FINAL WEIGHTED Alyse Galvin for Congress (AK) Tracking Poll N=500 November 2018 Likely Voters October 13-16, 2018 Q1. [DO NOT READ. RECORD GENDER.] Male... 50 47 49 54 Female... 50 53 51 46 Region Southeast... 11 17 15 7 Bush... 9 9 10 8 Fairbanks... 11 7 13 11 Anchorage... 42 47 34 47 Southcentral... 27 20 28 28 Party Registration Democrat... 14 42 6 2 Republican... 28 3 13 55 Nonpartisan... 16 15 29 10 Undeclared... 38 38 45 29 Other... 4 2 7 3 Q2. Before we begin, I need to know if I have reached you on a cell phone, and if so, are you in a place where you can talk safely? Yes, cell and can talk safely... 41 47 43 37 Yes, cell and cannot talk safely... CALL BACK No, not on cell, but own one... 53 50 50 58 No, not on cell and do not own one... 6 3 7 5 Don't know/refused... TERMINATE Q3. [T] Though it is a few weeks away, how likely is it that you will vote in the general election for Governor, statewide candidates, and other offices this November? Are you almost CERTAIN to vote, will you PROBABLY vote, are the chances about 50-50, are you probably NOT going to vote, or are you DEFINITELY not going to vote? Almost certain to vote... 94 93 90 95 Probably will vote... 6 7 10 5 50-50... TERMINATE Probably not... TERMINATE Definitely not... TERMINATE (Don't know)... TERMINATE
Alyse Galvin for Congress (AK), October 13-16, 2018 2 Q4. Now I'd like to ask you about some public figures and institutions. For each, please tell me whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression. If you haven't heard of the person {6}, or if you don't know enough about that person to have an impression {5}, just say so and we will move on. Sorted by Very favorable 4a.Don Young... 26 5 22 46 4b.Alyse Galvin... 20 49 11 5 a. [T] Don Young Very Favorable... 26 5 22 46 Somewhat Favorable... 22 9 27 27 Somewhat Unfavorable... 14 20 14 9 Very Unfavorable... 29 61 28 8 No Opinion... 7 4 8 8 Never Heard... 2 2 1 1 Favorable... 49 14 49 73 Unfavorable... 42 80 42 17 b. [T] Alyse [uh-leese] Galvin Very Favorable... 20 49 11 5 Somewhat Favorable... 20 20 27 14 Somewhat Unfavorable... 8 6 3 15 Very Unfavorable... 10 1 17 14 No Opinion... 22 11 19 31 Never Heard... 20 14 23 22 Favorable... 39 69 37 18 Unfavorable... 18 7 20 29
Alyse Galvin for Congress (AK), October 13-16, 2018 3 Q5. For each of the following, please tell me if you think that person is doing an excellent, good, just fair or poor job. Do you think [READ PROMPT] is doing an excellent, good, just fair, or poor job? Sorted by Excellent 5b.Donald Trump as President... 26 2 24 45 5a.Don Young as Member of Congress... 15 4 10 28 a. [T] Don Young as Member of Congress Excellent... 15 4 10 28 Good... 25 10 23 37 Just Fair... 28 30 35 21 Poor... 25 51 23 8 (Don't know)... 6 5 9 6 (Refused)... 0 0 0 0 Excellent /Good... 41 13 34 65 Just fair /Poor... 53 81 58 29 b. Donald Trump as President Excellent... 26 2 24 45 Good... 19 5 14 31 Just Fair... 13 8 16 14 Poor... 41 85 41 10 (Don't know)... 1 1 3 0 (Refused)... 0 0 2 0 Excellent /Good... 45 7 38 76 Just fair /Poor... 54 93 57 24
