San Francisco County Weekly Wages Focus on Post-Recession Recovery Q 3 205 Update Produced by: Marin Economic Consulting March 6, 206 Jon Haveman, Principal 45-336-5705 or Jon@MarinEconomicConsulting.com Contents. Descriptions and References 2 2. Overview of Wage Changes Since the Onset of the Great Recession 3 3. Weekly Wages Over Time 4 4. Graphical Display of Weekly Wage Evolution by Industry (Super Sector) 5
. Descriptions and References The contents of this report illustrate the evolution of San Francisco County presents: wage patterns over time. This report Wages: Average weekly wages for the industry in the region. They are inflation adjusted to current dollars using: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items, from the FRED Database maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. The data underlying this report are from the Bureau of Labor Statistics: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW). These data are available on a quarterly basis, generally with a 5 month lag from the end of the quarter to the release of the data. QCEW: The Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) program publishes a quarterly count of employment and wages reported by employers covering 98 percent of U.S. jobs, available at the county, MSA, state and national levels by industry. ttp://www.bls.gov/cew/home.htm Time Period: The date extend from Q-990 through Q 3-205 Seasonality: There is a significant seasonal component to many industries. The QCEW data are not seasonally adjusted. Rather than seasonally adjusting the data, most comparisons in this report are between the same quarter in different years. The data presented are therefore the actual employment levels and wages (inflation adjusted) compared across years. A particular focus of this report is on the post-great Recession recovery. This is accomplished by comparing the most recent quarter of data to the same quarter in 2007, the last non-recessionary year for most of California and the United States. Notes: Notes: There are occasions where the data displayed seem to reflect implausible increases in either employment or wages. These changes are as reported in the QCEW data. For a closer look at these changes, please contact: Jon@MarinEconomicConsulting.com 2
2. Overview of Wage Changes Since the Onset of the Great Recession Figure 2 - Information Financial activities Professional and business services Public administration Manufacturing Construction Unclassified Trade, transportation, and utilities Education and health services Natural resources and mining Other services Leisure and hospitality San Francisco County Weekly Wages For: Q4-07 and Q2-5 0,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 205-Q2 $ Q4-07 Q2-5 Table2.: Quarterly Summary for Q 3 205 Levels in Q 3 205 Change vs Q 3 in 2007 Relative to: Relative to: Sector Employment Wages Bay U.S. Employment Wages Bay U.S. Information 3, 69 3, 099.8 0.7.8 2, 80, 448.87 0.00 0.46 Financial activities 52, 608 3, 077.5.4 2. 7, 74 56.03 0.08 0.0 Professional and business services 85, 5 2, 246.2..8 60, 782 594.25 0.00 0.6 Public administration 33, 236, 870.3..6 0, 077 29.49 0.02 0.03 Manufacturing 0, 370, 864.0 0.7.6 76 894.00 0.26 0.6 All industries 680, 03, 72.0..8 20, 667 426.00 0.03 0.9 Construction 8, 850, 650.0.2.5 894 424.00 0.09 0.3 Unclassified 4, 88, 38.0.2.6 4, 870, 08.00 0.86.20 Education and health services 30, 44, 240.9..4 33, 964 230.84 0.07 0.06 Trade, transportation, and utilities 87, 86, 232.5..5 6, 799 234.68 0.03 0.08 Natural resources and mining 74, 48.0.4. 96 28.00 0.8 0.06 Other services 27, 482 932.0.2.4 6, 09 34.99 0.6 0.29 Leisure and hospitality 94, 657 742.5.3.8 4, 902 82.09 0.0 0.9 Total, 356, 83 Source: BLS, QCEW; Calculations by Marin Economic Consulting 3
3. Weekly Wages Over Time Table3.: Summary of Weekly Wages versus the Bay Area as A Whole Q 3 205 Relative Wages: Q 3 of Each Year Sector Employment Wages 990 995 200 2004 2007 205 Information 3, 69 3, 099.8.04 0.92 0.94 0.77 0.73 0.74 Financial activities 52, 608 3, 077.5.23.34.36.39.47.39 Professional and business services 85, 5 2, 246.2.06.08.09.04.07.06 Public administration 33, 236, 870.3.05.2..7.4.2 Manufacturing 0, 370, 864.0 0.7 0.60 0.54 0.46 0.48 0.75 All industries 680, 03, 72.0.04.05.08.04.04.07 Construction 8, 850, 650.0.09.2.07.09.07.7 Unclassified 4, 88, 38.0.04 0.82 0.37.23 Education and health services 30, 44, 240.9.03.08..06.0.08 Trade, transportation, and utilities 87, 86, 