Your Future: Arizona s Sun Corridor. Michael M. Crow President Arizona State University

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1 Your Future: Arizona s Sun Corridor Michael M. Crow President Arizona State University

2 Megapolitan Regions Sun Corridor Demographics Economy Education Environment Opportunities

3 Megapolitan Regions Sun Corridor Demographics Economy Education Environment Opportunities

4 Texas Metroplex

5 Chesapeake

6 Southern California

7 Megapolitan Nation Puget Sound Willamette Valley Front Range Lake Front Michigan Corridor Steel Corridor New England Northern California Mid-Atlantic Chesapeake Southern California Ohio Valley Carolina Piedmont Southern Piedmont Sun Corridor Texas Corridor Metroplex Texas Gulf Central Florida South Florida Source: Metropolitan Institute at Virginia Tech

8 Megapolitans produce roughly 70% of US GDP but only take up 14.5% of the nation s land area. Source: Metropolitan Institute at Virginia Tech

9 Megapolitans will add 62 million residents from , 65% of the total forecasted population increase in the lower 48 states. Source: Metropolitan Institute at Virginia Tech

10 Megapolitan Regions Sun Corridor Demographics Economy Education Environment Opportunities

11 Arizona s Arizona s Sun Sun Corridor Corridor Prescott Phoenix Casa Grande Tucson Nogales Sierra Vista

12 The Sun Corridor population is projected to total 7,839,873 in 2030, 2,031,759 more than Source: Morrison Institute for Public Policy

13 Sun Corridor Population Source: Morrison Institute for Public Policy

14 Megapolitan Regions Sun Corridor Demographics Economy Education Environment Opportunities

15 Sun Corridor Population 6,000,000 5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,000, Year Source: US Census Bureau

16 Sun Corridor Population 6,000,000 5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 Santa Cruz Cochise Yavapai Pinal Pima Maricopa 1,000, Year Source: US Census Bureau

17 Age of Sun Corridor Residents 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% Under 18 Years Over 65 Years 5% 0% Yavapai Pima Cochise Sun Corridor Total Pinal Maricopa Santa Cruz Source: US Census Bureau State and County Quickfacts

18 Sun Corridor Residents by Race 4% 2% 3% 1% 30% 59% White Not Hispanic Hispanic Black American Indian Asian Other Source: US Census Bureau State and County Quickfacts

19 Megapolitan Regions Sun Corridor Demographics Economy Education Environment Opportunities

20 The combined economic output of Phoenix, Tucson and Prescott was $231.9 billion in This is comparable to the economies of Finland, Malaysia, United Arab Emirates or Portugal. Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis and World Bank

21 Per Capita Income Relative to US Average: % 100% 95% 90% 85% 80% 75% Phoenix MSA Tucson MSA Prescott MSA 70% 65% 60% Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

22 Per Capita Income of the 52 Largest Metros Relative to US Average 180% 160% 140% 120% 100% Phoenix Tucson 80% 60% Source: Statistical Abstract of the United States, Table data

23 Miami Dallas Las Vegas Detroit Per Capita Income of the 52 Largest Metros Relative to US Average 180% San Francisco 160% 140% 120% Washington D.C. Seattle Denver Houston 100% Phoenix Riverside Tucson 80% 60% Source: Statistical Abstract of the United States, Table data

24 Per Capita Income and Cost of Living Relative to US Average 180% 160% 140% 120% 100% 80% 60% Source: Statistical Abstract of the United States, Tables 682 and data

25 Per Capita Income in Megapolitans by Component Metro Relative to US Average 180% 160% 140% 120% 100% 80% 60%

26 Poverty in the Sun Corridor 18% 16% 16.6% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% Year Source: US Census Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates 2010 data from US Census ACS 1-Year Estimates

27 In 2010, over 900,000 Sun Corridor residents lived in poverty. Source: US Census Bureau ACS 1-Year Estimates

28 Sun Corridor Employment by Occupation 450, , , , , , , ,000 50,000 0 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics May 2010 data for Phoenix, Tucson and Prescott MSAs

