THE GRANITE STATE POLL

THE GRANITE STATE POLL November 6, 2016 CLINTON LEADS TRUMP IN FINAL NH POLL, SENATE RACE TIGHT By: Andrew E. Smith, Ph.D. andrew.smith@unh.edu Zachary S. Azem, M.A. 603 862 2226 UNH Survey Center www.unh.edu/survey center DURHAM, NH Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump in the race for New Hampshire s four electoral votes in the final Granite State Poll. Maggie Hassan has a small lead over incumbent Senator Kelly Ayotte, although her lead is within the poll s margin of error. Colin Van Ostern leads Chris Sununu in the race for Governor although a third of the electorate has not definitely decided whom they will vote for. These findings are based on the latest Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Seven hundred and seven (707) randomly selected New Hampshire likely voters were interviewed by landline and cellular telephone between November 3 and November 6, 2016. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/ 3.7 percent. 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Nearly all New Hampshire voters have decided whom they will vote for in the presidential election on Tuesday. 8 of likely voters say they have definitely decided whom to support, are leaning towards someone, and are still trying to decide. Nearly all Democrats (9) and Republicans (8) say they have definitely decided whom they will vote for while only 6 of Independents have definitely made up their mind. 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 8 7 6 6 4 1 1 1 3 Feb. '15 May. '15 2016 US Presidential Election Decided On Vote 3 4 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 July Sept. Jan. Feb Apr July Aug Oct. Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct Nov '15 '15 '16 '16 '16 '16 '16 17 26 2927 3028 31 29 30 31 1 4 '16 Nov 1Nov 2Nov 3 Definitely Decided Leaning Toward Someone Still Trying To Decide Nov 2 5 Nov 3 6 We ask that this copyrighted information be referred to as the Granite State Poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.

2016 Presidential Election Over the final weekend of the 2016 campaign, 4 of likely New Hampshire voters say they will vote for Hillary Clinton, 3 will vote for Donald Trump, will vote for Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, will vote for Green Party candidate Jill Stein, will vote for another candidate, and are undecided. When undecided voters are asked which way they are leaning, the results become 4 for Clinton, 3 for Trump, for Johnson, for Stein, for someone else, and undecided. When undecided voters are allocated to the candidate they are most likely to vote for, the final prediction is 5 for Clinton, 4 for Trump, for Johnson, for Stein and for other candidates. Clinton is doing better among core Democratic voters (9 ) than Trump is doing among core Republican voters (8 ). Swing voters are evenly divided (3 for Trump, 3 for Clinton and 1 for Gary Johnson). Clinton leads by 25 points among women (5 3) while Trump only leads men 4 to 3. Trump continues to lead among those with a high school degree or less (5 3) while Clinton has a large lead among those who have completed postgraduate work (6 2). Those who have completed technical school or some college (4 3 Clinton) and college graduates (4 4 Clinton) are divided. 6 5 4 3 2 1 5 5 4 4 5 4 4 3 3 3 Vote For US President * Including Undecided but leaning voters 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 4 3 4 4 3 4 Clinton Trump Johnson Stein Other Undecided Clinton/Trump Support Among Core/Swing Voters 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 3 2 3 3 3 3 Oct 26 29 Oct 27 30 Oct 28 31 Oct 29 Nov 1Oct 30 Nov 2Oct 31 Nov 3 Nov 1 4 Nov 2 5 Nov 3 6 Core DEM for Clinton Core GOP for Trump Swing for Clinton Swing for Trump

Favorability of 2016 Presidential Candidates Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton will end the election cycle historically unpopular among New Hampshire likely voters. Two in five (4) have a favorable opinion of Clinton, 5 have an unfavorable opinion of her, and are neutral and don t know. Clinton s net favorability is 1. Clinton is very popular among Democrats (+6) but very unpopular among Independents ( 4) and Republicans ( 8). 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 5 5 3 3 5 4 Apr '16 July '16 Oct 17 '16 Favorability Ratings Hillary Clinton Likely Voters 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 Oct 26 29 Oct 27 30 3 Oct 28 31 Favorable 3 4 4 4 4 4 Oct 29 Nov 1 Oct 30 Nov 2 Unfavorable Oct 31 Nov 3 Nov 1 4 Nov 2 5 Nov 3 6 Donald Trump is even less popular three in ten (2) likely New Hampshire voters have a favorable opinion of Trump, 6 have an unfavorable opinion, and are neutral. Trump s net favorability is 3.Trump is only somewhat popular among Republicans (+3), and is very unpopular among Independents ( 5), and Democrats ( 9). 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 7 2 6 3 6 Apr '16 July '16 Oct 17 '16 Favorability Ratings Donald Trump Likely Voters 2 2 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Oct 26 29 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 Oct 27 30 Oct 28 31 Favorable Oct 29 Nov 1 Oct 30 Nov 2 Unfavorable Oct 31 Nov 3 Nov 1 4 Nov 2 5 Nov 3 6

