ATFA. Three Policies in One. NCSL Education Finance Seminar Napa, California February 19, 2005

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1 NCSL Education Finance Seminar Napa, California February 19, 2005 Presented by David Longanecker Executive Director, Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education ATFA Three Policies in One

2 Financing higher ed why before how State s goals For students Opportunity for all who are able A productive workforce A high quality of life For institutions An economic engine Public service institutions dedicated to promoting the public good Achieved cost effectively

3 Prerequisite conditions to achieving your state goals Human capital High school graduates who are college ready High level of postsecondary participation High level of postsecondary success Relevance of education to state s economy Physical capital Basic institutional capacity Specialized resources

4 Fixing higher ed finally. HOW! Economy The flow of funds Income Tax revenues State and Local Government Student aid Appropriations/grants Students Tuition Scholarships & waivers Institutions Gifts Donors Foundations Corporations Student aid (restricted) Research & other grants (restricted) Source: NCHEMS Federal Government

5 The flow of funds for instruction Economy The flow of funds Income Tax revenues State and Local Government Student aid Appropriations/grants Students Tuition Scholarships & waivers Institutions Student aid (restricted) Source: modified from NCHEMS original Federal Government

6 The domain of state-level allocation decisions State Other Programs/ Agencies Higher Education Amounts Allocation criteria Student financial aid Appropriations Amounts Allocation criteria Students Tuition Institutional aid Institutions Source: NCHEMS

7 General approach Appropriation leads Desired approach Policies in sync Tuition follows ATFA Financial Aid fills in Appropriations, tuition, and financial aid policies working intentionally together

8 What makes good ATFA policy Resource allocations reinforce state priorities, not Resources sustain (and may even enhance) institutional capacity Resource allocations make higher ed affordable To students, and To state Resource allocations are fair Shared contributions reflect shared benefit Resource policies are transparent Legislators understand them Citizens understand them Providing institutions understand them

9 Different strokes for different folks The state s objectives Adequate to excellent institutional capacity Productivity meeting state s needs Provided as cheaply as possible

10 Why State Policy Makers Wonder! You think you ve been holding up your end of the bargain $8,000 State & local tax appropriations per student, in constant 2001 dollars, FY1970 FY2001 $7,500 $7,000 $6,500 $6,000 $5,500 $5, SOURCE NOTES: - Finance data are from Grapevine and reflect appropriations of state and local tax funds for operating expenses of higher education. Dollars adjusted with CPI-U. - FTE are from IPEDS as reported in the NCES Digest of Education Statistics 2002, Table 200, and reflect enrollment at all levels (undergraduate, graduate, and first-professional) in degree-granting public 2-year and 4-year institutions. SOURCE: State Higher Education Executive Officers, State Higher Education Finance Survey.

11 Total Educational Funding per FTE, Percent Change by State, FY % 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% -25% -30% SC WA ID -23.5% HI FL ND AK UT NJ NV VT OK CA LA CO MS NC AZ AR PA VA ME OR NH OH WI IN US IA SD NY MN CT MT GA MD DE NM TN KS NE AL MI WV IL WY TX MA RI MO KY Notes: Total Educational Funding is the sum of Educational Appropriations plus Net Tuition Revenue. Constant 2003 dollars adjusted by SHEEO HECA. Source: SHEEO SHEF 25.3%

12 Different strokes for different folks The state s objectives Adequate to excellent institutional capacity Productivity meeting state s needs Provided as cheaply as possible Student s Value Affordability

13 Why Students Wonder! Is The Product Improving by 1% Per Year? $10,000 Net tuition Instructional appropriation $9,033 $8,291 $8,000 $2,174 $2,344 $2,493 $2,571 $2,643 $2,727 $2,743 $2,755 $2,804 $2,734 $2,751 $2,787 $6,000 $4,000 $2,000 $6,117 $5,764 $5,558 $5,617 $5,809 $5,859 $6,014 $6,203 $6,368 $6,461 $6,457 $6,246 $ SOURCE: State Higher Education Executive Officers, State Higher Education Finance Survey.

14 Different strokes for different folks The state s objectives Adequate to excellent institutional capacity Productivity meeting state s needs Provided as cheaply as possible Student s Value Affordability Institution s Fair treatment Stability Both sustaining and enhancing support

15 Why Higher Education Wonders! Just look at our diminishing share of state resources.08% State appropriations for higher education as share of state expenditures.06%.04%.02% 0% Maintaining 7.3% high point : $21 billion Source: State Fiscal Constraints and Higher Education Spending: The Role of Medicaid and the Business Cycle, Thomas J. Kane, Peter R. Orszag, David L. Gunter, April Author s calculations based on data from Center for Higher Education and Educational Finance; Bureau of the Census, Department of Commerce.

