HD Learning Week Girma Woldetsadik AFTEE, The World Bank Feb 7, 2013

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National Learning Assessment in Ethiopia: sharing experiences and lessons HD Learning Week Girma Woldetsadik AFTEE, The World Bank Feb 7, 2013

Outline National learning assessment Challenges and opportunities Lessons

1. National learning assessment (NLA) 1.1. About NLA System-level information on student learning levels and related factors A test administered nationally at different levels in key subjects at four year intervals First, baseline, NLA of grades 4 & 8: 1999/2000 2 nd round in 2003/4 3 rd in 2006/7 4 th in 2010/11 First baseline NLA of grades 10 and 12: 2008/09

1.2. Why was it important, in which context? Growing recognition of a link between educational attainment and economic development New Education and Training Policy in 1994 improving quality of education - one of the focus areas Recommended establishment of a national organization for educational measurement and exams Five year Education Sector Development Programs since 1997 as part a 20-year education sector indicative plan to improve educational quality, relevance, efficiency, equity and expand access to education

As a result of expansion in enrolment, concern about the quality of education: are our children learning? ; and disparities across gender and regions Inform and guide policy reform and resource allocation to improve learning DPs push for assessing learning outcomes and readiness to support

1.3. What is the purpose? To provide information on student achievement levels in primary and general secondary education To identify factors that influence (enhance or retard) student achievement To analyze variations in student achievement by region, gender, location, and language of instruction To monitor changes in student achievement over time To recommend appropriate remedial actions to improve learning outcomes

1.4. What were the main features? To monitor the health of the education system Grades: 4, 8, 10, 12 Grade 4: English, mathematics, environmental science, reading comprehension in mother tongue Grades 8, 10 and 12: English, mathematics, biology, chemistry, and physics because of focus on science and technology in sec and HE Frequency of tests: testing every four years Test population Sample schools and students (nationally representative)

Main features (cont d) Achievement measures - Standardized achievement tests developed based on minimum learning competencies at each grade level and subject - Tests developed by curriculum experts, test development experts and teachers guided by assessment specialists - Pilot study in selected schools; validation workshop involving test developers Tests in grades 4 (19 instructional languages) and 8 (4 languages); grades 10 & 12 in English

Main features (cont d) Type of testing Objective Paper-based tests Point-in-time test, under standardized conditions How results are reported - percentage scores: 0 to 100% - Standards: below basic, basic, proficient, advanced Questionnaires and focus group discussions on explanatory (school and non-school) factors - Sample students: about themselves, their family conditions, interest and activities they carry out in spare time - Their teachers, school directors, and parents: about their students, school environment, teaching-learning process

Main features (cont d) How results are reported - percentage scores: 0 to 100% Questionnaires and focus group discussions on explanatory (school and non-school) factors - Sample students: about themselves, their family conditions, interest and activities they carry out in spare time - Their teachers, school directors, and parents: about their students, school environment, teaching-learning process

1.5. Who led the NLA from MOE? Led by staff of National Educational Assessment and Examinations Agency of the MOE (previously under higher education relevance and QA agency; general education QA and exam agency; national agency for exams) Supported by curriculum experts, teachers, consultants Financial support from development partners (USAID from start; and GEQIP, READ since 2009)

2. Challenges and opportunities Who were the project allies? Who opposed it? What were the main challenges in designing and implementing the project? What key decisions were taken? What were the main mistakes? Did it work as planned? How did the project address capacity building? How was funding ensured? What was done to ensure sustainability? How was assessment information used (or not) to inform the education system?

2.1. Who were the project allies? who opposed it? Government s recognition of the importance of assessment Assessment is included in the Education and Training Policy (1994) Directive by Council of Ministers to establish a National Educational Assessment and Examinations Agency Parents strongly support DPs support: training, technical assistance, operational costs Opposition is not on its benefits, but capacity to do it, and its consequences for education leaders

2.2. Main challenges in designing and implementation Unclear institutional arrangement until Jan 2012 In 2012, assessment was institutionalized through creation of the autonomous National Educational Assessment and Examination Agency Ensured stable institution, funding, sustainability No policy document on NLA activity, but general understanding that NLA program would take place every 3-4 years Policy framework and guidelines under preparation

Irregular funding until recently: mainly from different donors Since Jan 2012 regular government budget + support from donors Inadequate competent staff to effectively carry out NLA activities Reliance on technical assistance DPs on-going support to build technical capacity of the staff through training, and exposure visits

