THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL October 20, 2016 HASSAN LEADS AYOTTE IN NH SENATE RACE By: Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D. Zachary S. Azem, M.A. UNH Survey Center 603/862 2226 www.unh.edu/survey center DURHAM, NH Governor Maggie Hassan has opened a slim lead over Incumbent Senator Kelly Ayotte. Ayotte s favorability ratings have declined in recent months while Hassan s have remained stable. However, with less than three weeks before Election Day, only half of New Hampshire likely voters have definitely decided whom they will vote for. These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Nine hundred and seven (907) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by landline and cellular telephone between October 11 and October 17, 2016. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/ 3.3 percent. Included were seven hundred and seventy (770) likely 2016 general election voters (MSE = +/ 3.). 2016 US Senate Election This year s Senate race between incumbent Senator Kelly Ayotte and Governor Maggie Hassan could determine control of the U.S. Senate and will likely be the most expensive election in New Hampshire history. However, half of likely voters have not definitely decided whom they will vote for currently of likely voters say they have definitely decided, 1 are leaning toward a candidate, and 3 are still trying to decide. 10 9 8 7 6 2016 US Senate Election Decided On Vote 8 8 8 7 6 6 4 1 2 4 3 May '15 July '15 Oct '15 Feb '16 Apr. '16 July '16 Aug '16 Oct '16 Definitely Decided Leaning Toward Someone Still Trying To Decide We ask that this copyrighted information be referred to as the Granite State Poll, sponsored by WMUR TV, and conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.
2016 US Senate Election Ayotte vs. Hassan If the 2016 Senate election was held today, 4 of likely general election voters say they would vote for Hassan, 3 would vote for Ayotte, would vote for someone else, and 1 are undecided. After including undecided voters who have indicated the candidate to whom they are leaning toward, the percentages become 4 for Hassan, 3 for Ayotte, for someone else, and remain undecided. This marks the first time a candidate has held a statistically significant lead since the UNH Survey Center began polling on this contest in May, 2015. Ayotte and Hassan hold wide leads among members of their parties; Ayotte leads among Republicans 8 and Hassan leads among Democrats 8, while Independents are divided (3 3 Hassan). Ayotte recently said she would not vote for Donald Trump but this has not hurt her support among Trump voters. Trump voters currently favor Ayotte 8 while Clinton voters favor Hassan 8. 6 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 US Senate Ayotte vs. Hassan * Includes Undecided But Leaning Voters 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 May '15 July '15 Oct '15 Feb '16 Apr '16 July '16 Aug '16 Oct '16* Hassan Ayotte Other/Undecided Favorability Ratings Senator Kelly Ayotte Senator Ayotte has become increasingly unpopular in recent months currently, only 3 of likely voters have a favorable opinion of Ayotte, 4 have an unfavorable opinion of her, are neutral, and don t know enough about her to say. Ayotte s net favorability rating is, down from + in August, and marks the first time her favorability ratings have been underwater. She is still very popular among Republicans (net favorability rating of +5), and very unpopular among Democrats ( 5) while Independents ( ) are divided. 10 9 8 7 6 Favorability Ratings Kelly Ayotte 5 44 4 4 4 4 4 45 4 544 333 4 44 44 444 44 4 3 3 4 4 3 2 2 3 22 2 22 2 22 33 22 22 2 2 23 1 1 Oct. '09 Sept. '10 Oct. '11 Oct. '12 Oct. '13 Oct. '14 Oct '15 Oct '16 LVs* *All favorability ratings shown since July 2016 are among likely voters Favorable Unfavorable
