THE WMUR GRANITE STATE POLL October 20, 2016 NH GUBERNATORIAL RACE CLOSE, MOST VOTERS HAVE NOT DEFINITELY DECIDED ON VOTE By: Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D. Zachary S. Azem, M.A. UNH Survey Center 603/862 2226 www.unh.edu/survey center DURHAM, NH Executive Councilors Chris Sununu and Colin Van Ostern are statistically tied in the New Hampshire Gubernatorial election. Only one third of voters say they have definitely decided whom they will vote for. These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Nine hundred and seven (907) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed by landline and cellular telephone between October 11 and October 17, 2016. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/ 3.3 percent. Included were seven hundred and seventy (770) likely 2016 general election voters (MSE = +/ 3.). NH Gubernatorial Election With less than three weeks remaining until the election, only one third (3) of New Hampshire likely voters say they have definitely decided whom they will vote for in the gubernatorial election, 1 are leaning toward someone, and 5 are still trying to decide. If the election was held today, 4 of New Hampshire likely voters would vote for Van Ostern, 3 would vote for Sununu, would vote for someone else, and 2 are undecided. When undecided voters are asked which way they are leaning, the percentages become 4 for Van Ostern, 3 for Sununu, for someone else, and 1 remain undecided. Sununu and Van Ostern are both receiving the support of 7 of voters within their own party, while Sununu holds a slight edge among s (3 3). Governor Van Ostern vs. Sununu Includes Undecided But Leaning Voters 10 8 7 7 6 4 4 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 Van Ostern Sununu Other Undecided NH Likely Voters (Oct '16) We ask that this copyrighted information be referred to as the Granite State Poll, sponsored by WMUR TV, and conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.
Favorability Ratings NH Gubernatorial Candidates The race for Governor is still up for grabs largely because neither candidate is well known to New Hampshire voters. Executive Councilor Chris Sununu is the best known candidate for Governor, but is not very popular in the state. Currently 3 of New Hampshire likely voters have a favorable opinion of Sununu, 3 have an unfavorable opinion, are neutral, and 2 don t know enough about him to have an opinion. Sununu s net favorability (the percentage having a favorable opinion minus the percentage having an unfavorable opinion) is, down from +1 in August. Sununu is very popular among s (+4) and very unpopular among s ( 4) while s are divided (). 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 1 Favorability Ratings Chris Sununu 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 May '15 July '15 Oct '15 Feb '16 Apr '16 July '16 LVs Aug. '16 LVs Oct '16 LVs Favorable Unfavorable Executive Councilor Colin Van Ostern remains less known than Sununu but is more popular currently 3 of New Hampshire likely voters have a favorable opinion of Van Ostern, 1 have an unfavorable opinion, are neutral, and nearly half (4) don t know enough about him to have an opinion. Van Ostern s net favorability is +, up from + in August. Van Ostern is very popular among s (+5), somewhat popular among s (+1), and somewhat unpopular among s ( 1). 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 1 Favorability Ratings Colin Van Ostern 3 1 1 1 1 May '15 July '15 Oct '15 Feb '16 Apr '16 July '16 LVs Aug. '16 LVs Oct '16 LVs Favorable Unfavorable Only of likely voters have a favorable opinion of State Representative and Libertarian candidate Max Abramson, have an unfavorable opinion, are neutral, and 8 don t know enough about them to say. Abramson s net favorability is. Max Abramson 8 1 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Favorable Neutral Unfavorable DK
