Regional Scan & Program Demand Report. Halifax Community College

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1 Regional Scan & Program Demand Report Halifax Community College

2 Contents Executive Summary Regional Population Summary Population: Detailed Data Educational Attainment Projected High School Graduations Regional Industry Summary Regional Industries: Detailed Data Regional Occupation Summary Regional Occupations: Detailed Data Occupation Demand & Program Comparison About EMSI & the Data PREPARED FOR: Halifax Community College REGION DEFINITION (COUNTIES): Halifax, Northampton Key Terms and Concepts Understanding the following terms is crucial to interpreting the data included in this report. Introduction This report is designed to integrate and analyze data from multiple sources with the goal of helping community and technical colleges with their strategic planning efforts. The overall goal is to help colleges align their program offerings with the demographic and economic characteristics of their service regions. To do this, the report provides an overview of the region s population, economy, and workforce, using state and national comparisons where appropriate to highlight unique regional characteristics. The industry and occupation employment numbers are based on numerous published sources from the federal Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Bureau of the Census, and the National Center for Education Statistics. In addition, the report integrates industry/occupation data and projections created by the State of North Carolina, as well as neighboring states if a service region extends outside North Carolina. These data sources have been specially processed and harmonized to provide more complete and detailed data than any individual source used. For more information, see the final page of this report. Earnings: For industries, 2006 total annual earnings per worker is reported; these earnings include wages, salaries, profits, and benefits. Occupational earnings are reported as 2006 median hourly wage only. Industry: A category of business activity defined by the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS). Jobs: Full-time and part-time positions held by proprietors and payroll employees in the public or private sector. May exceed actual worker count. Location Quotient (LQ): A measure of how "concentrated" a particular industry, occupation, or demographic group is in a region as compared to a larger reference region, e.g., state or nation. Occupation: A category of workers defined by the Standard Occupational Classification (SOC). Openings (Annual): The sum of new jobs and replacement jobs for a given occupation. Programs: Courses of postsecondary study defined by CIP (Classification of Instructional Programs) codes. Projections: Estimates of future job or population numbers based on (1) recent regional trends and (2) published forecasts created by a consensus of state and federal agencies Replacement Jobs: The estimated number of job openings in an occupation due to retirement, turnover, and other factors aside from job growth. Based on national percentages by occupation.

3 Executive Summary Regional Demographics From 2007 to 2013, the region can expect the total population to change by 1,419 persons, or 1.84%. The age groups with the highest growth are: Age Group in Persons 65 to 69 years to 64 years to 9 years to 24 years to 54 years 430 Similarly, the racial/ethnic groups with the highest expected population growth are: Group in Persons Black or African American 1,103 White, Non-Hispanic 79 American Indian or Alaska Native 69 Critical Occupations in HighGrowth Industries The following occupations show the most growth within the top ten high-growth industries. Detailed tables begin on p. 18. Home health aides Retail salespersons Personal and home care aides Combined food preparation and serving workers, including fast food First-line supervisors/managers of retail sales workers Cashiers, except gaming Elementary school teachers, except special education Correctional officers and jailers Middle school teachers, except special and vocational education High-Growth Occupations (Across All Industries) Detailed tables are on pages 4 6. Educational Attainment & H.S. Graduations Total regional attainment of a college degree (any level) is below average compared to the state and below average compared to the nation. From 2007 to 2013, the total number of high school graduates in the region is expected to decline by 89. Detailed tables are on pages 7 through 10. These occupations show the most total growth across all industries. Detail table is on p. 26. First-line supervisors/managers of retail sales workers Nursing aides, orderlies, and attendants Elementary school teachers, except special education Correctional officers and jailers Licensed practical and licensed vocational nurses Maintenance and repair workers, general Middle school teachers, except special and vocational education Preschool teachers, except special education Social and human service assistants High-Growth Industries The following industries show the highest total job growth from 2007 to 2013: Home health care services Local government Home centers State government Warehouse clubs and supercenters Limited-service eating places Other building material dealers Elementary and secondary schools Residential mental retardation facilities Electric power transmission and distribution College Programs For a quick comparison of the college s enrollment in programs related to the region s high-growth occupations, turn to page 28. 3

4 Regional Population Summary Knowing regional demographics can help colleges provide more targeted services. For example, regions with an aging population may require more classes for older residents to update their job skills. And, of course, a projected rise or decline in total population has serious implications for college enrollment, funding, and facilities planning. Note that nearly all regional numbers are compared to state or national averages this gives an idea of the unique situation facing the region. Regional Comparison TOTAL POPULATION CHANGE Total regional population change is below the state average Total Region State 2013 Total % 77,333 78,752 1,419 2% 8,957,883 9,741, ,462 9% CHANGE IN POPULATION AGE 55+ The percentage of people age 55 and over in the region is expected to rise. It is above average compared to the state and above average compared to the nation. Concentrated Groups These tables show which regional demographic groups have an above-average presence in the region compared to the state and nation. This is calculated using location quotients or LQs (see p. 2). An LQ of 1.0 indicates a group accounts for an average percentage of the total population. AGE GROUPS Above-average presence compared to state: Age 2007 LQ (State) 85 years and over to 84 years 1.42 Total in Region Total in State % of Region % of State % of Nation 75 to 79 years to 74 years ,932 2,068,270 28% 23% 23% 65 to 69 years ,602 2,463,895 31% 25% 26% Above-average presence compared to nation: CHANGE BY RACE, Total Region State Nation 30,888 0% 7% 3% White Hispanic % 25% 14% Non-White Hispanic 272 8% 16% 10% 42,839 3% 8% 5% 2,042 3% 9% 6% % 19% 13% 20 70% 17% 8% % 17% 12% Race/Ethnicity White, Non-Hispanic Black or African American American Indian or Alaska Native Asian Native Hawaiian and other Pacific Islander Two or more races Age 2007 LQ (Nation) 75 to 79 years years and over to 74 years to 84 years to 69 years 1.21 RACE/ETHNICITY GROUPS Above-average presence compared to state: Group 2007 LQ (State) Black or African American 2.58 American Indian or Alaska Native 2.20 Above-average presence compared to nation: Group 2007 LQ (Nation) Black or African American 4.51 American Indian or Alaska Native Note: for regions that include areas in multiple states, state data uses the sum or average of all states involved. 4