Favorability Ratings Governor Maggie Hassan Governor Hassan has remained somewhat more popular than Ayotte during the election cycle of New Hampshire likely voters say they have a favorable opinion of Hassan, 3 have an unfavorable opinion, are neutral, and say they don t know enough about her to say. Hassan s net favorability rating is +1, down slightly from +1 in August. Hassan is very popular among Democrats (+6 net favorable), and very unpopular among Republicans ( 4) while Independents are divided (+). 10 9 8 7 6 Favorability Ratings Maggie Hassan 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 1 1 Favorable Unfavorable The two other candidates on the ballot for US Senate are largely unknown to New Hampshire voters. Currently have a favorable opinion of Independent candidate Aaron Day, have an unfavorable opinion, are neutral, and 8 don t know enough about him to say. Day s net favorability is. Only have a favorable opinion of Libertarian candidate Brian Chabot, have an unfavorable opinion, are neutral, and 8 don t know enough about him to say. Chabot s net favorability rating is. Favorability Ratings US Senate Candidates October 2016 Aaron Day 8 Brian Chabot 8 6 7 8 9 10 Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK
Favorability Ratings Senator Jeanne Shaheen Senior Senator Jeanne Shaheen remains popular in the Granite State. Currently, 5 of New Hampshire adults say they have a favorable opinion of Shaheen, 2 have an unfavorable opinion of her, are neutral, and 1 don t know enough about her to say. Shaheen s net favorability rating is +2, up from +1 in April. Shaheen is very popular among Democrats (net +7), somewhat popular among Independents (+1) and unpopular among Republicans ( 2). 10 9 8 7 6 Favorability Ratings Jeanne Shaheen 6 5 55 5 5 55 55 5 4 4 5 5 4 4 4 44 5 55 5 5 55 4 5 55 5 4 5 2 3 333 33 3333 3 32 22 3 33 3 3 2 2 33 3 3 22 2 2 22 2 2 Sep. '07 Sep. '08 Oct. '09 Sept. '10 Oct. '11 Oct. '12 Oct. '13 Oct. '14 Oct '15 Oct '16 Favorable Unfavorable
Granite State Poll Methodology These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center and funded by WMUR TV, Manchester, NH. Nine hundred and seven (907) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed in English by landline and cellular telephone between October 11 and October 17, 2016. If a household included more than one adult, the adult who had the most recent birthday was selected to be interviewed. The margin of sampling error is +/ 3.3 percent for the entire sample. Included were seven hundred seventy (770) likely 2016 general election voters (MSE +/ 3.). These MSE s have not been adjusted for design effect. The design effect for the survey is 1.. The random sample used in the WMUR Granite State Poll was purchased from Marketing Systems Group (MSG), Horsham, PA. MSG screens each selected telephone number to eliminate non working numbers, disconnected numbers, and business numbers to improve the efficiency of the sample, reducing the amount of time interviewers spend calling non usable numbers. The data have been weighted to adjust for numbers of adults and telephone lines within households. Additionally, data were weighted by respondent sex, age, and region of the state to targets from the most recent American Community Survey (ACS) conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau. In addition to potential sampling error, all surveys have other potential sources of nonsampling error including question order effects, question wording effects, and non response. Due to rounding, percentages may not sum to 10. The number of respondents in each demographic below may not equal the number reported in crosstabulation