Virginia. Prince William County. Virginia Employment Commission 703 East Main Street Richmond, Virginia Tel: (804)

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1 Virginia Prince William County Virginia Employment Commission 703 East Main Street Richmond, Virginia Tel: (804) Last updated: 1/24/2018 2:09:30 AM

2 Contents Table of Contents I. Introduction II. Demographic Profile Population by Age Cohort Population by Race/Ethnicity Population by Gender Population Change Population Projections by Age and Gender Population Projections by Race/Ethnicity English Language Skills Commuting Patterns In-Commuting Out-Commuting III. Unemployment Rates Characteristics of the Insured Unemployed Unemployment Insurance Payments Employers by Size of Establishment Employment by Size of Establishment Largest Employers Employment by Industry New Startup Firms New Hires by Industry Virginia Employment Commission Page 2 of 46

3 Contents Turnover by Industry Average Weekly Wage by Industry Age of Workers by Industry Industry Employment and Projections Occupation Employment and Projections Growth Occupations Declining Occupations Consumer Price Index (CPI) Local Option Sales Tax IV. Education Profile Educational Attainment Educational Attainment by Age Educational Attainment by Gender Educational Attainment by Race/Ethnicity Graduate Data Trends Training Providers Virginia Employment Commission Page 3 of 46

4 Introduction I. Introduction This report provides a community profile of Prince William County. It is intended to complement the information found in our Virginia Workforce Connection application, which can be accessed online at: The report is divided into three major sections. The first contains a profile of regional demographic characteristics and trends, the second supplies similar information for the regional economy, and the third provides a profile of regional education characteristics. Virginia Employment Commission Page 4 of 46

5 Demographic Profile II. Demographic Profile Overview This Demographic Profile provides an in-depth analysis of the population in Prince William County. Most of the data is produced by the U.S. Census Bureau, and includes demographic characteristics such as age, race/ethnicity, and gender. Related Terms and Definitions Ability to speak English For people who speak a language other than English at home, the response represents the person's own perception of his or her ability to speak English. Because census questionnaires are usually completed by one household member, the responses may represent the perception of another household member. Age The age classification is based on the age of the person in complete years as of April 1, The age of the person usually was derived from their date of birth information. Their reported age was used only when date of birth information was unavailable. Gender The data on gender were derived from answers to a question that was asked of all people. Individuals were asked to mark either "male" or "female" to indicate their gender. For most cases in which gender was not reported, it was determined by the appropriate entry from the person's given (i.e., first) name and household relationship. Otherwise, gender was imputed according to the relationship to the householder and the age of the person. Race The concept of race as used by the Census Bureau reflects self-identification by people according to the race or races with which they most closely identify. The categories are sociopolitical constructs and should not be interpreted as being scientific or anthropological in nature. Furthermore, the race categories include both racial and national-origin groups. Please note: In the past, our population by race/ethnicity data has always excluded the Hispanic ethnicity from each race category. Starting in January 2013, each race category now includes all ethnicities. Virginia Employment Commission Page 5 of 46

6 Demographic Profile Population by Age Prince William County Virginia United States Under 5 years 33, ,625 20,201,362 5 to 9 years 33, ,849 20,348, to 14 years 31, ,246 20,677, to 19 years 28, ,965 22,040, to 24 years 24, ,091 21,585, to 29 years 29, ,342 21,101, to 34 years 30, ,077 19,962, to 39 years 32, ,063 20,179, to 44 years 33, ,865 20,890, to 49 years 33, ,155 22,708, to 54 years 28, ,845 22,298, to 59 years 21, ,595 19,664, to 64 years 17, ,369 16,817, to 69 years 10, ,302 12,435, to 74 years 6, ,502 9,278, to 79 years 4, ,929 7,317, to 84 years 2, ,801 5,743, years and over 2, ,403 5,493, ,002 8,001, ,745,538 Source: 2010 Census. Virginia Employment Commission Page 6 of 46

7 Demographic Profile Population by Race/Ethnicity Prince William County Virginia United States Total Total Population 402,002 8,001, ,745,538 Race White 232,401 5,486, ,553,265 Black or African American 81,196 1,551,399 38,929,319 American Indian or Alaska Native 2,392 29,225 2,932,248 Asian 30, ,890 14,674,252 Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander 525 5, ,013 Other 34, ,278 19,107,368 Multiple Races 20, ,400 9,009,073 Ethnicity Not Hispanic or Latino (of any race) 320,542 7,369, ,267,944 Hispanic or Latino (of any race) 81, ,825 50,477,594 Source: 2010 Census. Population by Gender Prince William County Virginia United States Male 199,677 3,925, ,781,326 Female 202,325 4,075, ,964, ,002 8,001, ,745,538 Source: 2010 Census. Virginia Employment Commission Page 7 of 46

