SAN BERNARDINO VALLEY COLLEGE 2016 EDUCATIONAL AND FACILITIES MASTER PLANS WORKSHOP TWO > ORGANIZE, SHARE, + LEARN
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1 SAN BERNARDINO VALLEY COLLEGE 2016 EDUCATIONAL AND FACILITIES MASTER PLANS > ORGANIZE, SHARE, + LEARN DECEMBER 9, 2015
2 02 > EXTERNAL ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN GOAL > Provide Regional and Community Context for Planning REGION: San Bernardino County & Riverside County COMMUNITY: College Service Area Cities/Zip Codes EMSI Analyst Platform > Primary Data Source Historic information compiled from 90+ data sources, updated quarterly Link historical trends with future projections Improve connections between programs and labor market
3 SBVC Service Area Primary Cities: Highland, Rialto, San Bernardino, Colton, Fontana zip codes below represent 90% of unduplicated enrollment Zip Code City Rancho Cucamonga Beaumont Grand Terrace Bloomington Calimesa Colton Crestline Fontana Fontana Fontana Highland Lake Arrowhead Loma Linda Lytle Creek Mentone Redlands Redlands Zip Code City Rialto Rialto Running Springs Yucaipa San Bernardino San Bernardino San Bernardino San Bernardino San Bernardino San Bernardino Riverside Riverside Riverside Moreno Valley Moreno Valley Moreno Valley
4 Population Historical Population Service Area Regional Area 5,000,000 4,500,000 4,000,000 3,500,000 3,875,627 3,986,424 4,067,241 4,113,339 4,160,575 4,243,556 4,302,146 4,350,609 4,416,590 4,481,004 4,545,323 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,237,020 1,265,539 1,286,541 1,297,269 1,307,784 1,330,288 1,349,005 1,363,020 1,381,744 1,400,318 1,418,898 1,000, , Regional Growth = 17.3% (669,696 persons) Service Area Growth = 14.7% (181,878 persons) State-wide Growth = 9.1% (3,262,423 persons) Service Area was 31.2% of Regional population in 2015 Year
5 Population Population Projection Service Area Regional Area 6,000,000 5,000,000 4,600,071 4,645,931 4,686,665 4,725,453 4,755,883 4,779,217 4,796,289 4,808,452 4,836,132 4,863,981 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,434,625 1,447,603 1,458,835 1,469,825 1,478,258 1,484,592 1,488,981 1,491,887 1,498,590 1,505,322 1,000, Year Regional Growth = 5.7% (263,910 persons) Service Area Growth = 4.9% (70,697 persons) State-wide Growth = 3.7% (1,472,522 persons)
6 Year Regional Population by Age Group 19 and Under and Over ,428, , ,531 1,252,281 1,474, ,420, , ,768 1,218,673 1,430, ,353, , ,567 1,170,721 1,310, ,356, , ,936 1,163,265 1,280, ,348, , ,589 1,155,586 1,248, ,346, , ,642 1,146,601 1,212, ,353, , ,762 1,143,657 1,174, ,361, , ,308 1,139,174 1,135,093 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Age Group grew by 18.9% (59,826 persons) 50 + Age Group grew by 15.4% (175,295 persons) Age Group grew by 17% (103,085 persons) Age Group declines by 14.9% (-56,008 persons) 50 + Age Group grows by 12.5% (163,969 persons) Age Group declines by 8.2% (-58,044 persons)
7 Service Area Population by Age Group 19 & Under & Over , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,150 99, , , , ,802 97, , ,690 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Age Group grew by 18.7% (19,780 persons) 50 + Age Group grew by 16.2% (51,423 persons) Age Group grew by 16.8% (34,096 persons) Age Group declines by 15.7% (-19,703 persons) 50 + Age Group grows by 12.9% (47,569 persons) Age Group declines by 8.5% (-20,120 persons)
8 Year Regional Population by Race/Ethnicity White Black/African American Asian Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander Hispanic/Latino American Indian/Alaskan Native Other/2 or More ,488, , ,705 14,265 2,552,583 19, , ,499, , ,529 13,879 2,460,850 19, , ,521, , ,858 13,084 2,276,693 19, , ,525, , ,969 12,845 2,222,458 19,533 97, ,532, , ,576 12,593 2,165,866 19,622 94, ,541, , ,137 12,334 2,105,956 19,770 91, ,549, , ,464 12,173 2,060,240 19,766 89, ,555, , ,886 12,055 2,008,976 19,737 86,874 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Hispanics increased to 50.1% of population (2,276,693 persons) Whites decreased to 33.5% of population (1,521,020 persons) African Americans steady at 7.1% of population (321,815 persons) Hispanics increase by 275,890 persons (52.5% of pop.) Whites decrease by 32,766 persons (30.6% of pop.) Asians increase by 39,847 persons (6.8% of pop.)