tables as some respondents choose not to answer some questions. For more information about the methodology used in the WMUR Granite State Poll, contact Dr. Andrew Smith at (603) 862 2226 or by email at andrew.smith@unh.edu. Granite State Poll, October 2016 Demographics Sex N % Region N % Male 444 4 North Country 79 Female 463 5 Central/Lakes 142 1 Connecticut Valley 128 1 Age N % Mass Border 247 2 18 to 34 226 2 Seacoast 166 1 35 to 49 228 2 Manchester Area 145 1 50 to 64 242 2 65 and Over 151 1 Party Registration N % Democrat 226 2 Highest Level of Education N % Undeclared/Not Reg. 470 5 High School or Less 137 1 Republican 202 2 Some College 212 2 College Graduate 347 Party Identification N % Post Graduate 183 2 Democrat 395 4 Independent 165 1 Republican 310 3
Granite State Poll, October 2016 Likely Voter Demographics Sex N % Region N % Male 379 4 North Country 73 Female 391 5 Central/Lakes 122 1 Connecticut Valley 113 1 Age N % Mass Border 204 2 18 to 34 161 2 Seacoast 137 1 35 to 49 195 2 Manchester Area 122 1 50 to 64 218 65 and Over 143 Party Registration N % Democrat 209 2 Highest Level of Education N % Undeclared/Not Reg. 365 4 High School or Less 117 1 Republican 190 2 Some College 169 2 College Graduate 294 3 Party Identification N % Post Graduate 166 2 Democrat 354 4 Independent 108 1 Republican 282 3
Favorability Rating Senator Jeanne Shaheen "Next I'd like to get your overall opinion of some people who are elected officials. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person or if you don t know enough about them to say. Senator (Former Governor) Jeanne Shaheen? Statewide Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know Net (N) Oct 16 5 2 1 +2 (904) July 16 3 +1 (532) Apr 16 5 +2 (619) Feb 16 5 3 + (686) Oct 15 5 3 +1 (583) July 15 5 3 +2 (530) May 15 5 +2 (567) Feb. 15 4 3 + (509) Oct. 14 3 +1 (680) July 14 5 2 +2 (668) Apr. 14 4 3 +1 (505) Jan. 14 3 +1 (581) Oct. 13 5 2 1 +3 (662) July 13 5 2 1 + (512) Apr. 13 5 2 1 +3 (504) Feb. 13 5 2 +3 (580) Oct. 12 5 2 +2 (588) Aug. 12 5 3 +2 (580) Apr. 12 5 2 + (533) Feb. 12 5 2 1 +2 (527) Oct. 11 5 2 +2 (554) July 11 5 3 +1 (511) Apr. 11 4 3 +1 (503) Feb. 11 4 3 +1 (519) Sept. 10 4 3 +1 (515) July 10 5 3 +1 (503) Apr. 10 4 3 + (511) Feb. 10 4 3 + (496) Oct. 09 5 3 +1 (502) Jun. 09 3 +1 (557) Apr. 09 4 3 + (503) Feb. 09 5 3 +2 (617) Sep. 08 4 + (522) July 08 5 3 +2 (472) Apr. 08 5 2 +2 (500) Feb. 08 5 1 2 +3 (555) Sept. 07 5 2 +3 (506) July 07 6 2 +3 (520)
Favorability Rating US Senate Candidates I'd like to get your overall opinion of some candidates for US senate. Just like before, as I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person or if you don t know enough about them to say." Senator (Former New Hampshire Attorney General) Kelly Ayotte? Statewide Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know Net (N) Oct 16 LVs 3 4 (767) Aug 16 LVs 4 4 + (432) July 16 LVs 4 4 + (467) Apr 16 4 3 1 + (619) Feb 16 4 3 1 +1 (683) Oct 15 4 2 1 +2 (583) July 15 4 2 1 +2 (530) May 15 4 2 1 + (567) Feb. 15 4 1 2 1 +1 (509) Oct. 14 4 2 2 +1 (679) July 14 2 1 +2 (668) Apr. 14 4 2 1 +2 (505) Jan. 14 4 1 +1 (582) Oct. 13 4 3 2 + (662) July 13 4 3 1 + (512) Apr. 13 2 1 +2 (505) Feb. 13 5 2 1 +2 (579) Oct. 12 4 3 1 +1 (590) Aug. 12 5 2 1 +2 (577) Apr. 12 4 2 2 +1 (531) Feb. 12 4 2 2 +1 (527) Oct. 11 4 2 1 +2 (554) July 11 4 1 2 1 + (514) Apr. 11 4 2 1 +2 (501) Feb. 11 5 2 +3 (520) Sept. 10 4 2 1 +1 (515) July 10 3 2 + (504) Apr. 10 3 1 4 +2 (508) Feb. 10 3 1 4 +2 (497) Oct. 09 3 4 +2 (501) Jun. 09 4 +3 (556)
