Scoping report Global assessment on biodiversity and ecosystem services 29 January 2016, Bonn, Markus Fischer
IPBES 1 st work programme Objective 1 Strengthen the capacity and knowledge foundations of the science-policy interface to implement key functions of the Platform: a) Priority capacity-building-needs to implement the Platform work programme are matched with resources through catalysing financial and in-kind support b) Capacities needed to implement the Platform work programme are developed with support provided by network on capacity-building c) Procedures and approaches for working with indigenous and local knowledge systems d) Priority knowledge and data needs for policy-making are addressed through catalysing efforts to generate new knowledge and networking Objective 2 Strengthen the SPI across the subregional, regional and global levels: a) Guide on production and integration of assessments from and across all scales b) Regional/Subregional assessments on biodiversity and ecosystem services c) Global assessment on biodiversity and ecosystem services Objective 3 Strengthen the SPI regarding thematic and methodological issues: a) Thematic assessment on pollination and food production b) Thematic assessments on land degradation and restoration; on invasive alien species; and on sustainable use. c) Policy support tools and methodologies for scenarios analysis and modelling of biodiversity and ecosystem services based on an assessment and a guide d) Policy support tools and methodologies regarding value, valuation and accounting of biodiversity and ecosystem services based on an assessment and a guide Objective 4 Communicate and evaluate Platform activities, deliverables and findings: a) Catalogue of relevant assessments b) Development of an information and data management plan c) Catalogue of policy support tools and methodologies d) Set of communication, outreach and engagement strategies, products and processes e) Reviews of the effectiveness of guidance, procedures, methods and approaches to inform future development of the Platform
Scoping report process IPBES Plenary approved a scoping process for a global assessment of biodiversity and ecosystem services at its third session (decision IPBES-3/1) Scoping document developed by an expert group in Bonn, Germany (5-7 October 2015) External consultation to Governments, stakeholders and IPBES experts (13 October 6 November 2015) Scoping report for consideration by Plenary at its fourth session (Kuala Lumpur, 22-28 February 2016)
Rationale First comprehensive intergovernmental assessment of nature, nature s benefits to people, and their relation to human wellbeing Supporting all IPBES functions
Global assessment scope Scope: to assess critically the state of knowledge on past, present and possible future multi-scale interactions between people and nature Time frame: current status, trends of past (50) years to 2020, and plausible future projections Synthesize information from 4 regional assessments and address issues of a global nature (e.g. transregional and global indirect drivers) Geographical coverage: land, inland waters, coastal zones and global oceans
IPBES Conceptual Framework
Policy-relevant questions a) What are the prevailing global and transregional statuses of and trends in the interactions between people and nature? b) How do biodiversity, ecosystem functioning and ecosystem services contribute to the implementation of the Sustainable Development Goals c) What progress is being made towards achieving the 2020 Aichi Biodiversity Targets and the 2030 Sustainable Development Goals? d) What are the plausible futures of human-nature interactions between now and 2050? e) What pathways and policy interventions can lead a polycentric society to sustainable futures? f) What are the opportunities for, and actions required of, decision makers at all levels in realizing a sustainable future?
Global assessment chapters Summary for policy-makers summarizing key findings and messages Chapter 1: Understanding global opportunities for sustainable development in human-nature interactions Chapter 2: Status of and trends in human-nature interactions at the global level Chapter 3: Understanding the progress towards meeting major international goals Chapter 4: Plausible futures of human-nature interactions (2030 and 2050 time frames) Chapter 5: Scenarios and pathways towards a sustainable future Chapter 6: Opportunities for decision makers at all levels
Chapter 1 Chapter 1: Understanding global opportunities for sustainable development in human-nature interactions Set the stage as a comprehensive global assessment Incorporate multiple world views, knowledge systems and diverse values Provide a road map and overarching rationale for chapter sequence Assess contributions of nature and nature s benefits to people to achieving the Sustainable Development Goals Recognize need for balanced integration between social (including cultural), economic and environmental dimensions of sustainable development
Chapter 2 Chapter 2: Status of and trends in human-nature interactions at the global level Focus on global and transregional status and trends in human-nature interactions Use multiple evidence bases (including natural and social sciences and ILK) Will cover: An analysis and synthesis of regional/subregional assessments An analysis and synthesis of prior global assessments, thematic assessments and new global scale evidence An evaluation of the status and trends of global institutional drivers An analysis of information and knowledge gaps and needs for capacity building
Chapter 3 Chapter 3: Understanding the progress towards meeting major international goals Will cover: A target by target assessment of progress towards the Aichi Biodiversity Targets and the Sustainable Development Goals An evaluation of progress towards meeting the overall vision behind these goals An evaluation of the underlying reasons why the Aichi Targets are likely to be achieved or not An analysis of information, knowledge gaps, needs for new critical research and capacity building
Chapter 4 Chapter 4: Plausible futures of human-nature interactions (2030 and 2050 time frames) Evaluate how scenarios impact the components of the conceptual framework using quantitative and qualitative methods Positive and negative feedback loops Attribution of changes to direct drivers and of changes in direct drivers to stakeholders Costs and benefits of the consequences of change (or lack of) Evaluation of uncertainty and methods Plausible future scenarios will be analysed based on: statistical explorations, exploratory scenarios, inferences from patterns in case studies and analyses of non-linearities and thresholds
Chapter 5 Chapter 5: Scenarios and pathways towards a sustainable future Describe the roles of decision making in identifying opportunities for future development Analyse the following types of scenarios: Goal seeking scenarios Policy and management screening scenarios Inferences from patterns in case studies and analyses across scales and regions Analyse paths of dependency and adaptive institutional and governance structures as central indirect drivers
Chapter 6 Chapter 6: Opportunities for decision makers at all levels Analyse specific issues and opportunities for action for a range of policy makers and decision makers Target audiences: Global and regional governance structures National, subnational and local governments and different public sectors Private sector Civil society Foundations, philanthropic institutions and donor agencies Media, communication and marketing institutions Science, research, conservation and educational institutions
Important further specificities of the global assessment Inclusion of open oceans considering the World Ocean Assessment Cross-regional teleconnections Timing allows for contributing to: the CBD Global Biodiversity Outlook 5 the elaboration of the Strategic Plan for Biodiversity 2021-2030
Time table 2016 February approval at IPBES-4 nominations May MEP + bureau select experts July FAM August co-chairs at regional SAM December ZOD 2017 March FOD June review August SAM December SOD and draft SPM 2018 Review of SOD and SPM March IPBES-6 July TAM December final version + revised draft SPM 2019 Review SPM Final SPM May IPBES-7 approval
Conclusions (to be discussed) General opportunity-driven scope, plan and schedule o.k. 2.2 Mio USD o.k. General attitude: to support and to help to do as well as possible Potential fine-tuning: Given the strong SDG and CBD focus: Assess synergies and conflicts also with other development and environment issues/policies/opportunities Make sure that multi-stakeholder opportunities are considered well