Progression to Higher Education of Apprentices and FE Learners in London. Hugh Joslin and Sharon Smith University of Greenwich

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1 Progression to Higher Education of Apprentices and FE Learners in London Hugh Joslin and Sharon Smith University of Greenwich 1

2 Advanced Level Apprentice Progression LONDON DOMICILE LEARNERS 6 COHORTS

3 Advanced Level Apprentice Population Change Tracked cohort 2004 compared to 2008 Overall, London domicile Advanced Apprentices grew by 85% between 2004 and

4 London Apprentice Progression Advanced Level Apprentice Completion Year Tracked Population Number Number Number Number Number Number Number 3 years tracking HE Immediate Progression % HE Progression All tracked to date Total Number to HE % HE Progression Number of years tracked % % 7 yrs * % % 6 yrs % % 5 yrs % % 4 yrs % % 3 yrs % 2 yrs * Less than 5 4

5 London Apprentice Immediate Progression - trends Change GOR Tracked Population % of Total Population % HE progression Tracked Population % of Total Population % HE progression % Population change Diff HE progression East Midlands % 9.3% % 9.5% 40% 0.2% East of England % 7.8% % 7.0% 56% -0.8% Greater London % 4.6% % 7.6% 85% 3.0% North East % 16.6% % 8.7% 57% -8.0% North West % 13.4% % 10.2% 31% -3.3% South East % 7.2% % 6.2% 66% -1.0% South West % 9.8% % 7.5% 68% -2.3% West Midlands % 10.4% % 8.0% 80% -2.4% Yorkshire and The Humber % 11.7% % 8.5% 46% -3.2% Scotland 60 0% 1.7% 75 0% 3.9% 33% 2.2% Wales 155 1% 11.6% 210 1% 4.3% 35% -7.3% Total % 10.4% % 8.1% 56% -2.3% Each cohort tracked for three years 5

6 London Advanced Apprentice HE Progression Delivery 6

7 London FE Level 3 HE progression Learners in London FECs Level 3 Cohort Immediate Immediate Immediate Immediate Immediate Identify Level 3 students in their last year of study Identify Main Aim of student with rules for priority one record per student Track students through ILR for Level 4+ non prescribed HE study Track students through HE dataset for Level 4+ prescribed HE study 7

8 FE Level 3 HE progression Progression by age, gender and ethnicity % into non-prescribed and prescribed higher education % Delivery e.g. % HE in FE and % university Timing of progression for each Breakdown by London Borough Breakdown by programme area Breakdown by HE mode of attendance Progression by individual colleges and universities Breakdown of main HE subject areas Progression by Deprivation profile 8

9 Features of the tracked population 9

10 Programme Breakdown of first and last tracked FE cohorts % of Total Tracked pop % Population change between and FE Level 3 Qualification Type Access to HE 10% 10% 17% GCE A2 Level/IB 19% 16% 1% GCE AS Level 10% 9% 4% BTEC (Full Time) 15% 24% 91% NVQ 9% 20% 164% Other Voc FT 10% 3% -65% Other Voc PT 28% 19% -19% All Level 3 100% 100% 18% 10

11 Borough breakdown of Level 3 FE cohort tracked in

12 FE Qualification by Borough Tracked Cohort FE Qualification Type GCE A GCE A Access BTEC FT Level Level AS NVQ A/A2 only Vocational FT Vocational PT Grand Total Borough Barnet 10% 10% 22% 10% 9% 9% 30% 100% Bexley 19% 13% 7% 4% 13% 8% 37% 100% Brent 9% 13% 21% 8% 10% 11% 29% 100% Bromley 12% 16% 8% 4% 13% 7% 41% 100% Hackney 10% 18% 21% 11% 6% 10% 24% 100% Harrow 5% 10% 39% 9% 6% 11% 20% 100% Kensington and Chelsea 11% 10% 13% 10% 5% 14% 38% 100% Kingston upon Thames 9% 9% 14% 13% 10% 7% 38% 100% Sutton 8% 14% 7% 7% 20% 4% 39% 100% Waltham Forest 11% 14% 28% 9% 6% 16% 17% 100% 12

13 HE Progression National Context Mean young participation rate by UK region for POLAR3 quintiles (HEFCE) Region Quintile 1 Quintile 2 Quintile 3 Quintile 4 Quintile 5 All North East North West Yorkshire and the Humber East Midlands West Midlands London South East South West England

14 HE progression for London FEC Level 3 learners five cohorts 14

15 HE progression by Age 15

16 HE progression trends Number Change, % Number Change Age Group All Tracked Population Difference Non prescribed HE change HEFCE HE change Total HE All Tracked Population Difference Non prescribed HE change HEFCE HE change Total HE change years % 110% 6% 8% years % 24% 1% 3% 25 years % -31% -10% -16% Grand Total % -1% 4% 3% 16