(Former State Senator) Governor Maggie Hassan. Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know NET (N=) Oct 16 LVs 3 +1 (767) Aug 16 LVs 5 3 +1 (432) July 16 LVs 4 3 + (466) Apr 16 4 3 +1 (620) Feb 16 + (684) Oct 15 5 2 1 +2 (582) July 15 5 2 +2 (530) May 15 5 2 +3 (567) Feb. 15 5 1 2 +3 (507) Oct. 14 5 2 1 +2 (681) July 14 5 2 1 +3 (664) Apr. 14 5 1 1 +4 (507) Jan. 14 5 1 1 +3 (581) Oct. 13 5 1 +4 (662) July 13 5 1 1 +3 (515) Apr. 13 5 1 1 1 +4 (505) Feb. 13 4 1 2 +4 (578) Aug. 12 1 7 + (580) Apr. 12 8 + (531) Feb. 12 7 + (524) Oct. 11 7 + (555) Political Activist Aaron Day? Statewide Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know Net (N) Oct 16 LVs 8 (767) Businessman Brian Chabot? Statewide Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know Net (N) Oct 16 LVs 8 (766) Firmness of Choice For New Hampshire Senate Likely Voters Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the New Hampshire Senate election in 2016 are you leaning toward someone or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide? Def. Decided Leaning Trying to Decide (N=) Oct 16 1 3 (748) Aug 16 4 1 4 (422) July 16 6 (460) Apr 16 2 6 (538) Feb 16 1 7 (588) Oct 15 8 (506) July 15 8 (464) May 15 8 (518)
US Senate Ayotte vs. Hassan Likely Voters If the 2016 US Senate election was being held today, would you vote for Kelly Ayotte, the Republican Maggie Hassan, the Democrat some other candidate or would you skip this election? ROTATE CANDIDATES May 15 July 15 Oct 15 Feb 16 Apr 16 July 16 Aug 16 Oct 16 Ayotte 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 Hassan 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Other Don t know / undecided 1 1 1 (N=) (501) (468) (498) (597) (527) (448) (412) (725) US Senate Ayotte vs. Hassan Likely Voters With Leaners Would you say you are leaning towards Kelly Ayotte, the Republican or Maggie Hassan, the Democrat? ROTATE CANDIDATES Oct 16 Ayotte 3 Hassan 4 Other Don t know / undecided (N=) (724)
DefinitelyDecided LeaningTowardSomeone StilTryingtoDecide NHLikelyVoters 3 1 (N) 748 RegisteredDemocrat RegisteredUndeclared/NotReg. RegisteredRepublican Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency 18to34 35to49 50to64 65andolder Male Female Highschoolorless Technicalschool/Somecolege Colegegraduate Postgraduatework ReadUnionLeader ReadBostonGlobe ReadLocalNewspapers WatchWMUR ListentoNHPR ListentoConserv.Radio AtendServices1orMore/Week 1-2TimesaMonth LessOften Never Maried Divorced/Separated Nevermaried Lessthan$30,000 $30,000to$59,999 $60,000to$74,999 $75,000to$99,999 $100,000ormore Central/Lakes ConnecticutValey ManchesterArea MassBorder NorthCountry Seacoast FirstCong.District SecondCong.District 3 4 1 1 1 5 3 7 3 6 2 1 1 1 4 2 6 3 4 1 1 1 4 4 6 5 3 1 3 5 1 2 4 5 1 1 1 1 6 6 3 3 3 3 1 1 5 3 4 4 1 1 1 7 3 3 1 5 2 6 3 5 1 5 2 1 5 4 4 3 3 3 1 1 1 5 4 4 4 4 1 1 1 5 2 3 4 3 4 1 1 1 1 2 6 4 4 4 2 3 4 3 2 3 3 1 1 1 5 4 5 5 5 4 3 3 1 1 4 5 187 351 205 274 104 344 186 292 213 56 691 141 214 188 155 382 366 162 285 164 114 142 92 238 387 241 82 294 209 83 125 141 141 444 194 86 67 85 51 134 69 194 120 110 120 380 368 DecidedonUSSenateVote
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don'tKnow NHLikelyVoters 3 (N) 767 RegisteredDemocrat RegisteredUndeclared/NotReg. RegisteredRepublican Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency 18to34 35to49 50to64 65andolder Male Female Highschoolorless Technicalschool/Somecolege Colegegraduate Postgraduatework ReadUnionLeader ReadBostonGlobe ReadLocalNewspapers WatchWMUR ListentoNHPR ListentoConserv.Radio AtendServices1orMore/Week 1-2TimesaMonth LessOften Never Maried Divorced/Separated Nevermaried Lessthan$30,000 $30,000to$59,999 $60,000to$74,999 $75,000to$99,999 $100,000ormore Central/Lakes ConnecticutValey ManchesterArea MassBorder NorthCountry Seacoast FirstCong.District SecondCong.District 1 6 3 4 8 1 6 3 1 7 7 3 1 5 8 5 3 3 5 1 1 3 3 3 3 5 5 4 4 1 3 5 4 1 1 2 3 4 4 6 5 4 4 4 2 6 3 5 3 5 2 6 7 1 1 3 3 5 5 4 3 1 3 3 3 4 5 5 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 4 1 3 3 4 4 2 3 5 5 4 4 5 5 3 3 5 4 190 364 208 280 108 354 190 298 217 58 710 142 217 195 161 389 378 165 294 169 116 145 92 245 395 244 83 302 216 85 127 151 143 452 197 86 68 87 53 137 73 202 122 112 122 392 376 FavorabilityRatings-MaggieHassan
