Children, Young People and Education. Young People Not in Education, Employment or Training (NEET) Monthly Report - July 2017

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1 Children, Young People and Education Young People Not in Education, Employment or Training (NEET) Monthly Report - July 2017 Produced by: Management Information, KCC Publication Date:3rd August 2017 The figures are based on the monthly submission made to DfE via NCCIS for Kent County Council. Academic age is the age of the young person on 31 st August (i.e.: prior to the start of the academic year). The figures include Y13 (academic age 16 & 17) with a Kent County Council area postcode as their primary address. The 2016 NEET and NK figures do not have weighting from September

2 Headlines NEETs as a percentage of the Year 12 & Year 13 (16-17 academic age group) Total Y12 Y13 Total Y12 Y13 May % 3.3% 4.9% May % 2.5% 4.0% Jun % 3.3% 4.8% Jun % 2.5% 3.8% Jul % 3.5% 4.8% Jul % 2.6% 3.7% Not Knowns as a percentage of the Year 12 & Year 13 (16-17 academic age group) Total Y12 Y13 Total Y12 Y13 May % 2.5% 6.1% May % 2.4% 5.0% Jun % 3.1% 6.2% Jun % 2.5% 5.7% Jul % 3.6% 6.9% Jul % 2.8% 6.9% Participation as a percentage of the Year 12 & Year 13 (16-17 academic age group) Total Y12 Y13 Total Y12 Y13 May % 92.6% 82.7% May % 93.6% 85.3% Jun % 91.8% 82.6% Jun % 93.2% 85.0% Jul % 91.1% 81.9% Jul % 92.9% 84.6% NEET & NK as a percentage of the Year 12 & Year 13 (16-17 academic age group) Total Y12 Y13 Total Y12 Y13 May % 5.8% 11.0% May % 4.8% 9.1% Jun % 6.4% 11.0% Jun % 5.0% 9.6% Jul % 7.1% 11.7% Jul % 5.4% 10.6% September Guarantee - Total No Offer Made 3rd August 2017 Total Y11 Y12 Total Y11 Y12 Jun % 11.6% 34.4% Jun % 10.5% 26.0% Jul % 5.8% 28.3% Jul % 5.1% 18.2% Date: 03/08/2017 Page 2 of 13 File: File

3 Headline Commentary The NEET population has fallen slightly to 3.1% this month (1,048 young people), though the Not Knowns have risen to 4.9%. At the same point last year, the equivalent figures were 4.2% NEET and 5.3% Not Knowns, so significant improvement has been made in reducing both cohorts. The NEET population of 1,048 young people comprises 426 in the year 12 age group and 622 in the year 13 age group. The Participation rate has decreased slightly from last month, down to 88.8%, but this is 2.3 percentage points higher than t he same point last year. Schools and colleges have been submitting their offers made to young people for places on courses starting in September. Currently, there are 5.1% of Year 11 pupils, and 18.2% of Year 12 pupils, without a September Guarantee. This is a significan t improvement on last month s figures, and compared to the same point last year, this is an improved position for both year groups. In total, 11.7% of this combined cohort are currently without an offer, compared to 17.1% in July Further work is taking place with schools and colleges to increase the number of pupils with a September Guarantee, with a key focus on supporting those in vulnerable groups. District performance for NEET varies from 1.8% in Sevenoaks to 4.4% In Thanet, though most districts are between 2.5% and 3.5%. NEET proportions rose in Ashford, Gravesham and Swale, whilst they remained the same in Sevenoaks. All other districts reduced their proportions of NEET young people in July from the previous month. District performance for Not Knowns is less varied, and ranges from 3.5% in Shepway to 5.9% in Ashford and Thanet. The number of Not Knowns rose in all districts this, in line with seasonal expectations at this time of year due to course end da tes. 72% of NEET young people have been NEET for 27 or more, up from 68% last month. In the same month last year this figure was also 72%, which shows that although our overall NEET population is reducing, there remains a significant proportio n of young people whose NEET status is hard to shift, and work is taking place to develop creative ways to engage the long -term NEET population. Work is taking place to ensure we have contact details for the full NEET and Not Known cohorts. It can be a challenge to maintain monitoring and support when young people s details can change regularly. Districts have been working with schools to plan their support for young people on GCSE results day to ensure that young people who do not achieve their expected results receive appropriate advice and guidance for progression into post -16 education and training. 3rd August 2017 Date: 03/08/2017 Page 3 of 13 File: File