9 Year Service Area Population by Race/Ethnicity White Black/African American Asian Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander Hispanic/Latino American Indian/Alaskan Native Other/2 or More , ,474 92,479 2, ,228 2,307 28, , ,509 89,124 2, ,844 2,253 27, , ,485 82,113 2, ,776 2,131 25, , ,390 80,019 2, ,391 2,094 24, , ,405 77,798 2, ,349 2,056 24, , ,472 75,581 2, ,482 2,015 23, , ,841 74,157 1, ,549 1,990 22, , ,677 72,031 1, ,865 1,974 22,394 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Hispanics increased to 58% of population (822,776 persons) Whites decreased to 24.8% of population (351,208 persons) African Americans steady at 9.3% of population (132,485 persons) Hispanics increase by 86,452 persons (60.4% of pop.) Whites decrease by 17,250 persons (22.2% of pop.) Asians increase by 10,366 persons (6.1% of pop.)
10 Demographics by Race/Ethnicity Contextualized Service Area 822,776 residents are Hispanic roughly 58% of population Over 3x as many Hispanics as national percentage Percentage population of Whites below national percentage Regional 2,276,693 residents are Hispanic roughly 50% of population Nearly 3x as many Hispanics as national percentage Percentage population of Whites below national percentage
11 Population Regional Population by Gender 2,500,000 Male Female 2,400,000 2,300,000 2,200,000 2,100,000 2,000,000 2,110,543 2,133,013 2,140,422 2,161,725 2,166,567 2,184,042 2,199,197 2,217,392 2,231,213 2,249,791 2,262,587 2,282,737 2,366,753 2,389,130 2,417,566 2,440,546 1,900, Year Male : Female proportion steady thru 2025 (49.8% : 50.2%) Males increase by 7.2% (152,044 persons) Males increase by 6.8% (154,979 persons) Females increase by 7.0% (149,724 persons) Females increase by 6.9% (157,806 persons)
12 Population Service Area Population by Gender 780,000 Male Female 760, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , Year Male : Female proportion steady thru 2025 (49.3% : 50.7%) Males increase by 6.7% (44,136 persons) Males increase by 6.08% (42,573 persons) Females increase by 6.6% (44,476 persons) Females increase by 6.10% (43,850 persons)
13 Educational Attainment (5-Yr. Average) No HS Some College BA/BS HS Diploma or Equivalent AA/AS Graduate or Professor 208,313 8% 335,765 12% 179,284 7% 588,769 22% 62,598 8% 91,463 11% 51,975 6% 205,115 25% 680,773 25% 696,893 26% 197,558 24% 208,062 26% Regional 4,792,812 19% 2,728,740 11% 4,809,889 19% Service Area 1,923,096 8% 5,215,991 21% 5,459,780 22% California
14 Median Income Median Income by Educational Attainment (5-Yr Average) $90, VC Service Areas Regional California $80, $70, $60, $50, $40, $30, $20, $10, $0.00 $78, $70, $61, $55, $52, $48, $36, $36, $36, $27, $29, $29, $19, $20, $24, $37, $33, $35, Population Age 25+ Less than HS Graduate HS Diploma or Equivalent Some College or AA/AS BA/BS Graduate or Professor
15 Labor Force by Population Area Labor Force Employed Unemployed Unemployment Rate San Bernardino Valley College 720, ,700 42, % Regional 1,930,600 1,813, , % California 18,946,000 17,911,900 1,034, %
