Old Dominion University / Virginian Pilot Poll #3 June 2012

Polling Toplines Old Dominion University / Virginian Pilot Poll #3 June 2012 Random Digit Dial sample of landline and cell phone numbers in Virginia. Survey restricted to registered voters and individuals likely to register to vote. Data Collected by the Social Science Research Center at Old Dominion University May 16, 2012 June 15, 2012 Analysis by Jesse Richman Department of Political Science and Geography Old Dominion University jrichman@odu.edu

First, I am going to ask a few questions about candidates and elections. Regarding the upcoming November 2012 U.S. election, have you been watching news coverage, reading reports, and/or researching candidates? Yes 690 88.9 89.2 89.2 No 84 10.8 10.8 100.0 Total 774 99.7 100.0-9998.00 1.1 Missing Don't know 1.1 Total 2.3 How often would you say you have been watching news coverage of the election and researching candidates? Would you say several times a day, daily, every few days, about once a week or every few weeks? Several times a day 105 13.5 15.2 15.2 Daily 311 40.1 45.1 60.3 Every few days 141 18.1 20.4 80.7 About once a week 104 13.4 15.1 95.9 Every few weeks 29 3.7 4.1 100.0 Total 689 88.8 100.0-9998.00 86 11.1 Missing Refused 1.1 Total 87 11.2

Do you approve of the job Barack Obama is doing as President? Would you say you... Strongly approve 157 20.2 20.4 20.4 Approve 243 31.3 31.7 52.1 Disapprove 136 17.5 17.8 69.9 Strongly disapprove 231 29.7 30.1 100.0 Total 766 98.7 100.0 Don't know 8 1.0 Missing Refused 2.2 Total 10 1.3 If the presidential election was held today and your choices were Democrat Barack Obama or Republican Mitt Romney, which candidate would you vote for? Democrat Barack Obama 376 48.5 50.2 50.2 Republican Mitt Romney 328 42.3 43.8 93.9 Other 10 1.3 1.4 95.3 Would not vote for any of these 35 4.6 4.7 100.0 Total 750 96.7 100.0 Don't know 23 3.0 Missing Refused 3.4 Total 26 3.3

If the presidential election was held today and your choices were Democrat Barack Obama or Republican Mitt Romney, which candidate would you vote for? Democrat Barack Obama Republican Mitt Romney Other How excited are you about voting for your candidate of choice in the 2012 presidential election. Would you say not at all excited, not very excited, somewhat excited, or very excited? Total Not at all excited Not very excited Somewhat excited Very excited 18 24 1 4.9% 7.9% 10.0% 46 90 0 12.4% 29.5% 0.0% 142 103 5 38.3% 33.8% 50.0% 165 88 4 44.5% 28.9% 40.0% 371 305 10 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% How excited are you about voting for your candidate of choice in the 2012 presidential election. Would you say not at all excited, not very excited, somewhat excited, or very excited? Not at all excited 49 6.4 7.0 7.0 Not very excited 139 17.9 19.6 26.6 Somewhat excited 260 33.5 36.6 63.1 Very excited 262 33.7 36.9 100.0 Total 710 91.5 100.0-9998.00 61 7.9 Missing Don't know 4.5 Refused 1.1 Total 66 8.5

Did you vote in the 2008 presidential election? Yes 716 92.3 95.0 95.0 No 38 4.9 5.0 100.0 Total 754 97.2 100.0 Missing -9998.00 22 2.8 Did you vote for John McCain or Barack Obama? John McCain 322 41.5 47.4 47.4 Barack Obama 358 46.2 52.6 100.0 Total 680 87.7 100.0-9998.00 60 7.7 Missing Don't know 18 2.3 Refused 18 2.3 Total 95 12.3

In the 2012 Congressional election, do you believe that your current representative in the US House of Representatives deserves to be re-elected? Yes 384 49.5 49.7 49.7 No 189 24.4 24.4 74.1 Don't know who my representative is Don't know if he/she should be re-elected 113 14.6 14.6 88.7 87 11.2 11.3 100.0 Total 774 99.8 100.0 Missing Refused 2.2 And now, thinking ahead to the 2013 election for Virginia's governor, which of these candidates would you prefer to see win the Republican nomination for governor: Lieutenant Governor Bill Bolling or Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli? Lieutenant Governor Bill Bolling Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli 207 26.7 33.9 33.9 270 34.8 44.2 78.1 Neither 134 17.3 21.9 100.0 Total 611 78.7 100.0 Don't know 163 21.0 Missing Refused 2.2 Total 165 21.3

