GCSE/GNVQ and GCE A/AS Level Performance of Candidates attempting two or more GCE A Levels or AS equivalents in 1998/99

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Statistical Bulletin Number / GCSE/GNVQ and GCE A/AS Level Performance of Candidates attempting two or more GCE A Levels or AS equivalents in / March

GCSE/GNVQ AND GCE A/AS LEVEL PERFORMANCE OF CANDIDATES ATTEMPTING TWO OR MORE GCE A LEVELS OR AS EQUIVALENTS IN /: SCHOOLS AND FE SECTOR COLLEGES IN ENGLAND Introduction This bulletin provides a comparison of the GCE A/AS level performance of year old students taking at least GCE A levels or AS equivalents in, or before, / with their GCSE/GNVQ performance in that year or earlier. It updates by one academic year the information given in Statistical Bulletin /, published in March. Full details of the coverage of the tables and the definition of terms used are given at the end of the text. This is the first year that GNVQ point scores have been added to the GCSE point score to give a GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry. GNVQs were first reported in the / academic year and continue to be an increasingly popular option for year old students. For details of how GNVQ point scores have been calculated and added to GCSE point scores per entry refer to paragraphs and. The national information given in the annex to this bulletin presents the range of aggregate GCE A/AS grades achieved by students according to their GCSE/GNVQ attainments. This information provides one basis for setting initial cumulative GCE A/AS performance targets against which the school or college can monitor individual students progress throughout their GCE A/AS courses. These target grades can then be reviewed in the light of progress to help each student evaluate their performance. A full description of how this might be achieved is given in GCSE to GCE A/AS Value Added Briefing for Schools and Colleges published in June, copies of which are available from the DfEE Publications Centre (Tel: ) on request. The structure of the charts in this bulletin are identical to the presentation of value-added between Key Stage Key Stage, Key Stage Key Stage and Key Stage GCSE/GNVQ published last October by the Department, OFSTED and Qualifications Curriculum Authority in the Autumn Package. Subject charts for English, mathematics, physics, chemistry and biological sciences have been included in the annex for the first time this year. Charts for an additional fifteen subjects are available along with the electronic version of this document at the DfEE s website; http://www.dfee.gov.uk/news/spn/spn.htm Key Points The main points identified in this bulletin are: there continues to be a strong positive association between prior GCSE/GNVQ performance and GCE A/AS level scores (paragraph ). candidates with similar levels of performance at GCSE/GNVQ achieved a wide range of GCE A/AS level scores (paragraphs to ). differences in the GCE A/AS level scores of candidates from different types of establishments mainly reflected the differences in the candidates performance at GCSE/GNVQ, although some differences still remain when the comparison is focused on candidates with a similar level of achievement at GCSE/GNVQ (paragraphs to ). females with above average GCSE/GNVQ scores tended to achieve lower GCE A/AS level grades than similarly qualified males (paragraph ). candidates with below average GCSE/GNVQ performance tended to achieve higher GCE A/AS level grades if their subject specialisation was in nonscience subjects (paragraphs to ). All candidates In total just over, candidates aged had taken at least GCE A/AS level examinations, excluding general studies, by the end of / (this figure excludes, candidates for whom no GCSE/GNVQ scores could be identified). Of these, per cent had achieved a score of or over, the equivalent of an A and two B grades or better. In contrast, per cent achieved a score of less than, the equivalent of an E and two D grades, or a D and a C grade. There is a strong link (table ) between a candidate s GCE A/AS level score and their average GCSE/GNVQ score per entry. For example, per cent of candidates (,) had an average GCSE/GNVQ score per entry of or above (an average of grade B or better), and of these, per cent achieved a GCE A/AS level score of or over, and per cent scored less than points. In contrast,, (%) achieved an average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry of less than. and of these candidates, per cent achieved fewer than GCE A/AS points and only just over half of per cent achieved GCE A/AS points or more. The relationship between GCSE/GNVQ and GCE A/AS level scores is illustrated in chart A, which shows the median and upper and lower quartiles of the distribution of average GCE A/AS score per entry for candidates in each range of average GCSE/GNVQ score per entry. For example, among the candidates with an average GCSE/GNVQ score of between and., half achieved an average GCE A/AS score per entry of or more and a quarter achieved an average GCE A/AS score per entry of or more. For candidates with an average GCSE/GNVQ score of between. and. (% of candidates), half achieved an average GCE A/AS score per entry of or more and a quarter achieved an average GCE A/AS score per entry of. (between an A and a B grade at GCE A level). Chart A shows the same information but for total GCE A/AS point score rather than average GCE A/AS point score per entry. For example, of those candidates with an average GCSE/GNVQ score per entry of between and., half achieved a GCE A/AS score of or more

