Scotland School Leaver Destinations Initial Follow up 2013/14 December 2014
Contents Initial School Leaver Destination Return 2013/14 Analysis 4 Background 4 Changes in Reporting Methodology 4 Analysis 5 Section 1: Overview Main Findings 5 Table 1: Comparison to previous year 6 Section 1.1 - Annual Trends 6 Graph 2: Year on Year Positive/Other Destination Trend 6 Table 3: Year on Year Destination Split 7 Graph 4: Year on Year Positive Destination Trend Analysis 7 Graph 5: Year on Year Other Destination Trend Analysis 8 Section 1.2: Leaver Characteristics 9 Table 6: Destinations Split By Gender 9 Graph 7: Gender split within each destination 9 Table 8: Destinations Split By Ethnicity 10 Table 9: Percentage Destinations by SIMD 2012 11 Graph 10: Percentage Positive, HE and Unemployed Seeking by SIMD 2012 11 Table 11: School Leavers by Stage of Leaving 12 Section 2: Positive Destinations 13 Section 2.1 Higher and Further Education 13 Table 12: HE by Institution Type 13 Table 14: HE Students by FE Colleges 13 Table 13: HE Students by Institution 13 Table 15: FE Students by FE Colleges 14 Table 16: HE Course Information 14 Table 17: FE Course Information 14 Table 18: HE/FE Course Areas Combined 15 Graph 19: Course Areas split by Gender 15 Table 20: Top HE/FE Course Areas (Male only) 16 SDS National SLDR Report 2013/14 (Initial Results) (Dec 2014) 2 of 24
Table 21: Top HE/FE Course Areas (Female only) 16 Section 2.2: Employment 17 Table 22: Top Occupational Areas 17 Table 23: Top Occupational Areas (Male only) 17 Table 24: Top Occupational Areas (Female only) 17 Graph 25: Occupational Areas split by Gender 18 Section 3: Other Destinations 19 Table 26: Unemployed Seeking Leaver Characteristics 19 Graph 27: Individual Circumstances of those Unemployed NOT Seeking 20 Section 4: Percentage Destinations by Local Authority 21 Background Notes 23 Initial Leaver Destination Report (Analysis note) Please note that information regarding institutions, courses and employment sectors have been suppressed where there are less than 5 leavers. In these instances, these leavers have been captured under the other categories. In addition, due to rounding techniques some total percentages may not equal 100%. SDS National SLDR Report 2013/14 (Initial Results) (Dec 2014) 3 of 24
Initial School Leaver Destination Return 2013/14 Analysis Background Each year Skills Development Scotland (SDS) provides information on the destinations of school leavers from publicly funded schools to the Scottish Government, where a school leaver is classed as a young person of school leaving age who left school during or at the end of the school year, and where the school year is taken to run from 1 August 2013 to 31 July 2014. Initial (autumn) destinations data is no longer published in December by the Scottish Government but the data is combined with the subsequent (spring) follow up, and will next be published by Scottish Government in June 2015. We have agreed to continue to publish the initial destination information in December 2014, to meet the needs of our partners. The initial destinations information contained in this report is based on the known status of school leavers on the snapshot date of Monday 6th October 2014. The initial destinations have been gathered through a combination of direct follow up of leavers by SDS and shared administrative data from local authorities, colleges, the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) and the Student Awards Agency for Scotland (SAAS). Leaver data is supplied to the Scottish Government s Education Analysis Unit (SGEAS) at an individual level and they match this data to information they hold in order to report against the National Indicator Increase the proportion of young people in learning, training or work. Changes in Reporting Methodology This year sees the introduction by the Scottish Government of Insight, a new online tool for secondary schools and local authorities to benchmark and improve the performance of pupils in the senior phase. Insight will use the school leaver destinations provided by SDS to SGEAS but will use a slightly different methodology for defining which school leavers Insight include within their measured school leaver cohort. For this transitional year, Skills Development Scotland will continue to use in December the same reporting methodology as used in previous years. By retaining this we are able to report in a consistent method, familiar to users of our reports, and to provide year to year trend analysis on a like for like basis within this publication. In the longer term we will consult with our users on how they consider SDS should proceed in the future. During this transitional phase it is important partners are aware that when data about leavers is released on Insight in February 2015, and published by the Scottish Government in June 2015, there will be differences in the data, arising from the differences in methodology used to define who is a school leaver. These changes are anticipated to be minor at a national level, although individual schools may see greater variations depending on the effects of the changes made by Insight to their definition of the leaver cohort. The SLDR cohort is followed up again in March and the Scottish Government use the results of the March follow up to report against the National Indicator, Increase the proportion of young people in learning, training or work. This indicator is based on the school leavers from publicly funded secondary schools. This excludes schools in the independent sector and all special schools. The Scottish Government s Analytical Services Unit will publish the initial destination results at the same time as the follow up results in June 2015, and for that publication they will change their methodology to that used by Insight. SDS National SLDR Report 2013/14 (Initial Results) (Dec 2014) 4 of 24
