America: Bright or Bleak Future? Dr. Roy Flores Chancellor, Pima Community College May 26, 2009
Overview 1. High quality education is essential if the US is to continue as a strong world economy 2. Particular issue for minorities and immigrants a) Growing population in the US b) Historically, less successful than other ethnic groups 3. Pima County has a large, growing, Hispanic population
US Population and the Workforce
Distribution of the US Population, by Race/Ethnicity: 2008 December 1st 2008 estimates (US Census Bureau)
Distribution of the US Population, by Race/Ethnicity: 2008 December 1st 2008 estimates (US Census Bureau)
Projected US Population Relative to 2000 US Census Bureau, 2004
Cumulative Change in Per Capita Gross Domestic Product Relative to 2001 United Nations Website
Estimated Weekly Earnings in the US Relative to Manufacturing-Related Occupations (percentage) America s Perfect Storm
Immigrants: Proportion in the Workforce Includes all foreign-born workers (legal and undocumented) Bureau of Labor Statistics, US Department of Labor
New Immigrants into US: Educational Attainment (percentage) America s Perfect Storm
New Immigrants into US: English Speaking Proficiency (Age 16 and older, self-reported, 2000-2004) Educational Attainment Only Speaks English Speaks English Very Well Speaks English Well Does Not Speak English Well Does Not Speak English 1 to 12 years, no diploma 6 6 9 32 47 12 years, high school diploma or GED 9 16 19 36 21 13 to 15 years 16 30 24 21 9 Bachelor's degree 14 36 28 17 5 Master's degree or higher 11 48 27 12 3 America s Perfect Storm
Out-of-Wedlock Births by Race/Ethnicity to Women Under 30, 2003-2004 America s Perfect Storm
Education
Prose Literacy Level 1992 National Adult Literacy Survey (NALS) and 2030 Projection Source: Data for 1992 from National Adult Literacy Survey, 1992; data for 2030 projected by the authors. Data are for adults ages 16 to 65.
Prose Literacy Level: Prose, Literacy and Quantitative (1992 and 2030 Projection) Low High Low High Low High America s Perfect Storm
Prose Literacy Level by Race/Ethnicity Low High Low High Low High Low High Low High America s Perfect Storm
US Students Aged 15 Scores on the 2003 Program for International Student Assessments Compared with OECD Average Math Reading Science US Average Score 483 495 491 OECD Average 500 494 500 US-OECD Difference -17 1-9 US Ranking Among 29 Countries 24th 15th 20th OECD: Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development 29 countries in this analysis America s Perfect Storm
High School Completion Rates for Traditional College-Aged Population (Aged 18 to 24), by Race/Ethnicity and Gender (2006) Modified from Minorities in Higher Education, 2008 (American Council on Education)
Student Pipeline (2004) A Feasibility and Demand Study in the State of Arizona, NCHEMS, 2007
College Enrollment Rates Immediately Following High School Completion Community College: Special Supplement to The Condition of Education 2008
Bachelor s s Degree or Higher by Ethnicity (25- to 29-year olds): 1971, 1989 and 2007 The Condition of Education: http://nces.ed.gov/programs/coe/index.asp
Percentage Distribution of Degrees Awarded SOURCE: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), Center for Educational Research and Innovation. Retrieved December 23, 2006, from http://stats.oecd.org/wbos/default.aspx.
Adults with Bachelor Degrees or Higher A Feasibility and Demand Study in the State of Arizona, NCHEMS, 2007
Young Adults in United States with Associate Degrees or Higher Minorities in Higher Education 2008, 23 rd Status Report, American Council on Education
Key Issues for Minority Students 1. Growing population 2. Lower success rates at high school 3. Higher placement into Developmental Education 4. Not succeeding along the education pipeline
Opportunities 1. Create a culture of evidence 2. Share data on Hispanic students with faculty, staff and students 3. Use short-term measures of academic progress to guide improvements 4. Share disaggregated student data between two- and four-year institutions Modeling Hispanic-Serving Institutions: Campus Practices that Work for Latino Students Excelencia in Education (2008)
Opportunities 5. Provide holistic approach to serving Hispanic students 6. Partner with schools, community groups and higher education institutions 7. External sources to develop and test innovative practices 8. Apply lessons learned in improving services for Hispanics to improve services for all students Modeling Hispanic-Serving Institutions: Campus Practices that Work for Latino Students Excelencia in Education (2008)
Specific Successful Strategies at the Associate Level 1. Dual enrollment 2. Bilingual programs - issue in Arizona 3. Financial aid for immigrant students 4. Increasing education opportunities for parents and children by offering aid through a scholarship program 5. Increase transfer rates and persistence by offering integrated services and support 6. Preparing students in Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics so they can successfully transfer Examples of Excelencia!: 2008 Compendium
Discussion