Winter 2017 STAT 231 Online University of Waterloo

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Course Schedule Important: ALL TIMES EASTERN - Please see the University Policies section of your Syllabus for details Week Readings Assignments and Project Parts Due Date Weight (%) Week 1 1.1-1.3 Assignment 1 (Survey) Monday, January 9, 2017 at 11:59 AM 2% Survey closes Monday, January 16, 2017 at 11:59 AM to accommodate those who enroll late in the course. Week 2 1.3-1.6 2.1 Follow the steps in the Introduction to R and RStudio to install the software needed for this course. Week 3 2.1-2.6 Inform your instructor who will be your Data Analysis Group Project leader Friday, January 20, 2017 at 11:59 AM Week 4 2.6 3.1-3.3 Assignment 2 (Simulation of a Sampling Distribution) Monday, January 23, 2017 at 11:59 AM 2% Week 5 4.1-4.3 Data Analysis Group Project Part A Monday, January 30, 2017 at 11:59 AM 5%

Week 6 4.4-4.6 Week 7 4.7-4.8 5.1 Data Analysis Group Project Part B Monday, February 13, 2017 at 11:59 AM 5% READING WEEK (Sunday, February 19, 2017 to Saturday, February 25, 2017) Week 8 5.1-5.3 Assignment 3 (Hand and Foot Data) Week 9 6.1-6.2 Week 10 6.3 Assignment 4 (Gaussian Response Models) Week 11 7.1-7.3 Data Analysis Group Project Part C Assignment 5 (Goodness of Fit) Week 12 8.1-8.4 Data Analysis Group Project Part D Final Examination Data Analysis Group Project Peer Assessment Monday, February 27, 2017 at 11:59 AM Friday, March 17, 2017 at 11:59 AM Monday, March 20, 2017 at 11:59 AM Monday, March 27, 2017 at 11:59 AM Monday, April 3, 2017 at 11:59 AM Monday, April 3, 2017 at 11:59 AM 2% 2% 5% 2% 10% Grade for group Project Part D will be weighted by the peer assessments of group members. 65% Final Examination Arrangements and Schedule Please carefully review the information about final examinations for online courses, including dates, locations, how to make examination arrangements, writing with a proctor, and deadlines.

If you are taking any on-campus courses, you will automatically be scheduled to write your exam on campus. No action is required. If you are taking only online courses, do one of the following: If your address in QUEST is within 100 km of an examination centre, you must choose an exam centre in Quest by Sunday, January 15, 2017. This must be done each term. If your address in Quest is more than 100 km from an exam centre, you must arrange for a proctor. Please review the guidelines and deadlines for writing with a proctor. This must be done each term. Your online course exam schedule will be available in Quest approximately four weeks before your exam date(s). Instructions on how to find your schedule are posted on the Quest Help page. University of Waterloo Senate-approved examination regulations and related matters can be found on the Registrar's website. Official Grades and Course Access Official Grades and Academic Standings are available through Quest. Your access to this course will continue for the duration of the current term. You will not have access to this course once the next term begins.

Contact Information Announcements Your instructor uses the Announcements widget on the Course Home page during the term to communicate new or changing information regarding due dates, instructor absence, etc., as needed. You are expected to read the announcements on a regular basis. To ensure you are viewing the complete list of announcements, you may need to click Show All Announcements. Discussions Your instructor will be using Piazza to facilitate discussions during this course. You will need to make sure you have an account set up in order to use this tool. Please ensure that you select the online version when you search for and join the class. If you encounter any difficulties using Piazza, please email your instructor. Your instructor will visit Piazza on a regular basis and will try to answer questions in a timely manner. While it is acceptable for students to discuss the course material and the assignments, you are expected to do the assignments on your own. Contact Us Who and Why Instructor and TA Course-related questions (e.g., course content, deadlines, assignments, etc.) Questions of a personal nature Technical problems with Crowdmark, Piazza, R, or RStudio Contact Details Post your course-related questions to the Piazza discussion board. This allows other students to benefit from your question as well. Questions of a personal nature can be directed to your instructor or your TA. Instructor: Cyntha Struthers castruthers@uwaterloo.ca Your instructor checks email and Piazza frequently and