Most Important Problem Facing New Hampshire Granite Staters remain very concerned with the drug crisis facing the state currently, 4 of New Hampshire adults cite drug abuse as the most important problem facing the state, followed by jobs and the economy (1), education (), health care (), taxes (), and the state budget (). 5 Most Important Problem Facing NH 4 1 Education Funding Jobs, Economy Taxes Health Care Quality Education State Budget Drug Abuse Gubernatorial Approval Outgoing ic Governor Maggie Hassan, who is running for U.S. Senate, remains relatively popular as she prepares to leave the corner office. In the latest Granite State Poll, 4 of New Hampshire adults say they approve of the job Hassan is doing as governor, 3 disapprove, and 1 are neutral or don t know enough to say. s (7 approve, 1 disapprove) highly approve of Hassan s job performance, while s are divided (3 approve, 3 disapprove) and s disapprove (2 approve, 5 disapprove). 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 1 3 Feb. '13 5 1 Apr. '13 Job Approval Ratings NH Governor Maggie Hassan 5 5 5 5 6 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 July '13 Oct. '13 Jan. '14 Apr. '14 July '14 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 Oct. '14 Feb. '15 May '15 July '15 Oct '15 Feb '16 3 3 3 Apr '16 July '16 Oct. '16 Approve Disapprove
Approval of New Hampshire Legislature New Hampshire residents are divided on how the state legislature is performing its job. Currently, 4 of New Hampshire adults approve of how the state legislature is doing its job, 3 disapprove, and 2 are neutral or don t know enough to say. Half of s (5) and s (4) approve of the state legislature, while only 3 of s approve. 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 1 4 4 4 3 Feb. '12 Apr. '12 Approval Rating NH Legislature 5 5 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 3 2 3 3 3 2 Aug. '12 Oct. 4 '12 Oct. 15 '12 Feb. '13 Apr. '13 July '13 Oct. '13 Jan. '14 Approve Apr. '14 July '14 Oct. '14 Feb. '15 Disapprove May '15 4 4 July '15 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 Oct '15 Feb '16 Apr '16 July '16 3 Oct '16 Right Direction or Wrong Track? New Hampshire residents believe the state, as a whole, is headed in the right direction. Currently, 6 of New Hampshire adults feel the state is heading in the right direction, 2 think the state is seriously off on the wrong track, and are unsure. Majorities of s (7) and s (5) and half of s (5) say the state is headed in the right direction. 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 1 NH Heading in Right Direction or On Wrong Track? Right Direction Wrong Track
New Hampshire House of Representatives Likely 2016 New Hampshire voters were asked which party s candidate they planned on supporting in the upcoming election for state representatives. Voters are currently divided on which party to support, with 3 supporting candidates, 4 supporting ic candidates, supporting another party or a mix of s and s, and 1 undecided. When undecided voters were asked which way they were leaning, the percentages become 4 for ic candidates, 3 for candidates, for another party or a mix of s and s, and 1 are still undecided. 5 New Hampshire House of Representatives Generic Ballot With Leaners 4 4 3 1 1 Other/Mix Undecided Likely 2016 New Hampshire voters are also evenly divided on which party to support for the State Senate, with 3 supporting candidates, 4 supporting ic candidates, supporting another party, and 1 undecided. When undecided voters were asked which way they were leaning, the percentages become 4 for ic candidates, 3 for candidates, for another party, and 1 are still undecided. 5 New Hampshire Senate Generic Ballot With Leaners 4 4 3 1 1 Other Undecided