5 Population: Detailed Data Population by Age Details Age 2007 Population 2013 Population % 2007 LQ (State) 2007 LQ (Nation) Under 5 years 5,167 5,308 5 to 9 years 4,691 5, % % to 14 years 5, , % to 19 years ,998 5, % to 24 years 4,525 5, % to 29 years 4,203 4, % to 34 years 4,007 4, % to 39 years 4,594 4, % to 44 years 5,286 4, % to 49 years 6,052 5, % to 54 years 5,628 6, % to 59 years 5,200 5, % to 64 years 4,345 5, % to 69 years 3,362 4, % to 74 years 2,836 3, % to 79 years 2,490 2, % to 84 years 1,860 1, % years and over 1,838 2, % ,333 78,752 1,419 2% Total Source: (9/2007) 5

6 Population by Race/Ethnicity Details Race/Ethnicity 2007 Population 2013 Population White, Non-Hispanic % 2007 LQ (State) 2007 LQ (Nation) 30,888 30, % White Hispanic % Non-White Hispanic % ,839 43,942 1,103 3% ,042 2, % % % % Black or African American American Indian or Alaska Native Asian Native Hawaiian and other Pacific Islander Two or more races Source: (9/2007) 6

7 Educational Attainment In today s competitive knowledge economy, advanced education, training, and skills are more vital than ever. Studies also show that higher education levels are strongly tied to higher earnings, lower unemployment rates, and improved lifestyles. Regional educational attainment levels help colleges identify educational gaps in the region s workforce (especially in comparison to state and national levels). This helps state, college, and regional policymakers form a targeted plan to increase workforce education. Note that attainment is only tracked for persons age 25 and older. Educational Attainment Summary In the region, college degree attainment is below average compared to the state and below average compared to the nation. % of Region % of State % of Nation Less Than High School Diploma 27.0% 15.8% 14.5% High School Diploma or Some College 54.8% 52.0% 50.7% College Degree 18.3% 32.3% 34.7% Educational Attainment Totals, Detail Educational Level Less Than 9th Grade 9th Grade to 12th Grade 2007 Total (age 25+) % of Region (age 25+) % of State (age 25+) % of Nation (age 25+) 5, % 5.3% 5.5% 8, % 10.5% 9.0% 18, % 29.5% 28.7% Some College 9, % 22.5% 22.0% Associate's Degree 2, % 7.1% 6.4% Degree 4, % 17.1% 18.0% Graduate Degree and Higher 1, % 8.1% 10.3% 51, % 100% 100% High School Diploma Source: (9/2007) 7

8 Educational Attainment by Race/Ethnicity COMPARISON OF COLLEGE DEGREE ATTAINMENT TO STATE AND NATION Differences are expressed in percentage points. Positive numbers indicate higher attainment levels in the region compared to the state or nation; negative numbers indicate lower attainment levels in the region. Race/Ethnicity Difference in College Attainment (State) Difference in College Attainment (Nation) White, Non-Hispanic White Hispanic Non-White Hispanic Black or African American American Indian or Alaska Native Asian Native Hawaiian and other Pacific Islander Two or more races REGIONAL ATTAINMENT BY RACE/ETHNICITY, DETAIL Race/Ethnicity White, Non-Hispanic 2007 Persons (age 25+) Less Than High School HS Diploma or Some College College Degree 22,703 3,798 13,135 5,770 White Hispanic Non-White Hispanic ,899 9,330 14,154 3,416 1, Black or African American American Indian or Alaska Native Asian Native Hawaiian and other Pacific Islander Two or more races ,701 13,937 28,313 9,451 Source: (9/2007) 8

9 Educational Attainment by Gender In the region, females have lower high school attainment rates and higher college degree attainment rates compared to males Total (age 25+) Less Than High School High School Diploma College Degree Males 23, % 55.6% 15.8% Females 28, % 54.1% 20.4% Source: (9/2007) 9

