State Policy Reform: Blueprint for College Readiness Presented to the CELL Conference University of Indianapolis November 13, 2013 Matt Gianneschi, Ph.D. Vice President of Policy and Programs Education Commission of the States 1
Presentation Agenda National context Indiana s profile Blueprint for College Readiness State policy examples 2
National Goals Increase the proportion of Americans with high-quality college degrees, certificates, or other credentials to 60% by 2025 -Lumina Foundation By 2018, 63% of jobs in the U.S. will require a postsecondary education -Georgetown University, Center on Education and the Workforce 3
National Performance 550 500 Average Scale Score 450 400 350 Finland Korea Netherlands 300 Switzerland Canada Japan New Zealand Australia Belgium Denmark Czech Repub Iceland Austria Germany Sweden Ireland OECD Average France Poland United Kingdom Slovak Repub Hungary Luxembourg Norway Spain United States Portugal Italy Greece Turkey Mexico PISA 2006 Results. Prepared by the Dana Center at the University of Texas 4
National Performance PISA 2006 Results. Prepared by the Dana Center at the University of Texas 5
National Performance NAEP Results, 1990-2011. Prepared by the Dana Center at the University of Texas 6
Degree Demand in Indiana Between 2008 and 2018, Indiana will create 930,000 job vacancies both from new jobs and from job openings due to retirement. 55% of all jobs will require some postsecondary training beyond high school in 2018. Georgetown Center for Education and the Workforce, Help Wanted (2010) 7
Degree Demand in Indiana Completion projections: 2008-2018 If Indiana is successful in achieving a 77% HS graduation rate, 71% of these students will need to finish a college degree to reach the 55% workforce target. Georgetown Center for Education and the Workforce, Help Wanted (2010) 8
Reaching 60% in Indiana Lumina Foundation, A Stronger Nation Through Degrees (2012). 9
Patterns of U.S. High School and College Participation and Completion by Age 100% 80% High School Participation Earn High School Diploma or Equivalent Levels off at Age 21 60% 40% Undergraduate College Participation Peaks at Age 19, Levels off at Age 30 Complete Undergraduate College Degree Peaks and Levels off at Age 31 20% 0% 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 Note: Includes associate and bachelor s degrees, but not certificates. 10 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005-07 American Community Survey (Public Use Microdata Sample); prepared by the National Center for Higher Education Management Systems AGE
6 Change in College Attainment from 2000 to 2011 by State 25- to 64-year-olds 5.1 4.5 4.3 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.5 5.4 5 4 3 2 1 0-1 -2 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.0 2.9 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.1 1.8 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 Iowa North Dakota West Virginia Kentucky South Dakota Mississippi Arkansas North Carolina Maine Missouri Minnesota Indiana Tennessee Wisconsin Montana South Carolina Nevada Alabama Oklahoma Pennsylvania Ohio Idaho Nebraska Louisiana Michigan Florida Illinois Virginia Kansas United States Georgia Texas Rhode Island Wyoming Oregon Utah New York Washington New Hampshire Vermont Arizona New Jersey Hawaii Delaware California New Mexico Maryland Colorado Alaska Massachusetts Connecticut -0.4-0.6-0.7-0.9-1.0-1.0-1.8-3 -2.5-2.9-4 Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census and American Community Survey; prepared by the National Center for Higher Education Management Systems. 11
Change in College Attainment from 2000 to 2011 by State 25- to 34-year-olds 10 9 9.1 8 7 6 5 4 3 7.7 7.2 7.1 7.0 6.8 6.7 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.2 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1 2.7 2 1 0.5 0 Iowa New York Virginia South Dakota Maine West Virginia Pennsylvania Kentucky North Dakota Missouri Vermont Massachusetts Illinois Arkansas Indiana New Jersey Minnesota Maryland Montana Kansas Ohio Louisiana United States California Mississippi Nevada Oklahoma Utah Oregon South Carolina Idaho Texas Florida Arizona Rhode Island North Carolina Tennessee New Hampshire Alabama Wisconsin Washington Nebraska Connecticut Michigan Hawaii Alaska Wyoming Colorado New Mexico Georgia Delaware Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census and American Community Survey; prepared by the National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (2013) 12
Additional Average Annual Degree Production Needed to Achieve Lumina s Goal 10 7.9 7.5 7.5 7.2 7.1 6.6 6.4 6.2 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.1 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.1 5.1 5.0 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.3 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.2 3.1 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.2 2.0 1.7 1.3 1.1 0.5 9.0 8 6 4 2 0-2 Nevada Alaska Louisiana Arkansas Texas Arizona Tennessee New Mexico Georgia Kentucky Idaho West Virginia Mississippi Oklahoma Alabama California Delaware South Carolina Florida Maine Oregon Michigan North Carolina Ohio Montana United States Indiana Wyoming Missouri Wisconsin Washington Maryland Hawaii Pennsylvania Illinois Colorado Utah Vermont Kansas Nebraska Virginia Rhode Island New Jersey South Dakota Iowa Connecticut New York Minnesota New Hampshire Massachusetts North Dakota -0.6 Data File Provided by Patrick Kelly (NCHEMS, 2010) 13
