POWER AND THE PEOPLE A POLITICO POLL, SPONSORED BY QUALCOMM JULY 19, 2010

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1 POWER AND THE PEOPLE A POLITICO POLL, SPONSORED BY QUALCOMM JULY 19, 2010 METHODOLOGY On July 9-14, Penn Schoen Berland surveyed 1,011 people in the U.S. with a representative distribution of Americans and 227 Washington D.C. Elites. Margin of error is 3.1% and 6.53% respectively. POLITICO Baseline In general, do you believe that things in the country are headed in the right direction or are they off on the wrong track? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Right direction Wrong track Don't know In general, do you believe that the economy nationwide is headed in the right direction or is it off on the wrong track? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Right direction Wrong track Don't know How much do you feel the current economic downturn has affected you? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female More than most Americans Less than most Americans PENN SCHOEN AND BERLAND ASSOCIATES LLC. 1

2 About the same as others Don t know Do you believe the U.S. effort in Afghanistan will succeed? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Yes No Don t know Do you think the political system in Washington D.C. is broken? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Yes, it is broken No, it is not broken Don t know Which is closest to your views? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female I don t know what the Tea Party Movement is well enough to say The Tea Party Movement is a fad - it will go away soon enough The Tea Party Movement will become a viable third party in American politics Don t Know PENN SCHOEN AND BERLAND ASSOCIATES LLC. 2

3 How ortant do you think each of the following issues is in the United States? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Imp / Imp / Imp / Imp / Imp / Imp / Imp / Economy / jobs 87 97/ / / / / / /1 Education 67 93/ / / / / / /6 Healthcare 65 90/ / / / / / /8 Social Security 65 91/ / / / / / /5 Balancing the budget 65 91/ / / / / / /7 Ethics in government 64 88/ / / / / / /8 Family values 62 84/ / / / / / /12 Energy 60 90/ / / / / / /9 Homeland security / War on terror 58 87/ / / / / / /8 Immigration 53 82/ / / / / / /16 Taxes 53 88/ / / / / / /8 Wars in Iraq and Afghanistan 45 77/ / / / / / /21 Nuclear weapons proliferation 34 70/ / / / / / /21 Climate change 31 63/ / / / / / / PENN SCHOEN AND BERLAND ASSOCIATES LLC. 3

4 What do you think is the most ortant issue facing the country today? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Economy / jobs Healthcare Ethics in government Balancing the budget Immigration Wars in Iraq and Afghanistan Homeland security / War on terror Education Family values Energy Social Security Climate Change Nuclear weapons proliferation Taxes Other Don t know Overall, how favorable are you towards the following people? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Fav / Fav / Fav / Fav / Fav / Fav / Fav / Unfav / Unfav / Unfav / Unfav / Unfav / Unfav / Unfav / fam fam fam fam fam fam fam + DK fav + DK fav + DK fav + DK fav + DK fav + DK fav + DK fav Barack Obama 25 48/47/ /34/ /15/2 4 16/83/ /47/ /51/ /44/5 Hillary Clinton 20 49/45/ /25/ /20/3 4 22/76/ /42/ /51/ /41/7 Sarah Palin 14 39/53/8 3 16/82/2 5 16/80/ /24/3 8 30/52/ /50/ /56/9 George W. Bush 14 38/54/7 7 24/74/1 6 14/84/ /25/2 8 31/53/ /52/ /57/8 John McCain 13 43/48/ /60/1 5 22/69/ /25/2 7 35/47/ /47/ /48/12 Mike Huckabee 11 36/29/ /63/ /42/ /15/ /29/ /33/ /26/43 Joe Biden 10 37/49/ /40/ /26/ /75/8 7 26/50/ /55/ /45/16 Mitt Romney 9 30/35/ /60/8 5 15/51/ /22/ /32/ /39/ /32/44 Nancy Pelosi 5 23/52/ /52/ /35/25 0 7/75/ /49/ /60/ /46/30 U.S. Congress 5 25/64/ /69/1 7 37/54/9 4 17/76/7 3 20/63/ /71/8 5 29/57/14 John Boehner 4 16/21/ /55/28 2 9/28/ /12/ /22/ /26/ /17/72 Harry Reid 3 15/34/ /53/ /21/ /47/ /36/ /44/ /24/62 Tim Pawlenty 3 12/18/ /34/ /19/ /15/69 1 9/22/ /21/ /16/74 Hayley Barbour 3 11/19/ /35/45 2 9/21/ /16/ /20/ /23/62 1 8/15/76 Tim Kaine 2 10/16/ /30/ /14/72 1 5/19/ /17/ /19/69 2 8/14/78 Mitch McConnell 2 13/23/ /53/ /26/ /19/59 0 8/24/ /29/ /17/72 Michael Steele 1 11/29/ /74/15 2 9/33/ /26/ /29/ /37/48 1 9/22/ PENN SCHOEN AND BERLAND ASSOCIATES LLC. 4

5 If the elections for Congress were held today, which party s candidate would you vote for in your congressional district? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female The Democratic Party s Candidate The Republican Party s Candidate The Independent Party s Candidate Would not vote Other Don t know If Barack Obama runs for re-election in 2012, in general, are you more likely to vote for President Obama or for the Republican Party s candidate for president? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female The Republican Candidate Barack Obama Other Don t know If the 2012 Presidential Barack Obama Sarah Palin Don t know If the 2012 Presidential Barack Obama Mitt Romney Don t know PENN SCHOEN AND BERLAND ASSOCIATES LLC. 5

6 If the 2012 Presidential Barack Obama Tim Pawlenty Don t know If the 2012 Presidential Barack Obama Mike Huckabee Don t know If the 2012 Presidential Barack Obama Haley Barbour Don t know PENN SCHOEN AND BERLAND ASSOCIATES LLC. 6

7 CURRENT EVENTS Which of these best describes how you have been following each of these events / issues? Oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female / / / / / / / 51 86/ / / / / / /14 Immigration reform 28 67/ / / / / / /37 Change of command in Afghanistan 18 53/ / / / / / / campaigns & elections 17 48/ / / / / / /55 Supreme Court nomination of Elena Kagan 14 42/ / / / / / /56 Wall Street reform 14 44/ / / / / / /62 Energy Bill in Congress 13 48/ / / / / / /53 Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Steele s troubles Chelsea Clinton s wedding 7 24/ / / / / / /77 2 5/91 1 7/92 3 8/89 2 4/94 1 4/92 2 4/93 2 6/ PENN SCHOEN AND BERLAND ASSOCIATES LLC. 7

8 TOPIC INVESTIGATEION OIL SPILL How satisfied have you been with President Obama s response to the oil spill? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female satisfied Somewhat satisfied Somewhat dissatisfied dissatisfied Don't know How long do you think it will take for the Gulf of Mexico overall to recover from the oil spill? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female About 6 months months years years years years It will never recover Don t know Do you think U.S. taxpayers will end up footing the bill for cleaning up the oil spill? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Yes No Don t know Do you think either Democrats or Republicans have taken political advantage of the oil spill? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Democrats only Republicans only Neither Both Don t know PENN SCHOEN AND BERLAND ASSOCIATES LLC. 8

9 Do you think offshore drilling should continue? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Yes No Don t know Do you support offshore drilling more or less since the oil spill happened? Gen Pop DC Elites GP Dem GP Rep GP Ind GP Male GP Female Support more than before Support less than before Support the same as before Don t know PENN SCHOEN AND BERLAND ASSOCIATES LLC. 9

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