Mark Scheme (Results) January Pearson Edexcel Level 1 Award in Statistical Methods (AST10)

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Mark Scheme (Results) January 2017 Pearson Edexcel Level 1 Award in Statistical Methods (AST10)

Edexcel and BTEC Qualifications Edexcel and BTEC qualifications are awarded by Pearson, the UK s largest awarding body. We provide a wide range of qualifications including academic, vocational, occupational and specific programmes for employers. For further information visit our qualifications websites at www.edexcel.com or www.btec.co.uk. Alternatively, you can get in touch with us using the details on our contact us page at www.edexcel.com/contactus. Pearson: helping people progress, everywhere Pearson aspires to be the world s leading learning company. Our aim is to help everyone progress in their lives through education. We believe in every kind of learning, for all kinds of people, wherever they are in the world. We ve been involved in education for over 150 years, and by working across 70 countries, in 100 languages, we have built an international reputation for our commitment to high standards and raising achievement through innovation in education. Find out more about how we can help you and your students at: www.pearson.com/uk January 2017 Publications Code AST10_01_1701_MS All the material in this publication is copyright Pearson Education Ltd 2017

NOTES ON MARKING PRINCIPLES 1 All candidates must receive the same treatment. Examiners must mark the first candidate in exactly the same way as they mark the last. 2 Mark schemes should be applied positively. Candidates must be rewarded for what they have shown they can do rather than penalised for omissions. 3 All the marks on the mark scheme are designed to be awarded. Examiners should always award full marks if deserved, i.e if the answer matches the mark scheme. Examiners should also be prepared to award zero marks if the candidate s response is not worthy of credit according to the mark scheme. 4 Where some judgement is required, mark schemes will provide the principles by which marks will be awarded and exemplification may be limited. 5 Crossed out work should be marked UNLESS the candidate has replaced it with an alternative response. 6 Mark schemes will indicate within the table where QWC is being assessed. The strands are as follows: i) ensure that text is legible and that spelling, punctuation and grammar are accurate so that meaning is clear Comprehension and meaning is clear by using correct notation and labeling conventions. ii) select and use a form and style of writing appropriate to purpose and to complex subject matter Reasoning, explanation or argument is correct and appropriately structured to convey mathematical reasoning. iii) organise information clearly and coherently, using specialist vocabulary when appropriate. The mathematical methods and processes used are coherently and clearly organised and the appropriate mathematical vocabulary used.

7 With working If there is a wrong answer indicated on the answer line always check the working in the body of the script (and on any diagrams), and award any marks appropriate from the mark scheme. If working is crossed out and still legible, then it should be given any appropriate marks, as long as it has not been replaced by alternative work. If it is clear from the working that the correct answer has been obtained from incorrect working, award 0 marks. Send the response to review, and discuss each of these situations with your Team Leader. If there is no answer on the answer line then check the working for an obvious answer. Any case of suspected misread loses A (and B) marks on that part, but can gain the M marks. Discuss each of these situations with your Team Leader. If there is a choice of methods shown, then no marks should be awarded, unless the answer on the answer line makes clear the method that has been used. 8 Follow through marks Follow through marks which involve a single stage calculation can be awarded without working since you can check the answer yourself, but if ambiguous do not award. Follow through marks which involve more than one stage of calculation can only be awarded on sight of the relevant working, even if it appears obvious that there is only one way you could get the answer given. 9 Probability Probability answers must be given as fractions, percentages or decimals. If a candidate gives a decimal equivalent to a probability, this should be written to at least 2 decimal places (unless tenths). Incorrect notation should lose the accuracy marks, but be awarded any implied method marks. If a probability answer is given on the answer line using both incorrect and correct notation, award the marks. If a probability fraction is given then cancelled incorrectly, ignore the incorrectly cancelled answer.