10 Projected High School Graduations By estimating the total number and demographic makeup of future high school graduates, colleges can be prepared to market their programs effectively to the next generation of students. If the total pool of graduates is declining, for example, then colleges must be able to recruit a greater percentage of them in order to maintain enrollments. Snapshot of Graduations by Race/Ethnicity, 2007 Projected Graduations by Race/Ethnicity Race/Ethnicity 2007 Graduations 2013 Graduations % White, Non-Hispanic White Hispanic % Non-White Hispanic % % % Asian % Native Hawaiian and other Pacific Islander % Black or African American American Indian or Alaska Native Two or more races 0% % % Projected Graduations by Gender Gender 2007 Graduations 2013 Graduations % Males % Females % Source: (9/2007) 10

11 Regional Industry Summary Part of a college s mission is to support the workforce needs of vital regional industries. By using several different metrics for identifying such industries, this section of the report provides a map of the region s economy, thus helping colleges allocate workforce training resources. The listing of critical occupations within high-growth industries (right column) highlights high-growth occupations in these industries. Because these occupations are not filtered by education level, they may by served by non-credit continuing education, for-credit certificate or associate s track courses, or courses designed for transfer to four-year institutions. Industries with the Most Jobs Local government State government Home health care services Crop and animal production Limited-service eating places Home health care services: High-Growth Industries Home health care services Local government Home centers State government Warehouse clubs and supercenters Home health aides Personal and home care aides Licensed practical and licensed vocational nurses Nursing aides, orderlies, and attendants Local government: Concentrated Industries These industries have an above-average share of total regional employment (compared to the U.S.): Other farm product raw material merch. whls. Starch and vegetable oil manufacturing Farm product warehousing and storage All other food manufacturing Resin and synthetic rubber manufacturing Competitive Industries These industries are outperforming national trends: Home health care services Home centers Local government Other building material dealers Warehouse clubs and supercenters Critical Occupations in HighGrowth Industries Elementary school teachers, except special education Correctional officers and jailers Police and sheriff's patrol officers Teacher assistants Home centers: Retail salespersons Cashiers, except gaming First-line supervisors/managers of retail sales workers Industrial truck and tractor operators Laborers and freight, stock, and material movers, hand State government: Correctional officers and jailers Education administrators, postsecondary Probation officers and correctional treatment specialists Office clerks, general Warehouse clubs and supercenters: Retail salespersons First-line supervisors/managers of retail sales workers Cashiers, except gaming Stock clerks and order fillers Customer service representatives 11

12 Regional Industries: Detailed Data Industry Sectors, Region and State, The following table summarizes the region s economy in comparison to the state s. Broad industry sectors are sorted by total 2007 jobs. REGION STATE NAICS Code Description 2007 Jobs 2013 Jobs % EPW State 2007 State 2013 State % State EPW 90 Government 6,797 7, Retail trade 5,089 5, % $39, , ,222 6% $50,086 15% $24, , ,034 9% 62 Health care and social assistance 4,104 5,649 $27,432 1,545 38% $23, , ,468 23% $40, Manufacturing 2, Accommodation and food services 2,288 2, % $46, , ,220-3% $60,651 2, % $12, , ,026 10% $16, Other services, except public administration 2,209 2, % $21, , ,284 13% $21, Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 1,752 1, % $24,143 98,485 88,826-10% $17, Construction 1,572 1, % $29, , ,625 5% $41, Transportation and warehousing 1,151 1, % $36, , ,672 8% $46, Administrative and waste services 1,067 1, % $19, , ,936 19% $24, Wholesale trade 998 1, % $39, , ,256 9% $60, Professional and technical services % $33, , ,810 17% $55, Real estate and rental and leasing % $38, , ,970 17% $40, Finance and insurance % $47, , ,027 7% $79, Educational services % $12,660 95, ,933 25% $30, Arts, entertainment, and recreation % $21,732 89, ,593 16% $29, Information % $61,616 89, ,752 21% $66, Utilities % $88,699 14,703 13,907-5% $92, Management of companies and enterprises % $61,400 75,481 83,732 11% $91, Mining % $47,601 6,125 6,644 8% $62,580 33,154 37,306 4,152 13% $30,865 5,388,069 5,925,938 10% $42,944 Source: (9/2007) EPW stands for earnings per worker, which is the total wage, salary, bonuses, and other compensation paid in the industry divided by the number of workers. Note that for regions including areas in multiple states, the State values are the sum or average of the values for all states involved. Industry sectors and specific industries in the following sections are listed by NAICS code. For more information, see 12

13 Regional Industries Providing the Most Jobs, 2007 This section shows industries at a much greater level of detail than the sectors on the previous page. NAICS Code Description 2007 Jobs 2013 Jobs % 2006 EPW Local government 4,806 5, % $39,468 State government 1,755 1, % $39, Home health care services 1,387 2, % $13,271 11A00 Crop and animal production 1, % $19, Limited-service eating places 1,122 1, % $11, Home centers 1,081 1, % $26, Full-service restaurants % $12, Nursing care facilities % $21, Warehouse clubs and supercenters % $19, Private households % $7, Gasoline stations with convenience stores % $21, Offices of physicians % $65, Supermarkets and other grocery stores % $18, Child day care services % $10, Sawmills and wood preservation % $43, Elementary and secondary schools % $12, Other building material dealers % $40, Janitorial services % $15, Ship and boat building % $31, Site preparation contractors % $27,375 Source: (9/2007) 13