8 Demographic Profile Population Change Prince William County (% change) Virginia (% change) ,813 7,079, , % 8,001, % , % 8,811, % , % 9,645, % , % 10,530, % Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Virginia Employment Commission. Did you know... you can log on to our website today and see population counts from each Decennial Census all the way back to 1900? Looking for annual population estimates? We have those too, all the way back to the 1970s! For this data and more, visit us on the web at: Virginia Employment Commission Page 8 of 46

9 Demographic Profile Population Projections by Age and Gender Female Male Female Male Female Male Under 5 years 18,489 19,235 21,767 22,645 25,032 26,042 5 to 9 years 18,272 18,910 21,617 22,373 24,990 25, to 14 years 18,662 19,795 20,750 22,010 24,031 25, to 19 years 16,736 17,654 18,449 19,462 21,472 22, to 24 years 14,367 15,906 17,234 19,081 18,850 20, to 29 years 18,311 18,025 21,633 21,295 23,459 23, to 34 years 17,907 16,910 22,092 20,863 26,069 24, to 39 years 19,105 18,425 23,372 22,541 27,162 26, to 44 years 17,737 17,092 19,893 19,170 24,143 23, to 49 years 16,554 16,324 18,795 18,533 22,618 22, to 54 years 15,669 15,610 16,146 16,086 17,814 17, to 59 years 15,174 14,281 14,773 13,904 16,499 15, to 64 years 11,941 11,405 13,019 12,435 13,197 12, to 69 years 8,913 7,987 12,033 10,783 11,525 10, to 74 years 7,412 6,375 9,892 8,509 10,609 9, to 79 years 4,983 3,836 7,559 5,818 10,038 7, to 84 years 3,236 2,158 6,317 4,212 8,293 5, years and over 3,045 1,329 5,900 2,575 10,111 4, , , , , , , , , ,303 Source: Virginia Employment Commission. Population Projections by Race/Ethnicity Total Total Population 487, , ,301 Race White 263, , ,229 Black or African American 96, , ,387 Asian 43,737 58,876 76,094 Other 84, , ,592 Ethnicity Not Hispanic or Latino (of any race) 369, , ,217 Hispanic or Latino (of any race) 118, , ,084 Source: Virginia Employment Commission. Virginia Employment Commission Page 9 of 46

10 Demographic Profile English Language Skills (Age 5 and over that speak English less than well) Total Speak English less than well Percent Prince William County 394,219 22, % Virginia 7,673, , % United States 294,133,373 13,435, % Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey, Commuting Patterns Commuting Patterns People who live and work in the area 47,344 In-Commuters 70,159 Out-Commuters 150,399 Net In-Commuters (In-Commuters minus Out-Commuters) -80,240 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, OnTheMap Application and LEHD Origin-Destination Employment Statistics, Virginia Employment Commission Page 10 of 46

11 Demographic Profile Top 10 Places Residents are Commuting To Area Workers Fairfax County, VA 63,261 District of Columbia, DC 14,931 Loudoun County, VA 10,644 Arlington County, VA 9,541 Alexandria city, VA 7,531 Manassas city, VA 7,317 Fairfax city, VA 3,143 Stafford County, VA 2,828 Montgomery County, MD 2,456 Henrico County, VA 2,364 Top 10 Places Workers are Commuting From Area Workers Fairfax County, VA 16,134 Stafford County, VA 5,988 Loudoun County, VA 5,531 Fauquier County, VA 4,355 Spotsylvania County, VA 3,684 Manassas city, VA 3,629 Prince George's County, MD 1,675 Culpeper County, VA 1,647 Warren County, VA 1,297 Alexandria city, VA 1,293 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, OnTheMap Application and LEHD Origin-Destination Employment Statistics, Please Note: Commuting patterns data is no longer produced from the Decennial Census. As an alternative, we are providing commuting data from the U.S. Census Bureau's OnTheMap application and LEHD Origin-Destination Employment Statistics program. Since this data is produced from an entirely different data set, it is not advisable to compare the new data with previously released commuting patterns. For more information about the OnTheMap application or the LEHD program, please visit the following website: Virginia Employment Commission Page 11 of 46

