Virginia. Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part)

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1 Virginia Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part) Scott County Washington County Bristol city Virginia Employment Commission 703 East Main Street Richmond, Virginia Tel: (804) Last updated: 1/5/2018 3:49:25 AM

2 Contents Table of Contents I. Introduction II. Demographic Profile Population by Age Cohort Population by Race/Ethnicity Population by Gender Population Change Population Projections by Age and Gender Population Projections by Race/Ethnicity English Language Skills Commuting Patterns In-Commuting Out-Commuting III. Unemployment Rates Characteristics of the Insured Unemployed Unemployment Insurance Payments Employers by Size of Establishment Employment by Size of Establishment Largest Employers Employment by Industry New Startup Firms New Hires by Industry Virginia Employment Commission Page 2 of 45

3 Contents Turnover by Industry Average Weekly Wage by Industry Age of Workers by Industry Industry Employment and Projections Occupation Employment and Projections Growth Occupations Declining Occupations Consumer Price Index (CPI) Local Option Sales Tax IV. Education Profile Educational Attainment Educational Attainment by Age Educational Attainment by Gender Educational Attainment by Race/Ethnicity Graduate Data Trends Training Providers Virginia Employment Commission Page 3 of 45

4 Introduction I. Introduction This report provides a community profile of Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part). It is intended to complement the information found in our Virginia Workforce Connection application, which can be accessed online at: The report is divided into three major sections. The first contains a profile of regional demographic characteristics and trends, the second supplies similar information for the regional economy, and the third provides a profile of regional education characteristics. Virginia Employment Commission Page 4 of 45

5 Demographic Profile II. Demographic Profile Overview This Demographic Profile provides an in-depth analysis of the population in Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part). Most of the data is produced by the U.S. Census Bureau, and includes demographic characteristics such as age, race/ethnicity, and gender. Related Terms and Definitions Ability to speak English For people who speak a language other than English at home, the response represents the person's own perception of his or her ability to speak English. Because census questionnaires are usually completed by one household member, the responses may represent the perception of another household member. Age The age classification is based on the age of the person in complete years as of April 1, The age of the person usually was derived from their date of birth information. Their reported age was used only when date of birth information was unavailable. Gender The data on gender were derived from answers to a question that was asked of all people. Individuals were asked to mark either "male" or "female" to indicate their gender. For most cases in which gender was not reported, it was determined by the appropriate entry from the person's given (i.e., first) name and household relationship. Otherwise, gender was imputed according to the relationship to the householder and the age of the person. Race The concept of race as used by the Census Bureau reflects self-identification by people according to the race or races with which they most closely identify. The categories are sociopolitical constructs and should not be interpreted as being scientific or anthropological in nature. Furthermore, the race categories include both racial and national-origin groups. Please note: In the past, our population by race/ethnicity data has always excluded the Hispanic ethnicity from each race category. Starting in January 2013, each race category now includes all ethnicities. Virginia Employment Commission Page 5 of 45

6 Demographic Profile Population by Age Bristol MSA Virginia United States Under 5 years 4, ,625 20,201,362 5 to 9 years 5, ,849 20,348, to 14 years 5, ,246 20,677, to 19 years 5, ,965 22,040, to 24 years 5, ,091 21,585, to 29 years 5, ,342 21,101, to 34 years 5, ,077 19,962, to 39 years 6, ,063 20,179, to 44 years 6, ,865 20,890, to 49 years 7, ,155 22,708, to 54 years 7, ,845 22,298, to 59 years 7, ,595 19,664, to 64 years 6, ,369 16,817, to 69 years 5, ,302 12,435, to 74 years 4, ,502 9,278, to 79 years 3, ,929 7,317, to 84 years 2, ,801 5,743, years and over 2, ,403 5,493,433 95,888 8,001, ,745,538 Source: 2010 Census. Virginia Employment Commission Page 6 of 45

7 Demographic Profile Population by Race/Ethnicity Bristol MSA Virginia United States Total Total Population 95,888 8,001, ,745,538 Race White 92,163 5,486, ,553,265 Black or African American 1,834 1,551,399 38,929,319 American Indian or Alaska Native ,225 2,932,248 Asian ,890 14,674,252 Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander 32 5, ,013 Other ,278 19,107,368 Multiple Races ,400 9,009,073 Ethnicity Not Hispanic or Latino (of any race) 94,709 7,369, ,267,944 Hispanic or Latino (of any race) 1, ,825 50,477,594 Source: 2010 Census. Population by Gender Bristol MSA Virginia United States Male 46,956 3,925, ,781,326 Female 48,932 4,075, ,964,212 95,888 8,001, ,745,538 Source: 2010 Census. Virginia Employment Commission Page 7 of 45