CHART A: Average GCE A/AS score per entry by average GCSE/GNVQ score per entry for candidates attempting or more GCE A/AS (excluding general studies) all establishments Average GCE A/AS point score per entry to to.. to. to.. to. to.. to. to.. to. Lower Quartile Median Upper Quartile CHART A: Total GCE A/AS point score by average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry for candidates attempting or more GCE A/AS (excluding general studies) all establishments Total GCE A/AS point score to to.. to. to.. to. to.. to. to.. to. Lower Quartile Median Upper Quartile and a quarter achieved a GCE A/AS score of or more. For those candidates with an average GCSE/GNVQ score per entry of between. and., half achieved a GCE A/AS score of or more and a quarter a score of or more. The inclusion or exclusion of general studies can have significant effects on the comparison of an individual s and an institution s total GCE A/AS point score with the national average, as discussed in the Technical Annex to GCSE to GCE A/AS Value Added published in June. Institutions that offer general studies will tend to achieve, other things being equal, a better value added using the total GCE A/AS point score measure than those not offering this subject. For the purposes of this bulletin, any GCE A/AS level attempts and passes in general studies are excluded.

Candidates from different types of institution Some % (,) of candidates aged were recorded as studying in schools and % (,) of candidates in Further Education sector colleges. Comparisons of each of these group s performance at GCSE/GNVQ and GCE A/AS level are given in tables and. Overall, those candidates in schools tended to achieve slightly higher GCE A/AS level results than those from Further Education sector colleges. For example, in schools per cent of students achieved a GCE A/AS level point score of or over compared with per cent of candidates in Further Education sector colleges. The proportions with less than GCE A/AS level points were per cent and per cent in schools and Further Education sector colleges respectively. Candidates in FE colleges with broadly similar GCSE/GNVQ achievements tended to gain slightly lower GCE A/AS grades than those in schools or sixth form colleges. Candidates from independent schools tended to achieve higher GCE A/AS level scores than those candidates from maintained schools (tables and ). In independent schools, per cent of candidates achieved a GCE A/AS level score of or over compared with per cent of candidates from maintained schools. In contrast, per cent of candidates from independent schools compared with per cent of maintained schools achieved a GCE A/AS level score of less than. Tables and show that candidates from sixth form colleges tended to achieve better GCE A/AS level scores than those from other Further Education sector colleges. Eighteen per cent of candidates from sixth form colleges achieved a GCE A/AS level score of or over compared with per cent of candidates from other Further Education sector colleges. In contrast, the equivalent figures but for candidates with a GCE A/AS level score of less than were per cent and per cent. Characteristics of the candidates The analyses given in this bulletin have so far been concerned with the attributes of the institutions which the candidates attended. It is possible to look at the characteristics of the candidates themselves, such as their gender (tables and and chart C) or the mix of subjects taken at GCE A/AS level (tables to and chart B), i.e. whether a candidate took science subjects only or non science subjects only or a mix of both. Those candidates who took only science subjects (or all science subjects with the exception of one non-science AS examination) were more likely to achieve very high GCE A/AS level scores. Of such candidates, per cent achieved a GCE A/AS level score of or over compared with per cent of candidates taking only non science subjects (or all non science subjects with the exception of one science AS examination) and per cent of candidates taking a mix of science and non-science subjects. However, in each of these groups of candidates, similar proportions, i.e. per cent of scientists, per cent of those taking non-science subjects and per cent of those taking a mixture of science and non-science subjects, achieved GCE A/AS level scores of less than. CHART B: Candidates attempting different combinations of GCE A/AS subjects Average GCE A/AS point score per entry............ Science subjects only Non-science subjects only Mixture of science and non-science subjects

