Iowa: Republican Caucus Poll- June, 2015

Transcription

1 POLL RESULTS Iowa: Republican Caucus Poll- June, 2015 Midwest Matters We Ask America Polls 6/30/2015 1

2 Dates of Poll: June 27-29, 2015 Responses: 1,000 Likely Voters Margin of Error: ±3.10% 1. Which candidate do you plan to support in the Iowa Republican Caucus? Jeb Bush % Ben Carson % Chris Christie % Ted Cruz % Carly Fiorina % Lindsey Graham % Mike Huckabee % Bobby Jindal % John Kasich % George Pataki % Rand Paul % Rick Perry % Marco Rubio % Rick Santorum % Donald Trump % Scott Walker % Undecided % 2. What is your gender? Female % Male % 2

3 3. Which of the following type of music is your favorite? Rock % Country % Pop % R&B % Classical % Rap % Jazz % Other % 4. In which of the following age brackets do you belong? % % % % % % 5. Region of State [derived] Region % Region % Region % Region % Region % Region % Region % Region % Region % 3

4 By GENDER: Cross- Tabulation between Question # 1 and Question # 2 CHOICE FOR REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE GENDER Jeb Ben Chris Ted Carly Lindsey Mike Bobby John George Rand Rick Bush Carson Christie Cruz Fiorina Graham Huckabee Jindal Kasich Pataki Paul Perry Female 16.39% 6.52% 3.54% 7.26% 2.79% 0.19% 13.04% 0.93% 1.30% 0.19% 10.61% 5.21% Male 6.48% 3.67% 6.05% 9.07% 3.24% 0% 6.26% 2.59% 1.08% 0.43% 9.07% 2.59% Total 11.80% 5.20% 4.70% 8.10% 3.00% 0.10% 9.90% 1.70% 1.20% 0.30% 9.90% 4.00% Cross- Tabulation between Question # 1 and Question # 2 CHOICE FOR REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE - Continued GENDER Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Undecided Total Female 10.43% 2.79% 1.68% 14.53% 2.61% % Male 8.21% 5.18% 12.74% 20.95% 2.38% % Total 9.40% 3.90% 6.80% 17.50% 2.50% % 4

5 By FAVORITE TYPE OF MUSIC: Cross- Tabulation between Question # 1 and Question # 3 CHOICE FOR REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE FAVORITE TYPE OF MUSIC Jeb Ben Chris Ted Carly Lindsey Mike Bobby John George Rand Rick Bush Carson Christie Cruz Fiorina Graham Huckabee Jindal Kasich Pataki Paul Perry Rock 14.13% 1.09% 3.26% 10.87% 3.26% 0% 2.17% 0% 2.17% 0% 9.78% 6.52% Country 9.57% 5.25% 6.79% 7.41% 1.54% 0% 8.02% 1.54% 2.16% 0.31% 12.35% 4.63% Pop 14.08% 4.23% 2.82% 5.63% 1.41% 0% 7.04% 2.82% 0% 0% 5.63% 4.23% R&B 10.00% 6.67% 3.33% 3.33% 3.33% 0% 13.33% 3.33% 0% 0% 13.33% 3.33% Classical 16.74% 6.05% 3.72% 6.98% 5.12% 0.47% 9.30% 1.86% 0.47% 0.47% 7.91% 2.79% Rap 33.33% 0% 0% 16.67% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 33.33% 0% Jazz 8.57% 5.71% 14.29% 2.86% 11.43% 0% 5.71% 0% 0% 0% 11.43% 2.86% Other 8.81% 6.17% 2.64% 11.01% 2.20% 0% 17.62% 2.20% 0.88% 0.44% 8.37% 3.52% Total 11.80% 5.20% 4.70% 8.10% 3.00% 0.10% 9.90% 1.70% 1.20% 0.30% 9.90% 4.00% Cross- Tabulation between Question # 1 and Question # 3 CHOICE FOR REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE - Continued FAVORITE TYPE OF MUSIC Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Undecided Total Rock 13.04% 6.52% 7.61% 17.39% 2.17% % Country 11.11% 2.47% 6.79% 16.67% 3.40% % Pop 9.86% 8.45% 9.86% 23.94% 0% % R&B 3.33% 3.33% 3.33% 30.00% 0% % Classical 9.30% 4.19% 4.19% 19.07% 1.40% % Rap 0% 16.67% 0% 0% 0% % Jazz 14.29% 0% 8.57% 8.57% 5.71% % Other 5.73% 3.52% 8.37% 15.42% 3.08% % Total 9.40% 3.90% 6.80% 17.50% 2.50% % 5