8 Demographic Profile Population Change Bristol MSA (% change) Virginia (% change) ,873 7,079, , % 8,001, % , % 8,811, % , % 9,645, % , % 10,530, % Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Virginia Employment Commission. Did you know... you can log on to our website today and see population counts from each Decennial Census all the way back to 1900? Looking for annual population estimates? We have those too, all the way back to the 1970s! For this data and more, visit us on the web at: Virginia Employment Commission Page 8 of 45

9 Demographic Profile Population Projections by Age and Gender Female Male Female Male Female Male Under 5 years 2,278 2,319 2,313 2,355 2,370 2,414 5 to 9 years 2,399 2,483 2,449 2,537 2,499 2, to 14 years 2,814 3,017 2,633 2,826 2,716 2, to 19 years 2,802 3,031 2,673 2,890 2,778 3, to 24 years 2,498 2,678 2,765 2,955 2,636 2, to 29 years 2,528 2,640 2,614 2,729 2,537 2, to 34 years 2,636 2,690 2,625 2,681 2,953 3, to 39 years 2,957 2,940 2,949 2,929 3,107 3, to 44 years 2,903 3,001 2,949 3,050 2,995 3, to 49 years 3,200 3,280 3,166 3,239 3,210 3, to 54 years 3,477 3,311 3,232 3,070 3,343 3, to 59 years 3,778 3,606 3,480 3,323 3,503 3, to 64 years 3,987 3,626 3,715 3,369 3,506 3, to 69 years 3,594 3,241 3,828 3,454 3,588 3, to 74 years 3,201 2,778 3,680 3,191 3,487 3, to 79 years 2,357 1,771 2,970 2,231 3,218 2, to 84 years 1,567 1,042 2,166 1,440 2,537 1, years and over 1, , ,552 1,068 50,630 48,139 52,172 49,090 53,535 49,975 98, , ,510 Source: Virginia Employment Commission. Population Projections by Race/Ethnicity Total Total Population 98, , ,512 Race White 93,818 94,273 93,401 Black or African American 1,976 2,111 2,167 Asian 650 1,065 1,743 Other 2,327 3,816 6,203 Ethnicity Not Hispanic or Latino (of any race) 96,641 97,356 96,412 Hispanic or Latino (of any race) 2,130 3,910 7,100 Source: Virginia Employment Commission. Virginia Employment Commission Page 9 of 45

10 Demographic Profile English Language Skills (Age 5 and over that speak English less than well) Total Speak English less than well Percent Bristol MSA 90, % Virginia 7,673, , % United States 294,133,373 13,435, % Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey, Commuting Patterns Commuting Patterns People who live and work in the area 18,052 In-Commuters 21,137 Out-Commuters 18,912 Net In-Commuters (In-Commuters minus Out-Commuters) 2,225 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, OnTheMap Application and LEHD Origin-Destination Employment Statistics, Virginia Employment Commission Page 10 of 45

11 Demographic Profile Top 10 Places Residents are Commuting To Area Workers Sullivan County, TN 6,208 Smyth County, VA 1,692 Washington County, TN 1,168 Wise County, VA 1,121 Russell County, VA 786 Tazewell County, VA 662 Hawkins County, TN 376 Wythe County, VA 327 Lee County, VA 293 Roanoke city, VA 289 Top 10 Places Workers are Commuting From Area Workers Sullivan County, TN 5,975 Smyth County, VA 1,999 Russell County, VA 1,690 Lee County, VA 1,183 Wise County, VA 1,037 Dickenson County, VA 627 Tazewell County, VA 610 Washington County, TN 491 Wythe County, VA 428 Hawkins County, TN 329 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, OnTheMap Application and LEHD Origin-Destination Employment Statistics, Please Note: Commuting patterns data is no longer produced from the Decennial Census. As an alternative, we are providing commuting data from the U.S. Census Bureau's OnTheMap application and LEHD Origin-Destination Employment Statistics program. Since this data is produced from an entirely different data set, it is not advisable to compare the new data with previously released commuting patterns. For more information about the OnTheMap application or the LEHD program, please visit the following website: Virginia Employment Commission Page 11 of 45