12 III. Overview The of Prince William County consists primarily of data produced by the Virginia Employment Commission, U.S. Census Bureau, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Related Terms and Definitions Average Weekly Wage Computed as average quarterly wages divided by 13. Consumer Price Index (CPI) The Consumer Price Index measures the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a representative market basket of consumer goods and services. Local Employment Dynamics (LED) The Local Employment Dynamics Program at the Census Bureau, together with its state partners, provides employment information at the county, city, and Workforce Investment Area level. This information tracks workers in different industries by age and gender and provides statistics on job creation, separation, turnover, and wages. Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages (QCEW) A federal/state cooperative program that collects and compiles employment and wage data for workers covered by state unemployment insurance (UI) laws and the federal civilian workers covered by Unemployment Compensation for Federal Employees (UCFE). These data are maintained at the state in micro and macro levels and also sent to BLS quarterly. Unemployment Insurance (UI) Unemployment insurance is a program for the accumulation of funds paid by employers to be used for the payment of unemployment insurance to workers during periods of unemployment which are beyond the workers' control. Unemployment insurance replaces a part of the worker's wage loss if he becomes eligible for payments. Unemployment Rate The number of unemployed people as a percentage of the labor force. Virginia Employment Commission Page 12 of 46

13 Unemployment Rates Trends Prince William County Virginia United States % 3.1% 4.6% % 3.0% 4.6% % 3.9% 5.8% % 6.7% 9.3% % 7.1% 9.6% % 6.6% 8.9% % 6.1% 8.1% % 5.7% 7.4% % 5.2% 6.2% % 4.5% 5.3% % 4.0% 4.9% Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics. Virginia Employment Commission Page 13 of 46

14 Unemployment Rates Past 12 Months Prince William County Virginia United States Dec % 3.8% 4.5% Jan % 4.2% 5.1% Feb % 4.0% 4.9% Mar % 3.8% 4.6% Apr % 3.6% 4.1% May % 3.8% 4.1% Jun % 3.9% 4.5% Jul % 3.8% 4.6% Aug % 3.8% 4.5% Sep % 3.6% 4.1% Oct % 3.5% 3.9% Nov % 3.6% 3.9% Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics. Virginia Employment Commission Page 14 of 46

15 Characteristics of the Insured Unemployed Total number of claimants: 1,066 Prince William County - (1,066 claimants) Virginia - (26,256 claimants) Gender Prince William County Virginia Male ,824 Female ,432 Unspecified Race Prince William County Virginia White ,104 Black ,156 American Native Asian Other Hispanic or Latino 143 1,163 Age Prince William County Virginia Under 22 years to 24 years to 34 years 247 5, to 44 years 252 5, to 54 years 264 6, to 64 years 218 5, years and over 52 1,603 Unknown Education Prince William County Virginia 8th Grade or Less Some High School 52 1,375 High School Grad/GED 246 8,681 Some College/2-Yr Degree 292 6,047 Bachelor's Degree 191 3,737 Some Graduate School Post Graduate Degree 91 1,496 Unknown 119 3,986 Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Characteristics of the Insured Unemployed, December Virginia Employment Commission Page 15 of 46

16 Characteristics of the Insured Unemployed Top 5 Industries With Largest Number of Claimants in Prince William County (excludes unclassified) Industry Prince William County Virginia Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 217 2,683 Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services 160 3,676 Unclassified 109 2,282 Construction 105 2,442 Health Care and Social Assistance 94 2,066 Retail Trade 57 1,467 Accommodation and Food Services 54 1,892 Finance and Insurance 39 1,005 Information Wholesale Trade Transportation and Warehousing Other Services (except Public Administration) Educational Services Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Management of Companies and Enterprises Utilities 2 31 Manufacturing Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 117 Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction 67 Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Characteristics of the Insured Unemployed, December Virginia Employment Commission Page 16 of 46

17 Characteristics of the Insured Unemployed Top 5 Occupation Groups With Largest Number of Claimants in Prince William County (excludes unknown occupations) Occupation Prince William County Virginia Office and Administrative Support Occupations 168 3,551 Unknown Occupation Code 130 2,845 Management Occupations 123 2,529 Computer and Mathematical Occupations Sales and Related Occupations 76 2,045 Business and Financial Operations Occupations 75 1,306 Construction and Extraction Occupations 73 1,938 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 40 1,526 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations 39 1,479 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations Healthcare Support Occupations Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations Production Occupations 23 2,260 Education, Training, and Library Occupations Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations Personal Care and Service Occupations Architecture and Engineering Occupations Protective Service Occupations Community and Social Service Occupations Legal Occupations Military Specific Occupations Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations Virginia Employment Commission Page 17 of 46

18 Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Characteristics of the Insured Unemployed, December Virginia Employment Commission Page 18 of 46

19 Unemployment Insurance Payments Trends Prince William County Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Unemployment Insurance Program. Virginia Weeks Paid Amount Paid Weeks Paid Amount Paid ,601 $12,547,841 1,384,335 $364,789, ,800 $17,084,066 1,699,923 $468,544, ,218 $36,280,574 3,782,630 $1,069,206, ,681 $27,335,884 2,727,738 $748,174, ,605 $23,790,693 2,242,341 $612,702, ,773 $23,404,052 2,102,986 $592,044, ,730 $24,752,137 1,999,039 $574,074, ,857 $21,025,865 1,684,690 $490,522, ,439 $14,346,322 1,198,476 $351,290, ,767 $14,164,146 1,263,292 $379,622, ,813 $13,183,301 1,114,650 $336,664,624 Virginia Employment Commission Page 19 of 46

