Tailoring i EW-MFA (Economy-Wide Material Flow Accounting/Analysis) information and indicators

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Tailoring i EW-MFA (Economy-Wide Material Flow Accounting/Analysis) information and indicators to developing Asia: increasing research capacity and stimulating policy demand for resource productivity Chika Aoki-Suzuki Sustainable Consumption and Production Group IGES

Introduction ti Would like to Enhance capacity Sustainable resource management is of developing Asia becoming a policy concern to utilise EW-MFA indicators Resource scarcity, resource price fluctuation for policy development for Both developed and developing countries. Resource circulation(3r), Resource productivity (RP) Asian developing countries: Rapid industrialisation / emerging ecnomies Benefit from monitoring Material Flow data Analysing economic & social driver to utilise EW-MFA / Resource productivity indicator for policy in G8 and OECD countries Brief assessment of the national capacity for MFA in selected developing countries rely heavily on imports of raw materials and exports of manufactured goods Few countries in Asia If they apply EW-MFA for policy development, it would contribute to improving global resource productivity New Project: Stimulating policy demand for indicators on sustainable resource use and resource productivity and strengthening research capacity for Economy-Wide Material Flow Analysis in Asia ISIE MFA ConAccount Meeting, November 9 2010 2

Analysing economic & social driver to utilise EW-MFA / Resource productivity indicator for policy (2007-08) Analysed policy application of EW-MFA in G8 and Selected OECD countries Assessed Activeness in Policy application of EW-MFA by the following points Implementation Focuses National target Conducts EW-MFA at Whole country/national level On Regular basis Under the initiative of governments Sustainability and Efficiency of resource-use, Environmental impacts due to material use Sustainability of waste management the setting of national target time boundary to achieve the target Methodology Policy application of EW-MFA : Literature survey based on a report of OECD (2007) with a combination of on-line data surveys officially available from governmental websites Comparative analysis on Policy application of EW-MFA and its relations with economic characteristics About Position and perception of EW-MFA Indicators in G8 governmental policies:on-line data surveys officially available from governmental websites and Interview survey with a combination of questionnaire to the governmental officials of ministries in charge of 3R-related policies or statistics office research institutes in charge of development of MFA indicators ISIE MFA ConAccount Meeting, November 9 2010 3

Analysing economic & social driver to utilise EW-MFA / Resource productivity indicator for policy (2007-08) Countries with (a) large trade deficit for natural resources and (b) large exporting-oriented manufacturing sector Active in integration of EW-MFA into governmental policy development Strong incentives to manage natural resources efficiently Especially Germany, Italy and Japan have time boundary target setting. Resource import surplus (billion US$) Below 0 0 to 50 More than 50 Manufactured goods export surplus (billion US$) Below 0 0 to 25 More than 25 Manufacturing (%of GDP, year 2006) Below 14 15 to More than20 Active Austria UK Finland Japan Germany Italy UK Finland Austria Germany Japan Italy UK Italy Austria Germany Japan Finland Policy application of econom my wide MFA Less Active Denmark Norway Australia Canada Russia Belgium Belgium Belgium Netherlan ds Sweden US France Netherlan US Russia Sweden Denmark France ds Denmark Sweden Netherland Norway s Canada Russia France Australia Australia US Norway trade of ore, metals and fuels (UNCTAD Handbook of statistics 2007) Chemical products, machinery and transport equipment and other manufactured goods (UNCTAD Handbook of statistics 2007) World Development indicator 2008 ISIE MFA ConAccount Meeting, November 9 2010 4

Indicators and target setting of resource productivity in G8 countries (2007-08) MFA indicator and national target EU countries has developed MFA indicator as National Sustainable Development indicator, but only Italy and Germany as target to achieve. US and Canada no plan to calculate MF indicator and set target. Japan practically uses MF indicators for policy development on 3R. MFA indicator Its position in national policy UK Italy Germany France EC Canada US Japan DMC Sustainable Development Indicator TMR National Strategy for Sustainable Development Raw Material Productivity= GDP/(DMIbiomass) National Strategy for Sustainable Development / German Environment Barometer DMC National Sustainable Development Indicator by IFEN (planned: TMC, TMR) DMC Sustainable Development Indicator Resource Productivity = (GDP/Natural resources etc.) Cyclical Use Rate Final Disposal Amount Basic Plan for Establishing the Sound Material Cycle Based Society Target No Year 2015 RP:420,000JP 90% Y(5,000US$)/t Double RMP reduction of No No No No Cyclical Use by 2020 TMR in 2050 Rate: 14-5% Final Disposal Amount: 23Mt ISIE MFA ConAccount Meeting, November 9 2010 5