Currently 4 of likely 2016 New Hampshire voters would support the ic candidate for Executive Council, 3 would support the candidate, and 2 are undecided. Broken down by district, s currently have the advantage in three districts, while s have the advantage in two. 10 9 8 7 New Hampshire Executive Council Generic Ballot 6 5 4 1 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 District 1 District 2 District 3 District 4 District 5 Other/Undecided
Granite State Poll Methodology These findings are based on the latest WMUR Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center and funded by WMUR TV, Manchester, NH. Nine hundred and seven (907) randomly selected New Hampshire adults were interviewed in English by landline and cellular telephone between October 11 and October 17, 2016. If a household included more than one adult, the adult who had the most recent birthday was selected to be interviewed. The margin of sampling error is +/ 3.3 percent for the entire sample. Included were seven hundred seventy (770) likely 2016 general election voters (MSE +/ 3.). These MSE s have not been adjusted for design effect. The design effect for the survey is 1.. The random sample used in the WMUR Granite State Poll was purchased from Marketing Systems Group (MSG), Horsham, PA. MSG screens each selected telephone number to eliminate non working numbers, disconnected numbers, and business numbers to improve the efficiency of the sample, reducing the amount of time interviewers spend calling non usable numbers. The data have been weighted to adjust for numbers of adults and telephone lines within households. Additionally, data were weighted by respondent sex, age, and region of the state to targets from the most recent American Community Survey (ACS) conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau. In addition to potential sampling error, all surveys have other potential sources of nonsampling error including question order effects, question wording effects, and non response. Due to rounding, percentages may not sum to 10. The number of respondents in each demographic below may not equal the number reported in crosstabulation tables as some respondents choose not to answer some questions. For more information about the methodology used in the WMUR Granite State Poll, contact Dr. Andrew Smith at (603) 862 2226 or by email at andrew.smith@unh.edu. Granite State Poll, October 2016 Demographics Sex N % Region N % 444 4 North Country 79 463 5 142 1 Connecticut Valley 128 1 Age N % Mass Border 247 2 18 to 34 226 2 166 1 35 to 49 228 2 Manchester Area 145 1 50 to 64 242 2 65 and Over 151 1 Party Registration N % 226 2 Highest Level of Education N % Undeclared/Not Reg. 470 5 High School or Less 137 1 202 2 Some College 212 2 College Graduate 347 4 Party Identification N % Post Graduate 183 2 395 4 165 1 310 3
Granite State Poll, October 2016 Likely Voter Demographics Sex N % Region N % 379 4 North Country 73 391 5 122 1 Connecticut Valley 113 1 Age N % Mass Border 204 2 18 to 34 161 2 137 1 35 to 49 195 2 Manchester Area 122 1 50 to 64 218 65 and Over 143 Party Registration N % 209 2 Highest Level of Education N % Undeclared/Not Reg. 365 4 High School or Less 117 1 190 2 Some College 169 2 College Graduate 294 3 Party Identification N % Post Graduate 166 2 354 4 108 1 282 3