Who Will Win Presidential Election? Three in five New Hampshire likely voters (6) think that Hillary Clinton will win the presidential election, while just 2 think Trump will win, and 1 are unsure. While nearly all Clinton voters (9) believe that she will win, only 6 of Trump voters think he will win. This measure of electoral races has been shown to be a more accurate predictor of the winner than horse race questions, but not necessarily the margin of victory. 10 Who Will Win Presidential Election? 8 6 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 6 4 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Oct 17 '16 Oct 26 29 Oct 27 30 Oct 28 31 Oct 29 Nov 1 Oct 30 Nov 2 Oct 31 Nov 3 Clinton Trump Other Don't Know Nov 1 4 Nov 2 5 Nov 3 6 2016 US Senate Election The race for U.S. Senator from New Hampshire is likely one of the most expensive races in the country and most voters have decided whom they will vote for. Three in four likely voters (7) say they have definitely decided whom they will vote for, are leaning toward a candidate, and 1 are still trying to decide. 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 8 8 8 1 May '15 July '15 2016 US Senate Election Decided On Vote 7 6 6 4 1 2 2 4 5 5 6 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 Oct Feb Apr. July Aug Oct 17 Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct Oct Nov 1 '15 '16 '16 '16 '16 '16 26 29 27 30 28 31 29 30 31 4 Nov 1 Nov 2 Nov 3 Definitely Decided Leaning Toward Someone Still Trying To Decide 2 1 1 Nov 2 Nov 3 5 6

2016 US Senate Election Ayotte vs. Hassan This race has been very close for more than a year and looks to remain close heading into Election Day. Currently, 4 will vote for Maggie Hassan, 4 would vote for Kelly Ayotte, would vote for someone else, and are undecided. After including undecided voters who have indicated the candidate to whom they are leaning toward, the percentages become 4 for Hassan, 4 for Ayotte, for someone else, and remain undecided. When undecided voters are allocated to the candidate they are most likely to vote for, the final prediction is 5 for Hassan, 4 for Ayotte, and for other candidates. Ayotte and Hassan both have the support of 9 of their core voters while swing voters favor Ayotte 4 3. Ayotte has a double digit lead among men (5 4) but Hassan has a slightly larger lead among women (5 3). 6 5 4 3 2 1 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 US Senate Ayotte vs. Hassan * Includes Undecided But Leaning Voters 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Hassan Ayotte Other Undecided Who Will Win Senate Election? When asked which candidate they think will win the U.S. Senate election, 3 of likely voters think Ayotte will be re elected, 4 think Hassan will win, and 2 are unsure. A majority of Republicans (6) think Ayotte will win, a majority of Democrats (6) think Hassan will win and a 2 of Independents are unsure. 7 of Ayotte voters think that she will win and 6 of Hassan voters believe that she will win. Who Will Win Senate Election? 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Oct 26 29 Oct 27 30 Oct 28 31 Oct 29 Nov 1 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 Oct 30 Nov Oct 31 Nov 2 3 Hassan Ayotte Other Don't Know Nov 1 4 Nov 2 5 Nov 3 6

NH Gubernatorial Election With high profile presidential and Senate races, the race for New Hampshire Governor has flown under the political radar. Only 6 of New Hampshire likely voters say they have definitely decided whom they will vote for, are leaning towards someone, and 3 are still trying to decide. 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2016 NH Governor Election Decided On Vote 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Oct 17 '16 Oct 26 29 Oct 27 30 Oct 28 31 Oct 29 NovOct 30 NovOct 31 Nov Nov 1 4 Nov 2 5 Nov 3 6 1 2 3 Definitely Decided Leaning Toward Someone Still Trying To Decide If the election was held today, 4 of New Hampshire likely voters would vote for Democrat Colin Van Ostern, 3 would vote for Republican Chris Sununu, would vote for someone else, and 1 are undecided. When undecided voters are asked which way they are leaning, the percentages become 4 for Van Ostern, 3 for Sununu, for someone else, and 1 remain undecided. Van Ostern is doing better amongst Core Democratic voters (9 ) than Sununu is among Core Republican voters (8 ) and Van Ostern has a slight edge among swing voters 3 3. When undecided voters are allocated to the candidate they are most likely to vote for, the final prediction is 5 for Van Ostern, 4 for Sununu, and for other candidates. 6 5 4 4 4 4 4 NH Governor Van Ostern vs. Sununu * Includes Undecided But Leaning Voters 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 2 1 Oct 17 '16* Oct 26 29* Oct 27 30* Oct 28 31* Oct 29 Nov 1* Oct 30 Nov 2* Oct 31 Nov 3* Nov 1 4* Nov 2 5* Nov 3 6* Prediction Van Ostern Sununu Other Undecided

Who Will Win NH Governor Election? When asked which candidate they think will win the Gubernatorial election, more than a third (3) of likely voters are unsure. 3 think Sununu will win while 2 think Van Ostern will win. Seven in ten (7) Sununu voters believe he will win compared to only 5 of Van Ostern voters predicting his victory. Who Will Win Gubernatorial Election? 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 Oct 26 29 Oct 27 30 Oct 28 31 Oct 29 Nov 1 2 Oct 30 Nov 2 3 2 2 2 2 Oct 31 Nov 3 Van Ostern Sununu Other Don't Know Nov 1 4 Nov 2 5 Nov 3 6