CHART C: Gender Average GCE A/AS point score per entry............ Boys Girls These differences reflect the tendency for science specialists to have higher average GCSE/GNVQ performance: per cent achieved an average GCSE/GNVQ score per entry of (average grade B) or over compared with per cent of candidates taking only non-science subjects or all non-science subjects with the exception of one AS examination, and per cent of candidates taking a mixture of science and non science subjects. Chart B shows the median average GCE A/AS score per entry for different bands of GCSE/GNVQ attainment for three types of GCE A/AS level candidates those taking science subjects only, those taking non-science subjects only, and those taking a mixture of science and non-science subjects. Except for candidates with very high levels of GCSE/GNVQ attainment, GCE A/AS level candidates with similar GCSE/GNVQ attainment, taking only non-science subjects achieved a higher average GCE A/AS score per entry than the median student amongst those taking science subjects only or a mixture of the two. For most levels of GCSE/GNVQ attainment, female candidates were less likely to achieve high GCE A/AS level scores than male candidates. This was more marked amongst candidates with high average GCSE/GNVQ scores per entry. For example, tables and show that amongst candidates with an average GCSE/GNVQ score per entry of or more, per cent of male candidates and per cent of female candidates achieved a GCE A/AS level score of or more. Definitions The information contained in this bulletin relates to candidates aged at the beginning of the / academic year who took at least GCE A level or AS examination during that year and at least GCE A levels or AS equivalents by the end of that academic year. The GCSE/GNVQ scores cover GCSE/GNVQs taken in / or earlier. The figures exclude, candidates for whom GCSE/GNVQ scores could not be identified. The data on examination entries and passes were obtained from the GCSE and GCE examining boards and groups. The / GCE A level and AS examination results were then merged by the Department s contractor using the candidate s name and date of birth. The data does not currently contain students Advanced GNVQ results, however the inclusion of these results in future years bulletins is being investigated. The GCE A/AS level point scores are derived in the following way: Grade obtained A level AS examination A B C D E For each candidate, the points for each pass are then added together to obtain a total point score and divided by the total number of entries (an AS level is treated as half an entry) to derive the average point score per entry. For the purpose of this bulletin, GCE A levels or AS equivalents in general studies have been excluded as mentioned in paragraph.

The GCSE point score is derived in a similar way with the points awarded for each grade as follows: Grade obtained GCSE A* A B C D E F G The total GCSE point score is then divided by the number of attempts to derive an average GCSE score per entry. The points for each GNVQ grade are as follows: Qualification Level Grade Points GNVQ Part One Intermediate Distinction Merit Pass Foundation Distinction Merit Pass GNVQ Full Intermediate Distinction Merit Pass Foundation Distinction Merit Pass The Part One GNVQ is deemed equivalent to GCSEs and the Full GNVQ is equivalent to four GCSEs. The points need to be divided accordingly to derive an average GNVQ point score per entry and then added to the average GCSE score per entry for an average GCSE/GNVQ score per entry. Each of the tables shows, for each range of average GCSE/GNVQ score per entry, the percentage of candidates obtaining different GCE A/AS level scores. The charts show, for each range of average GCSE/GNVQ score per entry, the median GCE A/AS level score and the upper and lower quartile scores. This gives an idea of the range of GCE A/AS level scores achieved by candidates with a given average GCSE/GNVQ score per entry. Half of the candidates in each average GCSE/GNVQ score range achieve a score between the two quartiles with a quarter above and a quarter below this range. The following subjects are classified as sciences for the purposes of tables to : mathematics; statistics; biological sciences; chemistry; physics; botany; electronics; engineering; environmental science; geology; psychology (JMB only); science in society; zoology; computer studies; design; design and technology; geometric and engineering drawing; graphics; metalwork; woodwork; home economics. A student counts as having a GCE A/AS level attempt in a science subject if s/he has attempted a GCE A level or two AS examinations in science subjects. Further information Enquiries on the contents of this bulletin should be addressed to Analytical Services, Level B, Department for Education and Employment, Caxton House, Tothill Street, Westminster, London, SWH NF (Tel: ).