Analysis The analysis that follows is based on data recorded about leavers on our customer record system. Leavers that were identified as having moved out with Scotland are excluded. This report relates to the 51,876 leavers from publicly funded secondary schools in Scotland. Section 1: Overview Main Findings Overall the percentage of leavers entering a positive destination i is 92.3%, a rise of 0.9 percentage points (pp) ii in comparison to 2012/13. This is the highest percentage of positive destinations reported in the initial SLDR since comparable records began. The majority of school leavers had continued their studies within Higher or Further Education, 64.9% compared to 64.3% last year. Since 2006-07 there has been a year on year rise and is now at the highest level since comparable records began. The percentage of leavers entering higher education (HE) is 38.6% which is a 2.1 percentage rise on last year. By comparison, however, the percentage of leavers entering further education (FE) has fallen by 1.5pp to 26.3%. The percentage of leavers entering employment has risen for the fifth year in a row and now sits at 21.7%. This is a rise of 1.3pp compared to last year. By comparison the percentage of leavers entering training has fallen by 0.9pp to 4.1% and this is the lowest percentage since comparable records began. Activity Agreements were introduced as a separate category in 2010/11 and had been rising each year since their introduction. In comparison to last year the percentage of leavers reported in this category has fallen by 0.2 pp. The percentage of leavers who are unemployed seeking iii is 6.3%, 0.8pp lower than in 2012/13 and the lowest level since comparable records began. There has been no change to the percentage of school leavers whose destination is unknown iv (0.3%). SDS National SLDR Report 2013/14 (Initial Results) (Dec 2014) 5 of 24
Table 1: Comparison to previous year Destinations 2012/13 % Scotland 2013/14 % % point change Higher Education 36.5 38.6 2.1 Further Education 27.8 26.3-1.5 Training 5.0 4.1-0.9 Employment 20.4 21.7 1.3 Voluntary Work 0.5 0.4-0.1 Activity Agreement 1.3 1.1-0.2 Unemployed Seeking 7.1 6.3-0.8 Unemployed Not Seeking 1.2 1.1-0.1 Unknown 0.3 0.3 0.0 Positive Destinations 91.4 92.3 0.9 Total Leavers 52,792 51,876 Section 1.1 - Annual Trends Graph 2: Year on Year Positive/Other Destination Trend SDS National SLDR Report 2013/14 (Initial Results) (Dec 2014) 6 of 24
Table 3: Year on Year Destination Split Year Total HE FE Training Employed Voluntary Work Activity Agreement U/E Seeking U/E NOT Seeking Not Known 2004/05 55,952 31.4 21.3 4.9 26.6 0.0 0.0 10.2 2.9 2.7 2005/06 56,619 30.5 23.2 5.1 26.2 0.0 0.0 11.1 2.2 1.6 2006/07 57,364 29.7 23.3 5.1 28.3 0.3 0.0 10.8 1.2 1.4 2007/08 58,844 31.1 24.8 4.9 25.3 0.2 0.0 10.9 1.5 1.1 2008/09 53,532 34.9 27.0 5.1 18.4 0.2 0.0 11.5 1.6 1.2 2009/10 54,097 35.7 27.1 5.2 18.5 0.3 0.0 11.3 1.3 0.6 2010/11 54,073 35.8 27.1 5.6 19.3 0.5 0.5 9.6 1.2 0.3 2011/12 50,892 37.3 26.8 4.6 19.8 0.4 0.9 8.4 1.3 0.4 2012/13 52,801 36.5 27.8 5.0 20.4 0.5 1.3 7.1 1.2 0.3 2013/14 51,876 38.6 26.3 4.1 21.7 0.4 1.1 6.3 1.1 0.3 Graph 4: Year on Year Positive Destination Trend Analysis Since 2006/07, the trend has been for an increasing percentage of school leavers to continue their studies beyond school in Higher Education. Last year, the percentage of leavers reported in HE fell slightly but this year this has reversed and the percentage increased to 38.6%. This is an 8.9pp rise since 2006/07 to the highest percentage since comparable records began. Since 2002/03 the percentage of leavers entering FE had been rising year on year until 2011/12 when there was a slight drop. Last year the percentage rose again and had reached 27.8%, the highest percentage ever reported. This year there was a 1.5 pp fall which means the percentage is at its lowest level since 2007/08. The percentage of leavers entering employment was at its peak in 2006/07 when 28.3% of leavers were reported in employment. Over the following two years this dropped dramatically to 18.4% in 2008/09. The percentage has been slowly rising SDS National SLDR Report 2013/14 (Initial Results) (Dec 2014) 7 of 24
year on year and is now 21.7% which is 3.3 percentage points higher than in 2008/09 but is 6.6pp lower than in 2006/07. Since 2004/05, the average percentage for leavers entering training was 5.1% but this year 4.1% of leavers entered training and this is1.0pp lower than the average and the lowest percentage in the last ten years. Activity Agreements were introduced as a separate category in 2010/11 and had been rising each year since their introduction. In comparison to last year the percentage of leavers reported in this category has fallen by 0.2 pp Graph 5: Year on Year Other Destination Trend Analysis The percentage of leavers becoming unemployed seeking peaked in 2008/09 at 11.5% which coincided with a dramatic drop in the percentage of leavers entering employment. Since 2008/09, the percentage of leavers becoming unemployed seeking has fallen year on year and has now fallen to the lowest level since comparable records began. 6.3% of leavers are reported as unemployed seeking which is 5.2pp lower than its peak and 0.8pp lower than last year. In the past decade, the proportion of unemployed not seeking leavers was at its highest in 2004/05 when 2.9% of leavers were unemployed not seeking. This year the percentage is at its lowest since comparable records began at 1.1%. The percentage of leavers reported as unknown is 0.3% which matches last year and remains the lowest percentage reported in the last ten years. SDS National SLDR Report 2013/14 (Initial Results) (Dec 2014) 8 of 24