Granite State Poll Methodology These findings are based on the latest Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Seven hundred and seven (707) randomly selected New Hampshire likely voters were interviewed by landline and cellular telephone between November 3 and November 6, 2016. If a household included more than one adult, the adult who had the most recent birthday was selected to be interviewed. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/ 3.7 percent. These MSE s have not been adjusted for design effect. The design effect for the survey is 1.. The random sample used in the Granite State Poll was purchased from Marketing Systems Group (MSG), Horsham, PA. MSG screens each selected telephone number to eliminate non working numbers, disconnected numbers, and business numbers to improve the efficiency of the sample, reducing the amount of time interviewers spend calling non usable numbers. The data have been weighted to adjust for numbers of adults and telephone lines within households. Additionally, data were weighted by respondent sex, age, and region of the state to targets from the most recent American Community Survey (ACS) conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau. In addition to potential sampling error, all surveys have other potential sources of nonsampling error including question order effects, question wording effects, and non response. Due to rounding, percentages may not sum to 10. The number of respondents in each demographic below may not equal the number reported in crosstabulation tables as some respondents choose not to answer some questions. For more information about the methodology used in the Granite State Poll, contact Dr. Andrew Smith at (603) 862 2226 or by email at andrew.smith@unh.edu. Granite State Poll, November 6 2016 Likely Voter Demographics Sex N % Region N % Male 381 4 North Country 55 Female 399 5 Central/Lakes 118 1 Connecticut Valley 112 1 Age N % Mass Border 186 2 18 to 34 163 2 Seacoast 113 1 35 to 49 170 2 Manchester Area 122 1 50 to 64 218 3 65 and Over 132 1 Party Registration N % Democrat 220 3 Highest Level of Education N % Undeclared/Not Reg. 272 3 High School or Less 103 1 Republican 212 3 Some College 162 2 College Graduate 261 3 Party Identification N % Post Graduate 167 2 Democrat 298 4 Independent 111 1 Republican 277 4

Firmness of Presidential Vote Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the election for President are you leaning toward someone or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide? Definitely Decided Leaning Toward Someone Still Trying To Decide Nov 3 6 8 (707) Nov 2 5 8 (659) Nov 1 4 8 (600) Oct 31 Nov 3 8 1 (522) Oct 30 Nov 2 8 1 (473) Oct 29 Nov 1 7 1 (478) Oct 28 31 7 1 (527) Oct 27 30 7 1 (477) Oct 26 29 7 1 (530) Oct 17 16 7 1 1 (764) Aug 16 6 1 1 (432) July 16 6 1 2 (465) Apr 16 4 2 3 (549) Feb 16 3 3 3 (620) Jan 16 3 2 4 (885) Sept 15 1 2 6 (743) July 15 1 2 6 (650) May 15 1 1 7 (625) Feb. 15 1 8 (768) US President Thinking about the presidential election will you vote for Donald Trump, the Republican Hillary Clinton, the Democrat Gary Johnson, the Libertarian Jill Stein of the Green Party some other candidate. or will you skip this election? ROTATE CANDIDATES *Johnson and Stein included starting in July 2016 July 15 Sept 15 Jan. 16 Feb 16 Apr 16 July 16 Aug 16 Oct 17 16 Trump 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 Clinton 5 5 4 4 5 3 4 4 Johnson 1 1 Stein Other 1 1 1 Undecided (N=) (619) (692) (839) (578) (533) (460) (417) (755) Oct Oct Oct Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31 Nov Nov Nov 26 29 27 30 28 31 Nov 1 Nov 2 Nov 3 1 4 2 5 3 6 Trump 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Clinton 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Johnson Stein Other Undecided (N=) (518) (463) (513) (468) (466) (515) (590) (646) (693)

US President With Leaners Would you say you are leaning towards Donald Trump, the Republican Hillary Clinton, the Democrat Gary Johnson, the Libertarian or Jill Stein of the Green Party? ROTATE CANDIDATES Oct Oct Oct Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31 Nov Nov Nov Oct 17 26 29 27 30 28 31 Nov 1 Nov 2 Nov 3 1 4 2 5 3 6 Prediction Trump 3 3 4 3 3 4 3 4 4 3 4 Clinton 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 Johnson Stein Other Undecided (N=) (755) (516) (463) (513) (468) (466) (515) (588) (645) (692) Presidential Candidate Favorability Ratings Likely Presidential Election Voters "Next, I'd like to get your overall opinion of the candidates who are running for President. As I read each name, please say if you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of this person or if you have never heard of him or her." "First, how about... ROTATE CANDIDATES Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton? Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know Net Nov 3 6 4 5 1 (701) Nov 2 5 4 5 1 (652) Nov 1 4 4 5 1 (594) Oct 31 Nov 3 4 5 1 (522) Oct 30 Nov 2 4 5 1 (473) Oct 29 Nov 1 3 5 1 (480) Oct 28 31 3 5 2 (528) Oct 27 30 3 5 1 (476) Oct 26 29 3 5 1 (532) Oct 17 16 4 5 1 (767) July 16 3 5 2 (468) Apr. 16 3 5 2 (553) Businessman Donald Trump? Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don t Know Net Nov 3 6 2 6 3 (703) Nov 2 5 3 6 3 (655) Nov 1 4 3 6 3 (598) Oct 31 Nov 3 3 6 3 (523) Oct 30 Nov 2 3 6 2 (474) Oct 29 Nov 1 3 6 3 (480) Oct 28 31 3 6 3 (529) Oct 27 30 3 6 3 (477) Oct 26 29 2 6 3 (533) Oct 17 16 2 6 4 (767) July 16 3 6 2 (466) Apr. 16 2 7 5 (553)