4 Children, Young People and Education Performance Management Table 1 Y13 NEET Summary Total Cohort Y13 No. NEET Y13 % NEET Y13 NEET Target Y13 Jan 2017 Diff from target No. NEET Y12 % NEET Y12 No. NEET Y13 Not knowns % NEET Y13 No. Y12 % Y12 No. Y13 % Y13 Total % of cohort Kent 33,891 1, % 2.50% -0.62% % % % % % Ashford 3, % 2.10% -0.85% % % % % % Canterbury 3, % 2.04% -0.29% % % % % % Dartford 2, % 2.54% -0.37% % % % % % Dover 2, % 2.79% -0.68% % % % % % Gravesham 2, % 2.52% -0.90% % % % % % Maidstone 3, % 2.49% -0.43% % % % % % Sevenoaks 2, % 1.64% -0.20% % % % % % Shepway 2, % 3.03% -0.20% % % % % % Swale 3, % 3.04% -1.19% % % % % % Thanet 3, % 3.49% -0.91% % % % % % Tonbridge & Malling 2, % 1.67% -0.94% % % % % % Tunbridge Wells 2, % 1.65% -0.90% % % % % % Table 1b Y13 NEET & Not Known Ranking % NEET Y13 % Not Known Y13 Combine d total Kent 3.12% 4.85% 8.01% Ranking Ashford 2.96% 5.93% 8.94% 10 Canterbury 2.33% 4.21% 6.64% 1 Dartford 2.91% 4.59% 7.53% 6 Dover 3.47% 4.66% 8.17% 9 Gravesham 3.42% 4.63% 8.12% 7 Maidstone 2.92% 5.21% 8.16% 8 Sevenoaks 1.84% 5.19% 7.04% 5 Shepway 3.23% 3.51% 6.79% 3 Swale 4.23% 3rd August 9.62% 11 Thanet 4.40% 5.91% 10.34% 12 Tonbridge & Malling 2.61% 4.20% 6.81% 4 Tunbridge Wells 2.55% 4.12% 6.69% 2 Table 2 Y13 NEET % Trends Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Kent Ashford Canterbury Dartford Dover Gravesham Maidstone Sevenoaks Shepway Swale Thanet Tonbridge & Malling Tunbridge Wells Table 2b Historical data Y13 NEET % Sep-15 Oct-15 Nov-15 Dec-15 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Kent Ashford Canterbury Dartford Dover Gravesham Maidstone Sevenoaks Shepway Swale Thanet Tonbridge & Malling Tunbridge Wells Date: 03/08/2017 Page 4 of 13

