1 Euromoney Country Risk Q2 218 RESULTS
2 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Introduction (Scoring) 2. Q/Q update 3. Y/Y update 4. Contacts
3 SCORING Euromoney Country Risk is a platform designed to capture and aggregate the views of country risk experts. It comprises real-time country risk scores for over 18 markets in 15 categories that relate to economic, structural and political risk There are over 4 experts (primarily economists) who are surveyed quarterly Historical data sets are available: Annual data back to 1993 and quarterly data back to 211 Our subscriber base is primarily corporate treasurers, but also includes SWFs, asset managers, banks (FX, Risk, Sovereign debt issuance)
GLOBAL MOVEMENTS: Q1 - Q2 218 4 Region Score Rank Up Down Up Down Africa 8 8 9 5 Americas 11 8 5 3 Asia 16 5 7 2 Australasia 1 3 1 1 Caribbean 5 2 3 3 Central & Eastern Europe 13 8 2 4 Middle East 3 5 3 Western Europe 1 5 2 Total 67 44 29 21
GLOBAL MOVEMENTS TOP/BOTTOM 5 5 Country 218 Q2 Score Q/Q Change Luxembourg 85.45.73 Cyprus 59.72.27 Top 5 Dem. Republic of Congo 31.82.26 Vietnam 41.76.21 Columbia 57.71.21 Malaysia 59.4 -.14 Bottom 5 Maldives 22.75 -.23 Oman 55.79 -.23 New Zealand 81.23 -.25 Sudan 23.9 -.25
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218 Q2 SCORE Q/Q CHANGE Q1-Q2 218 - AFRICA 7 Top 5 - Africa Bottom 5 - Africa 6.26.26.3 5.2 4.6.5.5.1 3 -.7 -.11 -.1 2 1 -.25 -.31 -.33 -.2 -.3 Dem. Rep. Of the Congo Egypt South Africa Zimbabwe Ghana Tunisia Senegal Sudan Gabon Ethiopia 218 Q2 Score Score Q/Q -.4
218 Q2 SCORE Q/Q CHANGE Q1-Q2 218 - AMERICAS 8 9 Top 5 - Americas Bottom 5 - Americas 1.2 8 7 6 1.3 1.8.6 5 4.33.21.21.17.4.2 3 2 -.8 -.11 -.12 -.2 1 -.34 -.42 -.4 Honduras Costa Rica Colombia Panama Ecuador United States Nicaragua Guyana Mexico Canada -.6 218 Q2 Score Score Q/Q
218 Q2 SCORE Q/Q CHANGE Q1-Q2 218 - ASIA 9 7 Top 5 - Asia Bottom 5 - Asia.6.51 6.4 5.31.27.24.21.2 4 3 -.9 -.13 -.14 -.23 -.2 2 -.4 1 Philippines Uzbekistan Mauritius Indonesia Vietnam China Sri Lanka Malaysia Maldives Laos 218 Q2 Score Score Q/Q -.69 -.6 -.8
218 Q2 SCORE Q/Q CHANGE Q1-Q2 218 - AUSTRALASIA 1 9 Top 5 - Australasia Bottom 5 - Australasia.1 8.2 7 -.7 -.1 6 -.2 5 4 -.25 -.3 3 -.4 2 -.5 1 -.58 -.6 Australia Marshall Islands Micronesia (Fed. States) New Caledonia Samoa Tonga Vanuatu Fiji New Zealand 218 Q2 Score Score Q/Q Papua New Guinea -.7
218 Q2 SCORE Q/Q CHANGE Q1-Q2 218 - CARIBBEAN 11 6 Top 5 - Caribbean Bottom 5 - Caribbean.5.4.4.4 5.3 4.12.12.8.2.1 3 -.5 -.1 2 -.2 -.3 1 -.4 -.5 -.5 St Vincent & Grenadines Grenada St Lucia Bermuda Trinidad & Tobago Haiti Bahamas Jamaica Cuba Barbados -.6 218 Q2 Score Score Q/Q
218 Q2 SCORE Q/Q CHANGE Q1-Q2 218 - CEE 12 8 7.46 Top 5 - CEE Bottom 5 - CEE.5.4 6.27.3 5.2 4 3 2 1.1.7.6 -.2 -.2 -.6 -.13 -.24.1 -.1 -.2 -.3 218 Q2 Score Score Q/Q
218 Q2 SCORE Q/Q CHANGE Q1-Q2 218 MIDDLE EAST 13 8 7 6.3.3 Top 5 - Middle East.2 -.1 -.1 Bottom 5 Middle East -.2.5 5 -.5 4 -.1 3 2 -.17 -.15 1 -.23 -.2 Kuwait Saudi Arabia Israel Iran Iraq Bahrain Qatar Jordan Lebanon Oman -.25 218 Q2 Score Score Q/Q