Who Will Win Presidential Election? Regardless of who you are voting for, which candidate do you think is most likely to win the presidential election? Oct Oct Oct Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31 Nov Nov Nov Oct 17 26 29 27 30 28 31 Nov 1 Nov 2 Nov 3 1 4 2 5 3 6 Trump 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Clinton 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 6 Johnson Stein Other Undecided 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 (N=) (762) (531) (477) (529) (480) (474) (522) (596) (655) (703) Firmness of Choice For New Hampshire Senate Likely Voters Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the New Hampshire Senate election are you leaning toward someone or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide? Def. Decided Leaning Trying to Decide (N=) Nov 3 6 7 1 (693) Nov 2 5 7 1 (647) Nov 1 4 7 2 (590) Oct 31 Nov 3 6 2 (520) Oct 30 Nov 2 6 2 (470) Oct 29 Nov 1 6 1 2 (479) Oct 28 31 5 1 2 (529) Oct 27 30 6 1 2 (478) Oct 26 29 5 1 3 (534) Oct 17 16 5 1 3 (748) Aug 16 4 1 4 (422) July 16 2 1 6 (460) Apr 16 2 1 6 (538) Feb 16 1 7 (588) Oct 15 8 (506) July 15 1 8 (464) May 15 8 (518)

US Senate Ayotte vs. Hassan Likely Voters Thinking about the US Senate election, will you vote for Kelly Ayotte, the Republican Maggie Hassan, the Democrat some other candidate or will you skip this election? ROTATE CANDIDATES May 15 July 15 Oct 15 Feb 16 Apr 16 July 16 Aug 16 Oct 17 16 Ayotte 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 Hassan 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Other Undecided 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 (N=) (501) (468) (498) (597) (527) (448) (412) (725) Oct Oct Oct Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31 Nov Nov Nov 26 29 27 30 28 31 Nov 1 Nov 2 Nov 3 1 4 2 5 3 6 Ayotte 4 4 4 4 3 3 4 4 4 Hassan 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Other Undecided 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 (N=) (514) (461) (510) (464) (461) (511) (581) (634) (679) US Senate Ayotte vs. Hassan Likely Voters With Leaners Would you say you are leaning towards Kelly Ayotte, the Republican or Maggie Hassan, the Democrat? ROTATE CANDIDATES Oct Oct Oct Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31 Nov Nov Nov Oct 17 26 29 27 30 28 31 Nov 1 Nov 2 Nov 3 1 4 2 5 3 6 Prediction Ayotte 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Hassan 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 Other Undecided (N=) (724) (514) (461) (509) (462) (460) (509) (581) (634) (679) Who Will Win Senate Election? Regardless of who you are voting for, which candidate do you think is most likely to win the US Senate election? Oct Oct Oct Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31 Nov Nov Nov 26 29 27 30 28 31 Nov 1 Nov 2 Nov 3 1 4 2 5 3 6 Ayotte 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Hassan 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 Other Undecided 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 (N=) (530) (477) (528) (479) (473) (520) (593) (647) (696)

Firmness of Choice For New Hampshire Governor Likely Voters Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the New Hampshire Gubernatorial election are you leaning toward someone or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide? Def. Decided Leaning Trying to Decide (N=) Nov 3 6 6 3 (695) Nov 2 5 6 3 (646) Nov 1 4 6 3 (587) Oct 31 Nov 3 6 3 (515) Oct 30 Nov 2 5 3 (465) Oct 29 Nov 1 5 1 3 (477) Oct 28 31 4 1 3 (526) Oct 27 30 5 1 3 (476) Oct 26 29 5 1 3 (532) Oct 17 16 5 1 3 (748) Aug 16 4 1 4 (422) July 16 2 1 6 (460) Apr 16 2 1 6 (538) Feb 16 1 7 (588) Oct 15 8 (506) July 15 1 8 (464) May 15 8 (518) NH Gubernatorial Election Thinking about the Gubernatorial election, will you vote for Chris Sununu, the Republican Colin Van Ostern, the Democrat some other candidate. or will you skip this election? ROTATE CANDIDATES Oct Oct Oct Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31 Nov Nov Nov Oct 17 26 29 27 30 28 31 Nov 1 Nov 2 Nov 3 1 4 2 5 3 6 Sununu 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Van Ostern 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 Other Undecided 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 (N=) (676) (505) (454) (503) (461) (457) (507) (574) (631) (672) NH Gubernatorial Election With Leaners Would you say you are leaning towards Chris Sununu, the Republican or Colin Van Ostern, the Democrat? ROTATE CANDIDATES Oct Oct Oct Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31 Nov Nov Nov Oct 17 26 29 27 30 28 31 Nov 1 Nov 2 Nov 3 1 4 2 5 3 6 Prediction Sununu 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 4 Van Ostern 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 Other Undecided 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 (N=) (673) (503) (452) (501) (460) (455) (505) (572) (628) (671)

Who Will Win Gubernatorial Election? Regardless of who you are voting for, which candidate do you think is most likely to win the Gubernatorial election? Oct Oct Oct Oct 29 Oct 30 Oct 31 Nov Nov Nov 26 29 27 30 28 31 Nov 1 Nov 2 Nov 3 1 4 2 5 3 6 Sununu 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Van Ostern 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Other Undecided 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 (N=) (530) (477) (528) (479) (471) (517) (590) (646) (696)