5 Children, Young People and Education Performance Management Table 3 Y13 Not Known % Trends Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Kent Ashford Canterbury Dartford Dover Gravesham Maidstone Sevenoaks Shepway Swale Thanet Tonbridge & Malling Tunbridge Wells Table 4 NEETs based on length of time in NEET (Y12-Y13) Equivalent - June 2016 (16-18) Kent Ashford Canterbury Dartford Dover Gravesham Maidstone Sevenoaks Shepway Swale Thanet Tonbridge & Malling Tunbridge Wells Table 4b Progress RPA - Participating % Y12 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Kent 42.64% 88.61% 93.40% 94.18% 95.05% 94.60% 94.50% 93.70% 93.60% 93.20% 92.90% Ashford 50.03% 88.32% 93.36% 94.13% 95.17% 94.60% 94.80% 93.20% 92.80% 92.50% 92.00% Canterbury 59.41% 91.15% 94.82% 95.31% 95.98% 96.00% 96.20% 95.80% 96.00% 95.40% 95.10% Dartford 38.66% 82.09% 92.24% 93.20% 95.04% 94.10% 94.20% 94.10% 94.60% 94.20% 93.40% Dover 42.96% 89.55% 93.13% 94.28% 95.23% 95.10% 94.70% 93.70% 93.10% 92.00% 91.70% Gravesham 31.37% 90.00% 93.15% 93.91% 94.97% 94.20% 93.90% 93.10% 93.40% 93.50% 93.10% Maidstone 50.11% 91.24% 93.86% 94.35% 94.77% 94.80% 94.50% 93.80% 93.20% 92.00% 91.90% Sevenoaks 42.78% 86.46% 93.44% 94.67% 96.20% 95.40% 95.10% 94.50% 94.60% 94.80% 94.40% Shepway 37.41% 83.94% 93.23% 94.71% 95.53% 94.90% 95.20% 94.30% 94.50% 94.40% 93.90% Swale 42.76% 88.90% 92.60% 92.99% 93.50% 92.90% 92.90% 92.00% 92.10% 92.00% 91.20% Thanet 34.43% 88.30% 93.12% 93.14% 94.08% 93.20% 92.90% 91.90% 91.50% 91.10% 90.90% Tonbridge & Malling 38.31% 91.07% 93.96% 94.54% 95.41% 95.20% 95.30% 94.30% 94.20% 94.40% 94.20% Tunbridge Wells 38.54% 89.49% 93.74% 95.35% 95.67% 95.30% 95.50% 95.10% 94.20% 94.00% 93.90% Table 4c Progress RPA - Participating % Y13 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Kent 41.30% 80.14% 84.12% 85.64% 86.79% 86.40% 86.60% 85.50% 85.30% 85.00% 84.60% Ashford 44.00% 79.11% 81.65% 83.80% 85.05% 84.40% 84.60% 82.90% 82.00% 81.60% 80.90% Canterbury 51.02% 82.09% 84.76% 86.29% 87.30% 87.10% 87.80% 87.00% 87.00% 86.60% 86.30% Dartford 42.76% 78.38% 82.93% 85.00% 86.60% 86.60% 86.60% 86.70% 86.60% 86.90% 86.60% Dover 41.47% 82.15% 84.34% 85.78% 87.64% 87.20% 87.20% 86.40% 85.90% 85.70% 85.30% Gravesham 35.14% 81.79% 85.10% 85.40% 86.89% 86.40% 86.00% 85.60% 86.30% 85.90% 85.70% Maidstone 48.92% 76.20% 85.28% 86.61% 87.10% 86.70% 87.00% 85.90% 85.40% 84.60% 84.40% Sevenoaks 36.83% 81.51% 85.97% 87.83% 88.82% 88.50% 88.90% 86.90% 87.30% 87.20% 87.00% Shepway 36.24% 85.06% 86.25% 87.71% 88.19% 87.40% 87.50% 86.30% 85.90% 85.90% 85.80% Swale 37.05% 79.50% 83.24% 83.58% 84.28% 84.60% 85.10% 83.30% 83.40% 82.60% 82.20% Thanet 35.18% 78.56% 82.69% 84.38% 85.30% 84.70% 84.40% 83.10% 83.10% 82.50% 81.60% Tonbridge & Malling 36.28% 78.66% 83.56% 85.38% 87.38% 86.70% 87.10% 85.80% 85.90% 85.50% 85.20% Tunbridge Wells 48.24% 81.10% 84.37% 86.88% 88.28% 87.90% 88.60% 87.20% 86.80% 86.80% 86.50% Date: 03/08/2017 Page 5 of 13

6 Children, Young People and Education Performance Management 8 Chart 1 Y13 NEET % Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug _16-18 weighted 2015_16-17 no weighting 2016_16-17 no weighting Chart 2 Y13 Not Known % Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug _16-18 weighted 2015_16-17 no weighting 2016_16-17 no weighting Chart 2a Combined NEET and Not Known % Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug _ _2017 Date: 03/08/2017 Page 6 of 13

7 Children, Young People and Education Performance Management Table 5 Y13 cohort by Vulnerable Group Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Children in Care (CIC) subset CIC resp. not known subset CIC KCC responsibility subset CIC OOC responsibility Caring for own child Asylum seeker Carer not own child Substance Misuse Care Leaver (CL) subset CL resp. not known subset CL KCC responsibility subset CL OOC responsibility Supervised by YOT Pregnancy Parent not caring for own child SEND (16-18 year olds) SEND (19+ year olds) SEND with EHCP flag Total SEND vulnerable group Total cohort with at least one vulnerable group Total cohort with at least one vulnerable group Post Stat PRU Table 6 Y13 NEET by Vulnerable Group Jul-16 3rd August 2017 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Children in Care (CIC) subset CIC resp. not known subset CIC KCC responsibility subset CIC OOC responsibility Caring for own child Asylum seeker Carer not own child Substance Misuse Care Leaver (CL) subset CL resp. not known subset CL KCC responsibility subset CL OOC responsibility Supervised by YOT Pregnancy Parent not caring for own child SEND (16-18 year olds) SEND (19+ year olds) SEND with EHCP flag Total SEND vulnerable group Total NEET with at least one vulnerable group Total NEET with at least one vulnerable group Date: 03/08/2017 Page 7 of 13

