Georgia Presidential Election and Issues Poll 5/16/16. Fox 5 Atlanta
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- Stephany Primrose Johns
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1 Sponsor(s) Fox 5 Atlanta Target Population Georgia; likely presidential election voters Sampling Method Blended sample; mixed mode: Likely voters were selected at random from a list of registered voters. Only voters determined likely to vote in the 2016 presidential election were included in the sample. Landline: registered voters were contacted on the evening of May 15 th, 2016 using an interactive voice response system. Mobile: registered voters were contacted on the evening of May 15 th, 2016 on their mobile devices. Respondents answered an identical survey in visual form. Weighting One question served as a selection variable. Respondents were asked whether they intend to vote in the November election; only responses indicating definitely were included in the final data. The poll was weighted for age, race, gender, and political affiliation using propensity scores. Weighting benchmarks were determined using a combination of general election voter turnout, external analysis and internal projections. Total Number of Respondents 587 (weighted) Margin of Error ±4.0% (95% confidence)
2 1) If the 2016 election to determine the next President of the United States were held today and your choices were: Democrat Hillary Clinton; Republican Donald Trump; and a Libertarian or Independent candidate, for whom would you vote? a) Hillary Clinton b) Donald Trump c) Libertarian or Independent candidate d) Undecided Horse Clinton Trump Lib / Ind Undecided ) If Donald Trump were to select former House of Representatives Speaker and Georgia Representative Newt as his running mate, how would this affect your choice for President? a) I would be more likely to vote for Donald Trump. b) I would be less likely to vote for Donald Trump. c) This decision would not affect my choice. d) I am undecided. More likely Less likely No effect Undecided
3 1) What is your opinion of the Obama administration s directive that students in public schools should be allowed to use the restroom and other public facilities according to how they identify their own gender, regardless of their gender as identified at birth? a) approve b) approve c) Neutral d) disapprove e) disapprove f) Undecided approve approve Neutral disapprove disapprove Undecided ) Which of the following statements best describes your opinion of the overall national discussion with regard to public restroom policies for transgendered individuals? a) I believe that individuals should be free to use whichever public facility with which they best identify. b) I believe that individuals should use the public facilities according to their gender as identified at birth. c) I do not consider this to be an issue requiring government action or public intervention. d) I am undecided or have no opinion. Identity Birth No policy Undecided
4 3) What is your age? a) b) c) d) 65+ Georgia Presidential Election and Issues Poll ) What is your race/ethnicity? a) White b) African-American c) Hispanic or Latino d) Other White African - American Hispanic / Latino Other ) What is your gender? a) Male b) Female Male Female
