City College of San Francisco Educational Master Plan Data Portfolio - Overview October 1-2, 2018
Fran White Ph.D. Team Leader CBT Team John Spevak Outreach/Listening Sessions Dan Rosenberg Data and Research
DATA
Full-time Equivalent Students (FTES) 19,432 23,619 22,541 33,172 31,426 28,812 29,795 30,418 27,968 30,849 34,504 34,749 34,260 31,891 35,498 37,236 35,540 37,024 35,794 36,566 41,327 40,389 42,126 42,706 40,561 CCSF FTES (Full-time Equivalent Students) 45,000 40,000 CCSF FTES History 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 Maximum FTES: 42,709 in 2008-09 Source: CCSF Office of Institutional Research
CCSF Student Headcount 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 31,129 23,792 CCSF Student Headcount 27,103 16,295 0 Fall 2012 Fall 2013 Fall 2014 Fall 2015 Fall 2016 Fall 2017 Credit Noncredit Credit: Loss of 4,026 students Noncredit: Loss of 7,497 students Source: CCSF Office of Institutional Research
CCSF Total FTES State of California Total FTES FTES by Academic Year vs. State 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 CCSF FTES History versus Statewide FTES 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 400,000 200,000 0 CCSF CA Source: CCSF Office of Institutional Research
Headcount by Race/Ethnicity Fall 2017 Source: CCSF Office of Institutional Research
Years of Age SF Median Age by Race/Ethnicity SF County Median Age by Race and Ethnicity - 2017 50 45 40 38.0 39.5 40.4 42.2 44.9 35 30 28.3 30.1 31.7 33.1 25 20 15 10 5 0 Multiple Races Pacific Islander Some Other Race Hispanic American Indian Total Population White Asian Black Source: ESRI, analysis by CBT
Headcount by Region Fall 2017 Source: CCSF Office of Institutional Research
SF Population by Age San Francisco County Age Profile 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 0-14 15-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 2017 10.2% 20.6% 16.1% 13.3% 12.5% 16.1% 2022 9.5% 20.0% 16.5% 12.8% 12.2% 17.9% Source: ESRI, analysis by CBT
SF Highest Educational Attainment 60% 50% San Francisco Age 25+ by Highest Educational Attainment 2017 55% 40% 33% 30% 20% 18% 12% 13% 21% 21% 14% 10% 5% 8% 0% Less than 12th Grade, No Diploma High School Graduate/ GED/Alt. Credential Some College, No Degree Associate Degree Bachelor's Degree or Higher SF County CA Source: ESRI, analysis by CBT
Enrolled in nursery school, preschool Enrolled in kindergarten Enrolled in grade 1 to grade 4 Enrolled in grade 5 to grade 8 Enrolled in grade 9 to grade 12 Enrolled in college undergraduate years Enrolled in graduate or professional school Enrolled in nursery school, preschool Enrolled in kindergarten Enrolled in grade 1 to grade 4 Enrolled in grade 5 to grade 8 Enrolled in grade 9 to grade 12 Enrolled in college undergraduate years Enrolled in graduate or professional school SF Population by School Enrollment Population 3+ Years of Age by School Enrollment - 2017 SF County California 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Private Public Source: ESRI, analysis by CBT
SURVEY RESULTS
CCSF Surveys, Spring 2018 Survey Respondents Responses Potential students (Penn Schoen Berland) San Franciscans aged 25-55 586 in screener 450 in final sample CCSF credit students Current credit students 210 Faculty / staff CCSF Faculty and Classified Staff 277 Non-credit students Current non-credit students 276
External survey found strong interest in CCSF Cannabis Studies program If CCSF offered a certificate program in growing, packaging, and marketing cannabis products, how likely would you be to take classes in cannabis studies at CCSF? 3% 22% 29% Very Likely 19% 27% Very likely Somewhat likely Not very likely Not at all likely Don't know Source: Penn Schoen Berland survey of San Franciscans aged 25 55
Survey shows high demand for hybrid courses Current credit students How do you prefer to attend classes? Hybrid (online and classroom) 33% In a classroom only 64% Online only 3% Source: CBT survey of CCSF credit students
Student survey shows potential FTES growth and internal churn for online courses Would you take more units at CCSF in Fall 2018 if more courses were available online? Don t know 27% Yes, I would take more units 35% Growth No 28% I would take the same number of units and switch some from inperson to online 10% Churn Source: CBT survey of CCSF credit students
Scheduling improvements would boost FTES 77% of credit students said they had difficulties with their schedule. Most common problems: Many of the classes I wanted to take were offered at the same time and day (53%) The classes I wanted to take were not offered at the times I am available (45%) Classes I wanted to take were not offered on the days I wanted to take them (39%) I ended up with large amounts of time between classes (18%) Source: CBT survey of CCSF credit students Would you take more units at CCSF in Fall 2018 if you could take all of your classes in a block, one right after the other, without overlaps or big gaps of time in between? Don t know 25% No 12% Yes, maybe 34% Yes, definitely 29%
LABOR MARKET ANALYSIS
Overview of the data The Center of Excellence at CCSF provides labor market information (LMI) reports for California. For each job, data fields include County SOC (Standard Occupational Classification) code Job title Typical educational requirements for entry level in each job Number of jobs in 2015 and 2018 Number of openings Median hourly earnings
Overview of the analysis Created two extracts of the California data San Francisco and adjacent counties (San Mateo, Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin) 12-County Bay Area (Sonoma to Santa Cruz) Calculated compound annual growth rates (CAGR) for each job Graphed the jobs accounting for 80% of openings Separately for Associate s Degree and Certificate jobs Separately for SF and adjacent counties, and 12-county Bay Are What the graphs show Size of circles shows number of annual job openings Color shows job family (such as IT, Health) Horizontal axis show annual growth in number of jobs Vertical axis show median hourly wage
Median hourly earnings Local labor market trends for jobs requiring an Associates degree $70 Growth rate, hourly earnings, # of openings, for jobs requiring an Associates degree, San Francisco and adjacent counties, 2015-18 $60 Dental Hygienists Diagnostic Medical Sonographers $50 $30 Respiratory Therapists Paralegals and Legal Assistants Human Resources Assistants, Except Payroll and Timekeeping $20 Radiologic Technologists Computer Network Support Specialists Electrical and Electronics Engineering $40 Technicians Environmental Science and Protection Technicians, Including Architectural and Civil Drafters Health Chemical Technicians Life, Physical, and Social Science Technicians, All Other Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technicians Veterinary Technologists and Technicians Web Developers $10 Preschool Teachers, Except Special 0% 1% Education 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% Compound annual growth rate, number of jobs, 2015-18 Source: Analysis of LMI data from Center of Excellence. San Francisco, San Mateo, Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin Counties
Median hourly earnings Local labor market trends for jobs requiring a Certificate Growth rate, hourly earnings, # of openings, for jobs requiring a post-secondary certificate, San Francisco and adjacent counties, 2015-18 $50 Firefighters $45 $40 $35 $30 $25 Telecommunications Equipment Installers and Repairers, Except Line Installers Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics Aircraft Mechanics and Service Technicians Medical Records and Health Information Technicians Library Technicians Medical Assistants Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers $20 $15 Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers Dental Assistants Massage Therapists Manicurists and Pedicurists Nursing Assistants $10 Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and 0% 1% 2% Cosmetologists3% 4% 5% 6% 7% Compound annual growth rate, number of jobs, 2015-18 Source: Analysis of LMI data from Center of Excellence. San Francisco, San Mateo, Alameda, Contra Costa, Marin Counties
Questions/Discussion