What have We Learned About Educational Attainment?

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1 What have We Learned About Educational Attainment? February 2017 Atlanta Regional Commission For more information, contact:

2 Most Educated Metros % Population with Bachelor s degree or higher, % - 49% 33% - 36% 30% - 33% 27% - 30% 16% - 27% Top 10 metros: Washington, DC 49% San Jose, CA 49% San Francisco, CA 47% Bridgeport, CT 46% Boston, MA 46% Durham, NC 45% 37% +5.8% Raleigh, NC 44% Madison, WI 44% Austin, TX 43% Metro Atlanta is an educated place. About 37 percent of adults have at least a bachelor s degree, which ranks in the top 20 of all metros. Denver, CO 42% (Atlanta, #19) 37% Source: U.S. Census Bureau Year American Community Survey via Neighborhood Nexus

3 Change in Selected Metros: Population with Bachelor s Degree or Higher, 2000 & 2015 % Change Atlanta Atlanta 5.0% Austin Austin 5.9% Boston Boston 11.6% Charlotte Charlotte 7.0% Chicago Chicago 7.1% Cleveland Cleveland 5.9% Dallas Dallas 5.0% Denver Houston 5.0% Houston Denver 6.3% Minneapolis Minneapolis 7.0% Seattle Seattle 9.2% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% 2000 BA BA+ Among some selected peer metros, Atlanta has seen one of the smallest increases in adults with at least a bachelor's degree, on par with the increases seen in Dallas and Houston, the other socalled sunbelt metros on this list. Source: 2000 Summary File 3 and Year American Community Survey, U.S. Census Bureau

4 Source: 2000 Summary File 3 and Year American Community Survey 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 27% 39% 19% 17% 40% 45% 10- Region: Population with Bachelor s Degree or Higher 36% 42% 19% 32% 36% 47% 41% 50% 34% 35% 20% 28% 25% 23% Cherokee Clayton Cobb DeKalb Douglas Fayette Fulton Gwinnett Henry Rockdale 2000 BA BA+ Levels of education attainment vary throughout the region 2000: Highest and lowest % with BA+ Fulton 41% Clayton 17% 2015: Highest and lowest % with BA+ Fulton 50% Clayton 19% In looking locally at educational attainment, some counties in the Atlanta region have experienced significant increases in the percentage of those with at least a bachelor s degree. Douglas, for example, has experienced a 13 percentage-point increase in those with at least a bachelor s degree since 2000, tops in the region. Cherokee also experienced a significant increase (+12 percentage points). Overall, though, Fulton leads the region in the percentage of those with at least a bachelor s degree.

5 Source: American Community Survey, U.S. Census Bureau, via Neighborhood Nexus % Population with a Bachelor s degree or higher ( average) 55% - 91% 37% - 55% 26% - 37% 18% - 26% 0% - 18% Where do residents with the highest educational attainment live? The heaviest concentrations of residents with at least a Bachelor s degree are in the northern part of the City of Atlanta, extending upwards through Fulton, Forsyth, and Cobb counties

6 Source: & Year American Community Survey, U.S. Census Bureau, via Neighborhood Nexus % Change in population with a Bachelor s degree or higher ( average & average) 6% - 34% 3% - 6% -0.4% - 3% -4% % -21% - -4% By looking at these two distinct 5-year averages from the American Community Survey, we can compare change. The areas in red experienced the greatest increase in residents with at least a Bachelor s degree, although there is no clear pattern, as there are areas in nearly every county that both lost and gained educated residents. What neighborhoods added the most educated residents? Note: We did not include tests of statistical significance for this map. Thus several areas that show change might actually fall within the margins of error.

7 Source: & Year American Community Survey, U.S. Census Bureau, via Neighborhood Nexus % Change in population with a Bachelor s degree or higher ( average & average) 6% - 34% 3% - 6% -0.4% - 3% -4% % -21% - -4% What neighborhoods added the most educated residents? These red areas are the top quintile, or the top 20% that experienced the greatest percentage-point increases in residents with a Bachelor s degree or higher. Note: We did not include tests of statistical significance for this map. Thus several areas that show change might actually fall within the margins of error.

8 How are educational attainment and income linked? Change in Bachelor s Degree + and Poverty rate: 12% 10% 9.7% The poverty rate for those areas in the top quintile for change (i.e. the areas that had the greatest increase in BA+ residents) went up only one percentage point, while the poverty rate in the bottom quintile (greatest decrease in BA+ residents) had a 4.4 percentagepoint increase in the poverty rate. This pattern shows how poverty rate and educational attainment are linked. 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% -4% 4.4% 1.1% -6% -8% -6.9% Bottom quintile Top quintile Change in poverty rate Change in BA+ Source: & Year American Community Survey, U.S. Census Bureau, via Neighborhood Nexus

9 Unemployment Rate by Education Level This graph shows national-level data on the relationship between unemployment and educational attainment. Those with at least a bachelor s degree have consistently had the lowest unemployment rates. Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics

10 Educational Mismatch Employer Demand - Education Requirements In looking at the education that employers are seeking in job postings, approximately 58 percent of these postings require at least a bachelor s degree, but only 36 percent of the adult population has at least a bachelor s degree. There is thus a gap in the education level that employers are seeking and the education level that the current workforce has % 10.87% 53.53% 4.7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% High school or vocational training Associate's degree Bachelor's degree Graduate or professional degree 57.1% 7.0% 22.9% 13.0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Population Educational Attainment Source: ARC Analysis of Burning Glass Labor Insight Data August 2016

11 Highest Postsecondary Credential Earned After Five Years 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 58.2% 21.2% 13.9% 46.0% 19.0% 28.0% 41.9% 23.8% 28.2% 52.5% 25.8% 15.7% 37.1% 35.6% 24.9% 33.0% 17.8% 39.6% 48.4% 50.6% 26.0% 26.3% 20.3% 17.3% 28.0% 24.0% 40.3% 33.6% 21.9% 39.1% 38.8% 22.9% 31.8% 49.3% 23.0% 45.5% 44.4% 22.2% 25.1% 19.9% 28.3% 22.9% No Postsecondary Credential/Not Enrolled No Postsecondary Credential/Enrolled Other Credential Masters or Higher Bachelors Certificate 0% 3.3% 5.0% 3.9% 4.0% 2.9% 5.0% 3.2% 3.2% 4.8% 2.9% 3.8% 5.9% Atlanta Public Schools Buford City Cherokee Clayton Cobb Decatur City DeKalb Douglas Fayette Fulton Gwinnett Henry 2.0% Marietta City 5.0% Rockdale Associates As is the case for educational attainment overall, there is a wide range of outcomes for high school graduates at the local school district level. In Fayette schools, for example, some 40 percent of the graduating class of 2010 had earned a bachelor s degree by 2015, which is the highest rate in the region. Source: GOSA, via Neighborhood Nexus