Latino Decisions Election Eve Poll National Combined Results Crosstab Banner Book Nov. 2, 2010
1. In the 2010 election, what do you think are the most important issues facing the [Latino/Hispanic] community that our politicians should address? Jobs 31 31 31 32 23 26 36 32 30 31 33 32 28 35 31 31 Economy 17 20 16 14 9 17 21 18 18 17 19 16 19 19 20 15 Wall Street 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 Immigration 37 41 37 26 48 42 37 32 37 37 38 39 41 32 36 38 Wars in Afghan/Iraq 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 3 2 1 Image of the US 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 0 3 1 1 Health care 8 7 6 13 5 9 8 8 6 8 10 8 8 10 6 10 Gas prices 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 Housing 1 1 3 0 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 Education 14 14 15 16 19 19 13 11 13 15 15 13 15 19 11 17 Corropution 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 Environment 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 Race relations 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 3 3 Taxes 2 2 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 3 3 2 Something else 10 10 9 11 7 10 10 11 10 10 9 10 9 8 11 9 DK 9 6 12 12 16 7 6 11 10 9 8 9 6 8 9 9 2. Generally speaking, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President? Strongly approve 38 39 36 40 26 37 42 41 42 38 37 40 37 35 37 40 Somewhat approve 30 30 35 24 43 36 28 23 31 31 28 31 33 31 29 31 Somewhat disapprove 11 11 11 11 18 11 10 10 11 11 10 11 11 13 12 10 Strongly disapprove 16 15 13 21 6 14 17 19 10 17 19 14 16 19 18 14 DK 5 5 6 4 7 3 4 8 7 3 6 5 3 2 5 6 3. How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing handling immigration reform? Strongly approve 19 23 15 17 9 14 24 23 25 18 15 23 14 14 20 18 Somewhat approve 30 28 35 28 41 32 28 25 27 31 29 27 37 33 27 32 Neither 6 6 4 9 2 8 5 7 8 4 8 6 5 7 6 6 Somewhat disapprove 19 17 22 20 29 21 15 16 18 19 19 20 19 17 18 19 Strongly disapprove 21 22 19 21 12 20 23 22 17 22 23 20 20 24 23 18 DK 5 5 6 6 7 5 5 6 5 5 6 4 6 4 5 6
4. In the election for U.S. House of Representatives, did you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate in your district? Democrat 76 74 81 76 79 78 78 72 82 75 72 77 77 75 75 78 Republican 24 26 19 24 21 22 22 28 18 25 28 23 23 25 25 22 4b. (IF 4=D) Would you say your vote is more in FAVOR of the Democratic candidate, or more a vote against the Republican candidate? In favor of Dem 79 81 77 78 81 77 82 78 81 78 77 81 79 75 76 82 Against the Rep 17 14 20 19 16 21 15 16 13 18 19 15 19 23 20 14 Other 2 3 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 1 Don't know 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 4 4 2 1 3 1 0 1 3 4c. (IF 4=R) Would you say your vote is more in FAVOR of the Republican candidate, or more a vote against the Democrat candidate? In favor of Rep 74 79 75 63 75 81 65 77 84 72 73 73 81 59 70 79 Against the Dem 18 13 19 29 24 14 28 13 6 22 21 18 16 33 22 13 Other 4 3 3 5 1 2 2 6 4 3 2 4 2 1 5 2 DK 4 5 3 3 0 3 6 4 7 3 4 5 0 8 3 5 5. In the election for Governor of {STATE} did you vote for the DEMOCRAT or the REPUBLICAN? Demcrat 76 75 80 75 82 77 78 72 82 74 74 78 75 76 74 79 Republican 22 23 18 22 18 20 19 27 17 24 23 20 24 21 24 20 Other 2 1 2 3 0 3 2 1 1 2 3 2 1 4 2 1 5b. (IF 5=D) Would you say your vote is more in FAVOR of the Democratic