17 HE Delivery 17

18 HE progression by FE Qualification Type FE Level 3 Cohort year - % HE Progression Rate, FE Qualification Type % point change (tracked to HE for one year) Access to HE 56.8% 54.9% 53.2% 50.6% 49.5% -7.3% GCE A2 Level/IB 70.4% 66.8% 68.6% 67.8% 65.0% -5.4% GCE AS Level 13.8% 11.5% 9.9% 9.2% 6.6% -7.2% BTEC (Full Time) 44.2% 45.6% 48.1% 49.5% 47.3% 3.1% NVQ 17.8% 15.8% 11.3% 7.7% 7.3% -10.5% Other Vocational Fulltime 48.0% 28.5% 25.2% 23.9% 22.5% -25.4% Other Vocational Parttime 7.1% 7.7% 6.5% 6.8% 7.0% -0.1% All Level % 33.7% 33.6% 32.4% 30.5% -4.4% 18

19 Immediate HE progression rates by Borough Top ten Boroughs % HE progression Bottom ten Boroughs % HE progression 19

20 HE Progression and Ethnicity Ethnic group HE Progression rate for each FE cohort when tracked for one year % point Diff Any other 39% 40% 35% 34% 32% -7% Asian or Asian British - any other Asian background 46% 41% 41% 40% 41% -5% Asian or Asian British Bangladeshi 54% 52% 54% 52% 46% -8% Asian or Asian British Indian 51% 48% 44% 44% 42% -10% Asian or Asian British Pakistani 51% 47% 49% 49% 46% -4% Black or Black British - any other Black background 43% 41% 38% 35% 36% -7% Black or Black British African 48% 47% 45% 44% 40% -8% Black or Black British Caribbean 37% 35% 38% 34% 31% -6% Chinese 48% 47% 45% 44% 47% -2% Mixed - any other Mixed background 37% 35% 39% 35% 35% -2% Mixed - White and Asian 36% 33% 35% 38% 37% 0% Mixed - White and Black African 39% 38% 33% 38% 33% -6% Mixed - White and Black Caribbean 35% 33% 36% 33% 29% -6% not known/not provided 26% 29% 26% 19% 25% -1% White - any other White background 28% 26% 29% 9% 28% 0% White British 21% 20% 20% 20% 19% -2% White Irish 27% 22% 22% 21% 20% -7% Grand Total 35% 34% 34% 32% 30% -5% 20

21 cohort tracked for 5 years FE Level and Mode FE Mode and HE Progression Total Non Total Prescribed Population HE tracked Total HEFCE Funded Number Total HE Number % Non Prescribed HE % HEFCE Funded Number All Level 3 Full Time % 63% 64% All Level 3 Part Time % 8% 15% All level % 43% 46% Level 3 who progressed to HE: Mode and HE qualification First Degree Foundation Degree HNC/HND NVQ OUG Postgrad Diploma % HE PT Level 3 24% 9% 3% 23% 36% 5% FT Level 3 87% 3% 2% 7% 21

22 FE cohort tracked for five years HE Progression rates by Disadvantage Number out of 4 Disadvantage Indicators POLAR Quintile % HE progression Q1 Low HE 0/4 not participation 39% disadvantaged 38% Q2 39% 1/4 44% Q3 47% 2/4 48% Q4 47% 3/4 51% Q5 High HE participation 45% 4/4 Disadvantaged 41% Grand Total 46% Grand Total 46% % HE Progression Q1 population has grown Overall, around 30% of the tracked cohort live in an area classified as disadvantaged using 3 out of 4 indicators A higher proportion of White students live in a POLAR 3 Q1 area than BME students (57% vs 41%). Conversely, there is a higher proportion of BME Students living in areas who meet 4/4 disadvantage criteria (69% compared to 29% White). 22

23 cohort tracked for five years into non prescribed HE Top Providers 23

24 cohort tracked for five years into prescribed HE Top Providers 24

25 cohort tracked into HE on full-time First Degree course - Achievement Total First % No % % Achieve Unclassified Degree % Achieve Award Lower or Not Achievement Entrants First Degree recorded Award known All FE Level % 21% 6% 2% By Delivery: FE College % 26% 10% 2% University % 21% 6% 2% By FE Programme: Access % 31% 9% BTEC FT % 31% 9% 2% GCE A Level A/A % 13% 4% 1% GCE A Level AS only % 23% 7% 2% NVQ " " " " " Vocational FT* % 23% 9% 0% Vocational PT % 25% 7% 0% National comparison - HEFCE Performance Indicators, Projected Outcomes of FT First Degree entrants ( ) All England % 14% 3% 1% (an additional 5% were recorded as Transfer) 25

26 Key Results The cohort tracked for one year had an HE progression rate of 35% and this increased to 46% when tracked for five years. (64% for FT FE and 15% for PT HE) Decline in overall immediate progression rates over the five years for all qualifications except full-time BTEC programmes where there was a 3.1% increase. 11% of students progressing to HE progress to college and 89% progress to university and this proportion has not changed over five years. BME groups of FE learners had higher immediate HE progression rates than White groups of FE learners 71% achieved their First Degree and an additional 6% achieved a lower award such as a Foundation Degree, or HND. 26

27 Progression to Higher Education of Apprentices and FE Learners in London Hugh Joslin and Sharon Smith University of Greenwich 27