8 Children, Young People and Education Performance Management Table 7 Y13 Not Knowns by Vulnerable Group Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Children in Care (CIC) subset CIC KCC responsibility subset CIC OOC responsibility Caring for own child Asylum seeker Carer not own child Substance Misuse Care Leaver (CL) subset CL resp. not known subset CL KCC responsibility subset CL OOC responsibility Supervised by YOT Pregnancy Parent not caring for own child SEND (16-18 year olds) SEND (19+ year olds) SEND with EHCP flag Total SEND vulnerable group Total not known with at least one vulnerable group Total not known with at least one vulnerable group Table Y13 NEET Leavers & Joiners Y12 Y13 13 Total Y12 Y13 13 Total Leaving NEET Total Education Employment Government supported training Re-engagement Provision Transfer to another LA Age reached where no active record required Left England so no longer active record Found to be a duplicate record Deceased Custodial Sentence Cannot Be Contacted Refused to disclose activity Unknown Activity Other Reason Joining NEET Total Education Employment Training Re-engagement Provision From other area Other (inc custodial sentence) Difference (minus = Joiners>Leavers Date: 03/08/2017 Page 8 of 13

9 Children, Young People and Education Performance Management 60 Chart 3 Y13 Not Knowns subset CIC KCC responsibility Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul Chart 4 Y13 Not Knowns Supervised by YOT Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul Chart 5 Not Knowns SEND with EHCP Flag Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Date: 03/08/2017 Page 9 of 13

10 KENT - July 2017 Activities of those who have reached statutory school leaving age Year 12 Year 13 Year 14 Total Year 15 Year 16+ Total Cohort total EET Total In education, post Year School Sixth Form Sixth Form College Further Education Higher Education Part time Education Gap Year students Full time education - Other Special Post-16 Institution Full time education custodial institution (juvenile offender) Employment Apprenticeship Full time employment with study (regulated qualification) Employment without training Employment with training (other) Temporary employment Part Time Employment Self-employment Self-employment with study (regulated qualification) Working not for reward with study (regulated qualification) Training EFA/SFA funded Work Based Learning Other training (eg, private training organisations) Training delivered through the Work Programme rd August Traineeships Supported Internship Re-engagement Provision NEET Group Available to labour market Working not for reward Not yet ready for work or learning Start date agreed (other) Start date agreed (RPA compliant) Seeking employment, education or training Not available to labour market Young carers Teenage parents Illness Pregnancy Religious grounds Unlikely to be economically active Other reason Other (not EET or NEET) Custody (young adult offender) Refugees/Asylum seekers Current situation not known Current situation not known Cannot Be Contacted Refused to disclose activity Currency Expired - EET Currency Expired - Other Progress Year 12 Year 13 Year 14 Total Year 15 Year 16+ Total RPA Participating in education and training 92.9% 84.6% Meeting the Duty 93.0% 84.6% Participating in RPA compliant education and training 92.8% 84.5% Working towards meeting the duty 0.18% 0.07% Temporary break from Learning 0.46% 1.12% Not Known % 2.78% 6.94% 78.04% 30.23% 73.32% 38.69% 31.74% In Learning % 92.86% 84.60% 17.27% 63.93% 19.40% 60.30% 62.40% NEET % 2.57% 3.65% 4.58% 3.62% 7.07% 1.01% 3.73% NEET + Not Known % 5.35% 10.59% 82.61% 33.86% 80.38% 39.70% 35.47%