will make every effort to reply to your questions within 24â 48 hours, Monday to Friday. Crowdmark Support Technical problems with Crowdmark Technical Support, Centre for Extended Learning Technical problems with Waterloo LEARN Learner Support Services, Centre for Extended Learning General inquiries WatCards (Student ID Cards) Examination information support@crowdmark.com Include your full name, course name and number, quiz/assignment name, and any other relevant details, and copy your instructor. learnhelp@uwaterloo.ca Include your full name, WatIAM user ID, student number, and course name and number. Useful Information for Students in Online Courses extendedlearning@uwaterloo.ca +1 519-888-4002 Include your full name, WatIAM user ID, student number, and course name and number.

Course Description, Objectives, and Outcomes Description This course provides a systematic approach to empirical problem solving which will enable students to critically assess the protocol and conclusions of an empirical study including the possible sources of error in the study and whether evidence of a causal relationship can be concluded. The connection between the attributes of a population and the parameters in the named distributions covered in STAT 230 will be emphasized. Numerical and graphical techniques for summarizing data and checking the fit of a statistical model will be discussed. The method of maximum likelihood will be used to obtain point and interval estimates for the parameters of interest as well as testing hypotheses. The interpretation of confidence intervals and p-values will be emphasized. The Chi-squared and t distributions will be introduced and used to construct confidence intervals and tests of hypotheses including likelihood ratio tests. Contingency tables and Gaussian response models including the two sample Gaussian and simple linear regression will be used as examples. Objectives To provide students, who already have a basic understanding of probability, with an understanding of the role of variation in empirical problem solving and statistical concepts. To provide students with basic statistical methods to draw inferences from observed data. To provide students with the skills needed to understand, interpret, and critically evaluate statistical studies reported in the media, on the internet, and in scientific articles. Learning Outcomes Upon successful completion of this course, students will be able to use numerical and graphical summaries of a data set to describe the characteristics of a variate and to check the fit of a statistical model to the data; use the steps of PPDAC to identify both the objectives and possible sources of error

in an empirical study and to critically evaluate the conclusions; identify the connection between attributes of a population and the parameters in the named distributions (Binomial, Poisson, Multinomial, Exponential, Normal); define and use the likelihood function to obtain point and interval estimates of the unknown parameters in a model particularly for the named distributions; use a pivotal quantity to construct a confidence interval for a parameter and interpret the confidence interval; use the likelihood function to construct and conduct a test of hypothesis for an unknown parameter in a model especially for the named distributions; interpret p-values and describe the connection to confidence intervals; define the properties of the Chi-squared and t distribution; define a Gaussian response model including simple linear regression; determine point and interval estimates and conduct tests of hypotheses for the parameters in a Gaussian model; describe the importance of randomization and pairing in experimental design be able to recognize whether a study design allows the researcher to conclude cause and effect; and use a goodness of fit test to test the fit of a model, independence in a two-way table, and equality of proportions for two or more groups. This online course was developed by Cyntha Struthers, with instructional design and multimedia development support provided by the Centre for Extended Learning. Further media production was provided by Instructional Technologies and Multimedia Services.

About the Course Author and Instructor Course Author and Instructor Cyntha Struthers Dr. Cyntha Struthers is a professor in the Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science who completed all three of her degrees in this same department. Before becoming a faculty member in the Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, Professor Struthers was a faculty member in the Mathematics Department at St. Jeromeâ s University. Professor Struthers has taught many courses including calculus, algebra, introductory probability and statistics, mathematical statistics, estimation and hypothesis testing, and a graduate course in statistical methods for missing data. Her research area is statistical methodology for dealing with incomplete and missing data. University of Waterloo In January 2013, she was appointed as the first Mathematics Teaching Fellow. In this role, she provided information and advice to new instructors to help them improve their teaching. She and the Teaching Fellows in the other faculties at the University of Waterloo were working together to ensure the following quote by Jacques Barzun does not hold at the University of Waterloo: Teaching is not a lost art, but the regard for it is a lost tradition. Cyntha Struthers: Finding Joy in Learning