RegisteredDemocrat RegisteredUndeclared/NotReg. RegisteredRepublican Democrat Independent Republican CoreDEM SwingVoter CoreGOP WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency ExtremelyInterestedinElection VeryInterested Somewhat/NotVeryInterested 18to34 35to49 50to64 65andolder Male Female Male,Maried Female,Maried Male,Unmaried Female,Unmaried WorkingClassMen WorkingClassWomen ColegeEducMen ColegeEducWomen Highschoolorless Technicalschool/Somecolege Colegegraduate Postgraduatework Central/Lakes ConnecticutValey ManchesterArea MassBorder NorthCountry Seacoast FirstCong.District SecondCong.District 1 1 8 7 9 1 1 8 6 9 1 1 8 6 9 2 2 5 8 2 1 1 6 8 9 1 1 9 8 8 7 1 8 8 1 1 1 8 7 9 8 1 1 8 8 8 7 1 1 8 8 8 8 1 1 1 8 8 8 7 9 8 8 8 212 272 220 277 111 298 240 177 290 40 667 68 191 446 132 218 170 163 367 339 136 131 227 202 236 192 127 138 167 260 162 103 113 55 186 122 112 118 358 349 707 DefinitelyDecided LeaningTowardSomeone StilTryingToDecide NHLikelyVoters 8 DecidedonVoteForUSPresident

RegisteredDemocrat RegisteredUndeclared/NotReg. RegisteredRepublican Democrat Independent Republican CoreDEM SwingVoter CoreGOP DefinitelyDecided LeaningTowardsSomeone StilTryingToDecide WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency ExtremelyInterestedinElection VeryInterested Somewhat/NotVeryInterested 18to34 35to49 50to64 65andolder Male Female Male,Maried Female,Maried Male,Unmaried Female,Unmaried WorkingClassMen WorkingClassWomen ColegeEducMen ColegeEducWomen Highschoolorless Technicalschool/Somecolege Colegegraduate Postgraduatework Central/Lakes ConnecticutValey ManchesterArea MassBorder NorthCountry Seacoast FirstCong.District SecondCong.District 1 1 4 9 7 3 1 1 3 9 7 3 1 1 3 9 8 3 6 2 1 1 2 5 2 4 3 1 3 4 1 3 2 1 2 4 5 4 3 3 1 5 5 4 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 3 4 1 5 3 5 4 3 4 3 4 1 1 6 4 4 3 2 4 4 4 1 6 4 4 3 2 4 3 5 1 1 5 5 4 4 6 3 3 2 4 4 2 4 5 4 3 4 210 263 219 273 107 296 237 168 288 53 50 591 39 655 68 183 440 130 214 166 162 362 331 135 127 223 200 233 187 125 137 164 256 158 103 110 55 185 118 110 115 354 340 693 Trump Clinton Johnson Stein Other Undecided NHLikelyVoters 4 3 VoteforUSPresident

RegisteredDemocrat RegisteredUndeclared/NotReg. RegisteredRepublican Democrat Independent Republican CoreDEM SwingVoter CoreGOP DefinitelyDecided LeaningTowardsSomeone StilTryingToDecide WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency ExtremelyInterestedinElection VeryInterested Somewhat/NotVeryInterested 18to34 35to49 50to64 65andolder Male Female Male,Maried Female,Maried Male,Unmaried Female,Unmaried WorkingClassMen WorkingClassWomen ColegeEducMen ColegeEducWomen Highschoolorless Technicalschool/Somecolege Colegegraduate Postgraduatework Central/Lakes ConnecticutValey ManchesterArea MassBorder NorthCountry Seacoast FirstCong.District SecondCong.District 1 4 9 8 3 1 1 3 9 8 3 1 1 3 9 8 3 4 1 1 1 3 5 1 3 4 1 1 3 5 2 3 1 2 4 5 4 3 3 1 5 5 4 3 3 3 4 3 1 5 3 3 4 1 6 3 5 4 3 4 3 4 1 6 4 4 3 2 4 4 4 1 6 4 4 3 2 4 3 5 1 1 1 5 5 4 4 6 4 3 2 4 4 3 4 5 4 3 4 210 261 219 273 107 294 237 168 286 53 50 589 39 653 68 182 440 130 214 166 160 360 331 133 127 223 200 233 187 123 137 164 256 158 102 110 55 185 118 108 115 352 340 692 Trump Clinton Johnson Stein Other Undecided NHLikelyVoters 4 3 VoteforUSPresidentWithLeaners

RegisteredDemocrat RegisteredUndeclared/NotReg. RegisteredRepublican Democrat Independent Republican CoreDEM SwingVoter CoreGOP WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency ExtremelyInterestedinElection VeryInterested Somewhat/NotVeryInterested TrumpVoter ClintonVoter JohnsonVoter SteinVoter Other/Undecided 18to34 35to49 50to64 65andolder Male Female Male,Maried Female,Maried Male,Unmaried Female,Unmaried WorkingClassMen WorkingClassWomen ColegeEducMen ColegeEducWomen Highschoolorless Technicalschool/Somecolege Colegegraduate Postgraduatework Central/Lakes ConnecticutValey ManchesterArea MassBorder NorthCountry Seacoast FirstCong.District SecondCong.District 1 1 3 6 8 5 2 1 2 2 6 8 5 1 2 1 2 5 9 5 2 1 1 7 6 1 2 1 2 1 5 5 6 2 2 2 2 3 1 2 6 6 7 9 1 1 6 1 1 1 1 5 5 6 6 2 2 2 2 1 1 6 5 2 2 1 1 1 1 6 5 6 5 1 2 2 3 1 1 2 1 6 6 5 5 1 2 2 3 1 1 1 1 7 6 5 4 1 2 2 3 1 1 1 1 2 6 6 5 5 6 5 2 2 3 2 2 2 1 1 6 5 2 2 212 268 220 277 110 298 240 175 289 40 664 68 190 444 42 5 41 338 265 131 217 170 163 368 336 137 131 227 200 236 190 127 138 166 260 162 103 112 55 185 122 112 117 357 346 703 Trump Clinton Johnson Other DontKnow NHLikelyVoters 1 6 2 USPresident-WhoWilWin?