14 Highest Growth Regional Industries, These industries are projected to add the most total jobs. NAICS Code Description 2007 Jobs 2013 Jobs % 2006 EPW Home health care services 1,387 2, % $13,271 Local government 4,806 5, % $39, Home centers 1,081 1, % $26, State government 1,755 1, % $39, Warehouse clubs and supercenters % $19, Limited-service eating places 1,122 1, % $11, Other building material dealers % $40, Elementary and secondary schools % $12, Residential mental retardation facilities % $18, Electric power transmission and distribution % $104, Other plastics product manufacturing % $53, Linen and uniform supply % $34, Offices of physicians % $65, Child day care services % $10, Community care facilities for the elderly % $14, Farm supplies merchant wholesalers % $23, Nursing care facilities % $21, Temporary help services % $12, Religious organizations % $24, Metalworking machinery manufacturing % $37,848 Source: (9/2007) 14

15 Most Concentrated Regional Industries, Location quotients (LQs) are a way of measuring an industry s regional concentration. A region with an average presence (or concentration) of a certain industry, compared to the national economy, will have an LQ of 1.0 for that industry. High-LQ industries are generally ones that are important to the region s economic base that is, they bring money into the region rather than circulating what is already there. As such, they are important targets for retention, expansion, and workforce development efforts. Note: circle size indicates number of jobs in the industry. NAICS Code Description 2007 Jobs 2013 Jobs 2007 LQ % in LQ 2006 EPW Other farm product raw material merch. whls Starch and vegetable oil manufacturing % $35, % $37, Farm product warehousing and storage All other food manufacturing % $25, % Resin and synthetic rubber manufacturing $26, % $49,192 Paper mills % $56, Sawmills and wood preservation % $43, All other chemical preparation manufacturing % $80, Farm supplies merchant wholesalers % $23, Hunting and trapping % $24, Interurban and rural bus transportation Ship and boat building Accessories and other apparel manufacturing Linen and uniform supply Home centers Glass and glass product manufacturing Nonwoven fabric mills Support activities for forestry % $25, % $31, % $61, % $34,012 Motor vehicle towing % $42,202 Soap and cleaning compound manufacturing % $45,023 1,081 1, % $26, % $37, % $37, % $39,919 Source: (9/2007) 15

16 Most Competitive Regional Industries, The regional competitiveness of an industry can be quantified using the standard shift share method. This method generates a competitiveness effect for the industry, which is basically regional job growth in the industry that exceeded national trends. These national trends include the percent growth of the U.S. economy and the percent growth of the given industry at the national level. The higher the competitiveness effect, the more the regional industry is outperforming national averages. Industries with a high competitiveness effect can give clues about the region s comparative advantages, and are prime targets for regional workforce initiatives. INDUSTRIES WITH HIGHEST COMPETITIVE EFFECT NAICS Code Description Job Ind. Mix Effect Natl. Effect Expected Competitive Effect Home health care services Home centers Local government Other building material dealers Warehouse clubs and supercenters Other plastics product manufacturing Electric power transmission and distribution State government Limited-service eating places Farm supplies merchant wholesalers Metalworking machinery manufacturing Elementary and secondary schools Resin and synthetic rubber manufacturing Linen and uniform supply Residential mental retardation facilities Religious organizations Temporary help services

17 Industries With Highest Competitive Effect (Cont.) NAICS Code Description Job Ind. Mix Effect Natl. Effect Expected Competitive Effect Other specialized trucking, long-distance Other grocery product merchant wholesalers Paper mills Source: (9/2007) NOTE ON SHIFT SHARE TERMINOLOGY In shift share analysis, expected job growth is based on the total regional industry jobs at the beginning of the timeframe, the regional jobs that could be attributed to the growth rate of the national economy during the timeframe ( national growth effect ), and the regional jobs that could be attributed to the growth rate of the same industry at the national level during the timeframe ( industry mix effect ). The difference between this expected job change and actual job change is called the regional competitiveness effect. 17

18 Critical Occupations in High-Growth Industries The following tables show the highest-growth occupations within each of the highest-growth regional industries from 2007 to They provide a business-oriented view of the most in-demand jobs over that timeframe, and the demand-driven college will seek to align its offerings accordingly. Many jobs found here, especially with an education level of short-term or moderate-term on-the-job training (ST OJT or ), are likely to be good candidates for industry-oriented continuing education programs. Education level abbreviations: : Short-term on-the-job training; : Moderate-term on-the-job training; LT OJT: Longterm on-the-job training; : Work experience in a related field; PS Award: Postsecondary award; Associate's: Associate's degree; : degree; DG + Exp.: Degree plus work experience; Master's: Master's degree; Doctoral: Doctoral degree; Prof. DG: First professional degree Critical Occupations: Home health care services Job Growth (In Industry) Median Hourly Wage (All Industries) Average Education Home health aides 545 $7.35 Personal and home care aides 206 $ $22.09 Associate's Licensed practical and licensed vocational nurses 29 $16.28 PS Award Nursing aides, orderlies, and attendants 23 $8.07 PS Award Physical therapists 12 $26.84 Master's Medical and health services managers 7 $26.70 DG + Exp. Medical and public health social workers 5 $15.67 Occupational therapists $29.36 Master's Physical therapist assistants $19.25 Associate's Job Growth (In Industry) Median Hourly Wage (All Industries) Average Education Elementary school teachers, except special education 41 $17.49 Correctional officers and jailers 28 $12.54 Police and sheriff's patrol officers 27 $15.35 LT OJT 27 $22.09 Associate's Teacher assistants 26 $8.07 Middle school teachers, except special and vocational education 25 $15.88 Secondary school teachers, except special and vocational education 19 $17.27 Emergency medical technicians and paramedics 12 $10.72 PS Award Fire fighters 12 $13.90 LT OJT Teachers and instructors, all other 10 $8.13 Occupation Source: (9/2007) Critical Occupations: Local government Occupation Source: (9/2007) 18