11 Children, Young People and Education - Performance Management Kent/National/Statistical Neighbours as at June 2017 Table 9 Name NEET Ranked Position Kent 6 Academic Age16-17 (Y12-Y13) NEET % ENGLAND Y12 NEET% Y13 NEET% 3.2% 2.5% 3.8% % Academic Age16-17s NEET NEET Not known In learning % change over last 12 months % Academic Age16-17s NK % change over last 12 months % Academic Age16-17s in learning % change over last 12 months 3.1% -5.5% 3.2% -4.7% 91.4% 0.5% N/K Ranked Position 8 Academic Age (Y12-Y13) NK % Y12 NK% Y13 NK% Academic Age (Y12-13) In Learning % Y12 In Learning % Y13 In Learning % 4.2% 2.5% 5.8% 89.0% 93.2% 85.0% East Sussex 9 3.5% 2.7% 4.2% 3 1.8% 0.5% 3.0% 90.8% 94.5% 87.3% Essex 5 2.9% 2.5% 3.3% 4 1.9% 1.2% 2.6% 91.0% 94.1% 88.1% Lancashire Northamptonshire Nottinghamshire Staffordshire Swindon Warwickshire West Sussex % 2.7% 4.4% % 4.0% 7.8% 88.7% 92.5% 85.1% 3.8% 3.1% 4.6% 2 1.4% 1.0% 1.8% 91.1% 94.1% 88.1% 1.5% 1.3% 1.7% 7 2.9% 1.4% 4.3% 95.3% 97.1% 93.7% 2.2% 2.1% 2.4% 9 5.3% 3.6% 7.1% 89.5% 92.8% 86.3% 3.5% 2.2% 4.7% 6 2.7% 0.8% 4.6% 91.1% 95.6% 86.7% 2.3% 2.0% 2.6% 5 2.5% 0.6% 4.4% 92.8% 96.2% 89.4% 1.6% 1.3% 2.0% % 3.7% 12.4% 89.7% 94.7% 84.9% Worcestershire 7 3.4% 3.2% 3.5% 1 1.0% 0.6% 1.4% 92.8% 95.0% 90.6% Mean Indicator for Statistical neighbours 2.8% 2.3% 3.3% 3.4% 1.7% 4.9% 91.3% 94.7% 88.0% Date: 03/08/2017 Page 11 of 13

12 East Sussex Essex Kent Lancashire Northamptonshire Nottinghamshire Staffordshire Swindon Warwickshire West Sussex Worcestershire ENGLAND 3rd August 2017 Chart 6 Statistical Neighbours NEETs June 2017 Nottinghamshire, 1.5% West Sussex, 1.6% Staffordshire, 2.2% Warwickshire, 2.3% East Sussex, 3.5% Essex, 2.9% Kent, 3.2% Lancashire, 3.6% Northamptonshire, 3.8% Swindon, 3.5% Worcestershire, 3.4% ENGLAND, 3.1% 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% East Sussex Essex Kent Lancashire Northamptonshire Nottinghamshire Staffordshire Swindon Warwickshire West Sussex Worcestershire ENGLAND East Sussex, 1.8% Essex, 1.9% Northamptonshire, 1.4% Nottinghamshire, 2.9% Worcestershire, 1.0% Chart 7 Statistical Neighbours Not Knowns June 2017 Swindon, 2.7% Warwickshire, 2.5% ENGLAND, 3.2% Kent, 4.2% Staffordshire, 5.3% Lancashire, 6.0% West Sussex, 8.1% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% Date: 03/08/2017 Page 12 of 13

13 Children, Young People and Education - Performance Management Year 11 September Guarantee summary Cohort total Total no offer made %age of total Year 12 September Guarantee summary Cohort total Total no offer made %age of total Kent % Kent % Ashford % Ashford % Canterbury % Canterbury % Dartford % Dartford % Dover % Dover % Gravesham % Gravesham % Maidstone % Maidstone % Sevenoaks % Sevenoaks % Shepway % Shepway % Swale % Swale % Thanet % Thanet % Tonbridge & Malling % Tonbridge & Malling % Tunbridge Wells % Tunbridge Wells % Year 11 & 12 September Guarantee summary Cohort total Total no offer made %age of total Kent % Ashford % Canterbury % Dartford % Dover % Gravesham % Maidstone % Sevenoaks % Shepway % Swale rd Augus #VALUE! Thanet % Tonbridge & Malling % Tunbridge Wells % Date: 03/08/201703/08/2017 Addenda Page 13 of 13