20 Unemployment Insurance Payments Past 12 Months Prince William County Virginia Weeks Paid Amount Paid Weeks Paid Amount Paid Dec ,914 $954,711 83,871 $25,120,302 Jan ,218 $1,380, ,865 $35,546,956 Feb ,856 $1,259, ,181 $29,994,222 Mar ,087 $1,328, ,551 $31,350,211 Apr ,206 $1,038,466 84,007 $25,475,201 May ,579 $1,173,780 97,219 $29,499,484 Jun ,974 $996,821 89,386 $26,673,098 Jul ,756 $933,317 90,050 $26,778,571 Aug ,425 $1,159, ,830 $32,052,040 Sep ,865 $957,365 78,463 $24,100,313 Oct ,383 $1,131,836 88,873 $27,477,193 Nov ,745 $922,296 77,737 $23,867,491 Dec ,719 $902,131 78,488 $23,849,844 Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Unemployment Insurance Program. Virginia Employment Commission Page 20 of 46

21 Employers by Size of Establishment Prince William County Virginia 0 to 4 employees 5, ,396 5 to 9 employees 1,383 38, to 19 employees 1,044 28, to 49 employees , to 99 employees 259 7, to 249 employees 128 3, to 499 employees 29 1, to 999 employees *** and over employees *** 247 9, ,879 Employment by Size of Establishment Prince William County Note: Asterisks (***) indicate non-disclosable data. 'Zero; no employment' typically represents new startup firms or sole-proprietorships. Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), 2nd Quarter (April, May, June) Virginia 0 to 4 employees 7, ,118 5 to 9 employees 9, , to 19 employees 14, , to 49 employees 26, , to 99 employees 17, , to 249 employees 17, , to 499 employees 9, , to 999 employees *** 249, and over employees *** 632, ,545 3,855,290 Virginia Employment Commission Page 21 of 46

22 50 Largest Employers 1. Prince William County School Board 2. County of Prince William 3. U.S. Department of Defense 4. Wal Mart 5. Morale Welfare and Recreation 6. Sentara Healthcare 7. Wegmans Store #07 8. Northern Virginia Community College 9. Sfx Entertainment 10. Target Corp 11. M J Morgan Group 12. Lowes' Home Centers, Inc. 13. Minnieland Private Day School 14. Food Lion 15. Giant Food 16. George Mason University 17. Harris Teeter Supermarket 18. Costco 19. US Foodservice 20. Catholic Diocese of Arlington 21. H & M Hennes & Mauritz LP 22. The Home Depot 23. American Type Culture Collection 24. Postal Service 25. Red Lobster & The Olive Garden 26. Northern Virginia Healthcare 27. The Fishel Company 28. ServiceSource, Inc. 29. McDonald's 30. S.W. Rogers Company 31. Safeway 32. Prince William County Service Authority 33. American Public University 34. Ruppert Landscape 35. Total Development Solutions 36. Lustine Toyota Inc 37. Ikea Us East LLC 38. First Transit Inc 39. Northern Virginia Electric Co-operative 40. Youth for Tomorrow 41. Kohl's Department Stores 42. Best Buy 43. McDonald's 44. Superior Paving Corporation 45. US Fitness Holdings LLC 46. Comcast Cablevision 47. Cracker Barrel Old Country Store 48. Panera Bread 49. Progeny Systems Corporation 50. Administaff Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), 2nd Quarter (April, May, June) Did you know... you can search over 300,000 employer listings on our website provided by Infogroup? This easy-to-use feature lets you search for employers by keyword, industry, sales volume, size range, and more! For this data and more, visit us on the web at: Virginia Employment Commission Page 22 of 46

23 Employment by Industry Total: 128,545 Note: Asterisk (*) indicates non-disclosable data. Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), 2nd Quarter (April, May, June) Virginia Employment Commission Page 23 of 46

24 New Startup Firms Prince William County Virginia 2nd Qtr ,299 3rd Qtr ,317 4th Qtr ,531 1st Qtr ,923 2nd Qtr ,749 3rd Qtr ,396 4th Qtr ,000 1st Qtr ,802 2nd Qtr ,283 3rd Qtr ,398 4th Qtr ,426 1st Qtr ,838 2nd Qtr ,152 Note: The following criteria was used to define new startup firms: 1.) Setup and liability date both occurred during 2nd Quarter (April, May, June) ) Establishment had no predecessor UI Account Number 3.) Private Ownership 4.) Average employment is less than ) For multi-unit establishments, the parent company must also meet the above criteria. Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), 2nd Quarter (April, May, June) Virginia Employment Commission Page 24 of 46