System alignment: achievement tests are based on national curriculum using the minimum learning competencies But there is no formal or standard procedures for regular reviews (internal or independent) of NLA to ensure that it measures what it is intended to measure Tests are translated into the language of instruction for grades 4 and 8 likely impact on comarisons But scores are not strictly comparable since the NLA exams are not yet completely standardized over time Plans for item-bank development Unrealistic test score targets in sector plans

2.3. How was assessment information used (or not) to inform the education system? 2.3.1. On findings Overall achievement scores National mean score of subjects for all grades was less than 50% achievement level set by MOE Grade 10 mean score of all subjects was 36%; and grade 12: 47.8% In grade 10, only 13.8% scored 50% and above; and in grade 12: 34.9% National learning results of grades 4 and 8 have actually reduced slightly over time, esp. maths

On one hand: dramatic increase in primary enrolment

But low primary completion rates, % 100 90 80 70 60 50 44.9 44.7 43.6 47.8 49.4 40 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

And not accompanied by improvements in quality NLA mean composite score in % 60 50 48 49 41 40 30 40 36 40 35 20 10 0 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 Academic year [2000 stands for 1999/00] Grade 4 Grade 8

Grade 4 composite mean score in % Subjects 2000 2004 2007 2011 Reading comprehension (mother tongue) 64.25 64.49 43.9 42.96 English 40.46 38.68 36.5 38.87 Maths 39.31 39.7 40.3 37.06 Environmental science 48.1 51.74 42.6 41.21 Composite 47.54 48.5 40.9 40.06

Grade 8 composite mean score in % Subjects 2000 2004 2007 2011 Biology 47.16 41.34 38.3 42.1 Chemistry 40.27 40.1 34.7 36.42 English 38.74 41.07 38.4 36.86 Maths 38.23 40.93 34.1 25.53 Physics - 35.32 32.2 34.47 Composite 41.1 39.74 35.6 35.2

Grade 10 and 12 composite mean score in % Subjects G10 G12 English 37.4 43.4 Maths 34.7 54.3 Biology 40.3 55.5 Chemistry 36.1 49.1 Physics 31.2 36.6 Average 36 47.8

Comparisons across sub-groups In all subjects in all grades, boys performed better than girls Wide disparities among regions less in under-served regions Urban schools outperformed rural schools

3.1.2. Explanatory factors School variables: distance to school, frequency of home works given, and availability of textbooks Teachers qualification, experience in teaching, motivation, discussion with parents Non-salary recurrent expenditures Leadership and management capacity of the education bureaucracy Home variables: number of meals a day, number of times listening to the radio, time helping with family chores, parents education, language spoken at home and language of instruction

3.1.3. Dissemination and use of assessment information Generally delay in release and use of results Reports are poorly disseminated few copies of the report available not translated no feedback to schools and teachers limited awareness among general public lack of accountability, i.e. no mechanisms to monitor whether recommendations are properly implemented

But results are to certain extent used by MOE and regional education bureaus Teacher Development Program (2006-09) General Education Quality Improvement Program (2009-13), (2013-2017) curriculum revision textbooks development teacher and leadership training Teacher licensing and re-licensing being considered school improvement program and school grant School inspection Poor result in EGRA in mother tongue in 2009/11 led to decision to revise curriculum and develop teaching/learning materials Improving learning achievements still remains challenging, but there is hope No concrete plans to participate in regional or international large-scale assessment: not possible to compare with other countries

Primary Education Quality in Decline A study conducted by the Institute of Education Research of Addis Ababa University in selected schools of four regional states revealed that the quality of primary education is declining. The research, presented by the Ethiopian Academy of Sciences, on December 27, 2012 at Semen Hotel stated that the majority of primary students score below the minimum 50pc expected for all subjects. The decline in quality of education is expressed in the research in terms of the students inability to attain the basic literacy and numeracy skills expected at different grade levels, according to the study. The research also identified there is a mismatch between the students capacity to learn with their grade level. Some students were not even able to properly comprehend classroom instructions, especially those that were given in English. PUBLISHED ON DEC 30, 2012 [ VOL 13, NO 661]

5. Lessons The need for a stable organization responsible for assessment Assessment has been under different organizations until Jan 2012 National Education Assessment and Examinations Agency legally established in Jan 2012 The need to establish a clear policy framework for assessment Defines roles and responsibilities Ensures that it operates on a regular basis Ensures regular funding

Adequate and trained staff to manage assessment NLA relies heavily on technical assistance Currently staff being trained to ensure sustainability Ensuring effective use of assessment results Assessment not an end by itself More effective use of data for design of interventions that make a difference Wide dissemination of results to stakeholders, including teachers and general public Mechanism to monitor the implementation of NLA recommendations

Thank you