6 By AGE BRACKET: Cross- Tabulation between Question # 1 and Question # 4 CHOICE FOR REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE AGE BRACKET Jeb Ben Chris Ted Carly Lindsey Mike Bobby John George Rand Rick Bush Carson Christie Cruz Fiorina Graham Huckabee Jindal Kasich Pataki Paul Perry % 0% 2.80% 1.87% 4.67% 0% 6.54% 3.74% 0% 0% 11.21% 0% % 16.07% 1.79% 8.93% 5.36% 0% 16.96% 0% 0% 0% 26.79% 1.79% % 9.20% 1.23% 9.20% 4.29% 0.61% 3.07% 0.61% 0.61% 0% 3.68% 0% % 0% 5.63% 6.25% 3.75% 0% 6.25% 1.88% 0% 0% 1.88% 3.13% % 0.57% 0.57% 10.29% 3.43% 0% 10.86% 0% 1.14% 1.71% 10.29% 4.57% % 6.36% 10.60% 9.19% 0% 0% 13.78% 3.18% 3.18% 0% 10.60% 8.83% Total 11.80% 5.20% 4.70% 8.10% 3.00% 0.10% 9.90% 1.70% 1.20% 0.30% 9.90% 4.00% Cross- Tabulation between Question # 1 and Question # 4 CHOICE FOR REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE - Continued AGE BRACKET Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Undecided Total % 0% 2.80% 20.56% 19.63% % % 0% 2.68% 7.14% 0% % % 11.66% 22.70% 18.40% 1.23% % % 6.88% 3.75% 32.50% 0.63% % % 5.14% 4.00% 26.29% 0.57% % % 0% 4.24% 6.01% 0% % Total 9.40% 3.90% 6.80% 17.50% 2.50% % 6

7 By REGION OF STATE: Cross- Tabulation between Question # 1 and Question # 5 CHOICE FOR REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE REGION OF STATE Jeb Ben Chris Ted Carly Lindsey Mike Bobby John George Rand Rick Bush Carson Christie Cruz Fiorina Graham Huckabee Jindal Kasich Pataki Paul Perry Region % 3.45% 5.75% 11.49% 3.45% 0% 16.09% 0% 0% 0% 14.94% 3.45% Region % 6.86% 4.57% 9.71% 5.71% 0% 6.86% 1.71% 1.14% 0.57% 11.43% 1.71% Region % 0% 2.59% 6.03% 2.59% 0% 6.03% 2.59% 1.72% 1.72% 10.34% 6.03% Region % 2.63% 3.95% 2.63% 1.32% 0% 17.11% 3.95% 1.32% 0% 11.84% 10.53% Region % 7.39% 8.37% 9.85% 2.46% 0% 6.40% 1.48% 1.97% 0% 9.85% 4.43% Region % 3.85% 1.28% 6.41% 2.56% 0% 16.67% 2.56% 0% 0% 12.82% 3.85% Region % 10.00% 2.00% 9.00% 3.00% 1.00% 9.00% 1.00% 2.00% 0% 3.00% 0% Region % 4.49% 6.74% 6.74% 3.37% 0% 11.24% 1.12% 0% 0% 7.87% 6.74% Region % 3.95% 2.63% 6.58% 0% 0% 10.53% 1.32% 1.32% 0% 6.58% 1.32% Total 11.80% 5.20% 4.70% 8.10% 3.00% 0.10% 9.90% 1.70% 1.20% 0.30% 9.90% 4.00% Cross- Tabulation between Question # 1 and Question # 5 CHOICE FOR REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE - Continued REGION OF STATE Marco Rubio Rick Santorum Donald Trump Scott Walker Undecided Total Region % 2.30% 2.30% 14.94% 2.30% % Region % 2.29% 9.71% 21.71% 0.57% % Region % 3.45% 5.17% 25.00% 0% % Region % 3.95% 5.26% 14.47% 1.32% % Region % 2.96% 7.39% 12.81% 2.96% % Region % 2.56% 8.97% 15.38% 5.13% % Region % 14.00% 5.00% 16.00% 4.00% % Region % 3.37% 8.99% 15.73% 4.49% % Region % 1.32% 5.26% 21.05% 3.95% % Total 9.40% 3.90% 6.80% 17.50% 2.50% % 7

8 Iowa Counties/Regions Key Adair 7 Adams 7 Allamakee 3 Appanoose 4 Audubon 8 Benton 2 Black Hawk 3 Boone 5 Bremer 3 Buchanan 3 Buena Vista 9 Butler 6 Calhoun 8 Carroll 8 Cass 7 Cedar 2 Cerro Gordo 6 Cherokee 9 Chickasaw 3 Clarke 4 Clay 9 Clayton 3 Clinton 2 Crawford 8 Dallas 5 Davis 1 Decatur 4 Delaware 3 Des Moines 1 Dickinson 9 Dubuque 3 Emmet 9 Fayette 3 Floyd 6 Franklin 6 Fremont 7 Greene 8 Grundy 5 Guthrie 8 Hamilton 5 Hancock 6 Hardin 5 Harrison 8 Henry 1 Howard 3 Humboldt 6 Ida 8 Iowa 2 Jackson 2 Jasper 5 Jefferson 1 Johnson 2 Jones 2 Keokuk 1 Kossuth 6 Lee 1 Linn 2 Louisa 1 Lucas 4 Lyon 9 Madison 4 Mahaska 1 Marion 4 Marshall 5 Mills 7 Mitchell 6 Monona 8 Monroe 4 Montgomery 7 Muscatine 2 O'Brien 9 Osceola 9 Page 7 Palo Alto 9 Plymouth 9 Pocahantas 9 Polk 5 Pottawattamie 7 Poweshiek 5 Ringgold 4 Sac 8 Scott 2 Shelby 8 Sioux 9 Story 5 Tama 5 Taylor 7 Union 4 Van Buren 1 Wapello 1 Warren 4 Washington 1 Wayne 4 Webster 5 Winnebago 6 Winneshiek 3 Woodbury 8 Worth 6 Wright 6 Key 1 = Southeast 2 = East central 3 = Northeast 4 = South central 5 = Central 6 = North central 7 = Southwest 8 = West central 9 = Northwest 8