RegisteredDemocrat RegisteredUndeclared/NotReg. RegisteredRepublican Democrat Independent Republican CoreDEM SwingVoter CoreGOP WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency ExtremelyInterestedinElection VeryInterested Somewhat/NotVeryInterested TrumpVoter ClintonVoter JohnsonVoter SteinVoter Other/Undecided 18to34 35to49 50to64 65andolder Male Female Male,Maried Female,Maried Male,Unmaried Female,Unmaried WorkingClassMen WorkingClassWomen ColegeEducMen ColegeEducWomen Highschoolorless Technicalschool/Somecolege Colegegraduate Postgraduatework Central/Lakes ConnecticutValey ManchesterArea MassBorder NorthCountry Seacoast FirstCong.District SecondCong.District 2 7 9 6 2 2 7 9 1 6 2 2 6 9 1 6 2 7 6 1 3 5 6 6 1 3 2 2 7 10 8 9 1 1 1 1 1 7 7 6 6 6 2 2 2 3 6 6 2 3 6 5 6 6 2 3 2 3 7 6 5 5 1 2 2 3 4 8 6 5 4 1 1 3 3 4 7 7 5 5 7 6 2 2 3 3 2 2 6 6 2 3 211 269 220 276 110 298 239 174 290 39 664 66 190 445 41 5 41 339 263 131 218 170 163 365 338 137 131 226 201 235 191 127 138 167 260 161 103 113 55 184 122 111 118 356 347 703 Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don'tKnow NHLikelyVoters 6 2 Favorability-DonaldTrump

RegisteredDemocrat RegisteredUndeclared/NotReg. RegisteredRepublican Democrat Independent Republican CoreDEM SwingVoter CoreGOP WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency ExtremelyInterestedinElection VeryInterested Somewhat/NotVeryInterested TrumpVoter ClintonVoter JohnsonVoter SteinVoter Other/Undecided 18to34 35to49 50to64 65andolder Male Female Male,Maried Female,Maried Male,Unmaried Female,Unmaried WorkingClassMen WorkingClassWomen ColegeEducMen ColegeEducWomen Highschoolorless Technicalschool/Somecolege Colegegraduate Postgraduatework Central/Lakes ConnecticutValey ManchesterArea MassBorder NorthCountry Seacoast FirstCong.District SecondCong.District 9 5 1 1 3 7 9 6 1 1 2 7 9 6 1 2 8 5 5 1 2 4 6 5 5 1 2 3 4 7 7 8 1 9 1 2 1 7 4 5 5 6 4 4 3 3 4 6 4 2 4 6 4 6 4 2 5 3 4 6 5 7 5 3 3 2 3 5 5 6 5 3 3 2 4 4 5 6 4 6 4 4 3 3 5 3 5 5 4 3 211 269 218 277 109 296 240 173 288 39 662 66 188 445 41 5 41 336 264 131 218 168 163 366 336 136 131 227 199 236 189 127 138 167 258 161 103 113 54 184 122 109 118 354 347 701 Favorable Neutral Unfavorable Don'tKnow NHLikelyVoters 5 4 Favorability-HilaryClinton

RegisteredDemocrat RegisteredUndeclared/NotReg. RegisteredRepublican Democrat Independent Republican CoreDEM SwingVoter CoreGOP WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency ExtremelyInterestedinElection VeryInterested Somewhat/NotVeryInterested 18to34 35to49 50to64 65andolder Male Female Male,Maried Female,Maried Male,Unmaried Female,Unmaried WorkingClassMen WorkingClassWomen ColegeEducMen ColegeEducWomen Highschoolorless Technicalschool/Somecolege Colegegraduate Postgraduatework Central/Lakes ConnecticutValey ManchesterArea MassBorder NorthCountry Seacoast FirstCong.District SecondCong.District 1 2 1 7 7 8 1 2 1 1 7 6 8 1 2 1 1 7 5 8 3 1 1 4 7 4 2 4 6 8 1 1 2 1 1 8 8 7 6 1 2 8 7 2 3 1 1 7 5 8 7 1 1 2 2 1 8 7 7 6 1 1 2 3 1 8 8 6 6 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 7 6 7 7 8 7 1 1 7 7 210 263 218 272 108 293 238 167 289 37 657 62 187 443 131 217 167 156 361 332 133 127 224 200 232 189 125 135 164 256 159 100 111 54 184 118 112 114 352 341 693 DefinitelyDecided LeaningTowardSomeone StilTryingToDecide NHLikelyVoters 1 7 DecidedonVoteforUSSenate