19 Critical Occupations: Home centers Occupation Retail salespersons Job Growth (In Industry) Median Hourly Wage (All Industries) Average Education 222 $8.76 Cashiers, except gaming 37 $6.68 First-line supervisors/managers of retail sales workers 37 $13.47 Industrial truck and tractor operators 24 $10.00 Laborers and freight, stock, and material movers, hand 24 $8.79 Truck drivers, light or delivery services 15 $9.61 Stock clerks and order fillers 8 $8.54 Sales representatives, wholesale and manufacturing, except technical and scientific products 7 $16.59 General and operations managers 7 $33.59 DG + Exp. Truck drivers, heavy and tractor-trailer 7 $15.94 Job Growth (In Industry) Median Hourly Wage (All Industries) Average Education Correctional officers and jailers 23 $ $22.09 Associate's Education administrators, postsecondary 8 $21.22 DG + Exp. Probation officers and correctional treatment specialists 8 $15.71 Office clerks, general 7 $10.03 Business operation specialists, all other 6 $19.86 Child, family, and school social workers 5 $15.20 Home health aides 5 $7.35 Executive secretaries and administrative assistants $13.89 Maintenance and repair workers, general $14.59 Source: (9/2007) Critical Occupations: State government Occupation Source: (9/2007) 19

20 Critical Occupations: Warehouse clubs and supercenters Job Growth (In Industry) Occupation Median Hourly Wage (All Industries) Average Education Retail salespersons 70 $8.76 First-line supervisors/managers of retail sales workers 26 $13.47 Cashiers, except gaming 23 $ $8.54 Customer service representatives $11.25 Pharmacy technicians $9.20 Pharmacists $45.66 Prof. DG First-line supervisors/managers of office and administrative support workers $18.25 Janitors and cleaners, except maids and housekeeping cleaners $7.68 Combined food preparation and serving workers, including fast food $6.15 Job Growth (In Industry) Median Hourly Wage (All Industries) Average Education Combined food preparation and serving workers, including fast food 91 $6.15 First-line supervisors/managers of food preparation and serving workers Stock clerks and order fillers Source: (9/2007) Critical Occupations: Limited-service eating places Occupation 20 $10.81 Food preparation workers 6 $6.88 Food service managers 6 $16.34 Cooks, fast food 5 $6.22 Driver/sales workers $9.54 Cashiers, except gaming $6.68 Waiters and waitresses $6.15 Cooks, short order $6.11 Counter attendants, cafeteria, food concession, and coffee shop $6.12 Source: (9/2007) 20

21 Critical Occupations: Other building material dealers Job Growth (In Industry) Occupation Median Hourly Wage (All Industries) Average Education Retail salespersons 70 $8.76 First-line supervisors/managers of retail sales workers 15 $13.47 Cashiers, except gaming 12 $6.68 Industrial truck and tractor operators 8 $10.00 Laborers and freight, stock, and material movers, hand 8 $8.79 Truck drivers, light or delivery services 5 $9.61 Stock clerks and order fillers $8.54 Sales representatives, wholesale and manufacturing, except technical and scientific products $16.59 General and operations managers $33.59 DG + Exp. Truck drivers, heavy and tractor-trailer $15.94 Job Growth (In Industry) Median Hourly Wage (All Industries) Average Education Elementary school teachers, except special education 16 $17.49 Middle school teachers, except special and vocational education 14 $15.88 Vocational education teachers, middle school 10 $16.16 DG + Exp. Teacher assistants 10 $8.07 Source: (9/2007) Critical Occupations: Elementary and secondary schools Occupation Secondary school teachers, except special and vocational education 6 $17.27 Vocational education teachers, secondary school $18.39 DG + Exp. Education administrators, elementary and secondary school $25.58 DG + Exp. Building cleaning workers, all other $8.26 Teachers and instructors, all other $8.13 Self-enrichment education teachers $13.07 Source: (9/2007) 21

22 Critical Occupations: Residential mental retardation facilities Job Growth (In Industry) Median Hourly Wage (All Industries) Average Education Home health aides 69 $7.35 Personal and home care aides 15 $6.80 Occupation Social and human service assistants 6 $10.95 Rehabilitation counselors $14.90 Master's Nursing aides, orderlies, and attendants $8.07 PS Award Social and community service managers $17.96 $22.09 Associate's Licensed practical and licensed vocational nurses $16.28 PS Award Healthcare support workers, all other $10.84 Mental health and substance abuse social workers $16.73 Master's Source: (9/2007) Critical Occupations: Electric power transmission and distribution Job Growth (In Industry) Median Hourly Wage (All Industries) Average Education 19 $18.18 LT OJT Electrical and electronics repairers, powerhouse, substation, and relay 7 $21.28 PS Award Customer service representatives 5 $11.25 Power plant operators 5 $21.49 LT OJT Nuclear engineers 5 $36.21 First-line supervisors/managers of mechanics, installers, and repairers $20.92 Maintenance and repair workers, general $14.59 Industrial machinery mechanics $14.70 LT OJT Control and valve installers and repairers, except mechanical door $16.52 First-line supervisors/managers of production and operating workers $20.33 Occupation Electrical power-line installers and repairers Source: (9/2007) 22

