Monthly Trading Report August 2018
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1 Monthly Trading Report August 218
2 Figure 1: August 218 (% change over previous month) % Major Market Indicators USEP Forecasted Demand CCGT/Cogen/Trigen Supply ST Supply Figure 2: Summary of Trading Data USEP ($/h) Daily Average Daily Maximum Daily Minimum Forecasted Demand () Daily Average Daily Maximum Daily Minimum Reserve Regulation ($/h) Primary Contingency Regulation August 218 Weekdays Saturday Sunday ,137 5,738 5,569 6,956 6,251 6,13 4,875 4,991 4, Generation () CCGT/Cogen/Trigen ST GT 6,48 5,639 5, Page 1 of 8 Trading Date: Aug 218
3 USEP, Forecasted Demand and Supply Figure 3: Average Forecasted Demand vs Average USEP $/h Average Forecasted Demand Average USEP 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, 3 1 Aug 4 Aug 7 Aug 1 Aug 13 Aug 16 Aug 19 Aug 22 Aug 25 Aug 28 Aug 31 Aug Figure 4: Average Forecasted Demand vs Average USEP for Last 12 Months $/h Average Forecasted Demand Average USEP ,8 5,4 5, 4,6 4,2 3,8 3 3,4 Page 2 of 8 Trading Date: Aug 218
4 USEP, Demand and Supply Figure 5: YOY % Change of USEP for Last 12 Months % Figure 6: YOY % Change of Forecasted Demand for Last 12 Months % Page 3 of 8 Trading Date: Aug 218
5 Ancillary Prices Figure 7: Primary Reserve Price $/h Aug 8 Aug 15 Aug 22 Aug 29 Aug Figure 8: Contingency Reserve Price $/h Aug 8 Aug 15 Aug 22 Aug 29 Aug Primary Reserve Price ($/h) Contingency Reserve Price ($/h) Monthly Average.14 Monthly Average 1.84 Previous Month.3 Previous Month Change 52.6% Change 11.6% Max Max 185 Min.1 Min.1 Figure 9: Regulation Price $/h Aug 8 Aug 15 Aug 22 Aug 29 Aug Regulation Price ($/h) Monthly Average Previous Month Change 2.2% Max 185 Min.88 Page 4 of 8 Trading Date: Aug 218
6 Generation Figure 1: Average Generation by Type 7, CCGT/Cogen/Trigen ST GT 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, 1 Aug 4 Aug 7 Aug 1 Aug 13 Aug 16 Aug 19 Aug 22 Aug 25 Aug 28 Aug 31 Aug Figure 11: Average Generation by Type for Last 12 Months 7, CCGT/Cogen/Trigen ST GT 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, Figure 12: Instances of GT Scheduled for Last 12 Months Page 5 of 8 Trading Date: Aug 218
7 Settlement Figure 13: Monthly Energy Payment for Last 12 Months Figure 3: Average Forecasted Demand vs Average USEP $ $/h Million Average Forecasted Demand 33 6 Average USEP 7, , 5, , , , 8 1 1, 3 1 Aug 4 Aug 7 Aug 1 Aug 13 Aug 16 Aug 19 Aug 22 Aug 25 Aug 28 Aug 31 Aug Figure 14: Monthly Reserve Payment for Last 12 Months $/h Average Forecasted Demand Average USEP $ 13 Million ,8 5,4 5, ,6 4,2 3,8 3,4. Figure 15: Monthly Regulation Payment for Last 12 Months $ Million Page 6 of 8 Trading Date: Aug 218
8 Market Statistics Figure 16: Price Statistics for Year 218 USEP ($/h) Forecasted Demand () Generation (%) Average Min Max Average Min Max CCGT/Cogen /Trigen ST GT Jan ,622 4,335 6, Feb ,628 4,464 6, Mar ,823 4,723 6, Apr ,99 4,727 6, May ,31 4,925 7, Jun ,3 4,879 7, Jul ,981 4,828 6, Aug ,975 4,875 6, Sep Oct Nov Dec Yearly ,874 4,335 7, Q ,693 4,335 6, Q ,982 4,727 7, Q ,978 4,828 6, Q4 Average Price ($/h) Average Requirements () Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Yearly Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Primary Reserve Contingency Reserve Regulation Primary Reserve Contingency Reserve Regulation Page 7 of 8 Trading Date: Aug 218
9 Market Statistics Figure 17: WEP, Fuel Oil, Vesting Price and Tariffs for Year 218 WEP($/h) Fuel Oil(US$/MT) BVP($/h) Average HSFO 18 CST Vesting price LVP($/h) Vesting price Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Yearly Q Q Q Q4 Tariffs( /kwh) Domestic Electricity Tariffs WEP Components ($/h) USEP AFP HEUC MEUC EMC Fees PSO Fees Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Yearly Q1 Q2 Q3 Q Note: Data since 1 January 23 can be available via data subscription package at Disclaimer This Report is prepared and provided for general information purposes only. Information in this Report was obtained or derived from sources that the Energy Market Company Pte Ltd (EMC) considers reliable. All reasonable care has been taken to ensure that stated facts are accurate and opinions fair and reasonable at time of printing. EMC does not represent that information in this Report is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. In particular, in presentation of charts, certain assumptions were made which may not be stated therein. As such, EMC assumes no fiduciary responsibility or liability for any construction or interpretation you may take based on the information contained nor for any consequences, financial or otherwise, from transactions where information in this Report may be relied upon. You should make your own appraisal and should consult, to the extent necessary, your own professional advisors to ensure that any decision made based on the information in this Report is suitable for your circumstances. If you have any specific queries about this Report or its contents, you should contact us at marketoperationsb@emcsg.com. Monthly Trading Report Trading Date: Aug 218 Restricted Page 8 of 8
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