TABLE : GCSE/GNVQ and GCE A/AS performance of year olds entering or more GCE A/AS examinations All establishments Average GCSE/GNVQ Percentage of candidates with given GCSE/GNVQ score achieving Total point score GCE A/AS scores of candidates per entry to to to to to to to + Less than to.,. to., to.,. to., to.,. to., to.,. to., Total, TABLE : GCSE/GNVQ and GCE A/AS performance of year olds entering or more GCE A/AS examinations All schools Average GCSE/GNVQ Percentage of candidates with given GCSE/GNVQ score achieving Total point score GCE A/AS scores of candidates per entry to to to to to to to + Less than to.,. to., to.,. to., to.,. to., to.,. to., Total, TABLE : GCSE/GNVQ and GCE A/AS performance of year olds entering or more GCE A/AS examinations All Further Education sector colleges Average GCSE/GNVQ Percentage of candidates with given GCSE/GNVQ score achieving Total point score GCE A/AS scores of candidates per entry to to to to to to to + Less than to.,. to., to.,. to., to.,. to., to.,. to. Total, For the definitions underlying the tables see paragraphs to of the text

TABLE : GCSE/GNVQ and GCE A/AS performance of year olds entering or more GCE A/AS examinations All maintained schools Average GCSE/GNVQ Percentage of candidates with given GCSE/GNVQ score achieving Total point score GCE A/AS scores of candidates per entry to to to to to to to + Less than to.,. to., to.,. to., to.,. to., to.,, to., Total, TABLE : GCSE/GNVQ and GCE A/AS performance of year olds entering or more GCE A/AS examinations All independent schools Average GCSE/GNVQ Percentage of candidates with given GCSE/GNVQ score achieving Total point score GCE A/AS scores of candidates per entry to to to to to to to + Less than to.. to. to.,. to., to.,. to., to.,. to., Total, For the definitions underlying the tables see paragraphs to of the text

TABLE : GCSE/GNVQ and GCE A/AS performance of year olds entering or more GCE A/AS examinations All Further Education sector colleges (excluding sixth form colleges) Average GCSE/GNVQ Percentage of candidates with given GCSE/GNVQ score achieving Total point score GCE A/AS scores of candidates per entry to to to to to to to + Less than to.. to., to.,. to., to.,. to., to.. to. Total, TABLE : GCSE/GNVQ and GCE A/AS performance of year olds entering or more GCE A/AS examinations All sixth form colleges Average GCSE/GNVQ Percentage of candidates with given GCSE/GNVQ score achieving Total point score GCE A/AS scores of candidates per entry to to to to to to to + Less than to.. to., to.,. to., to.,. to., to.,. to. Total, For the definitions underlying the tables see paragraphs to of the text

TABLE : GCSE/GNVQ and GCE A/AS performance of year olds entering or more GCE A/AS examinations Science subjects only Average GCSE/GNVQ Percentage of candidates with given GCSE/GNVQ score achieving Total point score GCE A/AS scores of candidates per entry to to to to to to to + Less than to.. to., to.,. to., to.,. to., to.,. to., Total, TABLE : GCSE/GNVQ and GCE A/AS performance of year olds entering or more GCE A/AS examinations Non science subjects only Average GCSE/GNVQ Percentage of candidates with given GCSE/GNVQ score achieving Total point score GCE A/AS scores of candidates per entry to to to to to to to + Less than to.,. to., to.,. to., to.,. to., to.,. to., Total, TABLE : GCSE/GNVQ and GCE A/AS performance of year olds entering or more GCE A/AS examinations Mixture of science and non science subjects Average GCSE/GNVQ Percentage of candidates with given GCSE/GNVQ score achieving Total point score GCE A/AS scores of candidates per entry to to to to to to to + Less than to.,. to., to.,. to., to.,. to., to.,, Total, For the definitions underlying the tables see paragraphs to of the text