candidate, or more a vote against the Republican candidate? In favor of Dem 72 77 69 64 62 71 74 75 76 71 68 75 69 72 68 76 Against the Rep 23 16 28 32 34 27 22 17 15 25 28 19 29 27 27 19 Other 2 3 1 2 2 1 2 3 3 2 2 2 2 0 2 3 Don't know 3 4 2 1 2 2 2 5 6 2 2 3 0 1 3 3 5c. (IF 5=R) Would you say your vote is more in FAVOR of the Republican candidate, or more a vote against the Democrat candidate? In favor of Rep 73 77 75 62 76 74 76 70 73 71 77 76 71 63 70 76 Against the Dem 21 18 18 32 23 22 17 23 16 25 18 17 26 33 25 17 Other 3 2 2 5 1 2 5 2 2 2 4 3 3 0 3 2 DK 3 4 5 1 1 3 3 4 9 2 1 4 0 3 2 5
6. In the election for U.S. Senate to represent {STATE} did you vote for the DEMOCRAT or the REPUBLICAN? Demcrat 69 64 77 75 78 77 70 59 77 68 64 67 72 73 67 71 Republican 26 30 19 23 20 18 25 36 20 27 30 27 24 20 28 25 Other 5 6 4 2 2 5 5 5 2 5 6 6 3 7 5 4 6b. (IF 6=D) Would you say your vote is more in FAVOR of the Democratic candidate, or more a vote against the Republican candidate? In favor of Dem 79 82 76 76 81 78 80 79 84 78 74 80 80 70 76 82 Against the Rep 18 15 19 23 13 21 17 18 12 18 26 16 17 29 21 15 Other 1 2 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 0 1 1 0 1 1 Don't know 2 2 4 1 6 1 2 2 3 2 0 3 2 0 2 2 6c. (IF 6=R) Would you say your vote is more in FAVOR of the Republican candidate, or more a vote against the Democrat candidate? In favor of Rep 74 80 64 57 57 73 67 82 86 71 71 80 65 54 70 79 Against the Dem 22 15 34 38 42 23 29 12 13 24 24 16 31 42 27 16 Other 3 4 0 0 0 3 0 5 0 3 5 3 1 4 3 2 DK 2 1 1 5 1 1 3 1 1 3 0 1 3 0 0 3 7. Okay, which of the following three statements do you agree with the most: [ROTATE: I m voting in 2010 because I wanted to support the Democratic candidate; I m voting in 2010 because I wanted to support the Republican candidate; I m voting in 2010 because I wanted to support and represent the Latino community] To support the Dem 31 25 37 41 21 24 35 37 34 31 30 29 31 31 32 31 To support the Rep 12 13 9 12 5 11 11 15 10 12 14 11 13 14 14 10 To support Latinos 47 55 43 33 68 56 45 36 50 48 42 52 45 43 43 51 Other 6 5 7 9 2 6 6 8 4 5 11 5 6 10 7 5 DK 4 3 4 5 3 4 2 4 2 4 3 3 5 2 4 3 8. Thinking about the future of our economy, which party do you trust more to make the right decisions and improve our economic conditions? Would you say you have more confidence in (rotate) President Obama and the Democrats, or the Republicans? Obama and Dems 65 63 68 67 69 65 70 60 71 64 60 68 63 62 63 66 Republicans 20 22 18 21 17 20 19 24 15 22 25 19 21 24 23 19 Both 2 3 1 2 1 3 2 2 3 2 2 2 3 0 2 2 Neither 7 7 7 5 7 7 6 6 5 6 10 5 8 10 6 7 DK 6 6 7 6 5 6 3 8 6 6 4 6 5 4 5 6
9. Alright, thinking again about the current debate about addressing and improving the economy in Washington, D.C. How much do you think the public officials take into account economic issues of the [Latino/Hispanic] community when considering reforms? Is it Very much 11 12 8 10 7 8 11 14 16 10 9 13 10 8 13 9 Somewhat 36 37 38 33 43 43 37 29 37 38 30 38 40 29 34 39 Not too much 33 32 32 35 32 35 34 30 29 33 38 31 36 42 33 32 Not at all 14 13 15 16 16 11 15 17 10 15 17 14 11 17 16 13 DK 6 6 6 6 2 4 3 11 8 4 6 5 2 3 4 7 10. Over past few months before the election, did you see or hear any advertisements or programs specifically encouraging Latinos to participate in the November election? Yes 71 82 65 50 62 68 72 75 83 69 61 75 70 58 70 