25 New Hires by Industry Total: 22,257 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Local Employment Dynamics (LED) Program, 2nd Quarter (April, May, June) 2016, all ownerships. Virginia Employment Commission Page 25 of 46

26 Turnover by Industry Average: 8.3% Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Local Employment Dynamics (LED) Program, 1st Quarter (January, February, March) 2016, all ownerships. Virginia Employment Commission Page 26 of 46

27 Average Weekly Wage by Industry Note: Asterisk (*) indicates non-disclosable data. Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), 2nd Quarter (April, May, June) Virginia Employment Commission Page 27 of 46

28 Age of Workers by Industry Total, All Industries 3,781 6,809 7,950 26,087 26,320 27,072 18,746 7,120 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction Utilities Construction ,549 3,332 3,481 2, Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Retail Trade 1,112 2,571 2,355 5,223 3,830 3,966 3,026 1,313 Transportation and Warehousing Information Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Professional, Scientific, and Technical Servi Management of Companies and Enterprises Administrative and Support and Waste Manageme ,005 2,212 2,277 1, ,641 1,565 1, Educational Services ,274 4,408 4,821 3,659 1,143 Health Care and Social Assistance ,089 2,988 2,772 1, Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Accommodation and Food Services 1,688 1,908 1,475 3,164 2,457 1,964 1, Other Services (except Public Administration) Public Administration Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Local Employment Dynamics (LED) Program, 2nd Quarter (April, May, June) 2016, all ownerships. What is LED? Developed by the U.S. Census Bureau, the Local Employment Dynamics (LED) program merges Virginia's Unemployment Compensation wage and employer records with Census demographic data. Read more about LED on the following website: Virginia Employment Commission Page 28 of 46

29 Industry Employment and Projections Long Term Employment Percent Estimated 2014 Projected 2024 Change Total Annual Total, All Industries 1,257,223 1,416, , % 1.2% Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting *** *** *** *** Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction *** *** *** *** Utilities 2,293 2, % -1.26% Construction 57,321 66,054 8, % 1.43% Manufacturing 19,280 17,751-1, % -.82% Wholesale Trade 22,842 24,279 1, %.61% Retail Trade 116, ,644 10, %.85% Transportation and Warehousing 28,783 30,208 1, %.48% Information 38,470 38, % -.07% Finance and Insurance 35,938 39,923 3, % 1.06% Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 18,507 19, %.34% Professional, Scientific, and Technical Servi 238, ,766 50, % 1.95% Management of Companies and Enterprises 24,756 26,492 1, %.68% Administrative and Support and Waste Manageme 75,723 84,158 8, % 1.06% Educational Services 96, ,192 14, % 1.37% Health Care and Social Assistance 94, ,830 25, % 2.44% Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 16,123 18,538 2, % 1.41% Accommodation and Food Services 96, ,458 14, % 1.42% Other Services (except Public Administration) 53,806 59,423 5, % 1% Note: Asterisks (***) indicate non-disclosable data. Projections data is for Combined Projections Area (LWDA XI and LWDA XII). No data available for Prince William County. Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Long Term Industry and Occupational Projections, Virginia Employment Commission Page 29 of 46

30 Industry Employment and Projections Short Term Employment Percent Estimated 2015 Projected 2017 Change Total Annual Total, All Industries 3,977,496 4,093, , % 1.45% Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 4,210 4, % 2.61% Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction 6,805 5, % -7.13% Utilities 10,717 10, % -.1% Construction 185, ,598 10, % 2.82% Manufacturing 232, , %.09% Wholesale Trade 110, ,188 1, %.54% Retail Trade 412, ,889 9, % 1.15% Transportation and Warehousing 112, ,619 4, % 2.1% Information 69,554 68, % -.65% Finance and Insurance 131, ,266 4, % 1.71% Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 52,593 53, %.89% Professional, Scientific, and Technical Servi 394, ,625 15, % 1.89% Management of Companies and Enterprises 74,086 75,252 1, %.78% Administrative and Support and Waste Manageme 224, ,780 12, % 2.74% Educational Services 365, ,071 6, %.92% Health Care and Social Assistance 427, ,476 18, % 2.19% Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 56,096 57,991 1, % 1.68% Accommodation and Food Services 334, ,857 15, % 2.27% Other Services (except Public Administration) 133, ,332 2, %.92% Note: Asterisks (***) indicate non-disclosable data. Projections data is for Virginia Statewide. No data available for Prince William County. Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Short Term Industry and Occupational Projections, Virginia Employment Commission Page 30 of 46