Indicators and target setting of resource productivity in G8 countries Opinion to National / International Common Target Setting Japan and EC are positive to policy binding goal setting in national target Some countries are against to set international common target setting But, many countries are positive to develop international common indicator (2007-08) Most countries agree, at least at the expert level, on the effectiveness of MFA for resource management policy. :positive, :in-between, :not positive UK Italy Germany France EC Canada US Japan ~ ~ Opinion to national target Common target setting Common indicator development Useful but not be set on the basis of MFA Not regarded Not considered No strong as the as goal emphasis on implementatio setting, but material use n target of rather an government indicator for making synergies among different policy areas Energy efficiency is more important, but likely set resource productivity targets in future Difficult to set Focus on explicit national particular targets due to material flows powerful local of concern, governments effectiveness of an aggregated g indicator is not clear Utilise indicator & target for policy assessment on Basic Plan for Establishing the Sound Material Cycle Based Society ISIE MFA ConAccount Meeting, November 9 2010 6

Indicators and target setting of resource productivity in G8 countries Significantly influenced by the difference in Industrial and Economic structure as well as political systems (federal or central government). Industrial and Economic structure Political system Economies with relatively large manufacturing industrial sector are interested - Reduction of materials input - the economies dependence on resource extracted in other countries. Especially the relationship between central and local governments influences - Data collection - Possibility to set national target indicator ###### ISIE MFA ConAccount Meeting, November 9 2010 7

Assessment on the national capacity for EW-MFA in selected developing countries (2007) All countries surveyed seem to have most of the basic input and output related statistics available. Some countries seem to have sufficient data to estimate their DMI and DMC. The availability of MFA data in some countries surveyed is not much different from in some OECD countries. Methodology Questionnaire survey to related Ministry, Statistical office, University, Research Institute and Others ISIE MFA ConAccount Meeting, November 9 2010 8

Assessment on the national capacity for EW-MFA in selected developing countries (2007) A large number of organisations, including governmental bodies and academia, are already collecting statistics relevant to MFA, HOWEVER, data collection is fragmented split up among many governmental bodies and research institutes. There is a lack of coordination difficult to get an overview of existing data, and Limited awareness among policy makers on the potential benefits of MFA 4 1 3 2 How can we break the vicious circle ISIE MFA ConAccount Meeting, November 9 2010 9

For capacity development in Asia - recommendation Establishment of national focal points for coordination of MFA data collection and compilation 12 Training and capacity development to harmonise data definitions and documentation formats 2 Development of case studies illustrating how MFA has provided policy makers with an improved basis for policy design 34 Promote interaction between analysts/experts and policy makers on good practices International collaborative research projects to further develop the capacity of Asian countries ti (governments, academia and research institutes) to complete and analyse MFA data 1234 4 3 1 2 ISIE MFA ConAccount Meeting, November 9 2010 10

AP Project tp Proposal- l Stimulating policy demand for indicators on sustainable resource use and resource productivity and strengthening research capacity for Economy- Wide Material Flow Analysis in Asia 1. Deepen the Assessment of the existing capacity for EW-MFA, and for the use of MF indicators for policy making 2. Identify the potential benefits of MF indicators in policy processes of developing Asian countries Analysing Economic & social driver for Asian countries to effectively utilise EW-MFA for 3R, Economy, Resource productivity and decoupling policy 3. Explore Effective ways to upgrade capacity for systematic and regular EW- MFA activities in developing Asia Work 1 : Assessing existing EW-MFA capacity Work 2: Identify the potential ti benefits of MF indicators for Asian countries Work 3: Explore Effective ways to upgrade capacity ISIE MFA ConAccount Meeting, November 9 2010 11