Now I have some questions about candidates and political issues. First, let's talk about economic issues like taxes and government spending. Where would you say your political views fall on economic policy? Are you very conservative, conservative, some Very conservative 83 10.7 10.8 10.8 Conservative 207 26.6 26.9 37.7 Somewhat conservative 132 17.0 17.1 54.8 Moderate 192 24.8 25.0 79.8 Somewhat liberal 77 10.0 10.1 89.8 Liberal 54 7.0 7.1 96.9 Very liberal 24 3.1 3.1 100.0 Total 769 99.1 100.0 Don't know 6.7 Missing Refused 1.1 Total 7.9 Using this same economic policy scale, would you say Barack Obama is very conservative, conservative, somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal, liberal, or very liberal? Very conservative 9 1.1 1.2 1.2 Conservative 29 3.7 3.8 5.0 Somewhat conservative 46 5.9 6.1 11.1 Moderate 163 20.9 21.5 32.7 Somewhat liberal 118 15.3 15.7 48.4 Liberal 167 21.5 22.1 70.5 Very liberal 223 28.7 29.5 100.0 Total 755 97.3 100.0 Don't know 16 2.1 Missing Refused 5.6 Total 21 2.7

On this same economic policy scale would you say Mitt Romney is very conservative, conservative, somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal, liberal, or very liberal? Very conservative 115 14.9 16.0 16.0 Conservative 231 29.8 32.0 48.0 Somewhat conservative 201 25.9 27.8 75.8 Moderate 109 14.1 15.1 90.9 Somewhat liberal 21 2.7 2.9 93.8 Liberal 18 2.3 2.4 96.2 Very liberal 27 3.5 3.8 100.0 Total 723 93.1 100.0 Don't know 48 6.1 Missing Refused 6.7 Total 53 6.9 Overall, how do you think United States economic policy should change? Should economic policy be more conservative, stay the same, or be more liberal? More conservative 464 59.7 62.7 62.7 Stay the same 95 12.3 12.9 75.6 More liberal 180 23.2 24.4 100.0 Total 739 95.3 100.0 Don't know 29 3.8 Missing Refused 8 1.0 Total 37 4.7

Another set of political issues involves social and cultural policies like abortion, contraception, and gay marriage. Where would you say your political views fall on social policy? Are you very conservative, conservative, somewhat conservative, moderat Very conservative 121 15.6 15.9 15.9 Conservative 150 19.3 19.7 35.6 Somewhat conservative 73 9.4 9.6 45.2 Moderate 139 17.9 18.2 63.5 Somewhat liberal 62 8.0 8.1 71.6 Liberal 96 12.4 12.6 84.2 Very liberal 120 15.5 15.8 100.0 Total 761 98.0 100.0 Don't know 8 1.0 Missing Refused 8 1.0 Total 15 2.0 On this same social policy scale would you say Barack Obama is very conservative, conservative, somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal, liberal, or very liberal? Very conservative 9 1.1 1.2 1.2 Conservative 24 3.1 3.1 4.3 Somewhat conservative 16 2.1 2.1 6.4 Moderate 108 13.9 14.3 20.7 Somewhat liberal 124 16.0 16.4 37.1 Liberal 239 30.7 31.5 68.6 Very liberal 237 30.6 31.4 100.0 Total 757 97.5 100.0 Don't know 13 1.7 Missing Refused 6.7 Total 19 2.5

On this same social policy scale would you say Mitt Romney is very conservative, conservative, somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat liberal, liberal, or very liberal? Very conservative 177 22.9 24.1 24.1 Conservative 253 32.6 34.3 58.3 Somewhat conservative 152 19.5 20.6 78.9 Moderate 102 13.2 13.9 92.8 Somewhat liberal 21 2.6 2.8 95.5 Liberal 18 2.3 2.4 97.9 Very liberal 15 2.0 2.1 100.0 Total 737 95.0 100.0 Don't know 32 4.2 Missing Refused 7.9 Total 39 5.0 Overall, how do you think United States social policy should change? Should social policies be more conservative, stay the same, or be more liberal? More conservative 325 41.9 43.3 43.3 Stay the same 140 18.1 18.7 62.0 More liberal 285 36.7 38.0 100.0 Total 750 96.6 100.0 Don't know 13 1.7 Missing Refused 13 1.7 Total 26 3.4

High gasoline prices have gotten a lot of attention recently. Please listen to this list of policy choices, and let me know which you think is the best way to bring down gas prices. Open more U.S. energy resources for drilling. Tap the strategic petroleum reserve. Increase regulations on Wall Street speculators. Approve the Keystone XL pipeline. Nothing should be done to bring down gas prices. 280 36.0 36.8 36.8 37 4.8 4.9 41.7 159 20.5 20.9 62.6 104 13.5 13.8 76.3 29 3.8 3.8 80.2 Something else 151 19.4 19.8 100.0 Total 759 97.9 100.0 Missing Don't know 16 2.1 Do you generally feel closer to the Republican Party, the Democratic Party or do you consider yourself to be an Independent or something else? Republican 217 28.0 28.3 28.3 Democrat 249 32.1 32.4 60.7 Independent 266 34.3 34.7 95.5 Something else (SPECIFY) 35 4.5 4.5 100.0 Total 767 98.9 100.0 Don't know 5.6 Missing Refused 4.5 Total 9 1.1