31 Occupation Employment and Projections Long Term Employment Openings Estimated 2014 Projected 2024 % Change Replace -ments Growth Total Total, All Occupations 1,257,223 1,416, % 28,062 16,379 44,441 Management Occupations 95, , % 2, ,933 Business and Financial Operations Occupations 129, , % 2,407 1,917 4,324 Computer and Mathematical Occupations 119, , % 1,711 2,545 4,256 Architecture and Engineering Occupations 27,667 29, % Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 13,249 14, % Community and Social Service Occupations 11,758 13, % Legal Occupations 24,232 25, % Education, Training, and Library Occupations 70,456 80, % 1,516 1,039 2,555 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 26,390 29, % ,164 58, % 1,050 1,125 2,175 Healthcare Support Occupations 20,937 27, % ,134 Protective Service Occupations 34,987 40, % ,263 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations 92, , % 3,482 1,584 5,066 51,040 55, % 1, ,431 Personal Care and Service Occupations 48,159 55, % 1, ,786 Sales and Related Occupations 125, , % 3,652 1,074 4,726 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 156, , % 3,207 1,317 4,524 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations % Construction and Extraction Occupations 51,942 59, % ,516 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations 39,430 43, % ,294 Production Occupations 18,595 18, % Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 51,316 55, % 1, ,621 Note: Asterisks (***) indicate non-disclosable data. Projections data is for Combined Projections Area (LWDA XI and LWDA XII). No data available for Prince William County. Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Long Term Industry and Occupational Projections, Virginia Employment Commission Page 31 of 46

32 Occupation Employment and Projections Short Term Employment Openings Estimated 2015 Projected 2017 % Change Replace -ments Growth Total Total, All Occupations 3,977,496 4,093, % 92,736 59, ,907 Management Occupations 211, , % 4,446 2,618 7,064 Business and Financial Operations Occupations 276, , % 4,962 4,098 9,060 Computer and Mathematical Occupations 203, , % 2,536 4,451 6,987 Architecture and Engineering Occupations 78,184 79, % 1, ,349 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 33,613 34, % ,098 Community and Social Service Occupations 53,847 56, % 1,101 1,105 2,206 Legal Occupations 43,892 44, % ,140 Education, Training, and Library Occupations 243, , % 5,092 2,624 7,716 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 61,233 62, % 1, , , , % 4,160 3,102 7,262 Healthcare Support Occupations 90,672 94, % 1,859 1,842 3,701 Protective Service Occupations 105, , % 2,354 1,081 3,435 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations 327, , % 14,249 7,644 21, , , % 2,839 2,694 5,533 Personal Care and Service Occupations 155, , % 3,230 3,728 6,958 Sales and Related Occupations 423, , % 13,691 4,790 18,481 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 554, , % 11,737 5,962 17,699 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations 6,868 7, % Construction and Extraction Occupations 187, , % 2,884 4,098 6,982 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations 152, , % 3,384 2,080 5,464 Production Occupations 181, ,120 1% 3,937 1,364 5,301 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 229, , % 5,304 3,878 9,182 Note: Asterisks (***) indicate non-disclosable data. Projections data is for Virginia Statewide. No data available for Prince William County. Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Short Term Industry and Occupational Projections, Virginia Employment Commission Page 32 of 46

33 Growth Occupations Estimated 2014 Employment Projected 2024 % Change Replace -ments Note: Asterisks (***) indicate non-disclosable data. Projections and OES wage data are for Combined Projections Area (LWDA XI and LWDA XII). No data available for Prince William County. Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Long Term Industry and Occupational Projections, Occupational Employment Statistics (OES) Survey, Average Annual Openings Growth Total Average Annual Salary Occupational Therapy Assistants *** *** *** *** *** *** N/A Physical Therapist Assistants % $48,665 Personal Financial Advisors 2,155 3, % $122,683 Physical Therapist Aides % $25,793 Home Health Aides 2,426 3, % $25,077 Nurse Practitioners 1,026 1,539 50% $109,725 Physical Therapists 1,451 2, % $97,032 Interpreters and Translators 1,321 1, % $81,281 Physician Assistants % $95,273 Arbitrators, Mediators, and Conciliators *** *** *** *** *** *** N/A Operations Research Analysts 4,362 6, % $112,716 Statisticians % $99,072 Ophthalmic Medical Technicians % $44,012 Industrial-Organizational Psychologists % $125,403 Forensic Science Technicians *** *** *** *** *** *** N/A Occupational Therapists % $104,740 Optometrists % $138,147 Phlebotomists % $36,889 Cartographers and Photogrammetrists % $91,288 Medical Assistants 3,347 4, % $36,593 Virginia Employment Commission Page 33 of 46

