Your Unfolding Future: Plan in Uncertainty

Transcription

1 Your Unfolding Future: Plan in Uncertainty Nothing is intractable. Live Virtual Workshop November 2016 Glenda Eoyang 1

2 Today we will explore... What conditions shape your unfolding future? So what assumptions can work for YOU in uncertainty? Now what will be your plan for your future? 2

3 What conditions shape your unfolding future? 3

4 Traditional Planning 4

5 forces that act on us are known and can be managed Containers are closed Traditional Planning 5

6 forces that act on us are known and can be managed Containers are closed Traditional Planning Low dimension few differences 6

7 forces that act on us are known and can be managed Containers are closed Traditional Planning Low dimension few differences future can be known; cause and effect are related Exchanges are linear 7

8 That world is Predictable Controllable Dynamic Black and white 8

9 Planning Assumptions In closed, low dimension, linear systems: Clear goals Aligned resources Great communication Frequent monitoring 9

10 Adaptive Planning 10

11 multiple known and unknown forces Containers are Open Adaptive Planning 11

12 Differences create tension multiple diversities at all scales multiple known and unknown forces Containers are Open Adaptive Planning 12

13 Differences create tension multiple diversities at all scales multiple known and unknown forces Containers are Open Adaptive Planning learn from the past, act today, shape tomorrow Exchanges are nonlinear 13

14 That world is Unknowable Uncontrollable Dynamical Surprising Uncertain 14

15 So what assumptions can work for YOU in uncertainty? 15

16 Assumption #1 About an Uncertain World Precision does not always help 16

17 If precision is not accuracy,... Now what? Look for patterns not points Think across scales Zoom in and zoom out Find fit for function Excellent enough And... 17

18 Assumption #2 About an Uncertain World There is no root cause cause is a network 18

19 If cause is a network,... Now what? Think in networks Scan multiple horizons Make and break connections Expect unintended consequences Use Adaptive Action What? So what? Now what? And... 19

20 Assumption #3 About an Uncertain World This moment is all we have 20

21 If time is all we have... Now what? Explore alternative futures Know history, but... Know it doesn t predict future Stay conscious Choose Practice mindfulness And... 21

22 Assumption #4 About an Uncertain World Difference is generative 22

23 If difference is generative,... Now what? Consider interdependent pairs Work across dimensions Iterate, iterate, iterate Local rules, global patterns Distinguish stable from not And... 23

24 Assumption #5 About an Uncertain World Experience stretches and folds 24

25 If experience stretches and folds,... Now what? Watch the tension Expect and appreciate contraction Take no difference as permanent Test your assumptions Don t get stuck on space and time And... 25

26 Assumption #6 About an Uncertain World Patterns are not problems 26

27 If we see patterns not problems,... Now what? Stay in inquiry Integrate theory and practice Don t stay stuck Work at multiple scales And... 27

28 Now what will be your plan for your future? 28

29 Assumptions About an Uncertain World Precision does not always help There is no root cause cause is a network This moment is all we have Difference is generative Experience stretches and folds Patterns are not problems 29

30 Adaptive Planning 30

31 Learn more... Online at HSDinstitute.org Adaptive Action Labs:! HSD Professional Certification Toronto, Jan 2017! Leadership in Medical Education Online, Feb 2017! Coaching Online! Health and Wellness Ottawa, Dec

32 Join us for upcoming webinars December 1 st, 11 am CST (60 min) Live Virtual Workshop December 15 th, 11 am CST (90 min) Quarterly Associates Meeting Personal Power to Design the Life You Want: Your Radical Inquiry Hear from several HSD Associates sharing their current HSD praxis 32