12 III. Overview The of Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part) consists primarily of data produced by the Virginia Employment Commission, U.S. Census Bureau, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Related Terms and Definitions Average Weekly Wage Computed as average quarterly wages divided by 13. Consumer Price Index (CPI) The Consumer Price Index measures the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a representative market basket of consumer goods and services. Local Employment Dynamics (LED) The Local Employment Dynamics Program at the Census Bureau, together with its state partners, provides employment information at the county, city, and Workforce Investment Area level. This information tracks workers in different industries by age and gender and provides statistics on job creation, separation, turnover, and wages. Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages (QCEW) A federal/state cooperative program that collects and compiles employment and wage data for workers covered by state unemployment insurance (UI) laws and the federal civilian workers covered by Unemployment Compensation for Federal Employees (UCFE). These data are maintained at the state in micro and macro levels and also sent to BLS quarterly. Unemployment Insurance (UI) Unemployment insurance is a program for the accumulation of funds paid by employers to be used for the payment of unemployment insurance to workers during periods of unemployment which are beyond the workers' control. Unemployment insurance replaces a part of the worker's wage loss if he becomes eligible for payments. Unemployment Rate The number of unemployed people as a percentage of the labor force. Virginia Employment Commission Page 12 of 45

13 Unemployment Rates Trends Bristol MSA Virginia United States % 3.1% 4.6% % 3.0% 4.6% % 3.9% 5.8% % 6.7% 9.3% % 7.1% 9.6% % 6.6% 8.9% % 6.1% 8.1% % 5.7% 7.4% % 5.2% 6.2% % 4.5% 5.3% % 4.0% 4.9% Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics. Virginia Employment Commission Page 13 of 45

14 Unemployment Rates Past 12 Months Bristol MSA Virginia United States Nov % 3.8% 4.4% Dec % 3.8% 4.5% Jan % 4.2% 5.1% Feb % 4.0% 4.9% Mar % 3.8% 4.6% Apr % 3.6% 4.1% May % 3.8% 4.1% Jun % 3.9% 4.5% Jul % 3.8% 4.6% Aug % 3.8% 4.5% Sep % 3.6% 4.1% Oct % 3.5% 3.9% Nov % 3.6% 3.9% Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics. Virginia Employment Commission Page 14 of 45

15 Characteristics of the Insured Unemployed Total number of claimants: 282 Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part) - (282 claimants) Virginia - (26,256 claimants) Gender Bristol MSA Virginia Male ,824 Female ,432 Unspecified Race Bristol MSA Virginia White ,104 Black 8 10,156 American Native Asian 720 Other Hispanic or Latino 3 1,163 Age Bristol MSA Virginia Under 22 years to 24 years to 34 years 52 5, to 44 years 67 5, to 54 years 68 6, to 64 years 71 5, years and over 16 1,603 Unknown Education Bristol MSA Virginia 8th Grade or Less Some High School 18 1,375 High School Grad/GED 147 8,681 Some College/2-Yr Degree 57 6,047 Bachelor's Degree 20 3,737 Some Graduate School Post Graduate Degree 7 1,496 Unknown 28 3,986 Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Characteristics of the Insured Unemployed, December Virginia Employment Commission Page 15 of 45

16 Characteristics of the Insured Unemployed Top 5 Industries With Largest Number of Claimants in Bristol MSA (excludes unclassified) Industry Bristol MSA Virginia Unclassified 26 2,282 Construction 24 2,442 Health Care and Social Assistance 21 2,066 Accommodation and Food Services 20 1,892 Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services 19 3,676 Retail Trade 17 1,467 Other Services (except Public Administration) Transportation and Warehousing Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting Manufacturing Finance and Insurance 5 1,005 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 5 2,683 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Wholesale Trade Information Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Management of Companies and Enterprises Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction 1 67 Utilities 31 Educational Services 574 Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Characteristics of the Insured Unemployed, December Virginia Employment Commission Page 16 of 45

17 Characteristics of the Insured Unemployed Top 5 Occupation Groups With Largest Number of Claimants in Bristol MSA (excludes unknown occupations) Occupation Bristol MSA Virginia Production Occupations 49 2,260 Unknown Occupation Code 48 2,845 Sales and Related Occupations 23 2,045 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 22 3,551 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 22 1,526 Management Occupations 18 2,529 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations 18 1,479 Construction and Extraction Occupations 17 1,938 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations Healthcare Support Occupations Personal Care and Service Occupations Business and Financial Operations Occupations 5 1,306 Architecture and Engineering Occupations Community and Social Service Occupations Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations Protective Service Occupations Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations Legal Occupations Computer and Mathematical Occupations Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 130 Education, Training, and Library Occupations 390 Military Specific Occupations 192 Virginia Employment Commission Page 17 of 45

18 Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Characteristics of the Insured Unemployed, December Virginia Employment Commission Page 18 of 45