Gubernatorial Approval GENERALLY SPEAKING, do you approve or disapprove of the way Governor Hassan is handling her job as governor? Approve Neutral/DK Disapprove (N=) Oct 16 4 1 3 (885) July 16 4 1 3 (514) Apr 16 5 1 3 (606) Feb 16 5 1 (663) Oct 15 5 1 (575) July 15 5 1 (522) May 15 5 1 2 (561) Feb. 15 5 2 (488) Oct. 14 5 1 2 (656) July 14 6 1 2 (647) Apr. 14 5 2 (492) Jan. 14 5 2 2 (560) Oct. 13 5 1 (649) July 13 5 2 1 (497) Apr. 13 5 3 1 (500) Feb. 13 3 5 (569) Favorability Ratings NH Gubernatorial Candidates Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of some candidates running for governor. Just like before as I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person or if you don t know enough about them to say." Executive Councilor Chris Sununu. Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know NET (N=) Oct 16 LVs 3 3 2 (767) Aug 16 LVs 3 1 2 3 +1 (431) July 16 LVs 2 1 2 3 + (467) Apr 16 2 1 1 4 + (618) Feb 16 2 1 1 4 + (684) Oct 15 2 1 2 4 + (581) July 15 2 1 5 +1 (530) May 15 2 1 5 + (567) Executive Councilor Colin Van Ostern. Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know NET (N=) Oct 16 LVs 3 1 4 + (767) Aug 16 LVs 1 7 + (431) July 16 LVs 1 7 + (465) Apr 16 1 7 + (619) Feb 16 1 7 + (685) Oct 15 1 7 + (582) July 15 8 + (530) May 15 8 + (567) State Representative Max Abramson. Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know NET (N=) Oct 16 LVs 8 (767)
NH Legislature Approval And generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the way the New Hampshire legislature is handling its job? Approve Neutral/DK Disapprove (N=) Oct 16 4 2 3 (859) July 16 4 1 3 (509) Apr 16 4 2 3 (595) Feb 16 4 2 3 (661) Oct 15 4 1 3 (567) July 15 4 1 4 (517) May. 15 4 2 3 (561) Feb. 15 5 1 3 (501) Oct. 14 4 2 3 (656) July 14 5 2 (646) Apr. 14 5 1 3 (495) Jan. 14 4 2 2 (556) Oct. 13 5 2 2 (649) July 13 5 2 (504) Apr. 13 4 2 (498) Feb. 13 4 2 (571) Oct. 15 12 4 1 4 (584) Oct. 4 12 4 2 3 (634) Aug. 12 4 1 3 (566) Apr. 12 4 1 4 (533) Feb. 12 4 3 (522) NH Gubernatorial Election If the 2016 Gubernatorial election was being held today, would you vote for Chris Sununu, the Colin Van Ostern, the some other candidate. or would you skip this election? ROTATE CANDIDATES Oct 16 Sununu 3 Van Ostern 4 Other Undecided 2 (N=) (676) NH Gubernatorial Election With Leaners Would you say you are leaning towards Chris Sununu, the or Colin Van Ostern, the? ROTATE CANDIDATES Oct 16 Sununu 3 Van Ostern 4 Other Undecided 1 (N=) (673)
Most Important Problem Facing New Hampshire Let s turn to the State of New Hampshire There are many problems facing the STATE OF NEW HAMPSHIRE today. In general, what do you think is the most IMPORTANT problem facing the STATE OF NEW HAMPSHIRE today? Jobs / Economy Educ. Funding Taxes Health Care Qual. Educ. State Budget Drugs Other/ DK (N=) Oct 16 1 4 2 (868) July 16 2 4 1 (509) Apr 16 1 4 2 (591) Feb 16 1 4 2 (659) Oct 15 2 2 3 (563) July 15 2 1 3 (509) May 15 2 1 3 (540) Feb. 15 2 3 (467) Oct. 14 3 3 (644) July 14 1 3 (614) Apr. 14 2 4 (464) Jan. 14 3 (545) Oct. 13 2 3 (599) July 13 3 3 (458) Apr. 13 * 4 (485) Feb. 13 3 (564) Oct. 12 3 * 2 (575) Aug. 12 4 * 2 (541) Apr. 12 3 3 (518) Feb. 12 3 2 (509) Oct. 11 4 2 (548) July 11 3 1 2 (512) Apr. 11 3 2 2 (494) Feb. 11 4 1 1 (508) Sept. 10 4 1 2 (504) July 10 4 2 1 (498) Apr. 10 3 2 1 (504) Feb. 10 4 1 1 (486) Oct. 09 3 1 1 (494) July 09 3 1 2 3 (551) Apr. 09 4 1 1 * 2 (491) Feb. 09 4 1 1 (607) Sep. 08 1 1 * (531) July 08 2 1 1 2 (504) Apr. 08 2 1 1 2 (496) Feb. 08 2 1 1 1 * 2 (542) Sept. 07 1 2 1 2 (499) July 07 2 1 1 * 2 (488) Apr. 07 1 2 1 1 (501) Feb. 07 1 2 1 2 (527) Sept. 06 1 2 1 2 (499) July 06 1 1 1 3 (490) Apr. 06 1 1 1 1 (501) Feb. 06 1 1 1 2 (498) Oct. 05 1 1 1 (503) July 05 1 2 1 * 2 (496) Apr. 05 1 3 1 1 (487) Feb. 05 1 2 1 * 2 (541) July 04 1 3 1 2 (504) Apr. 04 1 2 (536) Feb. 04 2 1 1 2 (502) Oct. 03 1 2 1 1 * 2 (490) June 03 1 2 1 2 (513) Apr. 03 1 2 1 * 2 (497) Feb. 03 1 2 1 1 * 2 (644) June 02 1 3 1 1 1 (424) Apr. 02 1 3 2 2 (684) Feb. 02 1 2 1 2 1 (312) Oct. 01 1 4 1 * 2 (519)