71 No 27 15 32 46 34 30 25 22 15 29 35 22 27 39 27 26 DK 3 2 3 4 4 1 3 3 2 2 5 3 2 3 3 2 10a. [IF 10=1] And did you see or hear those in the form of a television ad, a radio ad, or a flyer in the mail? TV 78 82 74 71 72 76 82 79 83 76 78 79 76 73 75 81 Radio 24 27 26 16 33 27 26 19 22 25 25 25 28 24 27 22 Mail 26 29 26 24 30 26 26 25 29 27 23 28 23 28 24 28 Other 3 3 2 4 0 3 2 4 4 2 2 3 4 1 3 3 DK 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 0 10b. [IF 10=1] And were they in English, in Spanish, or bilingual ads? English 28 21 32 47 23 26 27 30 24 30 29 22 30 32 29 27 Spanish 39 49 33 10 36 36 37 44 49 36 28 45 34 26 37 40 Bilingual 40 38 42 45 49 45 43 33 36 41 47 40 42 48 41 39 Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 DK 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 0 11. Besides seeing any ads, over the past few months, were you asked to vote, or register to vote by a candidate for office or a person working for a candidate, a representative of a political party, or someone from an organization working in your community? Yes 38 36 40 39 40 41 41 32 34 38 43 39 36 44 36 39 No 57 59 55 57 55 55 56 62 60 57 55 56 62 55 59 56 Don't recall 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 6 5 5 2 5 2 1 5 5
11a. [IF 11=1] And who was it that contacted you? [READ OPTIONS, ROTATE -- MULTIPLE RESPONSES] Candidate for office 32 29 31 40 29 35 34 29 25 32 38 28 36 34 31 33 Political party 22 21 22 22 24 24 19 23 21 23 19 24 21 22 19 24 Independent group 13 14 13 10 12 13 14 12 14 14 9 15 9 14 15 10 Non-partisan group 14 13 18 11 23 13 13 11 9 14 18 13 20 15 14 14 DK 20 23 16 17 12 15 21 25 30 17 16 21 15 15 20 19 12. [IF 11a=1 OR 2] Were you contacted by the Democrats, Republicans, both parties, or by representatives of other parties? Democrats 43 37 56 40 51 44 43 39 41 43 47 42 43 46 44 42 Republicans 10 14 4 11 11 13 6 12 6 13 9 9 7 18 10 11 Both Dems and Reps 37 35 32 44 31 29 45 38 36 35 39 35 41 33 38 36 Other party 1 1 3 0 5 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 2 0 1 2 DK 9 14 4 5 3 13 6 9 18 7 3 11 6 3 7 10 13. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a Republican, a Democrat, an independent, or something else? Democrat 22 25 17 22 17 21 21 27 16 24 27 21 22 25 25 20 Republican 71 68 77 73 75 71 75 68 78 70 66 73 72 71 68 74 Independent / Other 6 7 7 5 8 8 4 5 5 6 7 5 6 3 7 6 15. Earlier this year, Arizona passed a law that requires state and local police to determine the immigration status of a person if there is a reasonable suspicion he or she is an illegal immigrant, and would charge anyone with trespassing who is not carrying proof of legal status when questioned by police. From what you have heard, do you [rotate: support or oppose] the new immigration law in Arizona? Strongly support 11 8 10 21 5 11 10 14 8 13 13 9 14 14 13 10 Somewhat support 6 5 7 7 5 5 5 7 5 6 7 5 7 6 6 6 Neither 4 6 4 2 2 3 5 6 6 3 4 5 2 1 4 4 Somewhat oppose 9 8 9 9 6 9 8 10 8 10 7 9 9 10 9 8 Strongly oppose 65 68 67 56 81 69 69 55 68 64 66 68 64 68 64 67 DK 5 5 4 5 2 3 2 8 6 4 2 3 4 1 4 5