16 And, its more than just the size of the pie! $9 State appropriations for higher education per $1,000 of personal income $6 $3 $ Maintaining $8.53/$1,000 high point : $13 billion Source: State Fiscal Constraints and Higher Education Spending: The Role of Medicaid and the Business Cycle, Thomas J. Kane, Peter R. Orszag, David L. Gunter, April Author s calculations based on data from Center for Higher Education and Educational Finance; Bureau of the Census, Department of Commerce.

17 Different strokes for different folks The state s objectives Adequate to excellent institutional capacity Productivity meeting state s needs Provided as cheaply as possible Student s Value Affordability Institution s Fair treatment Stability Both sustaining and enhancing support

18 The domain of state-level allocation decisions State Other Programs/ Agencies Higher Education Amounts Allocation criteria Student financial aid Appropriations Amounts Allocation criteria Students Tuition Institutional aid Institutions Source: NCHEMS

19 ATFA appropriations allocation and amount Allocation Base plus Formula funding Performance funding Investment funding Amount is enough ever enough?

20 Performance Relative to Total Funding per FTE Overall Index Scores for State Higher Education Systems Alaska Kentucky Maine Arkansas West Virginia Vermont Nevada South Carolina Louisiana New Jersey Georgia Idaho Wyoming Mississippi Hawaii Texas Tennessee New Mexico Oklahoma Oregon Ohio Alabama Michigan Indiana Pennsylvania Florida New York Montana Connecticut North Carolina South Dakota Minnesota Missouri Delaware California Kansas Illinois Nebraska Virginia Washington New Hampshire Maryland Wisconsin Arizona North Dakota Iowa Rhode Island Colorado Massachusetts Utah

21 Performance Relative to Total Funding per FTE State Higher Education Systems Pipeline Result, IA NH MA PA 25 ND WI CT MN NJ Pipeline Result, UT SD CO RI VA NE ME IN DE WY MO IL KS CA OH NC NY MD US MI MT AZ WA TN AR OR ID WV FL OK AL LA MS TX HI SC GA KY AK VT NV NM 5 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 Total Funding per FTE (State, Local, Tuition & Fees, State Financial Aid Adjusted for COL and Faculty Salaries) 21

22 ATFA Tuition Ad hoc tuition policy Incremental increases Politically derived increases Rational tuition policy Index-derived increases Gap-filling increases Seldom, however, are tuition and appropriations policies in sync

23 ATFA Financial aid State: out of sync Federal an unintentional partner, if a partner at all Institutional Filling the need gap Or not The new infatuation with merit aid

24 Relationship between need-based and merit-based aid Need-based Meritbased

25 The states recent redirection Type of aid FY 1998 FY 2003 Change in $ Change in % Need- $2,786 $4,230 $1,444 52% based Non-need- $ 603 $1,554 $ % based

26 And the Feds aren t a reliable partner the value of Pell continues to atrophy 120% Maximum Pell Grant as a percentage of average tuition, fees, and on-campus room and board: to Public two-year Public four-year Private not-for-profit four-year 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Source: The College Board, Trends in Student Aid: U.S. Department of Education, Digest of Education Statistics: 2001.

27 Or Has It? $5,000 Maximum and average Pell grant awards, in constant 2002 dollars: to Maximum award Average award $4,000 $3,000 $2,000 $1,000 $ Source: U.S. Department of Education, Pell Grant End of Year Reports.

28 Show me the money Percentage of full-time undergraduates enrolled in 4-year institutions who received institutional aid and the average amount received in constant 1999 dollars, by income quartile: , , and Public Institutions 100% 80% Low Middle High $1,900 $2,500 $2, $2,500 $2,400 $2, $2,300 $2,700 $3,200 $400 $200 $800 60% 40% 20% 0% 5% 6% 6% Low Income Quartile Middle Income Quartiles High Income Quartile Source: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, , , and National Postsecondary Student Aid Study (NPSAS:93/96/2000).

29 Requisites of integrating higher ed policy Clear understanding of state s priorities By all stakeholders Adequate capacity to do the job ATFA policy alignment Respect Oh yes; there are a couple caveats

30 First Caveat: One size doesn t fit all Demands of Demography Vary Hugely

31 Second Caveat: One size does not fit all State fiscal projections 2008 State and local surplus or shortfall as a percent of baseline revenues VT ND ME NJ DE WI KS MT MD NH AZ MA UT OK OR NE OH SD MI RI MN CO AK CA CT WV PA VA GA US KY AR HI NM IA NY IL MO WA ID IN NC TX FL SC WY MS LA AL NV TN Source: National Center for Higher Education Management Systems (NCHEMS)

32 Your Path To Chose: To sync or sink Good Luck Good Planning Remember intentionality matters

33 NCSL Education Finance Seminar Napa, California February 19, 2005 Presented by David Longanecker Executive Director, Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education ATFA Three Policies in One

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