Section 1.2: Leaver Characteristics Table 6: Destinations Split By Gender Male Female No. of No. of % Destinations Leavers Leavers % Higher Education 8,814 33.5 11,224 43.9 Further Education 6,677 25.4 6,978 27.3 Training 1,322 5.0 816 3.2 Employment 6,755 25.7 4,508 17.6 Voluntary Work 96 0.4 133 0.5 Activity Agreement 324 1.2 253 1.0 Unemployed Seeking 1,995 7.6 1,261 4.9 Unemployed Not Seeking 215 0.8 356 1.4 Unknown 85 0.3 64 0.3 Positive Destinations 23,988 91.3 23,912 93.4 Total Leavers 26,283 25,593 93.4% of females enter positive destinations in comparison to 91.3% of males, a 2.1pp difference. In comparison to last year the percentage of males entering positive destinations has risen by 1.2pp and for females this has risen by 0.6pp. 71.1% of females continue with their studies post school in comparison to 58.9% of males, a difference of 12.2pp. 30.7% of males enter employment or training in comparison to 20.8% of females, a difference of 9.9pp. Males are more likely than females to be unemployed seeking with the split of unemployed leavers being 61/39%. Graph 7: Gender split within each destination SDS National SLDR Report 2013/14 (Initial Results) (Dec 2014) 9 of 24
Table 8: Destinations Split By Ethnicity Destination White White Other Mixed or multiple ethnic groups Asian, Asian Scottish or Asian British African, Caribbean or Black Other Ethnic Back - ground Not Known % Higher Education 38 42.6 45.7 59 56.5 37 32.1 % Further Education 26 34.5 27.4 23.7 26.1 29.7 34.7 % Training 4.3 2.9 1.8 1.5 * * 4.4 % Employment 22.5 11.9 14.9 8.9 7.8 19.8 17.4 % Voluntary Work 0.4 0.7 * * * * * % Activity Agreement 1.2 0.5 * * * * 1.4 % U/E Seeking 6.3 5.4 6.9 5 5.7 6.8 7.6 % U/E Not Seeking 1.1 1 1.4 0.6 * * 1.2 % Unknown 0.3 0.5 * * * * * % Positive Destinations 92.3 93.1 91.3 94.2 93 90.6 90.3 Count of Total Leavers 47,733 1,073 435 1,265 230 192 948 % of Total Leavers 92 2.1 0.8 2.4 0.4 0.4 1.8 Comparison of Positive Destinations to 2012/13 +0.9 pp +2.1 pp -3.1pp +0.6pp -2.2pp +5.0pp +1.0pp SDS National SLDR Report 2013/14 (Initial Results) (Dec 2014) 10 of 24
Table 9: Percentage Destinations by SIMD 2012 SIMD Decile v Most Deprived Least Deprived 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Not Known Higher Education 21 24 29 32 36 39 43 48 56 63 18 Further Education 35 37 32 30 28 25 23 20 17 15 29 Training 10 7 6 5 3 3 2 2 2 1 7 Employment 19 19 21 23 24 24 25 23 21 17 24 Voluntary Work 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 Activity Agreement 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 4 Unemployed Seeking 10 10 9 7 6 5 5 4 3 2 14 U/E Not Seeking 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 Unknown 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 Positive Destinations 88 90 91 88 90 93 92 96 93 98 77 Total 5,433 5,214 4,839 4,991 5,172 5,205 5,383 5,314 5,267 4,547 511 % of Total Leavers 10.5 10.1 9.3 9.6 10.0 10.0 10.4 10.2 10.2 8.8 1.0 Graph 10: Percentage Positive, HE and Unemployed Seeking by SIMD 2012 The table and graph above attempt to show that where leavers live could have an effect on their destination on leaving school. For example, In general, leavers who live in the more deprived areas are less likely to enter positive destinations on leaving school than those from the less deprived areas. This is displayed in the graph which shows there is a 10pp difference in the positive destination percentages in SIMD 1 and SIMD 10. Leavers who live in the less deprived areas are more likely to enter higher education in comparison to leavers who live in the more deprived areas. The proportion of leavers entering HE from SIMD 10 is 63% and in comparison the proportion of leavers entering HE from SIMD 1 is 21%. Leavers from the more deprived areas are more likely to be unemployed seeking than leavers from the less deprived areas. Using SIMD 1, 10% of leavers become unemployed seeking compared to 2% from SIMD 10. SDS National SLDR Report 2013/14 (Initial Results) (Dec 2014) 11 of 24
Table 11: School Leavers by Stage of Leaving Stage of Leaving vi Destination Statutory Summer Leaver % Statutory Winter Leaver % Post Statutory Leaver % Higher Education 0.6 1.7 46.0 Further Education 43.0 30.7 24.1 Training 13.5 11.2 2.5 Employment 22.1 29.9 21.0 Voluntary Work 0.4 0.2 0.5 Activity Agreement 5.0 3.6 0.5 Unemployed Seeking 13.0 18.0 4.5 Unemployed Not Seeking 2.1 3.7 0.8 Unknown 0.3 0.9 0.2 Positive Destinations 84.6 77.3 94.4 Total Leavers 4,992 3,508 43,376 % of Total Leavers 9.6 6.8 83.6 It can be noted that the majority of leavers had remained at school past their statutory leave date and this has had a positive impact on their progression from school. Leavers who stay on past their statutory leave date are more likely to progress to positive outcomes on leaving school with the highest proportion entering higher education (46%). Overall 94.4% of those who stay on at school past their statutory leave date enter a positive destination. For those who stay on at school past their statutory leave date it is possible to identify those who left up to a year beyond their statutory leave date and those who stayed on at school for over a year beyond their statutory leave. For those remaining at school for a year beyond their statutory leave date 90.4% progressed to positive outcomes. 49.9% continued in education beyond school, 38.8% accessing employment or training and 7.9% becoming unemployed. For those that remained at school for over a year beyond their statutory leave date 95.5% progressed to positive outcomes. 