19 Unemployment Insurance Payments Trends Bristol MSA Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Unemployment Insurance Program. Virginia Weeks Paid Amount Paid Weeks Paid Amount Paid ,711 $5,722,231 1,384,335 $364,789, ,723 $4,376,542 1,699,923 $468,544, ,266 $10,218,857 3,782,630 $1,069,206, ,236 $6,173,525 2,727,738 $748,174, ,052 $5,102,693 2,242,341 $612,702, ,038 $5,575,247 2,102,986 $592,044, ,193 $5,211,237 1,999,039 $574,074, ,705 $3,992,941 1,684,690 $490,522, ,929 $2,870,597 1,198,476 $351,290, ,672 $4,556,119 1,263,292 $379,622, ,048 $2,910,379 1,114,650 $336,664,624 Virginia Employment Commission Page 19 of 45

20 Unemployment Insurance Payments Past 12 Months Bristol MSA Virginia Weeks Paid Amount Paid Weeks Paid Amount Paid Dec $267,478 83,871 $25,120,302 Jan ,263 $383, ,865 $35,546,956 Feb ,103 $333, ,181 $29,994,222 Mar ,073 $323, ,551 $31,350,211 Apr $262,833 84,007 $25,475,201 May $284,353 97,219 $29,499,484 Jun $234,175 89,386 $26,673,098 Jul $228,571 90,050 $26,778,571 Aug $226, ,830 $32,052,040 Sep $152,840 78,463 $24,100,313 Oct $161,039 88,873 $27,477,193 Nov $149,188 77,737 $23,867,491 Dec $170,594 78,488 $23,849,844 Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Unemployment Insurance Program. Virginia Employment Commission Page 20 of 45

21 Employers by Size of Establishment Bristol MSA Virginia 0 to 4 employees 1, ,396 5 to 9 employees , to 19 employees , to 49 employees , to 99 employees 74 7, to 249 employees 36 3, to 499 employees 12 1, to 999 employees and over employees , ,879 Employment by Size of Establishment Bristol MSA Note: Asterisks (***) indicate non-disclosable data. 'Zero; no employment' typically represents new startup firms or sole-proprietorships. Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), 2nd Quarter (April, May, June) Virginia 0 to 4 employees 2, ,118 5 to 9 employees 2, , to 19 employees 4, , to 49 employees 6, , to 99 employees 4, , to 249 employees 5, , to 499 employees 4, , to 999 employees 3, , and over employees 1, ,901 34,620 3,855,290 Virginia Employment Commission Page 21 of 45

22 50 Largest Employers 1. Food City 2. Washington County Schools 3. Mountain States Health Al 4. Wal Mart 5. Scott County School Board 6. Utility Trailer Manufacturing 7. Camac Corporation 8. Bristol Compressors International 9. Electro Mechanical Corporation 10. Paramont Manufacturing 11. City of Bristol 12. Bristol City Public Schools 13. Emory and Henry College 14. Cabela's 15. Highlands Community Services Board 16. Washington County 17. Snack Alliance Inc 18. Virginia Highlands Community College 19. Sw Virginia Regional Jail Auth 20. Lowes' Home Centers, Inc. 21. VDOT 22. U.P.S. 23. Strongwell 24. Tempur Production 25. Town of Abingdon 26. Joy Technologies 27. Kearney National, Inc. 28. Professional Employment Services 29. Columbus McKinnon Corporation 30. McDonald's 31. Kroger 32. People, Inc. 33. Cracker Barrel Old Country Store 34. Bristol City Utilities Board 35. Postal Service 36. Bristol Health Care Center 37. Lux Enterprises Inc 38. VFP Inc. 39. Marty, Inc. 40. Ridgecrest Manor Nursing & Rehabilitation 41. Abingdon Health & Rehab Center 42. Family Preservation Services 43. County of Scott 44. The First Bank and Trust Company 45. Barter Foundation, Inc. 46. Burger King 47. Wendy's 48. Comfort Systems 49. Food Country U.S.A. 50. Dolgencorp LLC Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), 2nd Quarter (April, May, June) Did you know... you can search over 300,000 employer listings on our website provided by Infogroup? This easy-to-use feature lets you search for employers by keyword, industry, sales volume, size range, and more! For this data and more, visit us on the web at: Virginia Employment Commission Page 22 of 45

23 Employment by Industry Total: 34,621 Note: Asterisk (*) indicates non-disclosable data. Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), 2nd Quarter (April, May, June) Virginia Employment Commission Page 23 of 45