29 Sun Corridor Employment Relative to US Average 180% 160% 140% 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Higher Concentration Lower Concentration Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics May 2010 data for Phoenix, Tucson and Prescott MSAs

30 Sun Corridor and Denver-Aurora MSA Employment Relative to US Average 180% 160% 140% 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Sun Corridor Denver MSA Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics May 2010 data for Phoenix, Tucson and Prescott MSAs

31 Export Value of Metro Areas $120,000,000,000 $100,000,000,000 $80,000,000,000 $60,000,000,000 $40,000,000,000 $20,000,000,000 $0 Source: International Trade Administration Data

32 Megapolitan Regions Sun Corridor Demographics Economy Education Environment Opportunities

33 Out of the 100 largest metros, Phoenix ranks 77 th lowest and Tucson ranks 75 th lowest in high school attainment. Source: State of Metropolitan America, Brookings Institution data.

34 Bachelor's degree attainment, age 25 and over 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% Denver, CO: 37.6% US Average: 35% 20% 10% Phoenix Tucson 0% Asian Black Hispanic White Total 2009 Data Source: Brookings Institution

35 Unemployment in Arizona 15.8% Less than a high school diploma 10.9% High school graduate, no college 8.4% Some college or associate degree 5.4% Bachelor s degree and higher Data for civilian noninstitutional population 25 years and over. Data are 2010 averages Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

36 Megapolitan Regions Sun Corridor Demographics Economy Education Environment Opportunities

37 Degrees Average Low June Temperature at Phoenix Sky Harbor Airport Year Source: NOAA's National Climatic Data Center, Satellite and Information Service

38 Growing Urban Heat Island Source: Anthony Brazel, Ph.D., ASU

39 Cubic Feet Per Second Average Yearly Streamflow of Colorado River at Lee s Ferry, Arizona Year Source: US Geological Survey, Water Resources

40 Megapolitan Regions Sun Corridor Demographics Economy Education Environment Opportunities

41 Opportunities The Sun Corridor is still young and has no dominant productive industry. This means: We have strong, modern cities not in direct economic competition We have few intractable, centuries-old institutions We can design the future we want

42 Sun Corridor Design Parameters 1. Leverage our place 2. Create a sustainable production and consumption system 3. Enable collaborative culture 4. Create a competitive, rewarding environment for risk and achievement 5. Build a qualified and flexible labor force 6. Embrace technological, organizational and social innovation

43 Leverage Our Place The economy of California is equivalent to the 9 th largest in the world. The economy of Mexico is the 13 th largest in the world. Map Source: The Economist Data Source: BEA and World Bank data.

44 Leverage Our Place The US exported $7.45 billion in goods through the Nogales and Douglas Ports of Entry in % were exports from Arizona. 85% of US exports through California-Mexico Ports of Entry were from California. Source: U.S. DoT, Research and Innovative Technology Administration, Bureau of Transportation Statistics, TransBorder Freight Data

45 Billion BTUs Create a Sustainable Production and Consumption System Energy in Arizona Total Energy Consumption Renewable Energy Production Year Data in billion BTUs Source: Energy Information Administration

46 Enable Collaborative Culture Collaboration improves: the efficiency of economic exchange the rate of technological diffusion political processes

47 Enable Collaborative Culture Multi-National Corporations State Government Regional Economic Developers County Governments City Governments Knowledge Enterprises, including universities Community Colleges K-12 Education Systems Firms Entrepreneurs Citizens Social capital influences the frequency and quality of interactions within and between levels.

48 Create a Rewarding Environment for Risk

49 Build a Qualified and Flexible Labor Force Our efforts must: provide existing students with specific, marketable skill sets and the intellectual flexibility to succeed in multiple professional careers minimize barriers to education facing nontraditional students such as location, workstatus, or personal obligations

50 Embrace Technological, Organizational and Social Innovation Perpetual Innovation Edge of Newness Deep Competitiveness

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