Guidance on the use of codes within this mark scheme M1 method mark A1 accuracy mark B1 Working mark C1 communication mark QWC quality of written communication oe or equivalent cao correct answer only ft follow through sc special case dep dependent (on a previous mark or conclusion) indep independent isw ignore subsequent working awrt answer which rounds to

PAPER: AST10_01 Question Working Answer Mark Notes 1 (ai) unlikely 2 B1 cao (aii) impossible B1 cao (b) cross marked at 1 1 B1 cao (c) 0.5 1 B1 for 0.5 oe 2 (a) Gala 1 B1 cao (b) 4 1 B1 cao (c) Bedford (and) Pimlico 1 B1 cao (d) 79 1 B1 cao 3 (a) December 1 B1 cao (b) 25 2 M1 for 2.5 10 oe A1 cao (c) 170 2 M1 for 25 + 20 + 60 + 35 + 30 or 17 10 oe condone one error A1 cao

PAPER: AST10_01 Question Working Answer Mark Notes 4 (a) [RB], RG, RP, BG, BP, GP 2 B2 cao ignore repeats and extras (B1 for 4 correct ignore repeats and extras) (b) 1 / 6 1 B1 for 1 6 oe or ft their part a 5 three things identified 3 B3 for three things identified from: 1. no title 2. no zero (on frequency axis) 3. non-linear (frequency) axis scale 4. overlapping intervals 5. one bar is shaded 6. bars have different widths (B2 for two correct B1 for one correct) 6 (ai) true 2 B2 for all three correct (B1 for two correct) (aii) false (aiii) true (b) two things wrong 2 B1 for unsuitable question, accept no units (of distance) B1 for options too vague oe

PAPER: AST10_01 Question Working Answer Mark Notes 7 (a) spinner + correct reason 2 M1 for (spinner) A correct reason A1 for 3 > 3 6 8 oe or greater proportion of black oe (b) The probabilities are both 1 / 6 1 B1 for e.g. both equal 1 6 8 dual bar chart 4 B1 for correct bars for Male B1 for correct bars for Female (or B1 for 4 correct pairs of bars for Males and Females) B1 for correct labelling on carriage axis B1 for correct key 9 (a) 4 heads, 11 tails 2 M1 for 4 heads or 11 tails or heads + tails = 15 A1 for 4 heads and 11 tails (bi) 4 / 15 2 B1 for 4 15 or ft part a oe (bii) not enough spins B1 for not enough spins oe 10 (a) 28 315 10 4 M1 for 45 17 (=28) A1 for 28 B1 for 315 B1 for 10 (b) comparison of means 2 M1 for 330 10 (=33) or 315 10 (=31.5) A1 ft for 33 and 31.5 and mean BD > mean PD oe

PAPER: AST10_01 Question Working Answer Mark Notes 11 (a) 29 1 B1 cao (b) 29 38, 27, 23 19 71, 257 3 B3 cao (B2 for 27 or 71 B1 for 29 or 38 or19 or 257) (ci) categorical 2 B1 cao (cii) discrete B1 cao 12 (a) 15 1 B1 cao (b) 151 1 B1 cao (c) 28 + correct comparison 3 M1 for 165 137 or 165 and 137 seen together A1 for 28 B1 for correct comparison, eg they are the same 13 (a) 39 2 M1 for 22, 25, 28, 35, 43, 45, 50, 57 or for identifying 35 and 43 A1 cao (b) 9375 2 M1 for 75 000 8 (=9375) condone one error in addition A1 cao (c) scatter graph 2 B2 for correctly plotting (50, 8000), (28, 11 000), (22, 12 000), (45, 8000), (43, 9000), (35, 10 000), (57, 6000) (B1 for 3 or 4 or 5 or 6 points plotted correctly) (d) negative 1 B1 for negative (correlation) (e) 9000 10 000 1 B1 for answer in range 9000 10 000

PAPER: AST10_01 Question Working Answer Mark Notes 14 (a) upwards 1 B1 for upwards oe (b) 80 2 M1 for 1450 or 1370 A1 cao (c) 5670 2 M1 for 1350 + 1520 + 1450 + 1350 (=5670) condone one error A1 cao 15 (a) data collection sheet 3 M1 for a data collection sheet with label for colour or labels for yellow, orange and white oe A1 for label for tallies oe A1 for label for frequency oe (b) 0.73 2 M1 for 1 0.27 (=0.73) A1 for 0.73 oe (c) 0.65 2 M1 for 0.27 + 0.38 (=0.65) A1 for 0.65 oe 16 (a) 40 2 M1 for 361 360 oe (=40) 3249 A1 for 40 from correct working (b) 1056 2 M1 for 117 3249 oe (=1055.925) or ft part a 360 A1 for answer in range 1051 1061

PAPER: AST10_01 Question Working Answer Mark Notes 17 (a) frequency 4, 11, 8, 2 total 25 3 M1 for using tallies or correct frequencies A1 for at least one correct frequency or tallies A1 cao (b) 15 25 2 M1 for ( 4 + 11 ) / 25 A1 for 15 oe or ft part a 25

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