75.6% or 3 out of 4 continued in education beyond school, 19.3% accessing employment or training and 3.6% becoming unemployed. Statutory winter leavers are the least likely to enter positive destinations with only 77.3% of leavers reported as entering a positive outcome. However, this is an increase from last year when 75.8% entered a positive outcome and is a 6.1pp increase on 2011/12 when 71.2% were reported in positive destinations. The highest proportion is reported in further education (30.7%). Statutory winter leavers are four times as likely to be reported as unemployed seeking than a post statutory leaver. 84.6% of statutory summer leavers were reported in a positive outcome compared to 83.8% last year. This year is a 3.2pp rise on 2011/12 when 81.4% were reported in a positive outcome. The highest proportion of statutory summer leavers entered further education (43%), however they were almost three times as likely as post statutory leavers to be unemployed seeking. SDS National SLDR Report 2013/14 (Initial Results) (Dec 2014) 12 of 24
Section 2: Positive Destinations Section 2.1 Higher and Further Education Higher Education (HE): This category includes leavers following HND (Higher National Diploma) or HNC (Higher National Certificate) courses, degree courses, courses for the education and training of teachers and higher level courses for professional qualifications. Leavers with a deferred, unconditional place in higher education have also been included in this year s figures. Further Education (FE): This category includes leavers undertaking non advanced further education which is not higher education. From those reported in the SLDR, 20,038 leavers entered higher education and 13,655 entered further education. Detailed analysis on the institution entered can be provided on 99.4% (33,479). The analysis below is based on 20,012 HE and 13,467 FE students. Table 12: HE by Institution Type Institution Total % University/HEI 13,456 67.2% FE College 6,077 30.4% Other 1 479 2.4% 1 Other category includes Institutions Outwith Scotland and Other Learning Providers. Table 14: HE Students by FE Colleges Institution Total % City of Glasgow College 1,212 19.9 Edinburgh College 629 10.4 North East Scotland College 584 9.6 Glasgow Clyde College 525 8.6 Fife College 479 7.9 New College Lanarkshire 459 7.6 Glasgow Kelvin College 409 6.7 West College Scotland 391 6.4 Dundee & Angus College 385 6.3 Ayrshire College 357 5.9 Forth Valley College 253 4.2 West Lothian College 175 2.9 Dumfries & Galloway College 106 1.7 South Lanarkshire College 68 1.1 Borders College 45 0.7 North East Scotland College 584 19.9 Table 13: HE Students by Institution vii Institution Total % University of Strathclyde 1,951 9.7 University of Glasgow 1,539 7.7 University of Edinburgh 1,403 7.0 Glasgow Caledonian University 1,373 6.9 Edinburgh Napier University 889 4.4 Robert Gordon University 829 4.1 University of Stirling 814 4.1 University of Aberdeen 779 3.9 University of the Highlands & Islands 715 3.6 University of Dundee 710 3.5 University of the West of Scotland 693 3.5 Heriot-Watt University 584 2.9 University of St Andrews 357 1.8 Queen Margaret University Edinburgh 256 1.3 Abertay University Dundee 254 1.3 Scotland's Rural College (SRUC) 182 0.9 Royal Conservatoire of Scotland 71 0.4 Glasgow School of Art 47 0.2 Open University in Scotland 10 0.0 Outwith Scotland 377 1.9 Other Learning Provider 102 0.5 FE College 6,077 30.4 Only the top institutions with 5 or more leavers have been displayed above. All other institutions are captured under Other Learning Provider. SDS National SLDR Report 2013/14 (Initial Results) (Dec 2014) 13 of 24
Table 15: FE Students by FE Colleges Institution Total % Institution Total % Edinburgh College 1,269 9.4 Dumfries & Galloway College 281 2.1 New College Lanarkshire 1,254 9.3 Moray College UHI 273 2.0 Ayrshire College 1,201 8.9 Borders College 253 1.9 Fife College 1,130 8.4 Scotland's Rural College (SRUC) 237 1.8 North East Scotland College 1,062 7.9 South Lanarkshire College 224 1.7 West College Scotland 1,062 7.9 North Highland College UHI 109 0.8 Glasgow Clyde College 958 7.1 West Highland College UHI 80 0.6 Dundee & Angus College 810 6.0 Lews Castle College UHI 68 0.5 City of Glasgow College 719 5.3 Argyll College UHI 51 0.4 Forth Valley College 528 3.9 Shetland College UHI 48 0.4 Glasgow Kelvin College 495 3.7 Orkney College UHI 31 0.2 West Lothian College 399 3.0 Outwith Scotland 109 0.8 Inverness College UHI 394 2.9 Other Learning Provider 70 0.5 Perth College UHI 352 2.6 Only institutions with 5 or more leavers have been displayed above. All other institutions are captured under Other Learning Provider. Detailed analysis on the course entered can be provided on 98.9% (33,324) of leavers. The analysis below is based on 19,867 HE and 13,457 FE students. Table 16: HE Course Information viii Table 17: FE Course Information Course Area Total % Arts & Social Sciences 2,859 14.4 Science & Mathematics 2,780 14.0 Engineering 1,873 9.4 Admin, Management & Business 1,591 8.0 Health & Medicine 1,266 6.4 Computing & ICT 1,118 5.6 Performing Arts 1,017 5.1 Sport, Leisure & Sport Science 994 5.0 Art & Design 833 4.2 Law 744 3.7 Finance 691 3.5 Construction 690 3.5 Communications & Media 669 3.4 Teaching 637 3.2 Hospitality, Catering & Tourism 634 3.2 Social, Caring & Advisory 552 2.8 Sales & Marketing 300 1.5 Animals, Land & Environment 274 1.4 Languages 236 1.2 Hairdressing & Beauty 60 0.3 Manufacturing 40 0.2 Transport & Distribution 9 0.0 Only the top course areas with 5 or more