16 Leading Service Area Employment by Industry Health Care & Social Assistance 64,187Jobs (17.05% of Total) Government Jobs (13.08% of Total) Retail Trade 46,775 Jobs (12.42% of Total) Accommodation & Food Services 33,901Jobs (9% of Total) Transportation & Warehousing 32,703 Jobs (8.69% of Total) Leading Regional Employment by Industry Government 230,576 Jobs (17.32% of Total) Health Care & Social Assistance 171,743 Jobs (12.9% of Total) Retail Trade 170,217 Jobs (12.78% of Total) Accommodation & Food Services 133,092 Jobs (9.99% of Total) Administrative, Support, Waste Management, and Remediation Services 98,030 Jobs (7.36% of Total)
17 Regional Projected Job Growth & Decline by Industry ( ) Employment Industry Jobs Numerical Change Health Care & Social Assistance 81, ,519 25,508 Retail Trade 85, ,009 15,779 Accommodation and Food Services 71,990 85,836 13,846 Administrative, Support, Waste Management, and Remediation Services 42,514 53,727 11,213 Crop & Animal Production 11,736 9,914 (1,822) Information 6,241 6,016 (225) Management of Companies & Enterprises 3,309 3,230 (79) Mining, Quarrying, and Oil & Gas Extraction (70)
18 Service Area Projected Job Growth & Decline by Industry ( ) Jobs Employment Industry Numerical Change Health Care & Social Assistance 64,187 83,686 19,499 Retail Trade 46,775 55,700 8,925 Transportation & Warehousing 32,703 41,236 8,533 Accommodation & Food Services 33,901 40,478 6,577 Crop & Animal Production 1,732 1,124 (608) Management of Companies & Enterprises 3,238 3,026 (212) Information 2,334 2,223 (111)
19 Regional Occupations with Highest Projected Openings (2025) Occupation Description Annual Job Openings Projected Job Growth (2025) Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 1,021 5,473 Typical Entry Level of Education Postsecondary non-degree award Registered Nurses 1,082 5,323 Associate s Degree Nursing Assistants 538 3,163 Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses 362 1,738 Medical Assistants 333 1,706 Postsecondary non-degree award Postsecondary non-degree award Postsecondary non-degree award
20 Service Area Occupations with Highest Projected Openings (2025) Occupation Description Annual Job Openings Projected Job Growth (2025) Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 403 1,992 Typical Entry Level of Education Postsecondary non-degree award Registered Nurses 367 1,830 Associate s Degree Nursing Assistants 199 1,162 Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses Medical Assistants Postsecondary non-degree award Postsecondary non-degree award Postsecondary non-degree award Require AA/AS, Certificate, and/or On-the-Job Training
21 Regional Program Gaps: Certificate Level Culinary Arts = 1,698 Gap Real Estate = 1,088 Gap Business Administration = 1,025 Gap Retail Management = 89 Gap Construction Inspection = 28 Gap Certificate Level Areas of Opportunity Skilled Trades & Blue Collar Occupations are undersupplied. Legal Secretaries & Telecommunications Installers and Repairers also undersupplied.
22 Regional Program Gaps: Associate Level Real Estate = 1,299 Gap Business Administration = 827 Gap Accounting = 458 Gap Associate Level Areas of Opportunity Medical & Clinical Laboratory Technicians Medical Equipment Repairers Cardiovascular Technologists and Technicians
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