5 6) With which political party do you identify? a) Republican b) Democrat c) Independent Georgia Presidential Election and Issues Poll Republican Democrat Independent ) Collection Mode a) Landline b) Mobile Landline Mobile
6 Horse Clinton Trump Lib / Ind Undecided Horse % % % % Clinton 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Trump 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% Lib / Ind 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% Undecided 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% More likely 8.4% 47.6% 17.4% 16.1% Less likely 38.6% 4.3% 15.1% 14.0% No effect 46.3% 44.7% 64.9% 43.1% Undecided 6.7% 3.4% 2.7% 26.8% approve 39.1% 6.2% 8.2% 34.7% approve 12.3% 5.7% 10.6% 10.2% Neutral 15.7% 6.8% 4.0% 2.4% disapprove 10.7% 8.2% 17.8% 4.3% disapprove 17.3% 72.1% 57.9% 48.4% Undecided 5.0% 1.1% 1.5% 0.0% Identity 47.7% 4.7% 18.4% 17.2% Birth 28.1% 66.6% 38.2% 58.4% No policy 16.6% 25.0% 41.6% 22.0% Undecided 7.6% 3.7% 1.9% 2.4% % 11.4% 3.6% 18.0% % 24.5% 50.0% 34.7% % 41.3% 37.9% 30.9% % 22.8% 8.6% 16.4% White 41.0% 85.9% 81.2% 61.9% African - American 52.7% 11.6% 18.3% 32.9% Hispanic / Latino 4.1%.7% 0.0% 0.0% Other 2.2% 1.9%.5% 5.2% Male 40.3% 45.1% 66.8% 35.2% Female 59.7% 54.9% 33.2% 64.8% Republican 12.7% 70.3% 48.1% 39.4% Democrat 74.9% 5.5% 18.2% 43.7% Independent 12.4% 24.1% 33.7% 16.9% Landline 80.9% 80.1% 68.2% 61.5% Mobile 19.1% 19.9% 31.8% 38.5%
7 More likely Less likely No effect Undecided Horse % % % % Clinton 12.7% 79.3% 40.0% 47.2% Trump 77.8% 9.6% 41.6% 25.9% Lib / Ind 6.6% 7.7% 14.0% 4.8% Undecided 2.9% 3.4% 4.4% 22.1% More likely 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Less likely 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% No effect 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% Undecided 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% approve 3.8% 47.5% 20.7% 16.0% approve 11.8% 14.2% 6.2% 2.8% Neutral 8.6% 12.9% 10.0% 5.8% disapprove 10.6% 10.8% 9.0% 12.2% disapprove 61.7% 14.0% 52.7% 46.4% Undecided 3.5%.6% 1.3% 16.7% Identity 8.7% 50.4% 23.1% 16.0% Birth 64.4% 25.3% 47.6% 44.5% No policy 24.7% 21.3% 23.7% 17.4% Undecided 2.2% 2.9% 5.5% 22.0% % 10.8% 14.6% 6.4% % 15.9% 36.4% 9.9% % 52.1% 35.5% 44.3% % 21.3% 13.5% 39.5% White 84.0% 47.0% 65.3% 51.8% African - American 13.5% 46.0% 30.7% 47.8% Hispanic / Latino 1.3% 2.9% 2.2% 0.0% Other 1.2% 4.1% 1.8%.4% Male 48.9% 42.8% 46.3% 22.0% Female 51.1% 57.2% 53.7% 78.0% Republican 66.7% 12.0% 44.7% 25.5% Democrat 8.0% 69.8% 37.0% 59.6% Independent 25.3% 18.2% 18.3% 14.9% Landline 90.0% 98.4% 61.7% 90.1% Mobile 10.0% 1.6% 38.3% 9.9%
8 Horse approve approve Neutral disapprove disapprove Undecided % % % % % % Clinton 75.4% 55.0% 64.6% 43.7% 15.0% 76.7% Trump 12.8% 27.7% 30.1% 36.0% 67.5% 17.7% Lib / Ind 4.0% 11.9% 4.1% 18.2% 12.6% 5.6% Undecided 7.9% 5.4% 1.1% 2.1% 4.9% 0.0% More likely 4.8% 34.9% 23.4% 28.6% 35.3% 35.3% Less likely 44.6% 31.0% 25.7% 21.5% 5.9% 4.3% No effect 46.2% 32.3% 47.5% 42.8% 53.0% 24.0% Undecided 4.4% 1.8% 3.4% 7.1% 5.7% 36.5% approve 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% approve 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Neutral 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% disapprove 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% disapprove 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% Undecided 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% Identity 82.9% 34.6% 16.2% 12.1%.4% 