16. About a month ago, the Senate debated the DREAM Act, which would allow undocumented immigrant children to eventually become U.S. citizens if they attend college, or serve in the U.S. military. However it never came up for a full vote. How important do you think it is that the Congress and President act swiftly to pass the DREAM Act? Do you think it is Extremely important 38 37 41 34 49 40 37 33 32 38 44 39 39 48 36 39 Very important 37 43 32 32 30 33 41 40 47 36 28 40 37 26 37 37 Somewhat important 13 10 15 17 14 15 11 13 8 14 15 11 12 16 13 12 Not too important 3 3 3 4 0 5 3 3 3 4 3 4 4 2 4 3 Not at all important 4 3 3 7 4 5 4 3 3 4 6 3 5 5 5 3 DK 5 4 6 5 3 2 4 8 7 4 4 3 3 3 5 5 17. Thinking ahead to the next presidential election in 2012 between Barack Obama and a Republican challenger. Do you think you: will definitely vote to re-elect Obama -- that you MIGHT vote to re-elect Obama that you MAY NOT vote for Obama definitely WON T vote for Obama in 2012. Definitely Obama 39 37 41 41 34 39 45 36 39 39 40 40 40 39 39 40 Might vote Obama 20 17 26 19 35 23 16 16 18 21 19 20 22 25 19 20 May not vote Obama 8 8 7 8 10 9 6 8 8 7 8 7 8 10 8 7 Definitely not Obama 19 21 12 20 11 18 19 22 17 19 21 18 19 17 19 18 DK 15 17 14 11 10 11 15 19 19 13 11 16 10 10 14 16 18. How important was the issue of immigration in your decision to vote, and who to vote for in this election? Was it the most important issue one of the important issues somewhat important not really important] to your voting decision? The most important 34 41 30 23 30 32 36 36 48 31 24 41 30 21 31 37 One of the important 26 26 28 25 38 27 26 22 25 27 27 27 26 29 24 28 Somewhat important 23 19 26 27 26 24 23 21 15 26 26 18 28 30 26 19 Not really important 14 10 13 22 6 16 14 15 8 14 21 11 15 20 16 12 DK 3 4 4 3 0 2 2 6 4 2 2 4 0 0 3 4 19. Some people have said that the 2010 election created an anti-immigrant or anti-[hispanic/latino] sentiment across the country. To what extent did the antiimmigrant or anti-[hispanic/latino] sentiment influence your decisions to vote, and who to vote for in this election? Was it [ROTATE FRONT TO BACK] the The most important 28 35 21 18 23 20 32 31 37 26 20 36 21 14 26 29 One of the important 25 25 24 26 32 24 25 23 24 25 26 26 25 23 23 27 Somewhat important 22 18 30 20 30 28 17 18 17 24 22 19 25 27 21 22 Not really important 17 13 16 30 10 21 18 16 10 19 23 12 22 28 20 15 Disagree it existed 3 5 2 1 3 4 4 3 5 2 5 3 5 4 5 2 DK 5 5 7 5 3 4 3 9 7 4 4 5 2 4 5 6
20. Alright, which comes closest to your view about what government policy should be toward illegal immigrants currently residing in the U.S.? Should the government: Deport 13 13 10 15 7 13 12 16 17 11 12 12 16 9 14 12 Guestworker 15 14 16 16 8 12 16 18 15 15 14 14 16 14 15 15 Path to citizenship 66 67 68 63 85 72 67 57 60 69 69 69 64 74 65 67 6 6 7 6 1 3 5 9 8 4 5 5 4 3 6 6 21. And finally, thinking more about the economy, what specific issue are you thinking of when you think about the economic situation today and how that affects you or your family? Unemployment 44 49 39 39 44 47 50 39 47 46 39 49 43 38 42 46 Worried about job 9 9 8 12 8 11 10 8 9 10 10 9 12 7 10 9 Wages are low 8 7 8 7 9 7 8 8 8 7 8 9 6 8 7 8 Wall street 2 3 2 2 2 3 3 1 1 2 5 2 3 7 3 1 Housing payment 8 10 6 8 10 12 8 6 9 9 8 9 8 11 8 9 Cost of living 8 9 6 5 6 5 8 9 8 8 5 9 7 3 7 8 Cost of health care 7 5 7 10 6 7 7 7 7 6 8 8 6 5 6 7 Cost of transportation 1 1 0 3 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 Taxes 6 5 7 8 6 8 5 6 5 7 8 5 8 9 7 6 Something else 17 14 23 17 19 16 15 17 12 18 21 14 18 21 19 15 Nothing 8 8 8 6 5 6 4 13 11 6 8 7 7 8 8 8 DK 7 6 10 7 10 5 6 7 8 7 5 7 5 4 6 8