Global Demography: China July 21, 217 Dr. Edward Yardeni 16-972-7683 eyardeni@ Debbie Johnson 48-664-1333 djohnson@ Mali Quintana 48-664-1333 aquintana@ Please visit our sites at www. blog. thinking outside the box
Table Of Contents Table Of Contents China Demography 1-7 July 21, 217 / Global Demography: China www.
China Demography 1.4 Figure 1. CHINA: POPULATION (billions, ratio scale) 216 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1. 1..8.8.6.6 49 1 3 7 9 61 63 6 67 69 71 73 7 77 79 81 83 8 87 89 91 93 9 97 99 1 3 7 9 11 13 17 19 21 Source: State Statistical Bureau of the People s Republic of China. Figure 2. CHINA: POPULATION (1-year change, millions) 3 3. 2 1-year growth rate at annualized rate 2 2. 1 1. 216 216 9 61 63 6 67 69 71 73 7 77 79 81 83 8 87 89 91 93 9 97 99 1 3 7 9 11 13 17 19 21. Source: State Statistical Bureau of the People s Republic of China. Page 1 / July 21, 217 / Global Demography: China www.
China Demography 3 Figure 3. CHINA: POPULATION (1-year change, millions) 3 2 2 1 216 1 - - -1-1 - 49 1 3 7 9 61 63 6 67 69 71 73 7 77 79 81 83 8 87 89 91 93 9 97 99 1 3 7 9 11 13 17 19 Source: State Statistical Bureau of the People s Republic of China. - 3 3. Figure 4. CHINA: POPULATION (yearly percent change) 3 3. 2 2 2. 2. 1. 1. 216.. - - -1. -1. - - -2. 49 1 3 7 9 61 63 6 67 69 71 73 7 77 79 81 83 8 87 89 91 93 9 97 99 1 3 7 9 11 13 17 19 21-2. Source: State Statistical Bureau of the People s Republic of China. Page 2 / July 21, 217 / Global Demography: China www.
1 Figure. CHINA: RURAL & URBAN POPULATION (as a percent of total population) China Demography 1 8 8 6 Rural (42) Urban (7.3) 216 6 O C 4 216 4 2 2 2 4 6 8 6 62 64 66 68 7 72 74 76 78 8 82 84 86 88 9 92 94 96 98 2 4 6 8 1 12 14 16 18 2 Note: O = China announced Open Door Policy during December 1978. C = China joined World Trade Organization during December 21. Source: China National Bureau of Statistics. 3 3 2 1 - -1 - -2 3 3 2 1 - -1 - -2 Figure 6. CHINA: URBAN POPULATION (yearly change, millions) RURAL POPULATION 2 4 6 8 6 62 64 66 68 7 72 74 76 78 8 82 84 86 88 9 92 94 96 98 2 4 6 8 1 12 14 16 18 2-2 216 216 3 3 2 1 - -1 - -2 3 3 2 1 - -1 - Page 3 / July 21, 217 / Global Demography: China www.
1.6 Figure 7. CHINA: POPULATION & PROJECTIONS (billions of persons) China Demography 1.6 1.4 1.3 Estimates (through 2) Projections (216 through 299) 2 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1 1. 1.1 1..8.8.6.6 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 1 2 3 3 4 4 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 4. 3 Figure 8. CHINA: POPULATION & PROJECTIONS (yearly percent change) 4. 3 3. 2 Estimates (through 2) Projections (216 through 299) 3. 2 2. 2. 1. 1... - - -1. -1. - 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 1 2 3 3 4 4 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 - Page 4 / July 21, 217 / Global Demography: China www.
1.1 Figure 9. China Demography CHINA: WORKING-AGE POPULATION & PROJECTIONS* (billions of persons) 1.1 Estimates (through 2) Projections (216 through 299).3.3.1 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 1 2 3 3 4 4 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9.1 * Persons -64 years old. 4 Figure 1. CHINA: WORKING-AGE POPULATION & PROJECTIONS* (yearly percent change) 4 3 Estimates (through 2) Projections (216 through 299) 3 2 2 1 1-1 -1-2 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 1 2 3 3 4 4 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9-2 * Persons -64 years old. Page / July 21, 217 / Global Demography: China www.
8 Figure 11. CHINA: URBAN POPULATION & PROJECTIONS (as a percent of total population) China Demography 8 6 Estimates (through 213) Projections (214 through ) 6 4 4 2 2 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 1 2 3 3 4 4 18 16 Figure 12. CHINA: ELDERLY DEPENDENCY RATIO & PROJECTIONS (number of workers per senior) 18 16 14 12 Estimates (through 2) Projections (216 through 299) 14 12 1 8 1 8 6 6 4 4 2 2 61 67 73 79 8 91 97 3 9 21 27 33 39 4 1 7 63 69 7 81 87 93 99 Page 6 / July 21, 217 / Global Demography: China www.
7 7. Figure 13. CHINA:FERTILITY RATE (children per woman) China Demography 7 7. 6 6. Estimates (through 2) Projections (216 through 29) 6 6... 4 4. 3 OCP 4 4. 3 3. 2 2. TCP 3. 2 2. 1. 19 196 197 198 199 2 2 23 24 26 27 28 29 1. Note: OCP = China officially adopts one-child policy in 1979. TCP = China officially adopts two-child policy in 216. 3 Figure 14. CHINA: YOUNGER CHILDREN & OLDER ADULTS (percent of country or regional population*) 3 2 Age Under 6 & Older 2 1 1 19 19 196 196 197 197 198 198 199 199 2 21 2 22 2 23 23 24 24 * Estimates through 2, then projections through. Page 7 / July 21, 217 / Global Demography: China www.
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