Work 1 : Assessing existing EW-MFA capacity Data availability of MF related statistics Availability & Consistency with international data Sectral data By Exploring existing national statistics and international statistics as complement Collectors of data Institutional Capacity Institutional arrangement of organizations which collect MF related environmental information/statistics or Existence of organization which coordinate (environmental) information/statistics collected by several different organization in the country, and Previous/existing applications of MF related indicators to policy making Awareness/needs on the effectiveness EW-MFA for 3R/decoupling/ RP policies among stakeholders Government (ministries and national institutes), Industry associations, others ISIE MFA ConAccount Meeting, November 9 2010 12

Work 2: Identify the potential benefits of MF indicators - Economic & social driver to effectively utilise EW-MFA for 3R, Resource productivity and decoupling policy Economical structure and the development status Poverty, large informal economy, Transition agrarian to industrial economies, High density developing economies Exporters of large amounts of products to developed countries. High dependency on biomass resources Large investments in building up their infrastructure Waste Composition Organic waste is major components in Asia Potential of material resource cycle Population, Population density, GDP, GDP/capita, Trade (metal, energy, manufactured goods etc..), Economic structure(sector contribution tib ti to GDP), Sectoral Investments, Other data Institutional and political system Countries administrative structure Role of local government to national statistical system impact the availability of nation-wide MFA data. ISIE MFA ConAccount Meeting, November 9 2010 13

Work 3: Explore Effective ways to upgrade capacity Formulating roadmap to establish systematic and regular implementation of EW-MFA and Resource Productivity analysis. Drawing experiences in OECD countries for developing adapted MFA tools. Expected institutional arrangements for EW-MFA data collection, MF analysis and policy-making, Role-sharing and collaboration among the organisations involved Ways to strengthen the availability of MF data Identifying challenges to develop sectral data & internationally consistent statistic format Identifying policy domains and users (ministries, etc.) that may be informed by EW-MFA Developing effective package of EW-MF indicators for policy use that reflect the situation in developing Asia to achieve sustainable resource use. ISIE MFA ConAccount Meeting, November 9 2010 14

Thank you! Any recommendation, suggestion and comments are welcomed! Chika Aoki-Suzuki (Ms.) e-mail: aoki@iges.or.jp ISIE MFA ConAccount Meeting, November 9 2010 15

Appendix Needs for indicators for international hidden flow / environmental burden shifting of resource use As a MFA-indicator, TMR is an indicator to reflect hidden flow associated with domestic material extraction and imports. The countries with relatively large manufacturing sector have more policy interest over dependence on materials import and associated impact from resource extraction UK Italy Germany France EC Canada US Japan interested in necessary to environmental show foreign burden shifting constrains of of resource use resource use Raw Material Productivity indirect and foreign flows Prefers indicators does not reflect are considered reflecting biomass, so important at alternative the level of indicator is experts (IFEN) considered. environmental burden such as ecological foot print no plan to calculate because of difficulties to make consensus on methodologies and data to use. interested in planning to methodological apply TMR to development quantify environmental impacts at global level ISIE MFA ConAccount Meeting, November 9 2010 16

Appendix Linking MFA and environmental impact EU emphasized the significance of environmental impact indicator for harmonization of development and environmental conservation. UK Italy Germany France EC Canada US Japan N.A. -Interesting not favor One of strong interest would like to no plan to The not opposing to development of step (ISTAT) alternative in the introduce EMC caluculate working inventories in -Methodology indicators to be development of (environmentall together for each country development is necessary compared for the next step an MFA-base environmental y-weighted material methodology development related to calculation of indicator (IFEN) consumption) environmental impact and setting conversion factors to be shared internationally a3 Need careful assessment for the integration of environmental impact into MFA Resource productivity indicator based on MFA is better served to show win- win solution between resource conservation and industrial competitiveness. ISIE MFA ConAccount Meeting, November 9 2010 17

スライド 17 a3 (need to ask hotta-san he context of this sentence) aoki, 2010/10/28