Early impacts of the AVID program on access to post-secondary education in British Columbia

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Early impacts of the AVID program on access to post-secondary education in British Columbia Elizabeth Dunn and Reuben Ford Canadian Evaluation Society Meeting May 4, 2010

BC AVID Pilot Project is an example of a rigorous policy demonstration using random assignment Large-scale demonstration project with over 1500 participants Created by MOU between the Canada Millennium Scholarship Foundation and the British Columbia Ministry of Education Tests a BC version of a US college-preparatory program called AVID (Advancement Via individual Determination) Implementation by 18 pilot sites, with support from an existing BC AVID School District SRDC undertaking evaluation of implementation, impacts and benefit cost analysis

Rigorous evaluations of the impacts of education interventions are rare The US Government Institute for Educational Sciences What Works Clearinghouse compiles findings from evaluations of education interventions Few studies meet their evidence standards : a randomized controlled trial or a quasi-experimental design with evidence of equating between the treatment and comparison groups

and evidence of large impacts from rigorous evaluations is rarer still

BC AVID may overcome barriers to PSE for select students Needs assessment: Middle achieving high school students in BC capable of enrolling in and completing post-secondary education are not doing so, perhaps due to lack of support for their academic study. Policy question: Can an intervention in the form of an elective class offered to such students in Grades 9 through 12 help them to access post-secondary education? Demonstration: Research project to undertake a fair and rigorous test of the effectiveness of such an intervention by: Training school site teams to select eligible students and deliver the AVID program Randomly assigning the eligible students to program and comparison groups, subject to research follow up over time Delivering AVID to the program group according to the AVID program requirements

AVID is about learning to learn : enabling access to more rigorous courses Intended to help middle-achieving (often ethnic minority) students access the most rigorous courses in high school, to apply successfully for university. At its core, AVID is a year-round elective class that provides support to students who otherwise would be expected to struggle with rigorous curriculum. AVID program is overseen by non-profit AVID Center, which trains AVID site teams of 8+ educators at each site and annually certifies sites on their program delivery. There are 11 Essentials that the site team must implement for the school s program to carry the AVID label.

7 of 11 AVID Essentials focus on program administration Selection students should be drawn from the academic middle Participation voluntary for staff and students Scheduling year-long within regular academic timetable, including motivational activities and field trips, speakers and campus visits Rigour courses should meet PSE requirements Data AVID monitors student numbers and achievement Resources identified in advance School site team interdisciplinary team

4 AVID Essentials guide program content Writing strong writing curriculum Inquiry as basis for instruction Collaboration regular use in classroom Reading - critical reading, and reading for content Tutorials to tackle student-generated problems in small topic-based groups, ideally led by existing postsecondary students, trained as tutors Allocation of class time: Curriculum class, instruction from AVID teacher (40%) Tutorials (40%) Motivational activities incl. field trips (20%)

The BC AVID Pilot Project has a specific research question Are AVID-eligible students offered a place in the AVID elective class more likely to access PSE than if they took existing high school electives? To answer this question requires a counterfactual : How many students selected for AVID would go on to PSE even if they did not take AVID? Students apply to join project Students found eligible for AVID Program group Waiting list Comparison group

The Interim Impacts Report results will be published in Summer 2010: final results still to come Results on the first three years of BC AVID delivery to both cohorts (Grades 9-11) Implementation Interim impacts to the end of Grade 11 (for random assignment sites only) AVID Center anticipated an implementation dip as students struggle initially engaging with new, rigorous curriculum. Performance improves through support of AVID class, learned strategies and techniques The research question will not be answered until 2012 Data are not yet available.

BC AVID is a very comprehensive evaluation, with multiple data sources used in the report Qualitative data: AVID program manuals and guides Interviews with educators [Focus groups in final report*] (n=128) Observations from site visits (n=62) Support & Feedback (monitoring) reports Quantitative data: Baseline survey of students in Grade 8 and their parents Grade 11 online survey of students [Grade 12* and post-secondary surveys* in final report] Administrative data provided by schools re: student and tutor attendance, class activities, class departures and additions Student records from school districts and BC Ministry of Education [Admin data on post-secondary outcomes (enrolment and financing) in final report] *Student feedback on outcomes yet to be analyzed.

Participation of the program group declined from Grade 9 to Grade 11 Departures must be expected from an elective class offered to mobile students. Nearly all (96.2%) in program group took up the offer but half (51.7%) had left the AVID class by the end of Grade 11. Those departing had similar characteristics to program group, except: more departed from Cohort 1 (56%) than Cohort 2 (45%); 43.5% of departing students were from lower income families compared to 34.2% of those who stayed in the class. Five per cent of those departing the class later returned.