RegisteredDemocrat RegisteredUndeclared/NotReg. RegisteredRepublican Democrat Independent Republican CoreDEM SwingVoter CoreGOP DefinitelyDecided LeaningTowardsSomeone StilTryingToDecide WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency ExtremelyInterestedinElection VeryInterested Somewhat/NotVeryInterested TrumpVoter ClintonVoter JohnsonVoter SteinVoter Other/Undecided 18to34 35to49 50to64 65andolder Male Female Male,Maried Female,Maried Male,Unmaried Female,Unmaried WorkingClassMen WorkingClassWomen ColegeEducMen ColegeEducWomen Highschoolorless Technicalschool/Somecolege Colegegraduate Postgraduatework Central/Lakes ConnecticutValey ManchesterArea MassBorder NorthCountry Seacoast FirstCong.District SecondCong.District 1 4 8 8 4 1 4 8 8 3 2 3 9 9 4 4 2 3 5 3 5 4 1 3 4 5 4 1 1 2 3 5 5 5 3 2 1 2 10 3 8 4 5 8 1 5 5 5 3 4 4 4 5 5 3 3 5 1 5 3 5 4 3 5 4 4 1 1 6 4 4 3 3 4 4 5 1 6 4 3 3 2 4 5 4 1 5 5 3 3 6 4 3 4 5 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 208 258 211 273 102 288 237 160 282 107 52 517 37 642 60 181 437 40 4 41 330 256 128 215 165 150 356 324 130 121 221 199 229 188 122 128 162 255 155 96 112 52 183 111 109 114 346 333 679 Ayote Hassan Other Undecided NHLikelyVoters 4 4 VoteforUSSenate-Ayotevs.Hassan

RegisteredDemocrat RegisteredUndeclared/NotReg. RegisteredRepublican Democrat Independent Republican CoreDEM SwingVoter CoreGOP DefinitelyDecided LeaningTowardsSomeone StilTryingToDecide WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency ExtremelyInterestedinElection VeryInterested Somewhat/NotVeryInterested TrumpVoter ClintonVoter JohnsonVoter SteinVoter Other/Undecided 18to34 35to49 50to64 65andolder Male Female Male,Maried Female,Maried Male,Unmaried Female,Unmaried WorkingClassMen WorkingClassWomen ColegeEducMen ColegeEducWomen Highschoolorless Technicalschool/Somecolege Colegegraduate Postgraduatework Central/Lakes ConnecticutValey ManchesterArea MassBorder NorthCountry Seacoast FirstCong.District SecondCong.District 4 9 8 4 1 4 9 8 4 1 3 9 9 4 2 3 3 5 3 6 4 1 3 5 5 4 1 3 4 5 5 5 4 2 2 10 3 8 4 6 8 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 5 5 4 3 5 5 3 5 4 3 5 4 5 6 4 4 3 3 5 4 5 1 7 4 4 3 2 5 5 4 5 5 3 4 6 4 3 4 5 5 3 4 5 4 4 4 208 258 211 273 102 288 237 160 282 107 52 517 37 642 60 181 437 40 4 41 330 256 128 215 165 150 356 324 130 121 221 199 229 188 122 128 162 255 155 96 112 52 183 111 109 114 346 333 679 Ayote Hassan Other Undecided NHLikelyVoters 4 4 VoteforUSSenate-Ayotevs.HassanWithLeaners

RegisteredDemocrat RegisteredUndeclared/NotReg. RegisteredRepublican Democrat Independent Republican CoreDEM SwingVoter CoreGOP AyoteVoter HassanVoter Other/Undecided WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency ExtremelyInterestedinElection VeryInterested Somewhat/NotVeryInterested 18to34 35to49 50to64 65andolder Male Female Male,Maried Female,Maried Male,Unmaried Female,Unmaried WorkingClassMen WorkingClassWomen ColegeEducMen ColegeEducWomen Highschoolorless Technicalschool/Somecolege Colegegraduate Postgraduatework Central/Lakes ConnecticutValey ManchesterArea MassBorder NorthCountry Seacoast FirstCong.District SecondCong.District 1 2 2 1 3 6 6 3 1 1 2 2 1 3 6 6 3 1 1 3 2 1 2 6 7 3 5 2 1 1 6 1 3 7 4 2 1 4 3 3 2 3 1 4 2 4 3 4 3 2 2 1 1 4 3 4 4 3 3 3 3 2 2 4 3 3 4 2 2 2 2 4 3 4 3 3 4 3 4 2 2 2 1 5 3 3 2 2 4 3 5 2 2 2 2 5 4 3 3 2 3 4 4 2 2 1 2 2 1 4 4 3 3 4 4 3 3 4 3 2 4 2 2 4 3 3 4 211 264 218 276 108 293 240 169 287 39 332 307 38 657 62 190 442 130 216 170 159 365 331 134 128 226 199 234 188 126 136 163 259 160 101 112 54 185 118 112 116 354 341 696 Ayote Hassan Other DontKnow NHLikelyVoters 2 4 3 USSenate-WhoWilWin?

RegisteredDemocrat RegisteredUndeclared/NotReg. RegisteredRepublican Democrat Independent Republican CoreDEM SwingVoter CoreGOP WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency ExtremelyInterestedinElection VeryInterested Somewhat/NotVeryInterested 18to34 35to49 50to64 65andolder Male Female Male,Maried Female,Maried Male,Unmaried Female,Unmaried WorkingClassMen WorkingClassWomen ColegeEducMen ColegeEducWomen Highschoolorless Technicalschool/Somecolege Colegegraduate Postgraduatework Central/Lakes ConnecticutValey ManchesterArea MassBorder NorthCountry Seacoast FirstCong.District SecondCong.District 3 3 2 6 5 7 3 4 2 6 4 7 2 5 1 6 4 7 4 2 1 3 6 5 3 2 1 3 5 7 1 2 3 4 7 6 6 4 2 3 6 5 3 5 2 2 6 4 7 6 2 2 2 4 7 6 6 4 1 3 3 4 1 7 6 5 5 2 4 3 3 2 3 1 7 5 6 5 7 6 3 3 6 6 211 263 218 271 110 293 240 169 286 37 658 62 189 442 130 218 170 155 363 332 133 125 226 201 235 189 123 134 166 258 156 102 111 52 182 121 112 117 354 341 695 DefinitelyDecided LeaningTowardSomeone StilTryingToDecide NHLikelyVoters 3 6 DecidedonVoteforGovernor