TABLE : GCSE/GNVQ and GCE A/AS performance of year old males entering or more GCE A/AS examinations Average GCSE/GNVQ Percentage of candidates with given GCSE/GNVQ score achieving Total point score GCE A/AS scores of candidates per entry to to to to to to to + Less than to.,. to., to.,. to., to.,. to., to.,. to., Total, TABLE : GCSE/GNVQ and GCE A/AS performance of year old females entering or more GCE A/AS examinations Average GCSE/GNVQ Percentage of candidates with given GCSE/GNVQ score achieving Total point score GCE A/AS scores of candidates per entry to to to to to to to + Less than to.,. to., to.,. to., to.,. to., to.,. to., Total, For the definitions underlying the tables see paragraphs to of the text

Annex This section presents base charts, containing various national pictures, which you may wish to use in the manner described in paragraph to assess your school s or college s value added in relation to national patterns. Additional subject charts are available on our web site at http://www.dfee.gov.uk/news/spn/spn.htm These charts are available in electronic format from Darren Egan (Email : darren.egan@dfee.gov.uk) ( Tel )

CHART : The National Picture: All institutions Your institution name Average GCE A/AS point score per entry............

CHART A : The National Picture: All institutions Your institution name Total GCE A/AS point score............

CHART : Non selective schools average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against average GCE A/AS score per entry Average GCE A/AS point score per entry............

CHART A : Non selective schools average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against total GCE A/AS score Total GCE A/AS point score............

CHART : Selective schools average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against average GCE A/AS score per entry Average GCE A/AS point score per entry............

CHART A: Selective schools average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against total GCE A/AS score Total GCE A/AS point score............

CHART : Independent schools average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against average GCE A/AS score per entry Average GCE A/AS point score per entry............

CHART A: Independent schools average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against total GCE A/AS score Total GCE A/AS point score............

CHART : Further Education Sector Colleges average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against average GCE A/AS score per entry Average GCE A/AS point score per entry............

CHART A: Further education sector colleges average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against total GCE A/AS point score Total GCE A/AS point score............

CHART : Candidates attempting GCE A/AS science subjects only average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against average GCE A/AS score per entry Average GCE A/AS point score per entry............

CHART : Candidates attempting GCE A/AS non science subjects only average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against average GCE A/AS score per entry Average GCE A/AS point score per entry............

CHART : Candidates attempting a mix of GCE A/As science and non science subjects average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against average GCE A/AS score per entry Average GCE A/AS point score per entry............

CHART : ENGLISH average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against GCE A/AS point score............ GCE A/AS point score

CHART : MATHEMATICS average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against GCE A/AS point score............ GCE A/AS point score

CHART : PHYSICS average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against GCE A/AS point score............ GCE A/AS point score

CHART : CHEMISTRY average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against GCE A/AS point score............ GCE A/AS point score

CHART : BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against GCE A/AS point score............ GCE A/AS point score

ART average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against GCE A/AS point score / GCE A/AS point score............

BUSINESS STUDIES average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against GCE A/AS point score / GCE A/AS point score............

CLASSICAL STUDIES average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against GCE A/AS point score / GCE A/AS point score............

COMMUNICATION STUDIES average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against GCE A/AS point score / GCE A/AS point score............

COMPUTER STUDIES average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against GCE A/AS point score / GCE A/AS point score............

ECONOMICS average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against GCE A/AS point score / GCE A/AS point score............

FRENCH average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against GCE A/AS point score / GCE A/AS point score............

GERMAN average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against GCE A/AS point score / GCE A/AS point score............

GEOGRAPHY average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against GCE A/AS point score / GCE A/AS point score............

GENERAL STUDIES average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against GCE A/AS point score / GCE A/AS point score............

HISTORY average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against GCE A/AS point score / GCE A/AS point score............

HOME ECONOMICS average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against GCE A/AS point score / GCE A/AS point score............

MUSIC average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against GCE A/AS point score / GCE A/AS point score............

RELIGIOUS STUDIES average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against GCE A/AS point score / GCE A/AS point score............

DESIGN & TECHNOLOGY average GCSE/GNVQ point score per entry against GCE A/AS point score / GCE A/AS point score............