23 Regional Occupation Summary Employment outlooks organized by occupation provide a more workforce-oriented (rather than industryoriented) perspective. These are jobs that are in demand across all industries in the region. All tables except those showing major occupation groups have been filtered to include only occupations with an average education level between Moderate-term on-the-job training and Bachelor s degree inclusive. These jobs can be well-served through the development of for-credit certificate, associate s, or transfer programs. Occupation Groups Providing the Most Jobs The major occupation groups accounting for the most total regional jobs in 2007 are: Sales and related occupations Office and administrative support occupations Transportation and material moving occupations Management occupations Food preparation and serving related occupations Specific Occupations Providing the Most Jobs The largest specific occupations are: First-line supervisors/managers of retail sales workers Correctional officers and jailers Farmers and ranchers Maintenance and repair workers, general High-Growth Occupations The occupations with the most total new jobs from 2007 to 2013 are: First-line supervisors/managers of retail sales workers Nursing aides, orderlies, and attendants Elementary school teachers, except special education Correctional officers and jailers Occupations with Most Total Openings The occupations with the most estimated openings (new jobs plus replacement jobs) are: Nursing aides, orderlies, and attendants First-line supervisors/managers of retail sales workers Correctional officers and jailers Elementary school teachers, except special education 23

24 Regional Occupations: Detailed Data Major Occupation Groups, Region and State, The following table summarizes regional occupations by major group, sorted by total 2007 jobs. REGION STATE SOC Code Description 2007 Jobs 2013 Jobs State 2007 State 2013 State Median Earnings 41 Sales and related occupations 4,404 5, % 852 $ , ,016 $ Office and administrative support occupations 3,767 3, % 648 $ , ,171 $ Transportation and material moving occupations 2,687 2, % 498 $ , ,474 $ Management occupations 2,374 2, % 273 $ , ,146 $ Food preparation and serving related occupations 2,178 2, % 642 $ , ,280 $ Production occupations 2,064 2, % 311 $ , ,802 $ Healthcare support occupations 1,913 2, % 465 $ , ,015 $ Education, training, and library occupations 1,888 2, % 369 $ , ,624 $ Healthcare practitioners and technical occupations 1,758 2, % 401 $ , ,557 $ Personal care and service occupations 1,513 1, % 299 $ , ,289 $ Installation, maintenance, and repair occupations 1,419 1, % 262 $ , ,240 $ Construction and extraction occupations 1,398 1, % 216 $ , ,597 $ Building and grounds cleaning and maintenance occupations 1,340 1, % 185 $ , ,209 $ Protective service occupations 1,073 1, % 241 $ , ,711 $ Community and social services occupations 829 1, % 186 $ ,709 79,786 $ Business and financial operations occupations % 125 $ , ,111 $ Arts, design, entertainment, sports, and media occupations % 47 $ , ,996 $ Architecture and engineering occupations % 51 $ ,679 75,853 $ Life, physical, and social science occupations % 47 $ ,852 63,978 $ Computer and mathematical science occupations % 44 $ , ,505 $ Farming, fishing, and forestry occupations % 38 $ ,729 15,215 $ Military Occupations % 29 $ , ,061 $ Legal occupations % 17 $ ,915 35,299 $ ,154 37,306 4,152 13% 6,245 $ ,388,065 5,925,936 $16.18 % Repl. Median Jobs Earnings Source: (9/2007) Note: For regions including areas in multiple states, state values are the sum or average of all states involved. 24

25 Top-Ranked Occupations by Total Jobs, 2007 Occupations have been filtered by average education level to include only those between Moderateterm on-the-job training and Bachelor s degree inclusive. SOC Code Description 2007 Jobs 2013 Jobs % Repl. Jobs Median Earnings Education Level First-line supervisors/managers of retail sales workers % 63 $ % 166 $22.09 Associate's Correctional officers and jailers % 86 $ Farmers and ranchers % 11 $6.15 LT OJT Maintenance and repair workers, general % 83 $ Nursing aides, orderlies, and attendants % 83 $8.07 PS Award Truck drivers, heavy and tractor-trailer % 64 $ Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks % 53 $ Secretaries, except legal, medical, and executive % 41 $ Elementary school teachers, except special education % 72 $ Team assemblers % 53 $ First-line supervisors/managers of food preparation and serving workers % 51 $ Middle school teachers, except special and vocational education % 46 $ Customer service representatives % 51 $ Carpenters % 33 $11.33 LT OJT First-line supervisors/managers of office and administrative support workers % 39 $ Managers, all other % 22 $ Executive secretaries and administrative assistants % 39 $ Police and sheriff's patrol officers % 52 $15.35 LT OJT Licensed practical and licensed vocational nurses % 45 $16.28 PS Award Source: (9/2007) 25

