Phone: (202)

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1 Ayesha S. Mahmud Harvard University 26 Oxford Street, 4th Floor Cambridge, MA Phone: (202) Current Position Rockefeller Foundation Planetary Health Postdoctoral Fellow Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health Harvard University Center for the Environment September Present Education Ph.D. Demography and Social Policy, Princeton University September 2017 Advisors: C. Jessica Metcalf and Bryan T. Grenfell Dissertation: A map for all seasons: Tracking transmission dynamics and mortality of childhood infections through the year B.A. Economics and Physics, Carleton College June 2009 Magna Cum Laude, Distinction in major and thesis (Economics and Physics) Peer-reviewed publications Mahmud, A., Alam, N., and Metcalf, C. J. E. "Drivers of measles mortality: the historic fatality burden of famine in Bangladesh". Epidemiology and Infection. Forthcoming. Mahmud, A., Metcalf, C. J. E., and Grenfell, B.T. (2017) "Comparative dynamics, seasonality in transmission, and predictability of childhood infections in Mexico". Epidemiology and Infection, 145 (pp ). Link. Carton, S.*, Helsby, J.*, Joseph, K.*, Mahmud, A.*, Park, Y.*, Walsh, J., Cody, C., Patterson, E., Haynes, L., and Ghani, R. (2016) "Identifying Police Officers at Risk of Adverse Events." Proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, KDD 16. (* Equal contributions) Link. Mahmud, A. (2016) "Behavioral or Biological: Taking a Closer Look at the Relationship between HIV and Fertility." Applied Demography and Public Health in the 21st Century. Springer International Publishing (pp ). Link. Caudron, Q., Mahmud, A., Metcalf, C. J. E., Gottfredsson, M., Viboud, C., Cliff, A. D., and Grenfell, B. T. (2015). "Predictability in a Highly Stochastic System: Final Size of Measles Epidemics in Small Populations." Journal of The Royal Society Interface, 12(102), Link.

2 Ayesha S. Mahmud 2 Works in progress "Dynamic response of airborne infections to climate change: predictions for varicella" (with Rachel Baker and C. Jessica Metcalf). Submitted. "The time-series SIR model and the age-structured dynamics of measles" (with C. Jessica Metcalf and Bryan Grenfell). In Prep. "A review of the health consequences of climate variability and change in Bangladesh: synthesizing the evidence, identifying the gaps and understanding the challenges" (with Mohammed Mofizur Rahman, Sate Ahmed, Mahin Al Nahian, Ali Ahmed, Qamrun Nahar, and Peter Kim Streatfield). In Prep. "Productive disruption: opportunities and challenges for innovation in infectious disease surveillance" (with members of Harvard-Wellcome Trust Workshop on Infectious Disease Modeling for Control Programs). Revise and resubmit. BMJ Global Health. Fellowships and awards Rockefeller Foundation Planetary Health Fellowship, Harvard University, Fellowship of Woodrow Wilson Scholars, Princeton University, Health Grand Challenge Graduate Research Funding, Center for Health and Wellbeing, Princeton University, Data Science for Social Good Fellowship, University of Chicago, Scholarship, 6th Summer Institute in Statistics and Modeling in Infectious Diseases, University of Washington, Summer grant for developing the syllabus for undergraduate courses on social entrepreneurship and global health challenges, Kellar Center, Princeton University, 2013 and 2014 Employee Recognition Award, NORC at the University of Chicago, Starr International Scholar, Carleton College, Dean s list, Carleton College, 2006 (awarded to top 10 percent of the class). Nominated for Sigma Xi (honor society for scientists), 2009 Professional experience World Bank, Washington, D.C. June June 2017 Short-term consultant with the Development Data Group. Improved the World Bank s data processing pipeline for producing population estimates and projections.

3 Ayesha S. Mahmud 3 Data Science for Social Good Summer Fellowship, Chicago, IL June - August 2015 One of 42 fellows chosen from about 800 applicants. Partnered with police departments to predict which officers are at risk of having an adverse interaction with the public, using machine learning models. National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA July August 2012 Research assistant for Jonathan Gruber (Dept. of Economics, MIT). Analyzed Medicare Part D data to examine health insurance plan choice among the elderly Medicare population. NORC at the University of Chicago, Bethesda, MD July June 2011 Research analyst for projects in the Health Care Research, Public Health, Economics, and International Projects departments. Lunar and Planetary Institute, Houston, TX June - August 2008 Developed a time-variable model for Neptune s stratosphere to study the variation in hydrocarbon abundances. Space Telescope Science Institute, Baltimore, MD June - August 2007 Analyzed properties of stars in the Small Magellanic Cloud. Teaching experience Instructor, Introduction to Demographic Methods Summer 2014 Office of Population Research, Princeton University Summer "boot-camp" for incoming Ph.D. students Teaching assistant, Epidemiology Spring 2014 Woodrow Wilson School, Princeton University Instructor: Joseph Amon, Princeton University Teaching assistant, Ventures to Address Global Health Challenges Fall 2013 Woodrow Wilson School and Dept. of Engineering, Princeton University Instructor: John Danner, University of California - Berkeley Tutor, grader and lab assistant for multiple courses Dept. of Physics and Astronomy, Carleton College Talks and conference presentations "Drivers of seasonal disease dynamics" UTokyo-Princeton Infectious Disease Modeling Symposium, Tokyo, Japan, July Invited talk.

4 Ayesha S. Mahmud 4 "Dynamic response of airborne infections to climate change: predictions for varicella." Planetary Health / GeoHealth Annual Meeting, Boston, MA, April "Comparative Dynamics, Seasonality in Transmission, and Predictability of Childhood Infections in Mexico." Population Association of America conference, Chicago, IL, April "Drivers of infectious disease dynamics: Childhood infections in Mexico." 5th Annual Institute for Disease Modeling Symposium, Bellevue, WA, April Invited talk. "Drivers of seasonal transmission of childhood infections." Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics Seminar, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, December, Invited talk. "Comparative dynamics, seasonality in transmission, and predictability of childhood infections in Mexico." Ecology and Evolution of Infectious Disease meeting, Cornell, NY, June "Identifying Police Officers at Risk of Adverse Events." Population Association of America conference, Washington, DC, April "HIV and Fertility in sub-saharan Africa." Population Association of America conference, San Diego, CA, May "Stratospheric Photochemistry on Neptune: Constraints from Spitzer Observations." American Astronomical Society Division of Planetary Sciences conference, Cornell, NY, October Additional training and skills Bayesian Population Projections, Population Association of America Annual Meeting, th Summer Institute in Statistics and Modeling in Infectious Diseases, University of Washington, 2014 Web Scraping and Text Processing with Python, Princeton University, 2014 Advanced Statistical Programming Camp, Princeton University, 2013 Computer Programming: R, Stata, Python, Fortran, Mathematica. Languages: Fluent in English and Bengali; Beginner French. References Prof. Bryan T. Grenfell Dept. of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology Office of Population Research Princeton University grenfell@princeton.edu Prof. C. Jessica Metcalf Dept. of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology Office of Population Research Princeton University cmetcalf@princeton.edu

5 Ayesha S. Mahmud 5 Joseph T. Walsh Senior Data Scientist Center for Data Science and Public Policy University of Chicago jtwalsh@uchicago.edu Prof. Caroline Buckee Dept. of Epidemiology Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health cbuckee@hsph.harvard.edu