leavers have been displayed above. All other course areas are captured under Other Course Areas Course Area Total % Social, Caring & Advisory 1,896 14.1% Construction 1,247 9.3% Engineering 1,144 8.5% Hairdressing & Beauty 1,115 8.3% Hospitality, Catering & Tourism 965 7.2% Art & Design 924 6.9% Sport, Leisure & Sport Science 835 6.2% ASN Courses 652 4.8% Computing & ICT 618 4.6% Performing Arts 597 4.4% General Education (Highers, etc) 550 4.1% Garage Services 510 3.8% Arts & Social Sciences 482 3.6% Admin, Management & Business 464 3.4% Animals, Land & Environment 364 2.7% Communications & Media 302 2.2% Health & Medicine 236 1.8% Science & Mathematics 229 1.7% Security & Protective Services 112 0.8% Finance 77 0.6% Law 60 0.4% Transport & Distribution 34 0.3% Sales & Marketing 20 0.1% Other Course Areas 24 0.2% SDS National SLDR Report 2013/14 (Initial Results) (Dec 2014) 14 of 24
Table 18: HE/FE Course Areas Combined Course Area Total % Course Area Total % Arts & Social Sciences 3,341 10.0 Communications & Media 971 2.9 Engineering 3,017 9.1 Law 804 2.4 Science & Mathematics 3,009 9.0 Finance 768 2.3 Social, Caring & Advisory Services 2,448 7.3 ASN Courses 652 2.0 Admin, Management & Business 2,055 6.2 Teaching 651 2.0 Construction 1,937 5.8 Animals, Land & Environment 638 1.9 Sport, Leisure & Sport Science 1,829 5.5 General Education (Highers, etc) 550 1.7 Art & Design 1,757 5.3 Garage Services 510 1.5 Computing & ICT 1,736 5.2 Sales & Marketing 320 1.0 Performing Arts 1,614 4.8 Languages 245 0.7 Hospitality, Catering & Tourism 1,599 4.8 Security & Protective Services 112 0.3 Health & Medicine 1,502 4.5 Transport & Distribution 43 0.1 Hairdressing & Beauty 1,175 3.5 Manufacturing 41 0.1 Only the top course areas with 5 or more leavers have been displayed above. All other course areas are excluded Graph 19: Course Areas split by Gender SDS National SLDR Report 2013/14 (Initial Results) (Dec 2014) 15 of 24
Table 20: Top HE/FE Course Areas (Male only) Course Area Total % Course Area Total % Engineering 2,686 17.5 ASN Courses 391 2.6 Construction 1,719 11.2 Law 271 1.8 Computing & ICT 1,571 10.3 Animals, Land & Environment 266 1.7 Science & Mathematics 1,319 8.6 Health & Medicine 219 1.4 Sport, Leisure & Sport Science 1,300 8.5 General Education (Highers, etc) 210 1.4 Arts & Social Sciences 984 6.4 Social, Caring & Advisory Services 154 1.0 Performing Arts 833 5.4 Teaching 114 0.7 Admin, Management & Business 749 4.9 Sales & Marketing 86 0.6 Garage Services 476 3.1 Security & Protective Services 77 0.5 Art & Design 472 3.1 Languages 53 0.3 Communications & Media 455 3.0 Transport & Distribution 39 0.3 Finance 424 2.8 Hairdressing & Beauty 19 0.1 Hospitality, Catering & Tourism 417 2.7 Manufacturing 9 0.1 Table 21: Top HE/FE Course Areas (Female only) Course Area Total % Course Area Total % Arts & Social Sciences 2,357 13.1 Animals, Land & Environment 372 2.1 Social, Caring & Advisory Services 2,294 12.7 Finance 344 1.9 Science & Mathematics 1,690 9.4 General Education (Highers, etc) 340 1.9 Admin, Management & Business 1,306 7.3 Engineering 331 1.8 Art & Design 1,285 7.1 ASN Courses 261 1.4 Health & Medicine 1,283 7.1 Sales & Marketing 234 1.3 Hospitality, Catering & Tourism 1,182 6.6 Construction 218 1.2 Hairdressing & Beauty 1,156 6.4 Languages 192 1.1 Performing Arts 781 4.3 Computing & ICT 165 0.9 Teaching 537 3.0 Security & Protective Services 35 0.2 Law 533 3.0 Garage Services 34 0.2 Sport, Leisure & Sport Science 529 2.9 Manufacturing 32 0.2 Communications & Media 516 2.9 Only the top course areas with 5 or more leavers have been displayed above. All other course areas are excluded The most popular course areas with male leavers are Engineering (17.5%), Construction (11.2%) and Computing & ICT (10.3%) which has been the same for the last five years. Whereas the most popular course areas with female leavers are Arts & Social Sciences (13.1%), Social, Caring & Advisory Services (12.7%), and Science & Mathematics (9.4%). Science and Mathematics has replaced Health & Medicine in the top three. The most popular area for all leavers is Arts & Social Sciences with 10% of all leavers choosing courses in this area. The male/female split in this course area is 29/71%. The next most popular area for all leavers is Science & Mathematics. The gender split in this course area is 44/56%. Some course areas are significant in terms of gender. Most notably Social, Caring & Advisory Services with the vast majority of leavers being female (94%/6%) which was the same last year. Although Engineering and Construction remain male dominated the proportion of females reported in engineering has increased this year whilst construction remained the same. SDS National SLDR Report 2013/14 (Initial Results) (Dec 2014) 16 of 24
Section 2.2: Employment Employment: This category includes those who are employed and who are in receipt of payment from their employers. It includes young people undertaking training in employment through Modern Apprenticeships. 