24 New Startup Firms Bristol MSA Virginia 2nd Qtr ,299 3rd Qtr ,317 4th Qtr ,531 1st Qtr ,923 2nd Qtr ,749 3rd Qtr ,396 4th Qtr ,000 1st Qtr ,802 2nd Qtr ,283 3rd Qtr ,398 4th Qtr ,426 1st Qtr ,838 2nd Qtr ,152 Note: The following criteria was used to define new startup firms: 1.) Setup and liability date both occurred during 2nd Quarter (April, May, June) ) Establishment had no predecessor UI Account Number 3.) Private Ownership 4.) Average employment is less than ) For multi-unit establishments, the parent company must also meet the above criteria. Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), 2nd Quarter (April, May, June) Virginia Employment Commission Page 24 of 45

25 New Hires by Industry Total: Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Local Employment Dynamics (LED) Program, 2nd Quarter (April, May, June) 2016, all ownerships. Virginia Employment Commission Page 25 of 45

26 Turnover by Industry Average: Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Local Employment Dynamics (LED) Program, 1st Quarter (January, February, March) 2016, all ownerships. Virginia Employment Commission Page 26 of 45

27 Average Weekly Wage by Industry Note: Asterisk (*) indicates non-disclosable data. Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW), 2nd Quarter (April, May, June) Virginia Employment Commission Page 27 of 45

28 Age of Workers by Industry Total, All Industries Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction Utilities Construction Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Retail Trade Transportation and Warehousing Information Finance and Insurance Real Estate and Rental and Leasing Professional, Scientific, and Technical Servi Management of Companies and Enterprises Administrative and Support and Waste Manageme Educational Services Health Care and Social Assistance Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation Accommodation and Food Services Other Services (except Public Administration) Public Administration Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Local Employment Dynamics (LED) Program, 2nd Quarter (April, May, June) 2016, all ownerships. What is LED? Developed by the U.S. Census Bureau, the Local Employment Dynamics (LED) program merges Virginia's Unemployment Compensation wage and employer records with Census demographic data. Read more about LED on the following website: Virginia Employment Commission Page 28 of 45

29 Industry Employment and Projections Long Term Employment Percent Estimated 2014 Projected 2024 Change Total Annual Total, All Industries 3,977,869 4,345, , %.89% Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 58,935 54,824-4, % -.72% Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction 7,470 7, % -.29% Utilities 10,631 9,516-1, % -1.1% Construction 178, ,963 22, % 1.21% Manufacturing 231, ,778-11, % -.52% Wholesale Trade 110, ,430 3, %.32% Retail Trade 413, ,557 29, %.68% Transportation and Warehousing 107, ,524 5, %.5% Information 71,474 69,426-2, % -.29% Finance and Insurance 129, ,636 11, %.86% Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 51,535 53,346 1, %.35% Professional, Scientific, and Technical Servi 389, ,829 70, % 1.68% Management of Companies and Enterprises 74,283 77,075 2, %.37% Administrative and Support and Waste Manageme 214, ,450 19, %.88% Educational Services 352, ,156 42, % 1.14% Health Care and Social Assistance 418, ,689 97, % 2.11% Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 49,367 55,167 5, % 1.12% Accommodation and Food Services 321, ,330 31, %.93% Other Services (except Public Administration) 131, ,824 12, %.91% Note: Asterisks (***) indicate non-disclosable data. Projections data is for Virginia. No data available for Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part). Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Long Term Industry and Occupational Projections, Virginia Employment Commission Page 29 of 45

30 Industry Employment and Projections Short Term Employment Percent Estimated 2015 Projected 2017 Change Total Annual Total, All Industries 3,977,496 4,093, , % 1.45% Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting 4,210 4, % 2.61% Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction 6,805 5, % -7.13% Utilities 10,717 10, % -.1% Construction 185, ,598 10, % 2.82% Manufacturing 232, , %.09% Wholesale Trade 110, ,188 1, %.54% Retail Trade 412, ,889 9, % 1.15% Transportation and Warehousing 112, ,619 4, % 2.1% Information 69,554 68, % -.65% Finance and Insurance 131, ,266 4, % 1.71% Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 52,593 53, %.89% Professional, Scientific, and Technical Servi 394, ,625 15, % 1.89% Management of Companies and Enterprises 74,086 75,252 1, %.78% Administrative and Support and Waste Manageme 224, ,780 12, % 2.74% Educational Services 365, ,071 6, %.92% Health Care and Social Assistance 427, ,476 18, % 2.19% Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 56,096 57,991 1, % 1.68% Accommodation and Food Services 334, ,857 15, % 2.27% Other Services (except Public Administration) 133, ,332 2, %.92% Note: Asterisks (***) indicate non-disclosable data. Projections data is for Virginia Statewide. No data available for Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part). Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Short Term Industry and Occupational Projections, Virginia Employment Commission Page 30 of 45

