STATUS OF 100 % TRANSITION RATE AS AT 22 ND FEBRUARY, 2019 S/No COUNTY EXPECTED (E) REPORTED ( R ) REPEATED ( r ) TVET (T) PRISONERS PRIVATE /ADULTS REFUGEES PERCENTAGE 1 MIGORI 31,768 32,307 373 238 0 85 0 103.66 2 SIAYA 26,071 26,067 215 474 9 100 0 102.65 3 KISUMU 27,227 27,725 39 128 48 213 0 102.45 4 TRANS NZOIA 25,705 25,060 65 708 25 112 0 100.50 5 KIRINYAGA 13,079 12,979 60 23 0 348 0 99.87 6 NAKURU 54,361 53,716 175 325 55 102 0 99.73 7 HOMABAY 32,089 31,689 5 300 10 168 0 99.70 8 NYERI 21,535 21,155 162 72 13 18 0 99.32 9 WAJIR 5,536 5,478 6 2 0 37 0 99.10 10 GARISSA 6,011 5,918 6 2 0 952 3332 98.58 11 NYANDARUA 19,618 18,999 162 126 0 25 0 98.30 12 VIHIGA 16,211 15,867 19 21 0 100 0 98.12 13 MURANG A 25,315 24,163 213 306 15 50 0 97.48 14 KAJIADO 17,382 16,699 46 108 32 108 0 96.95 15 KERICHO 25,335 23,567 152 791 23 118 0 96.72 16 BUSIA 22,507 20,964 203 604 10 50 0 96.70 17 NANDI 26,016 24,652 114 299 0 261 0 96.33 18 KAKAMEGA 51,450 48,517 125 812 41 246 0 96.11 19 MACHAKOS 32,695 28,500 494 2,198 12 86 0 95.33 20 MAKUENI 34,073 31,821 59 484 12 18 0 94.98 21 TANA RIVER 3,763 3,567 0 0 0 39 0 94.79 1
22 LAIKIPIA 11,807 10,946 105 78 0 47 0 94.21 23 NAROK 14,861 13,538 117 330 14 71 0 94.06 24 BOMET 26,630 24,234 198 556 0 27 0 93.79 ELGEYO 12,131 25 MARAKWET 13,588 105 509 16 36 0 93.75 26 UASIN GISHU 24,785 22,690 210 249 32 57 0 93.34 27 MANDERA 5,878 5,345 90 34 0 55 0 92.93 28 BUNGOMA 48,313 43,632 384 795 0 79 0 92.69 29 MARSABIT 4,402 3,937 0 139 0 98 0 92.59 30 ISIOLO 3,085 2,717 60 58 4 42 0 91.74 31 BARINGO 16,713 15,082 76 178 0 23 0 91.72 32 WEST POKOT 12,433 10,871 295 180 0 28 0 91.04 33 TURKANA 9,903 8,783 45 109 9 189 11182 90.20 34 KIAMBU 47,000 42,135 44 86 0 382 0 89.92 35 MERU 28,783 25,693 0 0 42 205 0 89.26 36 KILIFI 26,810 23,891 0 0 0 172 0 89.11 37 SAMBURU 4,560 3,993 32 36 0 9 0 88.98 THARAKA 14,349 79 196 0 38 NITHI 16,529 46 0 88.42 39 NAIROBI 31,109 27,225 0 13 89 517 0 87.56 40 NYAMIRA 19,536 16,177 260 87 0 63 0 84.37 41 KISII 41,408 33,883 31 83 14 355 0 82.09 TAITA 7,587 42 TAVETA 9,290 0 0 4 11 0 81.67 43 LAMU 2,993 2,371 20 55 0 14 0 81.60 2
44 KWALE 14,091 11,246 0 0 0 17 0 79.81 45 EMBU 16,338 12,249 0 212 13 69 0 76.27 46 MOMBASA 11,875 9,030 0 0 26 119 0 76.04 47 KITUI 37,045 28,003 0 0 15 24 0 75.59 NATIONAL 1,017,512 931,148 4,754 12,094 583 5,991 14,514 93.14 Presented by: Amb (Dr.) Amina Mohamed, EGH, CAV CABINET SECRETARY 26 th February, 2019 3
BACKGROUND INFORMATION As at 5 th February, 2019, data indicated that the Ministry of Education had realized 87 per cent Form one transition rate. This means that 895,987 students had fully enrolled in Form one. The rate rose to 90 per cent by 8 th February, 2019, whereby 920,765 students had been enrolled. The Ministry launched the Last Mile 100% Transition National Campaign on 7 th February, 2019. At the time of the launch, the National Transition Rate was at 87%. It was however noted that Counties in the Arid and Semi-Arid Lands (ASALs) recorded low TRs. This campaign embraced a multi sectoral approach to mop up learners who had not reported to school. In every County, teams comprising officials from the Ministry of Interior and Coordination of National Government, Ministry of Education, NGOs, Teachers Unions and other Education Stakeholders worked together to ensure every learner outof-school was enrolled in school. The National TR has since the launch of the campaign improved to 93.14 per cent with 931,148 students in Form One as at 22 nd February, 2019. However, Mombasa, Kwale, Kitui and Embu Counties are still registering TRs below 80 per cent. County multi-sectoral teams are working together to unlock the challenges curtailing improved transition. 4
Nairobi County presents a unique case where the transition rate currently stands at 87%. The number of schools in Nairobi County are relatively few compared to the candidature in the County. Accordingly, a large number of students from the County join schools outside Nairobi. CONCLUSION From the foregoing, the following conclusions can be deduced: - 1. The Ministry is on track to achieve the objective of 100% Transition. 2. Reported numbers are likely to increase as reporting continues. 3. Socio-economic hindrances such as poverty can be associated with the low reporting rates in select Counties. 4. The calculated percentages include learners who have transited to TVET institutions and excludes learners who have opted to re-take the KCPE examination this year. 5. The entries may register slight variations due to adoption of a different formula which accounts for repeated students and those who have joined TVETs. 5
6. The base line used to calculate the TR represents the Counties declared admission capacities and is summarized as follows: TR = (R+T) x 100% (E-r) Where: TR=Transition Rate R=reported students T=joined TVETs E=Expected entry r=leaners who have opted to re-take the KCPE examination this year. 6