11,263 leavers were reported in employment and analysis can be provided on 96.6% (10,897) of those entering employment for whom we hold information about the occupational area entered. Table 22: Top Occupational Areas Occupational Area Total % Occupational Area Total % Hospitality & Catering / Travel & Tourism 1,871 17.2 Manufacturing 254 2.3 Retail, Sales & Marketing 1,692 15.6 Armed Services & Security 167 1.5 Construction 1,498 13.8 Finance 164 1.5 Admin & Management 1,118 10.3 Health & Medicine 118 1.1 Engineering 1,017 9.3 Computing & ICT 105 1.0 Social & Caring Occupations 677 6.2 Art & Design 40 0.4 Garage Services 502 4.6 Performing Arts 36 0.3 Animals, Land & Environment 465 4.3 Communications & Media 25 0.2 Hairdressing & Beauty 443 4.1 Science & Mathematics 17 0.2 Sport & Leisure 362 3.3 Teaching 10 0.1 Transport & Distribution 293 2.7 Table 23: Top Occupational Areas (Male only) Occupational Area Total % Occupational Area Total % Construction 1,471 22.6 Armed Services & Security 150 2.3 Engineering 962 14.8 Computing & ICT 95 1.5 Hospitality & Catering / Travel & Tourism 834 12.8 Finance 77 1.2 Retail, Sales & Marketing 762 11.7 Social & Caring Occs. 72 1.1 Garage Services 495 7.6 Hairdressing & Beauty 25 0.4 Animals, Land & Environment 387 6.0 Health & Medicine 23 0.4 Admin & Management 322 5.0 Art & Design 20 0.3 Sport & Leisure 292 4.5 Performing Arts 19 0.3 Transport & Distribution 262 4.0 Communications & Media 18 0.3 Manufacturing 201 3.1 Teaching 6 0.1 Table 24: Top Occupational Areas (Female only) Occupational Area Total % Occupational Area Total % Hospitality & Catering / Travel & Tourism 1,037 23.7 Manufacturing 53 1.2 Retail, Sales & Marketing 930 21.2 Transport & Distribution 31 0.7 Admin & Management 796 18.2 Construction 27 0.6 Social & Caring Occupations 605 13.8 Art & Design 20 0.5 Hairdressing & Beauty 418 9.5 Armed Services & Security 17 0.4 Health & Medicine 95 2.2 Performing Arts 17 0.4 Finance 87 2.0 Science & Mathematics 13 0.3 Animals, Land & Environment 78 1.8 Computing & ICT 10 0.2 Sport & Leisure 70 1.6 Garage Services 7 0.2 Engineering 55 1.3 Communications & Media 7 0.2 Only the top occupational areas with 5 or more leavers have been displayed above. All other areas are captured have been excluded. SDS National SLDR Report 2013/14 (Initial Results) (Dec 2014) 17 of 24
Graph 25: Occupational Areas split by Gender The most popular area of employment entered by all school leavers is Hospitality & Catering / Travel & Tourism with 17.2% of school leavers who enter employment taking up a position in this industry. The gender split of this area shows that mainly female leavers are working in this area with a 45/55% split. The next two most popular employment areas for school leavers this year are Retail and Sales (15.6%) followed by Construction (13.8%). This represents no change in the top three occupational areas from last year. The top six occupational areas entered by males this year are the same as last year with construction and engineering being the top two. The gender balance within these occupational areas also remains unchanged as males continue to dominate these employment areas. The variance with last year is that 22.6% of males reported in employment were in construction compared to 20.6% last year. The top six occupational areas entered by females also remain unchanged since last year. The only notable change is the percentage split in Social & Caring Occupations is now 11%/89% compared to 7%/93%, last year. SDS National SLDR Report 2013/14 (Initial Results) (Dec 2014) 18 of 24
Section 3: Other Destinations School leavers who do not achieve a positive destination on leaving school are key customers for Skills Development Scotland and our partner organisations. The SLDR is a snapshot in time and should only be used as an indicator. Unemployed and seeking employment or training: This category includes those who are in contact with SDS and are known by them to be seeking employment or training. This is based on regular contact between SDS and the customer. This does not refer to the definition of unemployed used by the Department for Work and Pensions (DWP) to calculate published unemployment rates This group also included some of those individuals undertaking personal skills development ix. Unemployed and not seeking employment or training: This category includes all those individuals who are not seeking employment or training for a range of reasons. These individual circumstances may involve sickness, prison, pregnancy, caring for children or other dependents or taking time out. Unemployed Seeking Leavers The table provides a comparison of the percentage of unemployed seeking customers with specific characteristics as opposed to the rate of the full SLDR cohort. Table 26: Unemployed Seeking Leaver Characteristics Unemployed Seeking Leaver Characteristics % of Full SLDR % of Unemployed Seeking Gender Male 50.7 61.3 Female 49.3 38.7 Stage of Leaving Statutory Summer Leaver 9.6 20.0 Statutory Winter Leaver 6.8 19.4 Post Statutory Leaver 83.6 60.6 SIMD Decile (SIMD 2012) 1 (most deprived) 10.5 17.5 2 10.1 15.3 3 9.3 13.5 4 9.6 11.1 5 10.0 9.5 6 10.0 8.6 7 10.4 7.9 8 10.2 6.3 9 10.2 4.9 10 (least deprived) 8.8 3.3 Unknown 1.0 2.3 Data & percentages based on less than 5 leavers are suppressed due to disclosure reasons. Totals may not equal 100% due to rounding. SDS National SLDR Report 2013/14 (Initial Results) (Dec 2014) 19 of 24
Statutory winter leavers represent only 6.8% of the whole SLDR cohort but are disproportionately represented within the leavers reported as unemployed seeking at 19.4%. A similar situation is evident for statutory summer leavers with 9.6% and 20% respectively. Although male leavers account for 50.7% of the leaving cohort, they account for 61.3% of leavers reported as unemployed seeking. Female leavers account for 49.3% of the leaving cohort with 38.7% of them being reported as unemployed seeking. Unemployed Not Seeking Leavers There were 571 school leavers within this category. The highest proportion of leavers reported as unemployed not seeking are those who are unavailable due to ill health. Those who have caring responsibilities for their own children or who were either pregnant represent 26.8% of the cohort. Graph 27: Individual Circumstances of those Unemployed NOT Seeking Unknown Leavers There were 149 school leavers whose destination was unknown at the time of SLDR. SDS National SLDR Report 2013/14 (Initial Results) (Dec 2014) 20 of 24