Do you think that Virginia governors should be allowed to run for re-election, or do you think they should be restricted to a single term? Should be allowed to run for reelection Should be restricted to a single term 569 73.3 74.1 74.1 199 25.6 25.9 100.0 Total 767 98.9 100.0 Missing Don't know 8 1.1 I need to confirm your gender, you are... Male 348 44.8 44.9 44.9 Female 427 55.0 55.1 100.0 Total 775 99.9 100.0 Missing Refused 1.1

What is your annual household income? I will read a list and you can stop me when I get to the category that includes your household income. Less than $15,000 36 4.7 4.7 4.7 More than $15,000 to $30,000 More than $30, 000 to $50,000 More than $50,000 to $75,000 More than $75,000 to $100,000 More than $100,000 to $150,000 More than $150,000 to $200,000 59 7.6 7.6 12.3 124 16.0 16.0 28.3 148 19.1 19.1 47.4 105 13.6 13.6 61.0 144 18.6 18.6 79.5 35 4.6 4.6 84.1 More than $200,000 48 6.2 6.2 90.3 Don't know 13 1.6 1.6 91.9 Refused 63 8.1 8.1 100.0 100.0 How would you describe your race or ethnicity? White 581 74.9 74.9 74.9 Black or African American 106 13.6 13.6 88.6 Hispanic or Latino 11 1.4 1.4 90.0 American Indian or Alaskan Native 8 1.0 1.0 91.0 Asian 12 1.5 1.5 92.4 Multiracial 14 1.8 1.8 94.2 Other 19 2.4 2.4 96.6 Refused 26 3.4 3.4 100.0 100.0

What is your age? 18.00 7.9.9.9 19.00 7.9 1.0 1.9 20.00 6.8.8 2.7 21.00 9 1.2 1.2 3.9 22.00 12 1.5 1.5 5.5 23.00 1.1.1 5.6 24.00 1.1.1 5.7 25.00 12 1.6 1.6 7.3 26.00 3.4.4 7.7 27.00 5.7.7 8.4 28.00 7.9 1.0 9.3 29.00 9 1.2 1.2 10.6 30.00 7 1.0 1.0 11.5 31.00 9 1.2 1.2 12.7 32.00 9 1.2 1.2 14.0 33.00 7.9.9 14.9 34.00 6.7.7 15.6 35.00 9 1.2 1.2 16.8 36.00 11 1.4 1.5 18.3 37.00 12 1.5 1.5 19.8 38.00 8 1.1 1.1 20.9 39.00 6.7.7 21.6 40.00 17 2.2 2.3 23.9 41.00 8 1.1 1.1 25.0 42.00 18 2.3 2.3 27.3 43.00 14 1.8 1.8 29.1 44.00 9 1.2 1.2 30.3 45.00 13 1.7 1.8 32.1 46.00 10 1.3 1.3 33.4 47.00 12 1.6 1.6 35.0 48.00 8 1.0 1.0 36.0 49.00 13 1.7 1.7 37.7

What is your age? 50.00 36 4.7 4.8 42.5 51.00 13 1.7 1.7 44.3 52.00 12 1.6 1.6 45.9 53.00 14 1.8 1.9 47.8 54.00 11 1.4 1.5 49.2 55.00 12 1.6 1.6 50.8 56.00 9 1.1 1.1 52.0 57.00 25 3.2 3.3 55.2 58.00 25 3.2 3.2 58.5 59.00 14 1.8 1.9 60.3 60.00 24 3.1 3.1 63.5 61.00 15 2.0 2.0 65.5 62.00 19 2.5 2.5 68.0 63.00 16 2.1 2.1 70.1 64.00 20 2.6 2.6 72.7 65.00 26 3.3 3.4 76.1 66.00 14 1.9 1.9 78.0 67.00 15 2.0 2.0 80.0 68.00 11 1.5 1.5 81.5 69.00 9 1.1 1.1 82.6 70.00 12 1.5 1.5 84.2 71.00 11 1.5 1.5 85.7 72.00 12 1.6 1.6 87.3 73.00 13 1.6 1.6 88.9 74.00 5.6.6 89.6 75.00 12 1.6 1.6 91.2 76.00 7.9.9 92.1 77.00 6.7.7 92.8 78.00 4.5.5 93.3 79.00 5.6.6 94.0 80.00 7.9.9 94.8 81.00 6.7.8 95.6

What is your age? 82.00 8 1.0 1.0 96.6 83.00 4.5.5 97.1 84.00 3.3.3 97.5 85.00 6.7.7 98.2 86.00 2.3.3 98.5 87.00 4.5.5 99.0 88.00 5.6.6 99.6 90.00 2.3.3 99.9 96.00 1.1.1 100.0 Total 764 98.5 100.0 Missing 99.00 12 1.5 Household phone category landline only 39 5.0 5.0 5.0 cell and landline 660 85.1 85.1 90.0 cell only 77 10.0 10.0 100.0 100.0