Demography Briefing: United States
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1 Demography Briefing: United States June 9, 1 Dr. Edward Yardeni eyardeni@ Mali Quintana aquintana@ Please visit our sites at www. blog. thinking outside the box
2 Table Of Contents Table Of Contents US Age Wave 3-7 US Population: Numbers US Population: Characteristics 9-1 US Labor Force 11 US Income Shares 1-13 US Fertility Rate 1 US Median Age 15 June 9, 1 / Demography Briefing: United States www.
3 7 5 Figure 1. AGE COMPOSITION OF LABOR FORCE* (percent) US Age Wave Percent of Labor Force -5 Years & Older (.) 1-3 Year Olds (.) * Oldest and youngest Baby Boomers turned 1 in 19 and 19, respectively. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics. 5 Figure. THE AGE WAVE 5 Percent by Age: Labor Force 1-3 Population Note: Oldest and youngest Baby Boomers turned 1 in 19 and 19, respectively. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics. Page 3 / June 9, 1 / Demography Briefing: United States www.
4 Figure 3. US POPULATION BY AGE (millions) US Age Wave & Over Source: US Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census Page / June 9, 1 / Demography Briefing: United States www.
5 US Age Wave. 1.5 Figure. US POPULATION BY AGE (annual change, millions) & Over Source: US Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. -1 Page 5 / June 9, 1 / Demography Briefing: United States www.
6 US Age Wave Figure 5. US POPULATION BY AGE (yearly percent change) & Over Source: US Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census Page / June 9, 1 / Demography Briefing: United States www.
7 5 Figure. AGE WAVE & INFLATION US Age Wave Age Wave* 3 Inflation Trend** * Percent of labor force 1-3 years old. ** Five-year moving average of yearly percent change in CPI. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics. Figure 7. AGE WAVE & BOND YIELD Age Wave* 5 Ten-Year Treasury Yield** * Percent of labor force 1-3 years old. ** Five-year moving average of ten-year government bond yield. Source: US Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics and Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Page 7 / June 9, 1 / Demography Briefing: United States www.
8 Figure. POPULATION (yearly percent change in 1-month avg) US Population: Numbers Civilian Noninstitutional Working-Age Population Total Population Source: US Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics and US Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis Figure 9. HOUSEHOLD FORMATION (millions) year moving average Source: US Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census.. Page / June 9, 1 / Demography Briefing: United States www.
9 Figure 1. HOUSEHOLD & FAMILY AVERAGE SIZE US Population: Characteristics Persons Per: Family Household Source: Current Population Reports. 7 Figure 11. LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH: US (years) Source: US National Center for Health Statistics, Vital Statistics of the United States. Page 9 / June 9, 1 / Demography Briefing: United States www.
10 9 Figure 1. MEDIAN AGE AT FIRST MARRIAGE (years) US Population: Characteristics Men Women Source: Current Population Reports. Figure 13. MARRIAGE & DIVORCE (rate per 1 population) Marriages 1 1 Divorces Source: US National Center for Health Statistics, Vital Statistics of the United States. Page 1 / June 9, 1 / Demography Briefing: United States www.
11 75 Figure 1. CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE (as a percent of total labor force) US Labor Force Male Female Source: US Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. 7 5 Figure 15. CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE PARTICIPATION RATE* (percent) Total 7 5 Male Component* Female Component* * Labor force divided by noninstitutional working-age population. Male and female components are persons that are 1 years and older. Source: US Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. Page 11 / June 9, 1 / Demography Briefing: United States www.
12 Figure 1. MEAN INCOME OF HOUSEHOLDS BY AGE OF HEAD (thousands of 1 dollars) US Income Shares Latest data thru: All* * Includes 15- year olds. Source: Bureau of the Census, Income Statistics Branch, unpublished data Figure 17. NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS BY AGE OF HEAD (millions) Latest data thru: 17 Under Source: Bureau of the Census, Income Statistics Branch, unpublished data. Page 1 / June 9, 1 / Demography Briefing: United States www.
13 Figure 1. US Income Shares AGGREGATE MONEY INCOME BY AGE OF HOUSEHOLD* (billions of 1 dollars) Latest data thru: Under * Mean income times number of households. Source: Bureau of the Census, Income Statistics Branch, unpublished data. Figure 19. AGGREGATE MONEY INCOME BY AGE OF HOUSEHOLD HEAD* (as a percent of total money income) Latest data thru: Under * Mean income in 13 dollars times number of households. Source: Bureau of the Census, Income Statistics Branch, unpublished data. Page 13 / June 9, 1 / Demography Briefing: United States www.
14 . Figure. US FERTILITY RATE (births per 1 women) US Fertility Rate Source: National Center for Health Statistics and Haver Analytics. 1. Page 1 / June 9, 1 / Demography Briefing: United States www.
15 US Median Age Figure 1. US MEDIAN AGE OF POPULATION (years) Source: United Nations and Haver Analytics. Page 15 / June 9, 1 / Demography Briefing: United States www.
16 Copyright (c) 1. All rights reserved. The information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but is not necessarily complete and its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made as to the fairness, accuracy, completeness, or correctness of the information and opinions contained herein. The views and the other information provided are subject to change without notice. All reports posted on blog., and YRI s Apps for ipads and iphones are issued without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any specific recipient and are not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future results. Company fundamentals and earnings may be mentioned occasionally, but should not be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold the company s stock. Predictions, forecasts, and estimates for any and all markets should not be construed as recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any security--including mutual funds, futures contracts, and exchange traded funds, or any similar instruments. The text, images, and other materials contained or displayed on any product, service, report, or website are proprietary to and constitute valuable intellectual property. No material from any part of blog., and YRI s Apps for ipads and iphones may be downloaded, transmitted, broadcast, transferred, assigned, reproduced or in any other way used or otherwise disseminated in any form to any person or entity, without the explicit written consent of All unauthorized reproduction or other use of material from Yardeni Research, Inc. shall be deemed willful infringement(s) of this copyright and other proprietary and intellectual property rights, including but not limited to, rights of privacy. Yardeni Research, Inc. expressly reserves all rights in connection with its intellectual property, including without limitation the right to block the transfer of its products and services and/or to track usage thereof, through electronic tracking technology, and all other lawful means, now known or hereafter devised. reserves the right, without further notice, to pursue to the fullest extent allowed by the law any and all criminal and civil remedies for the violation of its rights. The recipient should check any and any attachments for the presence of viruses. accepts no liability for any damage caused by any virus transmitted by this company s s, website, blog and Apps. Additional information available on request. requests@
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