Anchor I: High School Relevant 12 th -grade year: Implement instructional strategies for students who score below college-ready benchmarks to guarantee that they will not be placed in postsecondary remedial education courses. Policy options: Align high school performance criteria with first-year course prerequisites; develop remedial dual enrollment courses; modernize college placement policies. Expand postsecondary options: Dramatically improve access to accelerated learning opportunities (e.g., AP, IB, dual enrollment, early college high schools) and increase the number of high school students who receive college credit. Develop individual career and academic plans: Dramatically redesign college and career advising so that all high school students graduate with a clear postsecondary plan. Also, ensure that all students are academically and socially prepared for postsecondary education. Support transition to higher standards: Provide capacity to support a transition from current standards to more rigorous standards. 14
Anchor II: Higher Education Meta-majors: Have recent high school graduates choose a meta-major upon entrance into postsecondary education. Acceleration into gateway courses: Guarantee that all high school graduates will be placed in a gateway course, with co-requisite remedial support if needed. Research suggests that many students are misplaced by using test scores as sole criterion, and many students who test below cut scores perform very well in creditbearing courses if provided supplemental academic support. Programs in synch: Create articulated academic pathways into and through programs of study. Align funding with priorities: Adopt funding formulas for postsecondary education that properly signal state priorities. 15
Anchor III: Align the P-16 System Define the goal: Create a shared, statewide definition of college and career readiness that signals to students what it will take to succeed in postsecondary education. Many states are creating shared definitions of college and career readiness. These policies are most effective when connected to other administrative policies, such as high school graduation criteria, college placement criteria, and school accountability systems. Create a shared plan: Create a framework for policy action, including common goals, achievable metrics, and a suite of endorsed instructional and support strategies. Communicate early and often: Communicate expectations of what constitutes postsecondary readiness with students, parents, teachers, and institutions. Not only align data system, but use the results! Leverage data to track results and drive improvement across the P-16 system. Example: Colorado s Report on the Postsecondary Participation and Success of High School Students. 16
Examples of State Actions: Recent legislation in Florida permits all students who graduate from high school and meet admission criteria to enter creditbearing courses in college. Legislation in Colorado creates co-requisite course options and allows the use of course rigor and high school performance in making placement determinations. Tennessee s postsecondary funding system is based entirely upon outcomes (course completion, retention, graduation, etc) instead of inputs (enrollments). 17
Noteworthy Progress in Indiana HEA 1005-2013: Requires 11 th grade college and career readiness assessment and 12 th grade interventions for students likely to need remediation Ivy Tech will offer all remediation through a co-requisite model by 2014. Ivy Tech is scaling up math pathways (aligned to areas of study) 15 to Finish campaign. Modifications to state financial aid policy: minimum 24 credits hours to remain eligible; additional funds for 30+ credits hours. 18
Colorado Case Study Colorado s SB 08-212 (The Colorado Education Alignment Act), requires the State Board of Education (K-12 governing body) and the Commission on Higher Education to jointly adopt a shared description of college and career readiness. This definition states that students must graduate Postsecondary and Workforce ready without need for remediation. The legislation also requires the K-12 and HIED systems to use the same academic standards and assessments. Colorado dramatically revised its concurrent enrollment policy in 2009. The new policy (HB 1319) eliminated all non-academic barriers to entry and authorized high schools to offer remedial courses in the 12 th -grade year. In 2012, the Colorado General Assembly passed HB 1155, which modified the state s remedial placement policy to allow the use of multiple measures of readiness as well as authorize colleges (two-year and four-year alike) to offer co-requisite courses. The Colorado Department of Higher Education recently redesigned its remedial rate calculation. Previously, only test score levels of enrolling students; it now uses test scores and course placements of enrolling students, with the population matched back to high school graduation records. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3itelwjykqw 19
For More Information ECS Postsecondary and Workforce Development Institute: Dr. Matt Gianneschi: mgianneschi@ecs.org Education Commission of the States 700 Broadway, Suite 810 Denver, Colorado 80203 (303) 299-3624 www.ecs.org ecs@ecs.org 20