232.5.3.08.06.5.05.08 Natural resources and mining 74, 48.0 2.34 3.4 2.05.07.24.4 Other services 27, 482 932.0.0.03.5 0.96.03.8 Leisure and hospitality 94, 657 742.5.25.32.25.25.24.34 Source: BLS, QCEW; Calculations by Marin Economic Consulting Table3.2: Summary of Weekly Wages versus California as A Whole Q 3 205 Relative Wages: Q 3 of Each Year Sector Employment Wages 990 995 200 2004 2007 205 Information 3, 69 3, 099.8.05.02.7.0.04.9 Financial activities 52, 608 3, 077.5.33.54.67.68.88.86 Professional and business services 85, 5 2, 246.2.7.34.5.42.47.52 Public administration 33, 236, 870.3.0.9.24.27.27.24 Manufacturing 0, 370, 864.0 0.89 0.83 0.79 0.70 0.79.22 All industries 680, 03, 72.0.8.27.40.34.38.5 Construction 8, 850, 650.0.24.29.35.29.26.40 Unclassified 4, 88, 38.0.38 0.82 0.34.53 Education and health services 30, 44, 240.9.05.6.26.22.5.27 Trade, transportation, and utilities 87, 86, 232.5.24.20.24.33.24.32 Natural resources and mining 74, 48.0 3.34 4.45 3.34.35.59.67 Other services 27, 482 932.0.05.3.40.5.9.34 Leisure and hospitality 94, 657 742.5.26.35.33.28.30.48 Source: BLS, QCEW; Calculations by Marin Economic Consulting Table3.3: Summary of Weekly Wages versus the United States as A Whole Q 3 205 Relative Wages: Q 3 of Each Year Sector Employment Wages 990 995 200 2004 2007 205 Information 3, 69 3, 099.8.22.5.49.30.33.80 Financial activities 52, 608 3, 077.5.44.68.92.96 2.4 2.3 Professional and business services 85, 5 2, 246.2.23.48.72.59.65.8 Public administration 33, 236, 870.3.36.47.56.6.62.59 Manufacturing 0, 370, 864.0.0 0.95 0.93 0.82 0.98.59 All industries 680, 03, 72.0.30.40.59.5.57.76 Construction 8, 850, 650.0.39.46.5.40.40.53 Unclassified 4, 88, 38.0.22 0.80 0.38.58 Education and health services 30, 44, 240.9.3.23.37.34.30.36 Trade, transportation, and utilities 87, 86, 232.5.43.36.40.49.39.47 Natural resources and mining 74, 48.0 2.3 2.99 2.28 0.95.06.2 Other services 27, 482 932.0.3.4.37.0..40 Leisure and hospitality 94, 657 742.5.50.5.55.59.58.77 Source: BLS, QCEW; Calculations by Marin Economic Consulting 4
4. Graphical Display of Weekly Wage Evolution by Industry (Super Sector) Graphs present only Q 3 data for each year. Figure 4 - : 022: Information 0.4 0.6 0.8.0.2.4.6.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 Data for each Year: through Q2-5 ($3,249) 2 3 4 0.4 0.6 0.8.0.2.4.6.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 Data for each Year: through Q2-5 ($3,249) 2 3 4 Figure 4-2: 023: Financial activities 0.8.0.2.4.6.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 Data for each Year: through Q2-5 ($2,758) 2 3.0.2.4.6.8 2.0 2.2 Data for each Year: through Q2-5 ($2,758) 2 5
Figure 4-3: 024: Professional and business services 0.8.0.2.4.6.8 2.0 Data for each Year: through Q2-5 ($2,423) 2 3 0.9..3.5.7.9 2. Data for each Year: through Q2-5 ($2,423) 2 Figure 4-4: 028: Public administration 0.8.0.2.4.6.8 2.0 Data for each Year: through Q2-5 ($,899) 2.0.2.4.6.8 2.0 Data for each Year: through Q2-5 ($,899) 2 6
Figure 4-5: 03: Manufacturing 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8.0.2.4.6.8 Data for each Year: through Q2-5 ($,860) 2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9..3.5.7.9 Data for each Year: through Q2-5 ($,860) 2 Figure 4-6: 0: All industries.0..2.3.4.5.6.7 Data for each Year: through Q2-5 ($,579).0..2.3.4.5.6.7 Data for each Year: through Q2-5 ($,579) 7
Figure 4-7: 02: Construction -0.0 0.3 0.6 0.9.2.5.8 2. Q-00 Q-05 Q-0 Q-5 Data for each Year: through Q2-5 ($,375) 0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8.0.2.4.6.8 Data for each Year: through Q2-5 ($,375) 0 Figure 4-8: 029: Unclassified 0.9.0..2.3.4.5.6.7.8 Data for each Year: through Q2-5 ($,332).0..2.3.4.5.6.7 Data for each Year: through Q2-5 ($,332) 8
Figure 4-9: 025: Education and health services 0.9.0..2.3.4 Data for each Year: through Q2-5 ($,62) 0.9.0..2.3.4 Data for each Year: through Q2-5 ($,62) Figure 4-0: 02: Trade, transportation, and utilities 0.0 0.5.0.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 Data for each Year: through Q2-5 ($,044) 0 2 0.8.0.2.4.6.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 Data for each Year: through Q2-5 ($,044) 9
Figure 4 - : 0: Natural resources and mining 0.9.0..2.3.4.5 Data for each Year: through Q2-5 ($907) 0.9.0..2.3.4.5 Data for each Year: through Q2-5 ($907) Figure 4-2: 027: Other services.0..2.3.4.5.6.7.8.9 Data for each Year: through Q2-5 ($747).0..2.3.4.5.6.7.8.9 Data for each Year: through Q2-5 ($747) 0