26 Top-Ranked Occupations by Total Growth, Occupations have been filtered by average education level to include only those between Moderateterm on-the-job training and Bachelor s degree inclusive. SOC Code Description 2007 Jobs 2013 Jobs % Repl. Jobs Median Earnings Education Level % 166 $22.09 Associate's First-line supervisors/managers of retail sales workers % 63 $ Nursing aides, orderlies, and attendants % 83 $8.07 PS Award Elementary school teachers, except special education % 72 $ Correctional officers and jailers % 86 $ Licensed practical and licensed vocational nurses % 45 $16.28 PS Award Maintenance and repair workers, general % 83 $ Middle school teachers, except special and vocational education % 46 $ Preschool teachers, except special education % 35 $7.42 PS Award Social and human service assistants % 43 $ Laundry and dry-cleaning workers % 23 $ Customer service representatives % 51 $ Directors, religious activities and education % 11 $ Police and sheriff's patrol officers % 52 $15.35 LT OJT Team assemblers % 53 $ Truck drivers, heavy and tractor-trailer % 64 $ Accountants and auditors % 27 $ First-line supervisors/managers of food preparation and serving workers % 51 $ Secondary school teachers, except special and vocational education % 42 $ Business operation specialists, all other % 22 $19.86 Source: (9/2007) 26

27 Top-Ranked Occupations by New + Repl. Jobs, Occupations have been filtered by average education level to include only those between Moderateterm on-the-job training and Bachelor s degree inclusive. SOC Code Description 2007 Jobs 2013 Jobs New + Repl. Jobs Median Earnings Education Level $22.09 Associate's Nursing aides, orderlies, and attendants $8.07 PS Award First-line supervisors/managers of retail sales workers $ Correctional officers and jailers $ Elementary school teachers, except special education $ Maintenance and repair workers, general $ Licensed practical and licensed vocational nurses $16.28 PS Award Truck drivers, heavy and tractor-trailer $ Middle school teachers, except special and vocational education $ Team assemblers $ Customer service representatives $ Police and sheriff's patrol officers $15.35 LT OJT First-line supervisors/managers of food preparation and serving workers $ Social and human service assistants $ Preschool teachers, except special education $7.42 PS Award Secondary school teachers, except special and vocational education $ Sales representatives, wholesale and manufacturing, except technical and scientific products $ Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks $ Executive secretaries and administrative assistants $ Laundry and dry-cleaning workers $6.81 Source: (9/2007) 27

28 Occupation Demand & Program Comparison This section compares regional occupations with the most annual openings to the college s current enrollment by program, with the goal of indicating where the college might look to increase its capacity. The occupations are taken directly from the "Top-Ranked Occupations by New + Repl. Jobs" table on the previous page. Related programs associated with occupations are identified using a crosswalk developed by the U.S. Department of Education with some customizations by EMSI. College enrollment numbers by CIP code are provided by the North Carolina Community College System. Summary: High-Demand Occupations and Related Enrollment Avg. Annual Openings Median Hourly Earnings Annual Enrollment at College, All Related Programs 57 $ Nursing aides, orderlies, and attendants 28 $8.07 First-line supervisors/managers of retail sales workers 25 $13.47 Correctional officers and jailers 23 $12.54 Elementary school teachers, except special education 22 $17.49 Maintenance and repair workers, general 20 $14.59 Licensed practical and licensed vocational nurses 16 $16.28 Truck drivers, heavy and tractor-trailer 15 $15.94 Middle school teachers, except special and vocational education 14 $15.88 Team assemblers 14 $9.60 Customer service representatives 14 $11.25 Police and sheriff's patrol officers 14 $ First-line supervisors/managers of food preparation and serving workers 13 $ Social and human service assistants 13 $10.95 Preschool teachers, except special education 12 $ Secondary school teachers, except special and vocational education 11 $ Sales representatives, wholesale and manufacturing, except technical and scientific products 10 $16.59 Bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks 10 $12.23 Executive secretaries and administrative assistants 9 $13.89 Laundry and dry-cleaning workers 9 $6.81 Description Source: (9/2007) Note that many occupations have multiple related programs and vice versa, so students enrolled in a program may be included in more than one row in the table above. Average annual openings is total new and replacement jobs divided by the number of years in the given timeframe. 28