218 Q2 SCORE Q/Q CHANGE Q1-Q2 218 WESTERN EUROPE 14 1 9.73 Top 5 - Western Europe Bottom 5 Western Europe.8.7 8.6 7.5 6 5.36.4.3 4 3 2 1.17.15.6 -.1 -.3 -.6 -.6 -.9.2.1 -.1 Luxembourg Greece Spain France Norway Austria Switzerland Sweden Italy Germany -.2 218 Q2 Score Score Q/Q
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GLOBAL MOVEMENTS: Q2 218-217 14 Region Score Rank Up Down Up Down Africa 32 18 19 28 Americas 15 7 1 11 Asia 21 11 12 14 Australasia 7 4 5 5 Caribbean 8 5 2 11 Central & Eastern Europe 22 3 17 7 Middle East 5 8 4 7 Western Europe 16 2 1 3 Total 126 58 79 86
GLOBAL MOVEMENTS TOP/BOTTOM 5 15 Country 218 Q2 Score Y/Y Change Slovenia 67.95 5.6 Egypt 37.64 4.96 Top 5 Belarus 3.22 4.8 Ghana 42.36 4.79 Angola 36.8 4.68 Panama 67.4-2.63 Bottom 5 Qatar 51.9-2.83 Macau 67.67-4. Bermuda 52.87-4.19 Brunei 47.1-7.36
218 Q2 SCORE Y/Y CHANGE Q2 217-Q2 218 AFRICA 18 6 Top 5 - Africa Bottom 5 Africa 6 5 4.96 4.79 4.68 4.48 3.89 5 4 4 3 3 2 1 2 1 Egypt Ghana Angola Côte d Ivoire -1.3-1.42-1.68-1.95-2.5 Nigeria Sierra Leone Swaziland Algeria Gabon South Africa -1-2 -3 218 Q2 Score Score Y/Y
218 Q2 Score Y/Y change Q2 217-Q2 218 AMERICAS 19 Top 5 - Americas Bottom 5 Americas 9 8 7 6 3.67 3.54 3.3 3.3 2.8 4 3 2 5 1 4 3 2 -.13 -.42 -.6 -.66-1 1 Suriname Bolivia Belize Argentina Chile Colombia Peru Guyana United States 218 Q2 Score Score Y/Y -2.63 Panama -2-3
218 Q2 Score Y/Y change Q2 217-Q2 218 ASIA 2 8 Top 5 - Asia Bottom 5 Asia 2 7 1.28 1.22 1.1 1.6.92 1 6-1 5 4-1.88-2.28-2.5-2 -3 3 2 1-4 -7.36 Pakistan China Bhutan Afghanistan Sri Lanka Taiwan Philippines Korea South Macau Brunei 218 Q2 Score Score Y/Y -4-5 -6-7 -8
218 Q2 Score Y/Y change Q2 217-Q2 218 AUSTRALASIA 21 9 Top 5 - Australasia Bottom 5 Australasia 2.5 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 2.15 1.99 1.81 1.49 1.31.29 -.1 -.27 -.39 2 1.5 1.5 -.5 1 Marshall Islands Papua New Guinea Tonga Australia Micronesia (Fed. States) Fiji Samoa Solomon Islands Vanuatu -1.25 New Zealand -1-1.5 218 Q2 Score Score Y/Y
218 Q2 Score Y/Y change Q2 217-Q2 218 CARIBBEAN 22 6 Top 5 - Caribbean Bottom 5 Caribbean 2 5 1.25.75.68.65.6 1 4 3 2 -.14 -.28 -.58-2.38-1 -2-3 1-4.19-4 Antigua & Barbuda Jamaica Grenada St Lucia Dominica Barbados Bahamas Cuba Trinidad & Tobago Bermuda -5 218 Q2 Score Score Y/Y
Y/Y change 218 Q2 Score Q2 217-Q2 218 CEE 23 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 5.6 Top 5 - CEE 4.8 4.51 3.82 3.56.18 Bottom 5 CEE.13 -.27-1.8 6 5 4 3 2 1-1 1-2.17-2 -3 218 Q2 Score Score Y/Y
218 Q2 Score Y/Y change Q2 217-Q2 218 MIDDLE EAST 24 Top 5 - Middle East Bottom 5 Middle East 8 6 7 6 5 4.66 4.25 2.94 2.27 5 4 3 2 4 1 3.1 2 1-1.3-1.58-2.49-2.61-2.83-1 -2-3 Yemen Lebanon Iraq Jordan Syria Oman Iran Bahrain United Arab Emirates Qatar -4 218 Q2 Score Score Y/Y
218 Q2 Score Y/Y change Q2 217-Q2 218 WESTERN EUROPE 25 1 9 4.25 Top 5 - Western Europe 4.18 Bottom 5 Western Europe 4.5 4 8 3.64 3.5 7 3 6 5 2.32 2.14 2.5 2 4 1.5 3 1 2.5 1.8.3 -.11 -.24 Greece Portugal Italy Spain Sweden Germany Switzerland Iceland Norway Belgium -.5 218 Q2 Score Score Y/Y
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CONTACTS 27 Amelia Lowe Programme Manager Euromoney Country Risk Tel: 27 779 7311 amelia.lowe@euromoney.com Alex Vaughan-Fowler Associate Publisher Euromoney Data Tel: 27 779 7298 alex.vaughanfowler@euromoneyplc.com