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don'tKnow NHLikelyVoters 4 3 (N) 767 RegisteredDemocrat RegisteredUndeclared/NotReg. RegisteredRepublican Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency 18to34 35to49 50to64 65andolder Male Female Highschoolorless Technicalschool/Somecolege Colegegraduate Postgraduatework ReadUnionLeader ReadBostonGlobe ReadLocalNewspapers WatchWMUR ListentoNHPR ListentoConserv.Radio AtendServices1orMore/Week 1-2TimesaMonth LessOften Never Maried Divorced/Separated Nevermaried Lessthan$30,000 $30,000to$59,999 $60,000to$74,999 $75,000to$99,999 $100,000ormore Central/Lakes ConnecticutValey ManchesterArea MassBorder NorthCountry Seacoast FirstCong.District SecondCong.District 1 1 4 7 7 3 1 1 1 4 6 6 3 1 1 4 7 6 1 1 3 4 4 3 1 1 4 4 4 3 4 3 4 4 3 4 1 5 4 3 3 4 4 3 5 5 3 4 3 4 4 5 2 2 5 1 5 4 4 3 4 5 1 3 4 4 3 4 3 1 4 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 1 4 4 4 3 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 190 364 207 280 108 353 190 298 217 57 710 142 217 195 161 389 378 165 294 169 116 145 92 245 395 244 83 302 216 85 127 151 143 452 197 86 68 87 53 137 72 202 122 112 122 391 376 FavorabilityRatings-KelyAyote
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don'tKnow NHLikelyVoters 8 (N) 767 RegisteredDemocrat RegisteredUndeclared/NotReg. RegisteredRepublican Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency 18to34 35to49 50to64 65andolder Male Female Highschoolorless Technicalschool/Somecolege Colegegraduate Postgraduatework ReadUnionLeader ReadBostonGlobe ReadLocalNewspapers WatchWMUR ListentoNHPR ListentoConserv.Radio AtendServices1orMore/Week 1-2TimesaMonth LessOften Never Maried Divorced/Separated Nevermaried Lessthan$30,000 $30,000to$59,999 $60,000to$74,999 $75,000to$99,999 $100,000ormore Central/Lakes ConnecticutValey ManchesterArea MassBorder NorthCountry Seacoast FirstCong.District SecondCong.District 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 1 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 1 8 8 8 8 8 1 8 8 8 8 1 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 9 8 8 8 8 7 8 1 8 8 190 364 207 280 108 353 190 298 217 57 710 142 217 195 161 389 378 165 294 169 116 145 92 245 395 244 83 302 216 85 127 151 143 452 197 86 68 87 53 137 72 202 122 112 122 391 376 FavorabilityRatings-AaronDay
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don'tKnow NHLikelyVoters 8 (N) 766 RegisteredDemocrat RegisteredUndeclared/NotReg. RegisteredRepublican Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency 18to34 35to49 50to64 65andolder Male Female Highschoolorless Technicalschool/Somecolege Colegegraduate Postgraduatework ReadUnionLeader ReadBostonGlobe ReadLocalNewspapers WatchWMUR ListentoNHPR ListentoConserv.Radio AtendServices1orMore/Week 1-2TimesaMonth LessOften Never Maried Divorced/Separated Nevermaried Lessthan$30,000 $30,000to$59,999 $60,000to$74,999 $75,000to$99,999 $100,000ormore Central/Lakes ConnecticutValey ManchesterArea MassBorder NorthCountry Seacoast FirstCong.District SecondCong.District 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 7 8 7 8 8 8 8 9 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 8 1 8 8 190 364 207 279 108 353 190 298 216 57 709 141 217 195 161 388 378 165 294 168 116 145 92 245 394 244 83 301 216 85 127 151 143 452 197 86 68 87 53 137 72 202 122 112 122 391 375 FavorabilityRatings-BrianChabot
