The International Education Market in China

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The International Education Market in China A report commissioned by Australian Education International in the Australian Government Department of Education, Science and Training China in the Global Education Market The number of Chinese students abroad, including in Australia, continues to grow According to OECD figures, China accounts for 15% of all international students, making it the single biggest source country Australian International Education Conference 2006 - www.idp.com/aiec 1

China in the Global Education Market The number of students from China enrolled in Australian institutions rose by 17.8% between 2004 and 2005 Higher education saw the largest increase, with yearon-year growth of 32.6% VTE saw growth of 22.7% Elicos grew by 8.6% The only sector to witness a decline was schools, with enrolments from China falling by 13.7% China in the Global Education Market At the same time, China is joining the competition to draw international students The number of international students at Chinese universities is projected to rise to 120,000 next year, up from 86,000 in 2004 The top three sources of international students in China are the Republic of Korea (41%), Japan (19%) and America (8%) Australian International Education Conference 2006 - www.idp.com/aiec 2

Research scope and objectives Analyse key developments and trends affecting demand for international education in China and the likely impact on demand for Australian education Analyse the range of issues affecting demand for international education in China Analyse the competitiveness of the Australian education and training industry in China Identify strategies for the industry to pursue to better position itself in the future Main findings Demand for Australian education will remain high The flow of Chinese students to Australia will be determined by the following factors Increased quality and capacity of domestic higher education Intensifying competition from other countries Continued establishment of educational joint ventures in China The employment prospects of students who study overseas Australian International Education Conference 2006 - www.idp.com/aiec 3

Perceptions of foreign education Perceptions of international programmes offered in China Australian International Education Conference 2006 - www.idp.com/aiec 4

Twinning programmes: Higher education What do students think? Interviews and focus groups suggested that programmes offered in China are only for: Students who cannot gain entrance to top universities Students who cannot afford overseas study Students also believed that only second-tier (or worse) foreign institutions entered into such arrangements in China Employers were more positive about such programmes, provided that the local partner is a reputable university Twinning programmes: Outlook Intensifying competition Increased scrutiny and more stringent registration criteria Switch to articulation programmes, or complete withdrawal to avoid difficulties of operating in China Australian International Education Conference 2006 - www.idp.com/aiec 5

Foundations How are they viewed? Preparation for university, particularly with English competency A way to improve language skills and job prospects Are they effective? The success rate of students going from foundation programmes in China to prominent universities abroad is low Chinese partners seek to offer programmes with the possibility of entry to several institutions Pathways and foundations: Outlook The potential for pathway and foundation programmes is generally positive Foundation programmes could meet the needs of families concerned about the ability of their child to succeed abroad Pastoral care Ability to cope in new education system and different culture The Ministry of Education is believed to be in favour of foundation programmes conducted in China Australian International Education Conference 2006 - www.idp.com/aiec 6

ELICOS Interest in stand-alone English programmes is minimal. Why? Lower income levels in China compared to Japan and Republic of Korea Product offerings not well understood Perception that language requirements for visas are too difficult Government directive that seems to discourage such study Affiliations of education agents with domestic English-language programmes Elicos: Outlook Demand for English-language training in China will continue to rise Potential to develop the market for study tours Australian International Education Conference 2006 - www.idp.com/aiec 7

Schools Why is the number of high school students going to Australia to study declining? High cost Language requirements (perception that visa requirement is unpredictable) Parental concerns about safety The difficulty of admission to good private schools and lack of choice over state schools VTE There is a strong tendency for VTE projects to be supported by substantial funding from bilateral aid programmes or international development agencies Operators from competing countries suggest that few programmes are self-supporting. Exceptions: business-related courses pathway programmes Australian International Education Conference 2006 - www.idp.com/aiec 8

VTE: Outlook Demand for VTE will increase as China seeks to meet the needs of the labour market and ease unemployment The Ministry of Education is likely to unveil a new policy that synthesizes the best practices of various VTE models Benchmarking Australia ranked third overall, behind Canada and China Australian International Education Conference 2006 - www.idp.com/aiec 9

Benchmarking: Strengths and weaknesses Australia scored highly on national education market environment and financing It scored less well on ease of entry and macroeconomic and demographic outlook (economic growth projections and relative size of various age groups) Benchmarking: Strengths Australia ranks highly (ie first or second) for the following variables: National education market environment Number of available places for study at the graduate level compared with number of applications Average programme length for undergraduate and the VTE sector Number of overseas students (per 100 total students in higher education) Budget for promotion of education in China Australian International Education Conference 2006 - www.idp.com/aiec 10

Response Recommendation Prepare for increased scrutiny of TNE programs, tougher audits and focus on quality Concentrate on predeparture preparations, pathway and foundation programs Response Transnational Quality Strategy; seminars on QA for TNE; promotion of Australian TNE SIA; agent training programs; exhibitions Timing Oct 2006; May 2007 06-07 FY Response Recommendation Increase whole of govt collaboration to consistently brand Australia VTE model promotion Response Combined exhibitions; second tier city focus; greater coordination across government agencies Support for VTE model at national and provincial levels; continued support at policy and operational level Timing 06-07 FY Late 06; June 07 Australian International Education Conference 2006 - www.idp.com/aiec 11

Response Recommendation Alumni development Response Support for alumni activities chapter establishment though Auscham Timing 06-07 FY Australian International Education Conference 2006 - www.idp.com/aiec 12