&E BACCALAUREATE DEGREES, 1990-2000
LONGITUDINAL STUDY 9th GRADE THROUGH BACCALAUREATE 1990-2000 S&E degrees = 16,000 4.4% of 1990 9th grade enrollment
LONGITUDINAL STUDY 9th GRADE THROUGH BACCALAUREATE 1990-2000 LATINO STUDENTS S&E degrees = 1,600 1.5% of 1990 9th grade enrollment
GRADUATE SCHOOL Annually: over 5,400 master s, 2,100 doctorates At least 12 top ranked institutions IMPORTANT TO CALIFORNIA Terminal master s degrees important for workforce. Fewer Californians continue to graduate school; more than 42% of master s go to non-resident aliens. Patents show California universities still national leaders.