Ayote Hassan Other Undecided NHLikelyVoters 1 4 3 (N) 725 RegisteredDemocrat RegisteredUndeclared/NotReg. RegisteredRepublican Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative DefinitelyDecided LeaningTowardsSomeone StilTryingToDecide WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency TrumpVoter ClintonVoter JohnsonVoter SteinVoter Other/Undecided 18to34 35to49 50to64 65andolder Male Female Highschoolorless Technicalschool/Somecolege Colegegraduate Postgraduatework ReadUnionLeader ReadBostonGlobe ReadLocalNewspapers WatchWMUR ListentoNHPR ListentoConserv.Radio AtendServices1orMore/Week 1-2TimesaMonth LessOften Never Central/Lakes ConnecticutValey ManchesterArea MassBorder NorthCountry Seacoast FirstCong.District SecondCong.District 1 3 9 7 3 3 3 8 7 3 1 1 4 8 7 3 3 2 5 5 3 3 1 1 1 2 4 4 3 2 1 2 1 6 2 8 4 4 8 1 1 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 1 1 5 3 3 4 1 1 1 6 4 2 2 3 4 4 1 5 1 5 2 1 5 3 4 1 6 2 1 1 7 1 1 1 5 4 3 3 2 3 2 1 1 5 4 4 4 5 4 3 3 3 4 3 3 1 1 4 4 3 3 180 335 205 265 95 343 179 282 211 224 113 373 53 672 54 14 56 354 236 140 211 184 141 369 356 165 272 157 109 143 90 240 378 240 79 289 199 81 121 127 67 192 113 106 120 373 352 USSenate-Ayotevs.Hassan
Ayote Hassan Other Undecided NHLikelyVoters 4 3 (N) 724 RegisteredDemocrat RegisteredUndeclared/NotReg. RegisteredRepublican Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative DefinitelyDecided LeaningTowardsSomeone StilTryingToDecide WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency TrumpVoter ClintonVoter JohnsonVoter SteinVoter Other/Undecided 18to34 35to49 50to64 65andolder Male Female Highschoolorless Technicalschool/Somecolege Colegegraduate Postgraduatework ReadUnionLeader ReadBostonGlobe ReadLocalNewspapers WatchWMUR ListentoNHPR ListentoConserv.Radio AtendServices1orMore/Week 1-2TimesaMonth LessOften Never Central/Lakes ConnecticutValey ManchesterArea MassBorder NorthCountry Seacoast FirstCong.District SecondCong.District 1 4 9 7 2 3 8 8 3 4 8 7 3 2 2 5 5 4 3 1 3 4 4 3 2 1 1 1 6 2 8 4 4 8 1 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 5 3 3 4 1 6 4 2 3 4 4 3 5 6 2 5 3 4 4 6 2 1 7 1 5 4 3 3 3 4 4 5 2 5 4 4 4 5 4 3 3 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 4 180 335 205 265 94 343 178 282 211 223 113 373 53 671 54 14 55 354 236 140 211 183 141 369 355 165 271 157 109 143 90 240 378 240 79 289 198 81 121 126 67 192 113 106 120 373 352 USSenate-Ayotevs.HassanWithLeaners
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don'tKnow NHResidents 1 2 5 (N) 904 RegisteredDemocrat RegisteredUndeclared/NotReg. RegisteredRepublican Democrat Independent Republican Liberal Moderate Conservative LikelyVoter Non-LikelyVoter 18to34 35to49 50to64 65andolder Male Female Highschoolorless Technicalschool/Somecolege Colegegraduate Postgraduatework ReadUnionLeader ReadBostonGlobe ReadLocalNewspapers WatchWMUR ListentoNHPR ListentoConserv.Radio AtendServices1orMore/Week 1-2TimesaMonth LessOften Never Maried Divorced/Separated Nevermaried Lessthan$30,000 $30,000to$59,999 $60,000to$74,999 $75,000to$99,999 $100,000ormore Central/Lakes ConnecticutValey ManchesterArea MassBorder NorthCountry Seacoast FirstCong.District SecondCong.District 1 5 2 4 8 1 1 2 1 2 4 7 1 1 5 2 2 5 7 2 1 2 2 1 3 5 1 2 2 2 3 1 6 5 4 4 1 1 2 3 5 4 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 1 6 5 4 4 3 4 1 6 2 5 1 2 5 1 1 6 5 2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 5 5 4 4 2 1 1 2 2 1 4 5 5 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 5 5 6 4 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 2 2 4 5 5 4 5 5 1 1 2 2 5 4 202 468 226 310 163 395 212 373 242 135 769 150 242 227 226 462 442 183 347 210 136 161 102 274 463 278 89 370 251 99 141 204 170 506 222 102 78 101 65 166 79 246 145 126 142 455 449 FavorabilityRatings-JeanneShaheen