NH Right Direction or Wrong Track Do you think things in New Hampshire are generally going in the right direction or are they seriously off on the wrong track? Right Direction Wrong Track Don t Know (N=) Oct 16 6 2 (890) July 16 6 2 (517) Apr 16 6 2 1 (593) Feb 16 5 2 1 (669) Oct 15 6 2 1 (581) July 15 5 3 1 (522) May 15 5 3 1 (562) Feb. 15 6 2 (501) Oct. 14 6 2 (666) July 14 6 2 (656) Apr. 14 6 (505) Jan. 14 6 2 (570) Oct. 13 7 1 1 (646) July 13 6 2 1 (509) Apr. 13 6 2 1 (497) Feb. 13 6 2 1 (573) Oct. 15 12 5 3 1 (576) Oct. 4 12 5 3 (622) Aug. 12 5 3 (577) Apr. 12 6 3 (532) Feb. 12 5 1 (517) Oct. 11 6 2 1 (544) July 11 6 3 (503) Apr. 11 5 3 (491) Feb. 11 6 2 1 (517) Sept. '10 6 2 1 (511) July 10 6 3 (496) Apr. 10 5 3 (503) Feb. 10 6 3 (490) Oct. 09 5 1 (496) July 09 5 3 (557) Apr. 09 6 2 (497) Feb. 09 6 2 1 (605) Sept. 08 7 1 1 (535) July '08 7 2 (514) Apr. 08 6 2 (491) Feb. 08 6 1 (547) Sept. 07 7 1 1 (507) July 07 7 1 (500) Apr. 07 7 1 (506) Feb. 07 7 1 (524) Sept. 06 7 1 (509) July 06 8 1 (497) Apr. 06 7 1 1 (501) Feb. 06 7 1 1 (495) Oct. 05 7 1 (502) July 05 7 1 (494) May 05 7 1 1 (488) Feb. 05 7 1 1 (535) July 04 5 3 (503) Apr. 04 6 2 (530) Feb. 04 6 2 1 (500) Oct. 03 6 2 (485) Jun. 03 6 2 (510)
Generic NH House Ballot "Please think about the November election for your representative to the New Hampshire House of Representatives. Do you plan to vote for the or ic candidate for the New Hampshire House of Representatives... or do you plan to skip the election for New Hampshire House of Representatives this time?" ROTATE PARTIES Oct. 16 3 4 Other Some DEM, Some GOP DK/Undecided 1 (N=) (709) With Leaners Are you leaning toward voting for the candidate to the New Hampshire House or for the ic candidate?" ROTATE PARTIES Oct. 16 3 4 Other Some DEM, Some GOP DK/Undecided 1 (N=) (709) Generic NH Senate Ballot "Please think about the November election for your representative to the New Hampshire Senate. Do you plan to vote for the or ic candidate for the New Hampshire Senate... or do you plan to skip the election for New Hampshire Senate this time?" ROTATE PARTIES Oct. 16 3 4 Other DK/Undecided 1 (N=) (716) With Leaners Are you leaning toward voting for the candidate to the New Hampshire Senate or for the ic candidate?" ROTATE PARTIES Oct. 16 3 4 Other DK/Undecided 1 (N=) (715)
Generic NH Executive Council Ballot And in the election for the Executive Council, do you plan to vote for the ic or candidate for the New Hampshire Executive Council... or do you plan to skip the election for Executive Council this time?" ROTATE PARTIES Oct. 16 3 4 Other DK/Undecided 2 (N=) (688)
Drugs Jobs/ Economy Education Taxes Healthcare Statebudget Other DK/NotSure NHLikelyVoters 1 1 4 Registered LikelyVoter Non-LikelyVoter Maried Divorced/Separated maried Lessthan$30,000 $30,000to$59,999 $60,000to$74,999 $75,000to$99,999 $100,000ormore 1 1 1 2 1 1 4 4 4 1 1 1 2 1 1 4 4 4 1 1 1 2 1 1 4 4 4 2 1 1 1 3 4 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 4 4 4 5 1 1 4 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 4 4 4 1 2 4 1 2 3 1 2 4 1 1 4 1 1 4 1 2 3 1 1 1 1 1 2 4 4 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 4 4 5 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 4 4 5 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 4 3 4 1 1 1 4 4 868 196 448 217 297 158 377 206 351 235 130 738 149 232 219 210 440 428 177 332 200 132 159 100 265 447 268 83 192 165 487 351 240 95 139 212 97 75 98 65 158 76 234 141 125 134 432 436 MostImportantProblem innew Hampshire