Total Leavers Higher Education Further Education Training Employment Voluntary Work Activity Agreements Unemployed Seeking Unemployed Not Seeking Not Known Positive Section 4: Percentage Destinations by Local Authority Local Authority Aberdeen City 1,633 35.4 25.5 2.9 26.1 0.3 0.8 6.9 1.4 0.7 91.1% Aberdeenshire 2,619 37.6 26.0 1.4 28.0 0.3 0.5 5.0 1.0 0.3 93.7% Angus 1,026 36.4 28.4 2.2 22.5 0.6 1.0 7.5 1.1 0.4 91.0% Argyll & Bute 947 40.3 19.1 3.5 26.9 0.5 0.6 7.2 1.7 0.1 91.0% Clackmannanshire 502 29.9 27.7 6.0 23.9 1.0 4.4 6.6 0.6 0.0 92.8% Dumfries & Galloway 1,584 36.4 25.4 3.5 24.7 0.5 0.4 7.1 1.5 0.4 91.0% Dundee City 1,331 32.2 36.7 5.1 16.5 0.5 0.3 6.5 1.9 0.3 91.3% East Ayrshire 1,169 36.2 37.6 2.7 14.8 0.3 1.5 5.6 1.3 0.0 93.1% East Dunbartonshire 1,302 56.5 16.2 1.8 21.2 0.5 0.8 2.2 0.6 0.0 97.2% East Lothian 1,049 38.5 19.4 4.8 27.6 0.8 1.1 6.6 1.0 0.2 92.2% East Renfrewshire 1,350 66.7 14.4 1.6 12.4 0.6 0.3 3.6 0.4 0.0 96.0% Edinburgh, City of 3,206 40.9 23.4 5.1 19.2 1.0 1.6 7.2 1.0 0.6 91.2% Eilean Siar 289 37.7 27.0 3.5 28.7 0.0 0.0 2.8 0.3 0.0 96.9% Falkirk 1,576 34.2 20.9 10.2 25.9 0.4 0.9 5.6 1.8 0.1 92.4% Fife 3,679 36.5 34.6 3.8 16.1 0.1 1.3 6.0 1.4 0.2 92.4% Glasgow City 4,725 32.8 26.5 7.2 20.6 0.7 2.1 8.8 1.1 0.3 89.7% Highland 2,601 32.3 23.8 2.3 31.9 0.8 1.5 4.8 1.3 1.2 92.7% SDS National SLDR Report 2013/14 (Initial Results) (Dec 2014) 21 of 24
Total Leavers Higher Education Further Education Training Employment Voluntary Work Activity Agreements Unemployed Seeking Unemployed Not Seeking Not Known Positive Local Authority Inverclyde 796 36.9 30.7 3.8 21.1 0.5 1.0 5.4 0.6 0.0 94.0% Midlothian 889 28.8 25.2 6.4 30.3 0.9 2.4 5.2 0.9 0.0 93.9% Moray 989 38.2 28.7 1.0 25.4 0.3 0.3 4.1 1.3 0.6 93.9% North Ayrshire 1,481 35.5 35.4 3.5 18.6 0.3 0.7 4.6 1.4 0.0 94.1% North Lanarkshire 3,824 37.7 26.0 5.4 21.2 0.2 0.8 7.7 0.7 0.2 91.3% Orkney Islands 208 39.4 20.2 2.9 29.8 0.0 1.4 2.9 2.4 1.0 93.8% Perth & Kinross 1,296 40.9 28.2 1.7 21.8 0.4 0.8 5.2 0.6 0.5 93.8% Renfrewshire 1,853 44.0 25.5 3.7 18.7 0.1 0.1 7.0 0.5 0.5 92.0% Scottish Borders 1,059 41.6 28.7 2.3 20.8 0.5 0.4 4.2 1.4 0.1 94.2% Shetland Islands 271 29.9 18.1 0.7 41.7 0.0 3.0 4.4 2.2 0.0 93.4% South Ayrshire 1,256 41.6 32.2 2.4 14.3 0.3 1.4 6.9 1.0 0.0 92.1% South Lanarkshire 3,359 40.2 24.2 5.4 20.4 0.4 1.7 6.5 1.0 0.1 92.3% Stirling 992 45.4 19.6 3.5 22.4 0.5 0.2 7.2 1.1 0.2 91.5% West Dunbartonshire 931 36.9 28.5 3.2 20.0 0.2 1.3 8.8 1.1 0.0 90.1% West Lothian 1,986 41.1 26.4 4.5 19.4 0.3 1.3 5.9 0.9 0.2 93.0% Jordanhill School 98 78.6 6.1 0.0 14.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 99.0% Scotland 51,876 38.6 26.3 4.1 21.7 0.4 1.1 6.3 1.1 0.3 92.3% SDS National SLDR Report 2013/14 (Initial Results) (Dec 2014) 22 of 24
Background Notes i Positive Destinations: Positive Destinations have been defined by Scotland Performs in relation to the National Indicator - Increase the proportion of young people in learning, training or work. As from 2010/11, activity agreements became a separate position destination category. Higher Education: This category includes all leavers who have entered University to study at degree level, or an FE/HE college to study at HNC/HND level. Leavers with a deferred, unconditional place in higher education have also been included in this category. Further Education: This category includes all leavers who are studying at a non-advanced level and are not on a school roll e.g. National Qualifications, Access courses, portfolio preparation, pre-vocational courses or Highers or A Levels. Training: This category includes leavers who are on a training course and in receipt of an allowance. This includes those participating in the SDS funded Employability programmes. It also includes those participating in placements through the community jobs fund. In addition, leavers who are in receipt of an allowance and the programme they are participating in, is not funded by SDS e.g. vocational programmes funded by local authorities or third sector organisations. Employment: This category includes leavers who are employed and are in receipt of payment from their employers. It includes those undertaking formal training whilst in employment funded through modern apprenticeships. It also includes those who are Self Employed and those working on a part-time basis (less than 16 hours) who regard this employment as their main destination, irrespective of the hours worked. Voluntary Work: This category includes leavers who are undertaking voluntary work, defined as those choosing to give time or energy to something that is of benefit to others or a cause e.g. an individual (not family), an organisation or the environment. An individual who is volunteering won t be getting paid but may be given an allowance or expenses. This can include individuals who are volunteering at home or abroad. Activity Agreement: includes those leavers where there is an agreement between the young person and a trusted professional that the leaver will take part in a programme of learning and activity which helps them become ready for formal learning or employment. This is based on SDS s knowledge of participation rates and may not match similar data held by local authorities who have the lead delivery role activity agreements. ii Percentage point(s) has been abbreviated to pp throughout this document. iii Unemployed Seeking: This category includes those who are in contact with SDS and are known by them to be seeking employment or training. This