21.3% Birth 7.2% 33.9% 8.1% 50.4% 76.5% 40.3% No policy 8.9% 25.0% 57.2% 28.7% 21.0% 19.8% Undecided 1.1% 6.4% 18.5% 8.9% 2.2% 18.7% % 19.4% 8.4% 12.0% 7.9% 11.8% % 28.0% 13.5% 20.5% 29.8% 14.0% % 31.5% 56.0% 43.7% 45.7% 32.6% % 21.1% 22.0% 23.8% 16.6% 41.7% White 50.2% 53.3% 45.2% 55.7% 83.2% 43.7% African - American 44.1% 42.9% 45.1% 44.0% 13.8% 54.5% Hispanic / Latino 2.9% 2.2% 6.2% 0.0% 1.1% 0.0% Other 2.9% 1.5% 3.5%.3% 1.8% 1.8% Male 42.9% 54.6% 35.5% 35.4% 48.6% 32.9% Female 57.1% 45.4% 64.5% 64.6% 51.4% 67.1% Republican 9.9% 32.4% 23.7% 23.4% 69.4% 21.5% Democrat 75.2% 45.2% 58.1% 50.0% 9.6% 63.1% Independent 14.9% 22.4% 18.3% 26.6% 21.0% 15.5% Landline 76.6% 76.0% 79.2% 75.9% 79.3% 88.2% Mobile 23.4% 24.0% 20.8% 24.1% 20.7% 11.8%
9 Identity Birth No policy Undecided Horse % % % % Clinton 80.4% 24.1% 29.4% 61.4% Trump 8.5% 61.8% 47.6% 32.6% Lib / Ind 7.7% 8.2% 18.4% 3.8% Undecided 3.4% 5.9% 4.6% 2.2% More likely 9.7% 36.5% 28.8% 11.5% Less likely 41.3% 10.6% 18.4% 11.4% No effect 45.1% 47.4% 48.5% 51.8% Undecided 3.8% 5.4% 4.4% 25.2% approve 72.3% 3.2% 8.1% 4.5% approve 13.0% 6.5% 9.9% 11.6% Neutral 6.6% 1.7% 24.6% 36.3% disapprove 5.0% 10.6% 12.4% 17.5% disapprove.7% 75.7% 42.7% 20.3% Undecided 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 9.8% Identity 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Birth 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% No policy 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% Undecided 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% % 11.4% 6.1% 16.5% % 25.4% 32.0% 3.5% % 45.4% 43.2% 37.9% % 17.8% 18.7% 42.0% White 48.1% 77.3% 69.9% 25.8% African - American 47.5% 19.7% 24.5% 70.2% Hispanic / Latino 1.6% 1.5% 3.7% 0.0% Other 2.8% 1.6% 1.8% 4.0% Male 46.0% 44.2% 50.2% 21.9% Female 54.0% 55.8% 49.8% 78.1% Republican 9.0% 66.2% 38.2% 10.0% Democrat 78.7% 16.8% 25.8% 77.8% Independent 12.3% 17.0% 35.9% 12.2% Landline 74.5% 81.1% 76.2% 79.9% Mobile 25.5% 18.9% 23.8% 20.1%
10 Horse % % % % Clinton 47.8% 32.2% 44.0% 41.4% Trump 42.0% 41.7% 43.2% 50.3% Lib / Ind 3.0% 19.7% 9.2% 4.4% Undecided 7.2% 6.4% 3.5% 3.9% More likely 21.4% 19.3% 29.3% 35.3% Less likely 17.9% 12.2% 24.6% 21.2% No effect 57.6% 66.3% 39.9% 32.1% Undecided 3.1% 2.2% 6.1% 11.5% approve 34.5% 21.6% 16.3% 22.9% approve 14.8% 9.8% 6.8% 9.6% Neutral 7.0% 5.2% 13.2% 10.9% disapprove 10.0% 7.9% 10.4% 11.9% disapprove 31.1% 54.0% 51.2% 39.0% Undecided 2.6% 1.4% 2.1% 5.5% Identity 36.1% 24.2% 20.4% 25.4% Birth 45.2% 46.6% 51.3% 42.3% No policy 11.8% 28.5% 23.8% 21.6% Undecided 7.0%.7% 4.6% 10.6% % 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% % 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% % 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% % 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% White 45.1% 66.5% 68.6% 71.9% African - American 46.3% 30.5% 27.0% 26.5% Hispanic / Latino 5.1%.9% 2.4%.6% Other 3.5% 2.1% 2.1% 1.0% Male 47.1% 48.8% 45.8% 36.6% Female 52.9% 51.2% 54.2% 63.4% Republican 43.4% 41.8% 41.5% 47.5% Democrat 42.1% 29.5% 40.5% 36.4% Independent 14.6% 28.7% 18.0% 16.1% Landline 34.4% 48.1% 99.2% 100.0% Mobile 65.6% 51.9%.8% 0.0%