Approve Neutral Disapprove NHResidents 3 1 4 Registered LikelyVoter Non-LikelyVoter Maried Divorced/Separated maried Lessthan$30,000 $30,000to$59,999 $60,000to$74,999 $75,000to$99,999 $100,000ormore 5 3 1 2 2 4 8 5 3 1 3 1 2 3 7 6 1 1 2 1 4 7 3 3 3 1 2 5 3 3 3 3 1 1 2 2 5 5 4 4 3 1 1 5 4 2 3 4 3 1 1 1 2 6 4 4 4 4 1 4 2 1 6 1 5 3 1 5 2 1 6 6 1 3 3 2 1 1 4 5 5 2 3 3 4 1 1 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 5 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 1 1 1 2 1 4 4 4 4 5 5 3 3 1 1 5 4 885 196 458 222 305 160 384 210 366 231 134 751 145 242 223 216 446 439 178 342 204 135 158 98 269 457 268 87 195 168 498 362 248 96 136 220 100 77 100 58 158 77 244 145 126 136 446 439 JobApproval-GovernorMaggieHassan
Approve Neutral Disapprove NHResidents 3 2 4 Registered LikelyVoter Non-LikelyVoter Maried Divorced/Separated maried Lessthan$30,000 $30,000to$59,999 $60,000to$74,999 $75,000to$99,999 $100,000ormore 2 3 2 2 1 4 4 5 3 3 2 3 1 4 3 5 3 3 2 2 2 4 4 5 2 3 3 2 4 4 2 3 3 1 2 1 2 3 5 4 4 5 2 3 2 2 4 4 3 2 2 1 2 2 4 4 4 4 3 1 4 4 1 5 3 1 4 3 1 4 3 2 4 2 2 4 2 3 3 3 2 4 4 4 2 3 3 2 2 2 1 4 4 3 5 3 3 2 2 3 2 2 1 1 2 4 4 5 5 4 2 3 2 1 3 3 2 2 2 1 2 4 4 5 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 4 4 859 194 455 219 301 157 381 210 358 231 129 746 145 239 225 212 440 436 176 337 202 136 157 99 271 450 269 88 192 168 493 355 246 98 134 217 99 78 100 55 158 78 239 141 125 134 446 429 JobApproval-NHLegislature
RightDirection WrongTrack Don'tKnow NHLikelyVoters 2 6 Registered LikelyVoter Non-LikelyVoter Maried Divorced/Separated maried Lessthan$30,000 $30,000to$59,999 $60,000to$74,999 $75,000to$99,999 $100,000ormore 1 3 2 1 5 6 7 4 3 1 5 5 7 4 2 1 4 6 7 1 3 2 5 6 1 1 2 3 3 6 6 6 6 2 2 6 6 1 1 2 3 7 6 6 5 3 6 2 6 2 6 2 6 2 7 4 4 1 2 3 2 6 6 6 1 2 2 2 3 6 6 6 5 1 2 2 2 3 7 6 6 6 5 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 6 6 6 7 5 6 2 2 6 6 890 197 467 218 305 165 384 208 366 238 135 755 146 238 224 224 452 437 175 343 209 134 157 98 269 456 268 86 202 166 497 367 248 93 137 218 100 79 99 64 161 76 243 143 125 141 448 441 NHGoinginRightDirectionOrO fonwrongtrack?
DefinitelyDecided LeaningTowardSomeone StilTryingtoDecide NHLikelyVoters 5 1 3 Registered WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency Maried Divorced/Separated maried Lessthan$30,000 $30,000to$59,999 $60,000to$74,999 $75,000to$99,999 $100,000ormore 4 6 4 1 1 1 3 2 4 5 7 4 1 1 3 3 5 6 4 1 1 1 3 2 4 6 5 1 1 3 3 4 6 7 1 1 1 5 3 2 5 5 1 1 3 3 3 5 6 6 1 1 1 1 4 3 2 2 5 1 2 5 3 5 1 3 5 1 3 4 1 3 4 1 4 6 5 5 1 1 1 2 2 3 5 5 5 4 1 1 1 3 3 4 5 4 5 5 6 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 2 1 5 6 5 4 5 5 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 1 1 3 3 744 184 351 205 270 105 344 186 291 211 56 687 139 214 189 152 377 366 164 283 162 112 143 91 239 385 243 81 140 141 442 288 210 83 125 196 82 68 85 51 133 71 192 120 110 118 374 370 DecidedonVoteForNHGovernor