Materials and Resources Course Notes Required STAT 231 Course Notes by Jerry Lawless (revised by Don McLeish, Cyntha Struthers, Jock MacKay, and others) are available to download for free. These Course Notes are designed to complement the material covered in lectures. Note: You may order a copy of the course notes from the bookstore. For textbook ordering information, please contact the Waterloo Bookstore. For your convenience, you can compile a list of required and optional course materials through BookLook using your Quest userid and password. If you are having difficulties ordering online and wish to call the Waterloo Bookstore, their phone number is +1 519-888- 4673 or toll-free at +1 866-330-7933. Please be aware that textbook orders CANNOT be taken over the phone. Other Materials The following software is needed for most assignments in this course. 1. R 2. RStudio Note: You must install R before RStudio. Instructions can be found in the Introduction to R and RStudio. Resources Library services for co-op students on work term and distance education students

Grade Breakdown The following table represents the grade breakdown of this course. Activities and Assignments Weight Assignments (5 x 2% each) 10% Data Analysis Group Project 25% Final Examination 65% You must pass the final examination (earn at least 50%) in order to pass this course.

Course and Faculty Policies Course Policies Missed Assignments Your assignments must be uploaded by 11:59 AM on the due date of the appropriate week (outlined in the Course Schedule). These days and times are those of the Eastern Time Zone. Final Examination You must pass the final examination (by at least 50%) to pass the course. Faculty Policies Calculator Regulation For the final exam, only calculators approved by the Faculty of Mathematics will be permitted. Please refer to the Calculator Regulation to see a list of approved calculators. If you are unable to acquire one of these calculators, you must contact your instructor in the first week or two of the course so an equivalent alternative can be identified and added to the exam proctors' list of permitted aids. Avoiding Academic Offenses For information on commonly misunderstood academic offenses and how to avoid them, students should refer to the Faculty of Mathematics Cheating and Student Academic Discipline Guidelines.

University Policies Submission Times Please be aware that the University of Waterloo is located in the Eastern Time Zone (GMT or UTC-5 during standard time and UTC-4 during daylight saving time) and, as such, the time that your activities and/or assignments are due is based on this zone. If you are outside the Eastern Time Zone and require assistance with converting your time, please try the Ontario, Canada Time Converter. Accommodation Due to Illness If your instructor has provided specific procedures for you to follow if you miss assignment due dates, term tests, or a final examination, adhere to those instructions. Otherwise: Missed Assignments/Tests/Quizzes Contact the instructor as soon as you realize there will be a problem, and preferably within 48 hours, but no more than 72 hours, have a medical practitioner complete a Verification of Illness Form. Email a scanned copy of the Verification of Illness Form to your instructor. In your email to the instructor, provide your name, student ID number, and exactly what course activity you missed. Further information regarding Management of Requests for Accommodation Due to Illness can be found on the Accommodation due to illness page. Missed Final Examinations If you are unable to write a final examination due to illness, seek medical treatment and have a medical practitioner complete a Verification of Illness Form. Email a scanned copy to the Centre for Extended Learning (CEL) at extendedlearning@uwaterloo.ca within 48 hours of your missed exam. Make sure you include your name, student ID number, and the exam(s) missed. You will be REQUIRED to hand in the original completed form before you write the make-up examination. After your completed Verification of Illness Form has been received and processed, you will