34 Declining Occupations Electronic Equipment Installers and Repairers, Motor Vehicles Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing Machine Operators Photographic Process Workers and Processing Machine Operators Switchboard Operators, Including Answering Service Estimated 2014 Employment Note: Asterisks (***) indicate non-disclosable data. Projections data is for Combined Projections Area (LWDA XI and LWDA XII). No data available for Prince William County. Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Long Term Industry and Occupational Projections, Projected 2024 % Change Replace -ments Openings Growth Total % % % % Postal Service Mail Carriers 2,193 1, % Postal Service Clerks % Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic *** *** *** *** *** *** Meter Readers, Utilities % Sewing Machine Operators % Prepress Technicians and Workers % Travel Agents % Radio and Television Announcers % Computer Programmers 5,010 4, % Print Binding and Finishing Workers % Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders % Office Machine Operators, Except Computer % Word Processors and Typists % Computer Operators % Semiconductor Processors *** *** *** *** *** *** Insurance Underwriters % Virginia Employment Commission Page 34 of 46

35 Consumer Price Index (CPI) All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Ann. % chg Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Ann. % chg Note: CPI data is for the United States only. No data available for Prince William County. The CPI-U includes expenditures by urban wage earners and clerical workers, professional, managerial, and technical workers, the self-employed, short-term workers, the unemployed, retirees and others not in the labor force. The CPI-W only includes expenditures by those in hourly wage earning or clerical jobs. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Indexes (CPI) Program. Virginia Employment Commission Page 35 of 46

36 Local Option Sales Tax Trends Prince William County Virginia 2006 $47,255,750 $1,028,544, $47,173,006 $1,056,766, $46,216,016 $1,032,815, $45,516,738 $979,594, $48,393,745 $992,820, $50,689,958 $1,035,981, $54,768,015 $1,080,663, $56,512,177 $1,093,292, $59,078,021 $1,131,194, $60,427,122 $1,179,611, $62,562,164 $1,202,257,995 Note: This data is based on Virginia sales tax revenues deposited, rather than the actual taxable sales figures as reported on a dealer's return. Source: Virginia Department of Taxation, Revenue Forecasting. Virginia Employment Commission Page 36 of 46

37 Education Profile Local Option Sales Tax Past 12 Months Prince William County Virginia Nov $5,322,678 $100,777,400 Dec $6,415,133 $122,141,874 Jan $4,369,276 $86,952,366 Feb $4,460,082 $88,897,947 Mar $5,432,753 $105,638,212 Apr $5,142,500 $99,591,115 May 2017 $5,435,677 $103,707,666 Jun $5,830,252 $110,673,333 Jul $5,341,568 $100,656,455 Aug $5,450,169 $103,076,183 Sep $5,459,053 $104,708,407 Oct $5,186,975 $101,947,408 Nov $5,555,468 $103,938,560 Note: This data is based on Virginia sales tax revenues deposited, rather than the actual taxable sales figures as reported on a dealer's return. Source: Virginia Department of Taxation, Revenue Forecasting. Virginia Employment Commission Page 37 of 46

38 Education Profile IV. Education Profile Overview The Education Profile for Prince William County provides an assortment of data collected from the United States Census Bureau and the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES). Related Terms and Definitions Associate's degree An award that normally requires at least two but less than four years of full-time equivalent college work. Bachelor's degree An award that normally requires at least four but not more than five years of full-time equivalent college-level work. Post-baccalaureate certificate An award that requires completion of an organized program of study equivalent to 18 semester credit hours beyond the bachelor's. It is designed for persons who have completed a bachelor's degree, but do not meet the requirements of a master s degree. Master's degree An award that requires the successful completion of a program of study of at least the full-time equivalent of one but not more than two academic years of work beyond the bachelor's degree. Post-master's certificate An award that requires completion of an organized program of study equivalent to 24 semester credit hours beyond the master's degree, but does not meet the requirements of academic degrees at the doctor's level. Doctor's degree The highest award a student can earn for graduate study. First-professional degree An award that requires completion of a program that meets all of the following criteria: (1) completion of the academic requirements to begin practice in the profession; (2) at least two years of college work prior to entering the program; and (3) a total of at least six academic years of college work to complete the degree program, including prior required college work plus the length of the professional program itself. Virginia Employment Commission Page 38 of 46

39 Education Profile Educational Attainment (Population 18 years and over) Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey, Prince William County Virginia United States 8th Grade or Less 14, ,329 12,639,425 Some High School 19, ,075 20,093,117 High School Grad/GED 72,820 1,633,105 68,044,371 Some College 73,236 1,457,887 57,431,237 Associate's Degree 23, ,219 18,586,866 Bachelor's Degree 67,574 1,258,661 42,027,629 Graduate or Professional Degree 43, ,686 24,008, ,088 6,391, ,831,196 Virginia Employment Commission Page 39 of 46