31 Occupation Employment and Projections Long Term Employment Openings Estimated 2014 Projected 2024 % Change Replace -ments Growth Total Total, All Occupations 3,977,869 4,345, % 91,873 39, ,569 Management Occupations 245, , % 5,341 1,643 6,984 Business and Financial Operations Occupations 272, , % 5,310 3,135 8,445 Computer and Mathematical Occupations 199, , % 2,856 3,613 6,469 Architecture and Engineering Occupations 77,469 80, % 1, ,280 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 33,772 37, % ,200 Community and Social Service Occupations 52,465 60, % 1, ,907 Legal Occupations 43,393 46, % ,141 Education, Training, and Library Occupations 235, , % 5,024 2,986 8,010 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 60,392 65, % 1, , , , % 4,463 3,731 8,194 Healthcare Support Occupations 88, , % 1,946 2,539 4,485 Protective Service Occupations 104, , % 2,450 1,230 3,680 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations 314, , % 11,703 3,621 15, , , % 2,944 1,058 4,002 Personal Care and Service Occupations 148, , % 3,107 2,353 5,460 Sales and Related Occupations 421, , % 12,435 2,627 15,062 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 549, , % 11,542 3,762 15,304 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations 39,772 37, % 1, ,074 Construction and Extraction Occupations 183, , % 2,794 1,840 4,634 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations 151, , % 3,482 1,310 4,792 Production Occupations 179, , % 3, ,384 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 226, , % 5,378 1,351 6,729 Note: Asterisks (***) indicate non-disclosable data. Projections data is for Virginia. No data available for Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part). Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Long Term Industry and Occupational Projections, Virginia Employment Commission Page 31 of 45

32 Occupation Employment and Projections Short Term Employment Openings Estimated 2015 Projected 2017 % Change Replace -ments Growth Total Total, All Occupations 3,977,496 4,093, % 92,736 59, ,907 Management Occupations 211, , % 4,446 2,618 7,064 Business and Financial Operations Occupations 276, , % 4,962 4,098 9,060 Computer and Mathematical Occupations 203, , % 2,536 4,451 6,987 Architecture and Engineering Occupations 78,184 79, % 1, ,349 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 33,613 34, % ,098 Community and Social Service Occupations 53,847 56, % 1,101 1,105 2,206 Legal Occupations 43,892 44, % ,140 Education, Training, and Library Occupations 243, , % 5,092 2,624 7,716 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 61,233 62, % 1, , , , % 4,160 3,102 7,262 Healthcare Support Occupations 90,672 94, % 1,859 1,842 3,701 Protective Service Occupations 105, , % 2,354 1,081 3,435 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations 327, , % 14,249 7,644 21, , , % 2,839 2,694 5,533 Personal Care and Service Occupations 155, , % 3,230 3,728 6,958 Sales and Related Occupations 423, , % 13,691 4,790 18,481 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 554, , % 11,737 5,962 17,699 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations 6,868 7, % Construction and Extraction Occupations 187, , % 2,884 4,098 6,982 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations 152, , % 3,384 2,080 5,464 Production Occupations 181, ,120 1% 3,937 1,364 5,301 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 229, , % 5,304 3,878 9,182 Note: Asterisks (***) indicate non-disclosable data. Projections data is for Virginia Statewide. No data available for Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part). Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Short Term Industry and Occupational Projections, Virginia Employment Commission Page 32 of 45

33 Growth Occupations Estimated 2014 Employment Projected 2024 % Change Replace -ments Note: Asterisks (***) indicate non-disclosable data. Projections and OES wage data are for Virginia. No data available for Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part). Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Long Term Industry and Occupational Projections, Occupational Employment Statistics (OES) Survey, Average Annual Openings Growth Total Average Annual Salary Occupational Therapy Assistants 795 1, % $62,287 Physical Therapist Aides 1,130 1, % $24,711 Home Health Aides 9,928 14, % $22,423 Personal Financial Advisors 5,568 8, % $126,900 Ambulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians % $23,713 Nurse Practitioners 3,522 5, % $102,337 Physical Therapist Assistants 2,085 2, % $54,463 Hearing Aid Specialists % $51,675 Audiologists % $82,743 Physician Assistants 2,070 2, % $96,008 Interpreters and Translators 2,381 3, % $75,067 Nurse Midwives % $108,524 Statisticians 945 1, % $82,814 Commercial Divers % $54,783 Industrial-Organizational Psychologists % $121,780 Physical Therapists 4,905 6, % $91,502 Operations Research Analysts 5,560 7, % $107,836 Forensic Science Technicians % $70,186 Arbitrators, Mediators, and Conciliators *** *** *** *** *** *** N/A Phlebotomists 3,465 4, % $32,842 Virginia Employment Commission Page 33 of 45