RegisteredDemocrat RegisteredUndeclared/NotReg. RegisteredRepublican Democrat Independent Republican CoreDEM SwingVoter CoreGOP DefinitelyDecided LeaningTowardsSomeone StilTryingToDecide WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency ExtremelyInterestedinElection VeryInterested Somewhat/NotVeryInterested TrumpVoter ClintonVoter JohnsonVoter SteinVoter Other/Undecided 18to34 35to49 50to64 65andolder Male Female Male,Maried Female,Maried Male,Unmaried Female,Unmaried WorkingClassMen WorkingClassWomen ColegeEducMen ColegeEducWomen Highschoolorless Technicalschool/Somecolege Colegegraduate Postgraduatework Central/Lakes ConnecticutValey ManchesterArea MassBorder NorthCountry Seacoast FirstCong.District SecondCong.District 1 3 1 3 8 7 2 1 3 1 3 8 7 2 1 4 1 2 8 8 2 5 1 5 5 2 3 4 3 1 3 4 3 3 4 2 1 2 3 5 2 3 3 4 3 1 1 1 10 2 8 4 3 7 1 1 2 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 1 2 5 3 3 4 2 2 1 1 4 3 5 3 2 3 3 4 1 1 1 2 5 4 4 2 2 3 3 4 1 1 1 2 6 4 4 2 2 3 4 4 1 2 1 2 1 1 5 5 4 3 5 4 3 2 4 4 2 3 1 1 4 4 3 3 204 255 212 267 104 287 237 151 284 190 48 428 35 637 59 178 434 39 5 38 327 256 128 213 161 149 353 319 127 119 222 196 232 184 117 129 161 254 152 94 107 52 180 116 107 111 339 333 672 Sununu VanOstern Other Undecided NHLikelyVoters 1 4 3 VoteforGovernor-Sununuvs.VanOstern

RegisteredDemocrat RegisteredUndeclared/NotReg. RegisteredRepublican Democrat Independent Republican CoreDEM SwingVoter CoreGOP DefinitelyDecided LeaningTowardsSomeone StilTryingToDecide WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency ExtremelyInterestedinElection VeryInterested Somewhat/NotVeryInterested TrumpVoter ClintonVoter JohnsonVoter SteinVoter Other/Undecided 18to34 35to49 50to64 65andolder Male Female Male,Maried Female,Maried Male,Unmaried Female,Unmaried WorkingClassMen WorkingClassWomen ColegeEducMen ColegeEducWomen Highschoolorless Technicalschool/Somecolege Colegegraduate Postgraduatework Central/Lakes ConnecticutValey ManchesterArea MassBorder NorthCountry Seacoast FirstCong.District SecondCong.District 2 1 4 8 7 3 1 2 4 8 7 3 3 3 9 8 3 4 2 5 5 3 3 4 2 1 4 4 3 3 3 1 2 4 5 3 4 3 3 2 1 1 1 10 3 8 4 3 7 1 2 5 4 5 4 3 3 3 3 1 1 5 4 3 4 1 2 1 5 3 5 4 2 3 3 4 1 1 1 2 6 4 4 2 2 3 3 4 1 1 2 6 4 4 3 2 3 4 4 1 1 1 1 1 5 5 4 3 5 4 3 2 4 4 2 3 1 1 5 4 3 4 204 254 212 267 104 286 237 150 284 188 48 428 34 637 58 178 434 37 5 38 327 256 128 213 161 147 352 319 125 119 222 196 230 184 117 129 161 253 152 94 107 52 180 116 107 109 338 333 671 Sununu VanOstern Other DontKnow NHLikelyVoters 1 4 3 VoteforGovernor-Sununuvs.VanOsternWithLeaners

RegisteredDemocrat RegisteredUndeclared/NotReg. RegisteredRepublican Democrat Independent Republican CoreDEM SwingVoter CoreGOP WilDefinitelyVote WilVoteUnlessEmergency ExtremelyInterestedinElection VeryInterested Somewhat/NotVeryInterested SununuVoter VanOsternVoter Other/Undecided 18to34 35to49 50to64 65andolder Male Female Male,Maried Female,Maried Male,Unmaried Female,Unmaried WorkingClassMen WorkingClassWomen ColegeEducMen ColegeEducWomen Highschoolorless Technicalschool/Somecolege Colegegraduate Postgraduatework Central/Lakes ConnecticutValey ManchesterArea MassBorder NorthCountry Seacoast FirstCong.District SecondCong.District 2 4 3 2 4 6 3 1 3 4 3 1 2 4 5 3 1 3 4 3 2 5 6 3 1 3 3 2 2 4 3 3 4 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 6 3 2 1 5 1 1 7 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 4 4 3 3 3 3 1 3 2 2 4 3 4 3 3 4 3 3 2 2 1 3 3 2 4 3 2 4 4 3 3 1 2 2 4 3 3 3 2 3 4 3 3 3 3 2 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 3 3 2 3 3 209 266 218 274 110 293 239 171 287 38 658 64 190 440 100 319 248 130 214 170 161 363 333 134 130 224 199 233 188 126 138 163 257 160 103 112 54 185 120 111 116 353 343 696 Sununu VanOstern Other DontKnow NHLikelyVoters 3 2 3 NHGovernor-WhoWilWin?