29 Detail: High-Demand Occupations and Related Program Enrollment Occupation Avg. Annual Openings 57 Median Hourly Earnings Related Programs $22.09 TOTAL, ALL RELATED PROGRAMS Annual Enrollment at College 80 Health/Medical Preparatory Programs, Other Nursing Science (MS, PhD) Critical Care Nursing Pediatric Nurse/Nursing Occupational and Environmental Health Nursing Nursing/Registered Nurse (RN, ASN, BSN, MSN) 80 Psychiatric/Mental Health Nurse/Nursing Nursing, Other Adult Health Nurse/Nursing Public Health/Community Nurse/Nursing Nurse Anesthetist Perioperative/Operating Room and Surgical Nurse/Nursing Family Practice Nurse/Nurse Practitioner Pre-Nursing Studies Maternal/Child Health and Neonatal Nurse/Nursing Nurse Midwife/Nursing Midwifery Clinical Nurse Specialist Nursing aides, orderlies, and attendants 28 $8.07 TOTAL, ALL RELATED PROGRAMS Health Aide Nurse/Nursing Assistant/Aide and Patient Care Assistant First-line supervisors/managers of retail sales workers 25 $13.47 TOTAL, ALL RELATED PROGRAMS 2 Floriculture/Floristry Operations and Management Consumer Merchandising/Retailing Management Special Products Marketing Operations Specialized Merchandising, Sales, and Marketing Operations, Other E-Commerce/Electronic Commerce 2 Retailing and Retail Operations Selling Skills and Sales Operations Business, Management, Marketing, and Related Support Services, Other Correctional officers and jailers 23 $12.54 TOTAL, ALL RELATED PROGRAMS Juvenile Corrections Corrections and Criminal Justice, Other Corrections Elementary school teachers, except special education 22 $17.49 TOTAL, ALL RELATED PROGRAMS 43 Waldorf/Steiner Teacher Education Teacher Education, Multiple Levels Education, General 1 Montessori Teacher Education Elementary Education and Teaching Maintenance and repair workers, general $14.59 TOTAL, ALL RELATED PROGRAMS Building/Construction Site Management/Manager Licensed practical and licensed vocational nurses 16 $16.28 TOTAL, ALL RELATED PROGRAMS 52 29

30 Occupation Avg. Annual Openings Median Hourly Earnings Related Programs Licensed Practical/Vocational Nurse Training (LPN, LVN, Cert, Dipl, AAS) Annual Enrollment at College 52 Pre-Nursing Studies Truck drivers, heavy and tractor-trailer 15 $15.94 TOTAL, ALL RELATED PROGRAMS Truck and Bus Driver/Commercial Vehicle Operation Middle school teachers, except special and vocational education 14 $15.88 TOTAL, ALL RELATED PROGRAMS 1 Junior High/Intermediate/Middle School Education and Teaching Art Teacher Education Health Teacher Education Music Teacher Education Social Science Teacher Education Family and Consumer Sciences/Home Economics Teacher Education Waldorf/Steiner Teacher Education Physical Education Teaching and Coaching Social Studies Teacher Education English/Language Arts Teacher Education Technology Teacher Education/Industrial Arts Teacher Education Health Occupations Teacher Education Education, General 1 Reading Teacher Education Computer Teacher Education Foreign Language Teacher Education History Teacher Education Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas, Other Montessori Teacher Education Mathematics Teacher Education Science Teacher Education/General Science Teacher Education Team assemblers 14 $9.60 TOTAL, ALL RELATED PROGRAMS Customer service representatives 14 $11.25 TOTAL, ALL RELATED PROGRAMS Receptionist Customer Service Support/Call Center/Teleservice Operation Police and sheriff's patrol officers 14 $15.35 TOTAL, ALL RELATED PROGRAMS 31 Criminalistics and Criminal Science Criminal Justice/Police Science First-line supervisors/managers of food preparation and serving workers 13 $10.81 TOTAL, ALL RELATED PROGRAMS Cooking and Related Culinary Arts, General Restaurant, Culinary, and Catering Management/Manager Foodservice Systems Administration/Management Social and human service assistants $10.95 TOTAL, ALL RELATED PROGRAMS Mental and Social Health Services and Allied Professions, Other Preschool teachers, except special education 12 $7.42 TOTAL, ALL RELATED PROGRAMS 57 Waldorf/Steiner Teacher Education Education, General 1 Child Care and Support Services Management Montessori Teacher Education 30

31 Occupation Avg. Annual Openings Median Hourly Earnings Related Programs Annual Enrollment at College Kindergarten/Preschool Education and Teaching Early Childhood Education and Teaching Secondary school teachers, except special and vocational education 11 $17.27 TOTAL, ALL RELATED PROGRAMS 56 1 Montessori Teacher Education Mathematics Teacher Education Science Teacher Education/General Science Teacher Education Chemistry Teacher Education Physics Teacher Education Teaching French as a Second or Foreign Language Junior High/Intermediate/Middle School Education and Teaching Art Teacher Education Health Teacher Education Drama and Dance Teacher Education Spanish Language Teacher Education Secondary Education and Teaching Business Teacher Education Music Teacher Education Social Science Teacher Education French Language Teacher Education Speech Teacher Education Driver and Safety Teacher Education Family and Consumer Sciences/Home Economics Teacher Education German Language Teacher Education Geography Teacher Education Teacher Education, Multiple Levels Waldorf/Steiner Teacher Education Physical Education Teaching and Coaching Social Studies Teacher Education Latin Teacher Education English/Language Arts Teacher Education Technology Teacher Education/Industrial Arts Teacher Education Health Occupations Teacher Education Psychology Teacher Education Education, General 1 Sales and Marketing Operations/Marketing and Distribution Teacher Education Reading Teacher Education Computer Teacher Education Agricultural Teacher Education Foreign Language Teacher Education Biology Teacher Education History Teacher Education Teacher Education and Professional Development, Specific Subject Areas, Other Sales representatives, wholesale and manufacturing, except technical and scientific products 10 $16.59 TOTAL, ALL RELATED PROGRAMS Apparel and Accessories Marketing Operations Special Products Marketing Operations Sales, Distribution, and Marketing Operations, General 31

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