34 Declining Occupations Estimated 2014 Employment Note: Asterisks (***) indicate non-disclosable data. Projections data is for Virginia. No data available for Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part). Source: Virginia Employment Commission, Economic Information & Analytics, Long Term Industry and Occupational Projections, Projected 2024 % Change Replace -ments Openings Growth Locomotive Firers *** *** *** *** *** *** Electronic Equipment Installers and Repairers, Motor Vehicles Total % Telephone Operators % Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing Machine Operators Switchboard Operators, Including Answering Service Photographic Process Workers and Processing Machine Operators 2,660 1, % ,189 1, % ,494 1, % Postmasters and Mail Superintendents *** *** *** *** *** *** Postal Service Clerks 1,898 1, % Postal Service Mail Carriers 7,053 5, % Extruding and Drawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Textile Knitting and Weaving Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Textile Bleaching and Dyeing Machine Operators and Tenders Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Aircraft Structure, Surfaces, Rigging, and Systems Assemblers Rolling Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Grinding, Lapping, Polishing, and Buffing Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic Textile Cutting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic 1,636 1, % , % % ,979 1, % *** *** *** *** *** *** % % % ,067 1, % Motion Picture Projectionists % Forging Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic % Virginia Employment Commission Page 34 of 45

35 Consumer Price Index (CPI) All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Ann. % chg Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers (CPI-W) Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec. Ann. % chg Note: CPI data is for the United States only. No data available for Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part). The CPI-U includes expenditures by urban wage earners and clerical workers, professional, managerial, and technical workers, the self-employed, short-term workers, the unemployed, retirees and others not in the labor force. The CPI-W only includes expenditures by those in hourly wage earning or clerical jobs. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Indexes (CPI) Program. Virginia Employment Commission Page 35 of 45

36 Local Option Sales Tax Trends Bristol MSA Virginia 2006 $11,186,861 $1,028,544, $11,958,283 $1,056,766, $12,070,758 $1,032,815, $11,755,673 $979,594, $11,910,563 $992,820, $12,485,868 $1,035,981, $12,553,547 $1,080,663, $12,173,986 $1,093,292, $12,492,239 $1,131,194, $12,700,595 $1,179,611, $12,780,090 $1,202,257,995 Note: This data is based on Virginia sales tax revenues deposited, rather than the actual taxable sales figures as reported on a dealer's return. Source: Virginia Department of Taxation, Revenue Forecasting. Virginia Employment Commission Page 36 of 45

37 Education Profile Local Option Sales Tax Past 12 Months Bristol MSA Virginia Oct $1,072,785 $102,651,090 Nov $1,060,420 $100,777,400 Dec $1,342,689 $122,141,874 Jan $905,749 $86,952,366 Feb $930,308 $88,897,947 Mar $1,106,786 $105,638,212 Apr $1,054,954 $99,591,115 May 2017 $1,135,701 $103,707,666 Jun $1,153,765 $110,673,333 Jul $1,053,042 $100,656,455 Aug $1,101,318 $103,076,183 Sep $1,106,417 $104,708,407 Oct $1,062,894 $101,947,408 Note: This data is based on Virginia sales tax revenues deposited, rather than the actual taxable sales figures as reported on a dealer's return. Source: Virginia Department of Taxation, Revenue Forecasting. Virginia Employment Commission Page 37 of 45

38 Education Profile IV. Education Profile Overview The Education Profile for Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part) provides an assortment of data collected from the United States Census Bureau and the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES). Related Terms and Definitions Associate's degree An award that normally requires at least two but less than four years of full-time equivalent college work. Bachelor's degree An award that normally requires at least four but not more than five years of full-time equivalent college-level work. Post-baccalaureate certificate An award that requires completion of an organized program of study equivalent to 18 semester credit hours beyond the bachelor's. It is designed for persons who have completed a bachelor's degree, but do not meet the requirements of a master s degree. Master's degree An award that requires the successful completion of a program of study of at least the full-time equivalent of one but not more than two academic years of work beyond the bachelor's degree. Post-master's certificate An award that requires completion of an organized program of study equivalent to 24 semester credit hours beyond the master's degree, but does not meet the requirements of academic degrees at the doctor's level. Doctor's degree The highest award a student can earn for graduate study. First-professional degree An award that requires completion of a program that meets all of the following criteria: (1) completion of the academic requirements to begin practice in the profession; (2) at least two years of college work prior to entering the program; and (3) a total of at least six academic years of college work to complete the degree program, including prior required college work plus the length of the professional program itself. Virginia Employment Commission Page 38 of 45

