Demographics of Silicon Valley and Foothill De Anza Population Changes Are Creating Diverse Educational Needs Figure 1 Forecast Adult Population, and San Mateo Counties 2 to 25 2,2, 2,, 1,8, 1,6, Total 25 to 25 Increase: 734,747 1.29% Annually Increase: 229,33 1.2 Annually Increase: 254,751 1.13% Annually Increase: 25,93.9 Annually County 1,4, 1,2, 1,, Total 25 to 25 Increase: 98,776.4 Annually 8, 6, Increase: 43,913.5 Annually Increase: 38,227.43% Annually Increase: 16,636.18% Annually San Mateo County 4, 2, 2 25 21 215 22 225 23 235 24 245 25 SOURCE: State of California, Department of Finance, Race/Ethnic Population with Age and Sex Detail, 2 25. Sacramento, CA, July 27. Note: Adult is age 2 and up. Demographics of SV and FHDA 1
Figure 2 County Forecast Population by Age Group 2 to 25 9, 8, Total Increase from 25: 863,293 1.9% Annually Age 35 to 6 Increase: 151,76.49% Annually 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, Age 61 & up Increase: 394,11 3.5 Annually Age to 14 Increase: 85,929.5 Annually Age 25 to 34 Increase: 122,612 1.1 Annually Age 15 to 24 Increase: 19,96 1.19% Annually All Increases From 25 2 25 21 215 22 225 23 235 24 245 25 SOURCE: State of California, Department of Finance, Race/Ethnic Population with Age and Sex Detail, 2 25. Sacramento, CA, July 27. Figure 3 County Forecast Adult Population by Ethnicity 2 to 25 8, 7, 6, White Increase: 17,188.6% Annually Total Adult Increase from 25: 734,747 1.29% Annually 5, 4, 3, Asian/PI Increase: 234,871 1.49% Annually Hispanic Increase: 399,598 3.28% Annually All Increases From 25 2, 1, African-Am Increase: 1,94.1 Annually 2 25 21 215 22 225 23 235 24 245 25 SOURCE: State of California, Department of Finance, Race/Ethnic Population with Age and Sex Detail, 2 25. Sacramento, CA, July 27. Note: Native American and Multirace groups not displayed. Demographics of SV and FHDA 2
Figure 4 Population, by City County, 199 to 28 Scale for All Others 15, Sunnyvale Scale for San Jose 1,1, 125, San Jose 1,, Los Altos, Mountain View 9, 1, Campbell, Los Gatos, Saratoga 75, Gilroy, Morgan Hill 8, Milpitas 7, 5, Palo Alto Cupertino 6, 25, 199 1995 2 25 28 5, SOURCE: State of California, Department of Finance, Revised Historical City, County and State Population Estimates, 1991-2, with 199 and 2 Census Counts. Sacramento, California, March 22. State of California, Department of Finance, E-4 Population Estimates for Cities, Counties and the State, 21-28, with 2 DRU Benchmark. Sacramento, California, May 28. Figure 5 Historical and Forecast Annual Population Growth Rate, by City County, 199 to 23 199 to 2 (Actual) 2 to 25 (Actual) 25 to 23 (Projected) 3% 3. 2.3% 2. 2.. 1. Palo Alto.7%...3% Los Altos, Mtn View 1...6% 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1. 1..9% 7%.7%....3% Santa Sunnyvale Milpitas Gilroy, Cupertino San Jose Campbell, Clara Los Gatos, Saratoga Morgan Hill.9% SOURCE: State of California, Department of Finance, Revised Historical City, County and State Population Estimates, 1991-2, with 199 and 2 Census Counts. Sacramento, California, March 22. State of California, Department of Finance, E-4 Population Estimates for Cities, Counties and the State, 21-25, with 2 DRU Benchmark. Sacramento, California, May 25. Association of Bay Area Governments, Projections 23. Demographics of SV and FHDA 3
Figure 6 County Population and FHDA Enrollment and FTES 1995 to 28 Headcount/FTES 5, 45, Fall Headcount Foothill-De Anza CCD Total Population County Population 2,, 1,8, 4, 1,6, 35, 1,4, 3, 25, 2, Adult Population County Annual FTES Foothill-De Anza CCD 1,2, 1,, 8, 15, 6, 1, 4, 5, 2, 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 SOURCE: Enrollment data from FHDA IR&P Office. Population data from State of California, Department of Finance, Revised Historical City, County and State Population Estimates, 1991-2, with 199 and 2 Census Counts. Sacramento, California, March 22 and E-4 Population Estimates for Cities, Counties and the State, 21-27, with 2 Benchmark. Sacramento, California, May 27 and State of California, Department of Finance, Race/Ethnic Population with Age and Sex Detail, 2 25. Sacramento, CA, July 27. Note: Adult is age 2 and up. Figure 7 Racial Composition of Foothill De Anza District Students 1996 to 28 1 9 6% Black Non Hispanic 8 7 33% 3 36% 37% 39% 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Asian & Pacific Islander 6 1 1 13% 1 1 5 4 1 1 1 1 1 16% 17% 17% Hispanic Ethnicity 3 2 1 5 49% 46% 4 4 4 4 39% 39% 38% 37% 3 3 White Non Hispanic 1996 1997 1998 1999 2 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 SOURCE: FHDA Institutional Research & Planning Office Demographics of SV and FHDA 4