Alyse Galvin for Congress (AK), October 13-16, 2018 4 Q6. [T] Thinking about the election for your member of Congress, if the election were held today, and the candidates were: [ROTATE] _ Alyse Galvin, Undeclared, Alaska Democratic Party Nominee _ Don Young, Republican, Alaska Republican Party Nominee for whom would you vote? [IF CANDIDATE:] Would you say you support that candidate strongly or not so strongly? [IF UNDECIDED:] Well, if the election was held today and you had to decide, toward whom do you lean? Galvin - strong... 37 75 31 13 Galvin - not-so-strong... 5 6 6 2 Undecided - lean Galvin... 2 1 6 1 Young - strong... 40 8 32 68 Young - not-so-strong... 4 1 6 6 Undecided - lean Young... 4 5 3 4 Undecided /DK... 8 4 14 5 (Refused)... 1 0 3 0 Galvin... 44 82 43 16 Young... 48 14 41 79
Alyse Galvin for Congress (AK), October 13-16, 2018 5 Finally, I would like to ask you a few questions for statistical purposes only. Q7. [T] Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an independent or something else? [IF REPUBLICAN OR DEMOCRAT:] Do you consider yourself a strong (Republican/Democrat) or a not-so-strong (Republican/Democrat)? [IF INDEPENDENT/NON-PARTISAN/UNDECLARED:] Would you say that you lean more toward the Republicans or more toward the Democrats? [IF OTHER PARTY:] Which one? [IF INDEPENDENT AFTER BEING PROBED ON LEAN]: Is that the Alaska Independence Party, or just Independent? Strong Republican... 23 0 0 58 Not-so-strong Republican... 4 0 0 11 Independent/Non-Partisan/Undeclared - lean Republican. 12 0 0 31 Republican... 39 0 0 100 Independent/Non-Partisan/Undeclared... 20 0 100 0 Democrat... 27 100 0 0 Independent/Non-Partisan/Undeclared - lean Democratic. 13 47 0 0 Not-so-strong Democrat... 5 17 0 0 Strong Democrat... 10 36 0 0 (Green Party)... 0 0 0 0 (Alaska Independence Party)... 1 0 0 0 (Republican Moderate Party)... 1 0 0 0 (Libertarian Party)... 1 0 0 0 (Veterans Party)... 0 0 0 0 (Don't know/other)... 11 0 0 0 Q8. [T] What is your age? Q9. [T] [IF AGE IS REFUSED]: I am going to read you some categories. Please stop me when we get to your category. 18-24 years... 4 9 2 2 25-29 years... 7 7 6 7 30-34 years... 6 8 6 4 35-39 years... 9 12 11 6 40-44 years... 10 9 8 11 45-49 years... 10 11 12 7 50-54 years... 10 8 13 10 55-59 years... 10 3 7 18 60-64 years... 14 15 15 15 65-69 years... 7 6 6 6 70-74 years... 5 5 8 5 Over 74 years... 7 6 8 8 (Refused)... 0 0 0 0
Alyse Galvin for Congress (AK), October 13-16, 2018 6 Q10. [T*] What is the last year of schooling that you have completed? [DO NOT READ] 1-11th Grade... 2 2 0 3 High School Graduate... 18 11 16 22 Vocational or technical school... 2 0 6 2 Some college but no degree... 20 21 22 18 Associate degree... 10 9 7 12 4-year college graduate or bachelor's degree... 29 27 30 29 Graduate School or advanced degree... 18 28 19 13 (Refused)... 1 2 1 1 Q11. [T] Just to make sure we have a representative sample, could you please tell me whether you are from a Hispanic, Latino, or Spanish-speaking background? [IF NO, ASK:] What is your race--white, black, Asian, Alaska Native, or something else? White/Caucasian... 78 82 73 85 Black/African American... 2 4 2 0 Hispanic/Latino... 2 3 2 1 Asian/Pacific Islander... 2 0 2 2 Native American/Alaska Native... 10 11 11 9 (Other)... 5 1 9 3 (Don't know / Refused)... 1 0 1 0