is based on regular contact between SDS and the customer. This does not refer to the definition of unemployed used by the Department for Work and Pensions to calculate published unemployment rates. This group also included some of those individuals undertaking personal skills development. iv Unknown: Includes leavers whose destination is not known to either SDS or their partners. The term is used where a programme of direct phone calls has not been returned or responded to, and covers a number of circumstances including those who simply do not wish to engage or who may have gone abroad for an extended period after leaving school. Partnership working aims to minimise the number of young people in this category, with professionals working together to identify and provide support to young people who need help to move into learning or work. v The Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD): SIMD identifies small area concentrations of multiple deprivation across all of Scotland in a consistent way. SDS uses a file created by Scottish Neighbourhood Statistics to identify SIMD based on an individual leaver s postcode. The leaver s postcode is based on the last known address of the leaver as recorded on our client management system. As the last known postcode is used it may be that a leaver from one local authority was living in another local authority at the time of the return. Therefore, the SIMD relates to where a leaver was living at the point of the return and not the concentration of SIMD within a local authority. The Scottish SDS National SLDR Report 2013/14 (Initial Results) Report (Dec 2014) 23 of 24
Government has a useful tool that helps identify SIMD areas: http://www.scotland.gov.uk/topics/statistics/simd/simdinteractive. vi Stage of Leaving: A statutory summer leaver is a school leaver who chose to leave school at the earliest opportunity when they became eligible to leave school i.e. their 16th birthday fell on or between 1st March and 30th September in their year of leaving. A statutory winter leaver is a school leaver who chose to leave school at the earliest opportunity when they became eligible to leave school i.e. their 16th birthday fell between 1st October and the last day in February. A post statutory leaver is a school leaver who chose to remain at school passed their statutory leave date e.g. a winter leaver who would have been eligible to leave at the winter leave date but choose to remain at school until the summer leave date. Included in this group are leavers who have passed their statutory leave date and have left school at any stage throughout the year. vii Institutions: Through our follow up of leavers, SDS confirm Further and Higher Education destinations and as part of the SLDR process we request further information about the institution a leaver is attending. This is not a mandatory requirement and the information displayed is based on the recorded detail on the SDS customer records system and is provided as a guide only. As part of our data sharing processes with Further Education colleges and SAAS we will receive information about the institutions attended. Due to the timing of the follow up not all enrolments may be received from colleges. Therefore, the detail provided in this report may not fully match that held on institutions own MIS systems. Those leavers recorded in a Higher Education destination and their recorded institution was one of the colleges and research institutions that make up The University of the Highland and Islands their institution was updated to the UHI. However, Further Education destinations have been reported using the college description, where available. In addition, our reporting takes account of the sector s regionalisation process and where possible the newly formed college name has been used within our reporting. viii Course Information: through our follow up of leavers, SDS confirms Further and Higher Education destinations and as part of the SLDR process we request further information about the course a leaver is attending. This is not a mandatory requirement and the information displayed is based on the recorded detail on the SDS customer records system and is provided as a guide only. Where gathered, SDS staff record the actual course name, unfortunately, this is not contained within a searchable/reportable field within our current MIS system. Based on their interpretation, staff translate the course detail into predefined groupings. It is possible that courses are not an exact fit to one of the categories or could be shown in different categories e.g. psychology may be defined within arts and social science or within science and mathematics. There are other examples such as event management which could be placed within hospitality, catering and tourism or within administration and management depending upon interpretation. ix Personal Skills Development: This status includes leavers who participate in learning opportunities/personal and social development activities with the aim of improving their confidence and employability. These programmes can be viewed as a stepping stone to a positive destination. The programmes may be delivered by community learning and development or third sector organisations. In 2010/11, SDS provided the individual level detail of all recorded PSD statuses to the Scottish Government s Education, Information and Analytical Services: Schools Unit. They returned the official SLDR destination mapping to SDS on an individual programme by programme basis and this mapping has become the blueprint for this year s mapping. SDS National SLDR Report 2013/14 (Initial Results) (Dec 2014) 24 of 24