Reasons given for departures from BC AVID 60 50 40 Cohort 1 Cohort 2 Percentage 30 20 10 0 Moved to different School Extended Illness Chose another elective instead AVID Student asked to leave the class Other Reason

Hours of BC AVID class exposure Grades 9-11 among program and long-term AVID students

Challenges in implementation meant certain aspects of BC AVID did not match AVID model Sustaining the program took much more staff time and effort than expected at the outset; Rigour was not clearly defined for the BC context so local interpretations of rigorous courses varied; Scheduling BC AVID was extremely challenging, especially within a semestered, rotating-block timetable; BC school schedules provided less time overall for AVID, The ratio of class activities did not match model. BC AVID students received half the recommended tutorial time; Only a minority of these tutorials met program expectations

Tutor-student ratios only met expectations in 36 per cent of Grade 9-11 tutorials 1 200 1098 1 000 Number of Tutorials 800 600 400 385 377 771 200 240 0 1-7 students 8-9 students 10-15 students 16 or more students No tutor Students per tutor

Other aspects of BC AVID matched AVID model Participation was voluntary for staff and students; AVID was generally scheduled as a year-long program within the regular school timetable; Schools offered all required elements curriculum class, tutorials, and motivational activities; Curriculum class implementation matched expectations; Field trips exceeded expectations; Teachers highly valued AVID professional development.

Over 3 years, the program group experienced more AVID strategies than the comparison group Survey responses from students in the AVID program group were compared to those in the comparison group to see if there had been spill over of AVID techniques; Even though a few students in the comparison group reported learning and using AVID techniques, levels were substantially higher among program group students differences were often more than 60 percentage points; SRDC also did a special survey at 7 non-avid schools and found the same levels of use reported there as among the comparison group, so there is background use of some AVID strategies in BC; These large treatment differentials mean it is unlikely that the estimates of program impact will be biased.

AVID program group more likely to experience multiple strategies and techniques Frequent experience of 17 AVID strategies or techniques (Grade 11 survey recall) Number/percentage 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 8,7 2,9 2,9 Mean number of techniques Program group Comparison group Non AVID school No techniques 2 or fewer 5 or more 8 or more 12 or more

In Grade 9, AVID displaced arts, technology and applied skills, increased academic subjects -30,0-20,0-10,0 0,0 10,0 20,0 30,0 40,0 50,0 60,0 70,0 80,0 90,0 Left the AVID school Math English Science Social Studies Languages Arts Business Related Technology and Applied skills AVID Planning Support PE and leadership Work Experience and Apprenticeship Other courses

In Grade 11, AVID displaced business, PE and increased planning and academic subjects -20,0-10,0 0,0 10,0 20,0 30,0 40,0 50,0 60,0 70,0 80,0 90,0 Left the AVID school ** Math English Science * Social Studies Languages Arts Business Related * Technology and Applied skills AVID Planning Support PE and leadership Work Experience and Apprenticeship Other courses

BC AVID offer had positive impacts on take up of the most rigorous of 3 Math course choices Impacts on provincially examinable math courses Impact in percentage points -8-7 -6-5 -4-3 -2-1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Principles of Mathematics 10 Took the course/exam Principles of Mathematics 10 Passed the exam Principles of Mathematics 10 Course/exam blended mark pass Applications of Mathematics 10 Took the course/exam Applications of Mathematics 10 Passed the exam Applications of Mathematics 10 Course/exam blended mark pass Essentials of Mathematics 10 Took the course/exam Essentials of Mathematics 10 Passed the exam Essentials of Mathematics 10 Course/exam blended mark pass * * **

The offer increased take up and passing of Social Studies 11 another university pre-requisite Impacts on provincially examinable courses Impact in percentage points -8-7 -6-5 -4-3 -2-1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 English 10 Took the course/exam English 10 Passed the exam English 10 Course/exam blended mark pass Science 10 Took the course/exam Science 10 Passed the exam Science 10 Course/exam blended mark pass Social Studies 11 Took the course/exam Social Studies 11 Passed the exam Social Studies 11 Course/exam blended mark pass * ** **

In Grade 9, students got lower marks. BC AVID reduced the proportion obtaining A grades. Proportion of all course grades (credit weighted) that are As in Grade 9 Percentage of students 40.00 35.00 30.00 25.00 20.00 15.00 10.00 5.00 Program group Comparison group 0.00

But by Grade 11, marks recovered. BC AVID reduced the proportion with failing grades. Proportion of all course grades (credit weighted) that are Fs in Grade 11 70 60 ** Percentage of students 50 40 30 20 10 ** ** Program group Comparison group 0

The BC AVID Pilot Project continues for a final report in late 2012 Analyzing data about students experience of BC AVID in Grade 12; Analyzing implementation of the four-year program against fair test expectations for BC AVID; Collecting and analyzing data on both cohorts postsecondary experiences; Benefit-cost analysis; Making data sets publicly available for additional analysis; Supporting policy makers and practitioners to identify what works to improve outcomes for students.

Thank you! More information: www.srdc.org