Figure 8 Racial Composition of Foothill De Anza Students and Neighboring Cities All Ages, 2 for Cities, Fall 28 for FHDA 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 6% 4 18% 3 3% 27% 3 2 1 46% 47% 16% 18% 2 3% 19% 8 7 57% 7% 48% 19% 26% 33% 3 46% 16% 17% 49% 48% 5 Black Non Hispanic Asian & Pacific Islander Il Hispanic Ethnicity White Non Hispanic FHDA District County Foothill College Palo Alto Mountain View Los Altos De Anza College Cupertino Sunnyvale Notes: Individuals with unknown, other, or two or more races are not included SOURCE: FHDA Institutional Research & Planning Office; U.S. Census 2 Summary File 1 through American FactFinder Figure 9 Enrollment and Participation Rate, by City Fall 28 FHDA Headcount as a Percent of Total City Population 6% 3% Share of Total FHDA Headcount 1 2 3 4 1. San Jose 33% 3. Sunnyvale 1 5. Cupertino 7% 3.9% Mountain View 7% 3. 3.8% 3.9% 1.9% 1. 2. 1.7% 1.6%.9% 18% 1.8%. 1..6%.3%. Palo Alto Los Altos Milpitas Campbell Saratoga Los Gatos Redwood City Menlo Park San Mateo East Palo Alto San Carlos Portola Valley Gilroy Millbrae 3% Cities in Foothill De Anza Community College District NOTE: Approximately 16% of total enrollment is in cities not listed above, Fremont and San Francisco constituting the largest share of enrollment.. SOURCE: Enrollment data from FHDA Institutional Research & Planning. Population data from State of California, Department of Finance, E-4 Population Estimates for Cities, Counties and the State, 21-28, with 2 DRU Benchmark. Sacramento, California, May 28. Demographics of SV and FHDA 5
Figure 1 Projected 12 th Grade Enrollment, County 2, and San Mateo Counties Historical and Forecast 12th Grade Enrollment 1999 to 215 18, 16, 14, 12, 1, 8, 6, 4, 2, 1999 2 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 SOURCE: California Dept of Education, CBEBS Database, K-12 Public School Enrollment Reports, 1996-97 to 23-4, Cohort Survival Ratio Forecasts by FHDA IR&P - Lourdes Del Rio-Parent 5/19/5 Figure 11 Graduation Rates and UC/CSU Preparedness of County High School Students 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 94-95 95-96 96-97 97-98 98-99 99- -1 1-2 2-3 3-4 4-5 5-6 6-7 Graduation Rate Met UC/CSU Requirements SOURCE: CA Dept of Education, DataQuest Database, accessed 5/3/4; 23 4 accessed 5/9/5; 4 5 to 6 7 on 1/2/9 Demographics of SV and FHDA 6
Figure 12 UC/CSU Preparedness of Silicon Valley High School Students, by Ethnicity, 26 27 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Asian/PI African American Filipino Hispanic Native Am White State SOURCE: CA Dept of Education, DataQuest Database, accessed 1/9/9 Figure 13 Math Background of Silicon Valley High School Students SOURCE: Joint Venture: Silicon Valley Network, 25 Index of Silicon Valley Demographics of SV and FHDA 7
Figure 14 Remediation Needed by Bay Area CSU Freshmen 1 9 8 7 6 5 4 5 4 5 5 3 2 1 Math Fall 1998 Fall 27 English SOURCE: CSU Freshman Remediation Reports. See web site http://www.asd.calstate.edu/performance/proficiency.html Figure 15 Prior Degree Obtained by Foothill De Anza Students 6,5 6, 5,5 5, 4,5 4, 3,5 3, 2,5 2, 1,5 1, 5 1996 1997 1998 1999 2 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 Associate's Bachelor's Master's or Higher Foreign Degree SOURCE: FHDA Institutional Research & Planning (Web Site Factbook, Enrollment Trends by Highest Degree) Demographics of SV and FHDA 8
Figure 16 Primary Language Spoken At Home, Fraction of Population in Age Group County, 2 Speaks English Very Well Age Group 5 to 17 18 to 64 65 or older Speaks English Less Than Very Well English Only 56% 53% 6 Spanish 2 18% 1 Other Indo European 8% 8% Asian or Pacific Islander 17% 2 16% Other Language SOURCE: U.S. Census 2 Summary File 3 (Table P19) through American FactFinder Demographics of SV and FHDA 9