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don'tKnow NHLikelyVoters 2 3 3 Registered WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency Maried Divorced/Separated maried 1stECDistrict 2ndECDistrict 3rdECDistrict 4thECDistrict 5thECDistrict 1 2 2 1 3 6 6 2 1 2 2 2 1 3 5 1 5 3 1 2 2 1 3 6 5 1 4 2 2 3 2 3 1 1 2 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 2 3 1 2 3 2 4 3 3 2 3 1 3 4 1 5 1 4 3 1 3 3 2 4 2 1 5 3 2 2 3 3 3 1 2 3 2 2 2 1 4 3 3 2 2 3 3 4 2 1 2 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 4 3 3 2 3 2 3 3 2 3 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 3 1 2 3 3 3 3 767 190 364 208 279 108 354 190 299 216 57 710 142 217 195 161 387 379 166 294 168 115 145 92 245 395 244 83 151 142 452 217 301 85 126 137 72 202 122 112 122 391 375 157 140 138 173 159 FavorabilityRatings-ChrisSununu
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don'tKnow NHLikelyVoters 4 1 3 Registered WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency Maried Divorced/Separated maried 1stECDistrict 2ndECDistrict 3rdECDistrict 4thECDistrict 5thECDistrict 5 5 2 1 1 2 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 2 5 5 5 3 2 3 5 5 4 1 1 2 3 3 4 4 5 1 1 1 1 4 3 3 2 4 4 1 3 2 4 5 6 1 1 1 5 3 2 1 4 1 3 4 4 3 1 4 3 1 3 3 4 5 3 6 4 4 1 1 1 2 3 3 4 5 4 4 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 2 4 3 4 4 5 4 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 5 4 1 1 3 3 4 4 5 4 4 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 3 767 190 364 208 280 107 353 190 298 216 56 711 141 217 195 161 389 378 166 293 169 115 144 91 244 396 244 83 151 142 452 302 217 84 126 137 72 204 122 111 122 392 376 158 140 139 172 158 FavorabilityRatings-ColinVanOstern
Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don'tKnow NHLikelyVoters 8 Registered WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency Maried Divorced/Separated maried Lessthan$30,000 $30,000to$59,999 $60,000to$74,999 $75,000to$99,999 $100,000ormore 8 8 8 8 7 8 1 8 8 8 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 7 7 1 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 8 8 8 8 1 8 8 767 190 365 207 280 108 353 190 299 216 57 710 142 217 195 161 388 379 166 294 169 115 145 92 245 396 244 83 151 142 453 302 217 85 126 198 86 68 87 53 137 72 203 122 112 122 392 376 FavorabilityRatings-MaxAbramson
Sununu VanOstern Other Undecided NHLikelyVoters 2 4 3 Registered DefinitelyDecided LeaningTowardsSomeone StilTryingToDecide WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency TrumpVoter ClintonVoter JohnsonVoter SteinVoter Other/Undecided 1 2 1 3 8 7 3 1 3 1 2 7 7 2 1 2 1 4 7 7 3 3 2 5 5 3 4 3 2 2 3 4 3 3 3 2 3 1 1 1 1 7 1 7 4 4 7 1 1 2 2 4 4 3 3 4 3 3 2 2 4 3 2 4 1 2 2 2 5 4 3 2 3 3 3 3 2 3 4 2 5 2 1 4 3 1 4 3 1 5 1 7 2 2 1 1 4 4 4 2 2 3 3 5 2 2 1 2 2 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 2 4 3 3 3 676 171 305 194 235 97 321 169 262 196 329 89 241 43 633 54 16 49 335 212 136 203 175 113 333 343 159 256 143 97 125 88 228 352 227 74 266 185 72 118 124 63 173 111 95 110 342 333 NHGovernor-Sununuvs.VanOstern
Sununu VanOstern Other Undecided NHLikelyVoters 1 4 3 Registered DefinitelyDecided LeaningTowardsSomeone StilTryingToDecide WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency TrumpVoter ClintonVoter JohnsonVoter SteinVoter Other/Undecided 1 1 4 8 7 3 1 2 1 3 7 7 3 1 1 1 4 8 7 3 1 2 3 5 5 3 4 3 1 1 3 4 4 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 7 1 7 4 5 1 7 1 1 2 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 1 1 5 3 4 1 1 5 4 3 3 3 3 4 3 1 3 4 1 5 2 1 4 3 1 4 3 1 5 2 1 7 1 1 1 1 5 4 4 2 2 3 4 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 3 3 3 1 1 4 4 3 4 673 171 303 194 235 95 321 169 260 196 327 89 241 43 630 53 16 47 335 212 136 203 174 113 333 340 159 256 141 97 125 88 227 351 226 74 264 185 72 118 122 63 173 111 95 110 342 331 NHGovernor-Sununuvs.VanOsternwithLeaners