be emailed your alternate exam date and time. This can take up to 2 business days. If you are within 150 km of Waterloo you should be prepared to write in Waterloo on the additional CEL exam dates. If you live outside the 150 km radius, CEL will work with you to make suitable arrangements. Further information about Examination Accommodation Due to Illness regulations is available in the Undergraduate Calendar. Academic Integrity In order to maintain a culture of academic integrity, members of the University of Waterloo community are expected to promote honesty, trust, fairness, respect, and responsibility. If you have not already completed the online tutorial regarding academic integrity you should do so as soon as possible. Undergraduate students should see the Academic Integrity Tutorial and graduate students should see the Graduate Students and Academic Integrity website. Proper citations are part of academic integrity. Citations in CEL course materials usually follow CEL style, which is based on APA style. Your course may follow a different style. If you are uncertain which style to use for an assignment, please confirm with your instructor or TA. For further information on academic integrity, please visit the Office of Academic Integrity. Discipline A student is expected to know what constitutes academic integrity to avoid committing an academic offence, and to take responsibility for his/her actions. A student who is unsure whether an action constitutes an offence, or who needs help in learning how to avoid offences (e.g., plagiarism, cheating) or about rules for group work/collaboration, should seek guidance from the course instructor, academic advisor, or the undergraduate Associate Dean. For information on categories of offences and types of penalties, students should refer to Policy 71 - Student Discipline. For typical penalties, check Guidelines for the Assessment of Penalties. Appeals A decision made or penalty imposed under Policy 70 - Student Petitions and Grievances, (other than a petition) or Policy 71 - Student Discipline, may be appealed if there is a ground. A student who believes he/she has a ground for an appeal should refer to Policy 72 - Student Appeals.

Grievance A student who believes that a decision affecting some aspect of his/her university life has been unfair or unreasonable may have grounds for initiating a grievance. Read Policy 70 - Student Petitions and Grievances, Section 4. When in doubt please be certain to contact the department s administrative assistant who will provide further assistance. Final Grades In accordance with Policy 46, Appendix A - Access to and Release of Student Information, the Centre for Extended Learning does not release final examination grades or final course grades to students. Students must go to Quest to see all final grades. Any grades posted in Waterloo LEARN are unofficial. AccessAbility Services AccessAbility Services, located in Needles Hall, collaborates with all academic departments to arrange appropriate accommodations for students with disabilities without compromising the academic integrity of the curriculum. If you require academic accommodation to lessen the impact of your disability, please register with AccessAbility Services at the beginning of each academic term and for each course. Accessibility Statement The Centre for Extended Learning strives to meet the needs of all our online learners. Our ongoing efforts to become aligned with the Accessibility for Ontarians with Disabilities Act (AODA) are guided by University of Waterloo AccessAbility Services Policy and the World Wide Web Consortium's (W3C) Web Content Accessibility Guidelines (WCAG) 2.0. The majority of our online courses are currently delivered via the Desire2Learn Learning Environment. Learn more about Desire2Learn s Accessibility Standards Compliance. Use of Computing and Network Resources Please see the Guidelines on Use of Waterloo Computing and Network Resources. Copyright Information UWaterloo s Web Pages All rights, including copyright, images, slides, audio, and video components, of the content

of this course are owned by the course author, unless otherwise stated. These web pages are owned or controlled by the University of Waterloo, Centre for Extended Learning. By accessing the web pages, you agree that you may only download the content for your own personal, non-commercial use. You are not permitted to copy, broadcast, download, store (in any medium), transmit, show or play in public, adapt, or change in any way the content of these web pages for any other purpose whatsoever without the prior written permission of the course author and the University of Waterloo, Centre for Extended Learning. Other Sources Respect the copyright of others and abide by all copyright notices and regulations when using the computing facilities provided for your course of study by the University of Waterloo. No material on the Internet or World Wide Web may be reproduced or distributed in any material form or in any medium, without permission from copyright holders or their assignees. To support your course of study, the University of Waterloo has provided hypertext links to relevant websites, resources, and services on the web. These resources must be used in accordance with any registration requirements or conditions which may be specified. You must be aware that in providing such hypertext links, the University of Waterloo has not authorized any acts (including reproduction or distribution) which, if undertaken without permission of copyright owners or their assignees, may be infringement of copyright. Permission for such acts can only be granted by copyright owners or their assignees. If there are any questions about this notice, please contact the University of Waterloo, Centre for Extended Learning, Waterloo, Ontario, Canada, N2L 3G1 or extendedlearning@uwaterloo.ca.