40 Education Profile Educational Attainment by Age Total 8th Grade or Less 421 2,377 3,731 4,927 2,590 14,046 Some High School 4,616 3,457 3,880 5,071 2,440 19,464 High School Grad/GED 13,053 14,329 12,535 23,352 9,551 72,820 Some College 14,064 15,560 14,032 23,336 6,244 73,236 Associate's Degree 2,470 5,492 5,587 8,242 2,024 23,815 Bachelor's Degree 3,538 15,602 17,325 25,242 5,867 67,574 Graduate or Professional Degree 294 7,183 10,960 18,883 5,813 43,133 Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey, ,456 64,000 68, ,053 34, ,088 Virginia Employment Commission Page 40 of 46

41 Education Profile Educational Attainment by Gender (Population 18 years and over) Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey, Male Female Total 8th Grade or Less 6,517 7,529 14,046 Some High School 10,453 9,011 19,464 High School Grad/GED 36,759 36,061 72,820 Some College 35,999 37,237 73,236 Associate's Degree 10,318 13,497 23,815 Bachelor's Degree 31,552 36,022 67,574 Graduate or Professional Degree 23,251 19,882 43, , , ,088 Virginia Employment Commission Page 41 of 46

42 Education Profile Educational Attainment by Race/Ethnicity (Population 25 years and over) Less than high school diploma High school grad, GED, or alternative Some college or associate's degree Bachelor's degree or higher Total Race White 16,580 37,933 49,534 71, ,282 Black or African American 3,781 12,351 19,744 20,133 56,009 American Indian or Alaska Native Asian 2,807 4,592 5,349 10,201 22,949 Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander Other 4,310 3,285 2,444 1,528 11,567 Multiple Races 872 1,329 2,949 3,498 8,648 Ethnicity Hispanic or Latino (of any race) 15,936 14,587 12,341 8,485 51,349 44,409 74,354 92, , ,981 Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey, Virginia Employment Commission Page 42 of 46

43 Education Profile Virginia Employment Commission Page 43 of 46

44 Education Profile Graduate Data Trends Prince William County Cert. <1 yr. Cert. 1-2 yrs. Assoc. Cert. 2-4 yrs. BA Cert. Post-BA MA Cert. Post-MA Ph.D. 1st Prof Note: This table only reflects degrees completed from institutions within Prince William County Cert. <1 yr. Cert. 1-2 yrs. Assoc. Source: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences (IES). Virginia Statewide Cert. 2-4 yrs. BA Cert. Post-BA MA Cert. Post-MA ,245 3,079 11, , , , ,465 3,772 11, , , ,033 2, ,983 3,831 11, , , ,268 2, ,213 4,298 14, , , ,440 2, ,478 3,686 15, , , ,516 2, ,197 3,813 16, , , ,080 2, ,259 4,587 17, , , , ,648 8,158 21, , , ,100 2, ,972 12,557 24, ,109 1,055 20, ,329 2, ,825 12,801 26, ,051 1,215 21, ,095 3, ,153 12,179 25, ,778 1,067 22, ,230 2,963 Ph.D. 1st Prof. Did you know... you can search over 2,300 school listings online provided by the U.S. Department of Education? For this data and more, visit us on the web at: Virginia Employment Commission Page 44 of 46

45 Education Profile Training Providers George Mason University 4400 University Dr Fairfax, VA Phone: (703) Number of 2013 graduates: 8,745 The Art Institute of Washington 1820 N Fort Myer Dr Arlington, VA Phone: (703) Number of 2013 graduates: 343 Northern Virginia Community College 4001 Wakefield Chapel Rd Annandale, VA Phone: (703) Number of 2013 graduates: 7,719 ITT Technical Institute 7300 Boston Blvd Springfield, VA Phone: (703) Number of 2013 graduates: 284 Marymount University 2807 N Glebe Rd Arlington, VA Phone: (703) Number of 2013 graduates: 1,073 ITT Technical Institute Albemarle Point Pl, Suite 100 Chantilly, VA Phone: (703) Number of 2013 graduates: 271 Stratford University 3201 Jermantown Road, Suite 500 Fairfax, VA Phone: (703) Number of 2013 graduates: 761 Argosy University-Washington DC Campus 1550 Wilson Boulevard, Suite 600 Arlington, VA Phone: (703) Number of 2013 graduates: 225 Virginia Employment Commission Page 45 of 46

46 Gibbs College 1761 Old Meadow Road Mclean, VA Phone: (703) Number of 2013 graduates: 416 Blair College-Parks College-Mclean 8620 Westwood Center Dr. Vienna, VA Phone: (703) Number of 2013 graduates: 215 Education Profile Source: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences (IES), Virginia Employment Commission Page 46 of 46

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