Some, Some Other Undecided NHLikelyVoters 1 4 3 Registered WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency Maried Divorced/Separated maried Lessthan$30,000 $30,000to$59,999 $60,000to$74,999 $75,000to$99,999 $100,000ormore 1 2 3 9 7 3 1 5 1 1 8 7 2 1 2 4 8 7 2 1 1 1 2 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 1 1 5 3 2 4 1 1 6 4 3 3 2 3 3 4 1 3 4 1 6 1 1 5 2 1 4 3 1 6 1 1 7 1 1 5 4 4 2 3 3 1 1 1 1 5 4 4 2 2 3 3 5 1 1 1 1 1 3 5 5 4 4 4 2 3 3 3 1 1 1 2 1 4 4 3 4 4 4 3 3 4 2 3 1 1 4 4 3 3 709 184 319 200 265 90 335 183 269 210 48 661 140 211 182 130 359 350 162 275 150 103 138 85 233 367 233 82 123 134 434 282 195 76 121 192 81 62 78 47 123 69 185 112 102 118 363 346 VoteForNHStateRepresentative
Some, Some Other Undecided NHLikelyVoters 1 4 3 Registered WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency Maried Divorced/Separated maried Lessthan$30,000 $30,000to$59,999 $60,000to$74,999 $75,000to$99,999 $100,000ormore 1 1 4 9 8 3 1 4 2 8 8 2 4 8 8 3 1 1 1 2 4 4 3 1 1 1 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 1 1 5 3 3 4 1 1 1 1 6 4 3 3 2 3 4 4 1 3 4 1 6 1 1 5 2 1 4 3 1 6 1 7 1 1 1 5 4 4 2 3 3 1 1 1 5 4 4 3 2 3 3 5 1 4 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 3 4 1 1 1 1 5 4 3 4 5 5 3 4 4 3 1 1 4 4 3 3 709 183 319 200 265 90 335 182 269 210 48 661 140 210 182 130 359 350 162 275 149 103 138 85 233 367 232 82 123 134 433 282 194 76 121 192 81 62 78 46 123 69 185 111 102 118 363 346 VoteForNHStateRepresentativeWithLeaners
Other Undecided NHLikelyVoters 1 4 3 Registered WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency Maried Divorced/Separated maried Lessthan$30,000 $30,000to$59,999 $60,000to$74,999 $75,000to$99,999 $100,000ormore 1 2 4 9 7 3 1 4 1 2 8 8 2 1 2 4 8 8 2 2 1 4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 4 4 4 6 4 3 3 2 1 1 5 3 2 4 1 1 1 2 6 4 4 3 2 3 3 4 2 3 4 1 7 1 1 5 2 1 4 3 1 6 1 1 7 1 2 1 6 3 4 2 3 3 1 1 2 1 5 5 4 3 2 3 3 5 1 1 1 1 4 5 5 5 4 4 2 3 4 1 1 1 1 1 4 4 4 4 5 5 3 3 4 3 1 1 5 4 3 3 716 185 322 204 258 97 341 179 276 213 48 668 140 212 183 134 367 349 161 278 153 104 136 87 236 373 238 80 129 136 432 287 200 74 120 193 82 64 82 45 124 66 188 116 104 117 366 350 VoteForNHStateSenator
Other Undecided NHLikelyVoters 1 4 3 Registered WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency Maried Divorced/Separated maried Lessthan$30,000 $30,000to$59,999 $60,000to$74,999 $75,000to$99,999 $100,000ormore 1 4 9 8 3 1 4 2 8 8 2 2 4 8 8 2 1 1 4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 4 4 4 6 4 3 3 2 1 1 5 4 2 4 1 1 1 6 4 4 3 2 3 3 4 1 3 4 1 7 1 1 5 1 4 3 1 6 1 8 1 2 1 6 3 4 2 3 3 1 1 1 1 5 5 5 3 2 3 3 5 1 1 1 4 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 5 4 4 4 5 5 3 3 3 4 3 3 1 1 5 4 3 3 715 184 322 204 257 97 341 179 276 213 47 668 139 212 183 134 366 349 161 277 153 104 135 86 235 373 237 80 129 136 432 287 200 74 120 193 82 64 82 45 124 66 188 116 104 117 365 350 VoteForNHStateSenatorWithLeaners
Other Undecided NHLikelyVoters 2 4 3 Registered WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency Maried Divorced/Separated maried 1stECDistrict 2ndECDistrict 3rdECDistrict 4thECDistrict 5thECDistrict 1 3 3 9 7 2 1 5 1 1 8 7 2 1 3 3 8 7 2 2 2 3 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 4 4 4 5 3 3 3 2 1 2 5 3 2 4 1 2 2 5 4 3 3 2 3 3 3 2 2 4 2 6 1 2 4 2 2 3 3 2 6 1 1 8 2 2 5 3 4 2 3 3 2 2 3 5 4 3 2 2 3 3 5 2 2 2 1 3 1 4 4 4 3 4 4 3 3 3 4 2 3 2 2 4 4 3 2 1 2 2 2 4 3 3 5 4 4 3 2 688 179 309 194 254 91 323 178 254 207 43 645 136 205 178 127 351 337 160 263 149 98 130 84 224 352 228 80 124 135 412 275 188 75 119 123 65 176 111 101 112 350 338 129 129 131 151 148 VoteForNHExecutiveCouncil