11 White African - American Hispanic / Latino Other Horse % % % % Clinton 25.4% 71.6% 85.4% 44.5% Trump 57.5% 17.0% 14.6% 40.5% Lib / Ind 12.6% 6.2% 0.0% 2.7% Undecided 4.5% 5.2% 0.0% 12.3% More likely 34.4% 12.1% 17.9% 15.7% Less likely 14.2% 30.4% 29.3% 40.1% No effect 46.9% 48.3% 52.8% 43.0% Undecided 4.6% 9.2% 0.0% 1.2% approve 16.1% 31.0% 31.0% 30.1% approve 7.4% 13.0% 10.4% 6.5% Neutral 6.8% 14.9% 31.6% 17.1% disapprove 8.5% 14.6% 0.0% 1.4% disapprove 59.4% 21.6% 26.9% 42.6% Undecided 1.8% 4.8% 0.0% 2.4% Identity 17.7% 38.3% 20.3% 33.1% Birth 55.8% 31.1% 35.8% 36.3% No policy 24.5% 18.8% 43.9% 20.6% Undecided 2.0% 11.8% 0.0% 10.0% % 18.4% 31.0% 20.7% % 26.3% 12.3% 26.7% % 37.7% 50.3% 43.0% % 17.6% 6.3% 9.7% White 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% African - American 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% Hispanic / Latino 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% Other 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% Male 49.7% 34.8% 34.4% 48.9% Female 50.3% 65.2% 65.6% 51.1% Republican 59.1% 10.3% 26.9% 22.1% Democrat 16.9% 78.8% 59.5% 48.5% Independent 24.0% 10.9% 13.5% 29.4% Landline 81.6% 71.1% 75.6% 80.8% Mobile 18.4% 28.9% 24.4% 19.2%
12 Horse Male Female % % Clinton 36.7% 44.3% Trump 44.3% 43.9% Lib / Ind 15.2% 6.2% Undecided 3.8% 5.6% More likely 29.4% 25.0% Less likely 19.0% 20.6% No effect 48.8% 46.1% Undecided 2.8% 8.2% approve 20.2% 22.0% approve 11.1% 7.5% Neutral 7.9% 11.6% disapprove 7.9% 11.7% disapprove 51.0% 43.9% Undecided 2.0% 3.2% Identity 24.9% 23.8% Birth 46.8% 48.2% No policy 25.9% 20.9% Undecided 2.5% 7.2% % 11.5% % 24.1% % 41.4% % 23.0% White 73.0% 60.1% African - American 23.3% 35.6% Hispanic / Latino 1.5% 2.3% Other 2.2% 1.9% Male 100.0% 0.0% Female 0.0% 100.0% Republican 44.7% 41.6% Democrat 27.5% 44.8% Independent 27.8% 13.6% Landline 77.6% 78.9% Mobile 22.4% 21.1%
13 Republican Democrat Independent Horse % % % Clinton 12.1% 82.8% 25.4% Trump 72.1% 6.6% 53.3% Lib / Ind 11.4% 5.0% 17.2% Undecided 4.4% 5.7% 4.1% More likely 41.9% 5.8% 34.1% Less likely 5.5% 37.5% 18.1% No effect 49.2% 47.3% 43.4% Undecided 3.4% 9.3% 4.3% approve 4.9% 43.0% 15.8% approve 6.9% 11.1% 10.2% Neutral 5.5% 15.6% 9.1% disapprove 5.4% 13.5% 13.3% disapprove 76.0% 12.2% 49.4% Undecided 1.3% 4.5% 2.1% Identity 5.1% 51.6% 14.9% Birth 73.2% 21.6% 40.4% No policy 20.6% 16.1% 41.6% Undecided 1.2% 10.6% 3.1% % 13.6% 8.7% % 20.7% 37.2% % 46.0% 38.0% % 19.7% 16.1% White 90.5% 30.1% 79.3% African - American 7.2% 64.1% 16.4% Hispanic / Latino 1.2% 3.2% 1.3% Other 1.0% 2.7% 3.0% Male 46.7% 33.3% 62.5% Female 53.3% 66.7% 37.5% Republican 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% Democrat 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% Independent 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% Landline 81.7% 77.5% 72.5% Mobile 18.3% 22.5% 27.5%
14 Horse Landline Mobile % % Clinton 42.2% 36.0% Trump 45.1% 40.5% Lib / Ind 8.9% 15.0% Undecided 3.8% 8.5% More likely 31.0% 12.4% Less likely 25.0% 1.5% No effect 37.3% 83.5% Undecided 6.7% 2.6% approve 20.7% 22.9% approve 8.9% 10.1% Neutral 10.1% 9.5% disapprove 9.7% 11.1% disapprove 47.7% 44.9% Undecided 3.0% 1.4% Identity 23.1% 28.6% Birth 49.2% 41.4% No policy 22.5% 25.3% Undecided 5.2% 4.7% % 36.3% % 62.1% % 1.6% % 0.0% White 68.7% 55.8% African - American 27.3% 40.2% Hispanic / Latino 1.9% 2.2% Other 2.1% 1.8% Male 44.5% 46.4% Female 55.5% 53.6% Republican 44.9% 36.3% Democrat 36.6% 38.4% Independent 18.5% 25.3% Landline 100.0% 0.0% Mobile 0.0% 100.0%
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