39 Education Profile Educational Attainment (Population 18 years and over) Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey, Bristol MSA Virginia United States 8th Grade or Less 5, ,329 12,639,425 Some High School 7, ,075 20,093,117 High School Grad/GED 25,985 1,633,105 68,044,371 Some College 16,491 1,457,887 57,431,237 Associate's Degree 6, ,219 18,586,866 Bachelor's Degree 9,625 1,258,661 42,027,629 Graduate or Professional Degree 5, ,686 24,008,551 76,462 6,391, ,831,196 Virginia Employment Commission Page 39 of 45

40 Education Profile Educational Attainment by Age Total 8th Grade or Less ,710 3,868 5,863 Some High School ,504 2,346 7,279 High School Grad/GED 2,823 3,439 3,841 9,717 6,165 25,985 Some College 3,007 2,545 2,604 5,334 3,001 16,491 Associate's Degree ,155 2, ,109 Bachelor's Degree 543 2,088 1,877 3,602 1,515 9,625 Graduate or Professional Degree ,020 2,282 1,179 5,110 Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey, ,696 10,417 11,644 27,818 18,887 76,462 Virginia Employment Commission Page 40 of 45

41 Education Profile Educational Attainment by Gender (Population 18 years and over) Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey, Male Female Total 8th Grade or Less 3,062 2,801 5,863 Some High School 3,899 3,380 7,279 High School Grad/GED 13,234 12,751 25,985 Some College 7,587 8,904 16,491 Associate's Degree 2,478 3,631 6,109 Bachelor's Degree 4,376 5,249 9,625 Graduate or Professional Degree 2,661 2,449 5,110 37,297 39,165 76,462 Virginia Employment Commission Page 41 of 45

42 Education Profile Educational Attainment by Race/Ethnicity (Population 25 years and over) Less than high school diploma High school grad, GED, or alternative Some college or associate's degree Bachelor's degree or higher Total Race White 12,005 22,438 18,367 13,699 66,509 Black or African American ,130 American Indian or Alaska Native Asian Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander Other Multiple Races Ethnicity Hispanic or Latino (of any race) ,584 23,252 19,342 14,326 69,504 Source: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey, Virginia Employment Commission Page 42 of 45

43 Education Profile Virginia Employment Commission Page 43 of 45

44 Education Profile Graduate Data Trends Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part) Cert. <1 yr. Cert. 1-2 yrs. Assoc. Cert. 2-4 yrs. BA Cert. Post-BA MA Cert. Post-MA Ph.D. 1st Prof Note: This table only reflects degrees completed from institutions within Kingsport-Bristol MSA (VA Part) Cert. <1 yr. Cert. 1-2 yrs. Assoc. Source: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences (IES). Virginia Statewide Cert. 2-4 yrs. BA Cert. Post-BA MA Cert. Post-MA ,245 3,079 11, , , , ,465 3,772 11, , , ,033 2, ,983 3,831 11, , , ,268 2, ,213 4,298 14, , , ,440 2, ,478 3,686 15, , , ,516 2, ,197 3,813 16, , , ,080 2, ,259 4,587 17, , , , ,648 8,158 21, , , ,100 2, ,972 12,557 24, ,109 1,055 20, ,329 2, ,825 12,801 26, ,051 1,215 21, ,095 3, ,153 12,179 25, ,778 1,067 22, ,230 2,963 Ph.D. 1st Prof. Did you know... you can search over 2,300 school listings online provided by the U.S. Department of Education? For this data and more, visit us on the web at: Virginia Employment Commission Page 44 of 45

45 Education Profile Training Providers Virginia Highlands Community College 100 Vhcc Drive Abingdon, VA Phone: (276) Number of 2013 graduates: 662 Emory and Henry College Garnand Drive Emory, VA Phone: (276) Number of 2013 graduates: 194 Virginia Intermont College 1013 Moore Street Bristol, VA Phone: (276) Number of 2013 graduates: 88 Washington County Adult Skill Center 848 Thompson Dr Abingdon, VA Phone: (276) Number of 2013 graduates: 67 Source: U.S. Department of Education, Institute of Education Sciences (IES), Virginia Employment Commission Page 45 of 45

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