Empires of Knowledge in East Asia
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1 Empires of Knowledge in East Asia What is the meaning of the extraordinary fluorescence of higher education and science in Post-Confucian systems? For the region, and for the world? Simon Marginson Centre for Higher Education Studies Institute of Education, London UK Tin Ka Ping Education Fund Distinguished Lecture Faculty of Education, University of Hong Kong, 25 June 2014
2 Empires of Knowledge in East Asia World growth in student participation and research science Transformation of higher education and research in East Asia. Social, political, economic and cultural drivers World-Class Universities in the East Asian region. Putting East Asian higher education in global context Similarities and differences with higher education in the English-speaking countries and Western Europe Emerging global agendas in China and other regional systems
3 Gross Tertiary Enrolment Ratio 1995/2011 World regions, UNESCO Institute for Statistics data 2014
4 The overwhelming trend to growth of participation in tertiary education Gross Tertiary Enrolment Ratio 1995/2011, selected OECD and European systems, UNESCO Institute for Statistics data 2014
5 Post-Confucian education systems head towards universal participation Gross Tertiary Enrolment Ratio, 2011 UNESCO Institute for Statistics & Taiwan Ministry of Education
6 Regional variation in GTER (%) in China Gross Tertiary Enrolment Rate, Source: Po Yang, Peking University
7 More growth in participation to come Asian middle class (millions). European Union Institute for Strategic Studies, 2012 Middle class persons are defined as persons living on USD $ per day, PPP
8 Social demand or economic demand for higher education? Which is the more plausible explanation of growth? I say growth is fully explained by ECONOMIC demand. Don t listen to Marginson! Gary Becker, author of Human Capital (1964)
9 Growth of tertiary participation ahead of GDP per capita, China
10 The growth of science, Total world output of journal papers per year, US National Science Foundation data, 2014
11 51 countries with 1000 science papers p.a. US National Science Foundation data for 2011 ANGLO- SPHERE EUROPE EU NATIONS EUROPE NON-EU ASIA LATIN AMERICA Australia Austria Italy Croatia* China Argentina Canada Belgium Netherlands Norway India Brazil N. Zealand Czech Rep. Poland Russia Japan Chile* UK Denmark Portugal* Serbia* Malaysia* Mexico USA Finland Romania* Switzerland Pakistan* M.EAST /AF France Slovakia Turkey Singapore Iran Germany Slovenia* Ukraine South Korea Israel Greece Sweden Taiwan Saudi Arab.* Hungary Spain Thailand* Sth. Africa Ireland Sweden Egypt * Reached 1000 papers since 1997 (11 out of 51 nations) Tunisia*
12 Examples of fast growing science systems Journal papers per year, , US National Science Foundation data, 2014
13 Investment in Post-Confucian R&D is at similar levels to Western Europe Investment in R&D as a proportion of GDP, 2011, selected countries (OECD data 2013)
14 Three main regions of world R&D OECD data on investment in R&D for 2011
15 Fast growing Post-Confucian science Journal papers per year, , US National Science Foundation data ( 2014)
16 Rapid improvement in Chemistry in China Share of all papers and top 1% most cited papers, Chemistry, 2000 & 2012 US National Science Foundation data share of ALL papers in Chemistry USA China Japan EU % 3.7% 11.2 % 38.7% % 16.9% 7.9% 29.6% share of TOP 1% papers in Chemistry USA China Japan EU % 0.6% 9.3% 30.2% % 16.3% 5.6% 28.4%
17 Shanghai ranking top 500 universities Sinic systems, 2005 & China mainland 8 28 Hong Kong SAR 5 5 Taiwan China 5 9 Singapore 2 2 total 20 44
18 Majority of World-Class Universities still in Anglosphere (how much longer?) Shanghai Academic Ranking of World Universities, top 200, 2013 Other Asia 3 = Taiwan, Singapore, Korea
19 World-Class Universities: Singapore World rank on paper volume University Papers World rank on citation quality Papers in top 10% of field as proportion of all papers % Number of papers in top 10% of field 6 Stanford USA 13, Cambridge UK 11, National U Singapore 10, Nanyang U Technology Source for this and all subsequent tables: Leiden University CWTS, 2014
20 World-Class Universities: mainland China World rank on paper volume University Papers World rank on citation quality Papers in top 10% of field as proportion of all papers % Number of papers in top 10% of field 13 Cambridge UK 11, Zheijiang 12, Shanghai Jiao Tong 11, Tsinghua Peking Fudan Sichuan Sun Yat-sen Nanjing Shandong Huazhong US&T Harbin IT Jilin U Science & Technology
21 Relatively high citation rates, China Universities with more than 10 per cent of papers in top 10% of field by cite rate University Total papers Papers in top 10% of field by citation rate High citation papers as % of all papers Fuzhou Nankai Wuhan U of Technology Hunan U Science & Technology Tsinghua East China U S&T Xiamen South China U Technology
22 World-Class Universities: Hong Kong SAR World rank on paper volume University Papers World rank on citation quality Papers in top 10% of field as proportion of all papers % Number of papers in top 10% of field 6 Stanford USA 13, Cambridge UK 11, National U Singapore 10, U Hong Kong Chinese U Hong Kong Hong Kong Polytechnic U City U Hong Kong Hong Kong U S&T Hong Kong Baptist U
23 World-Class Universities: Taiwan World rank on paper volume University Papers World rank on citation quality Papers in top 10% of field as proportion of all papers % Number of papers in top 10% of field 6 Stanford USA 13, Cambridge UK 11, National U Singapore SIN 10, National Taiwan National Cheng-Kung National Chiao Tung Chang Gung National Tsing Hua
24 World rank on paper volume World-Class Universities: Korea University Papers World rank on citation quality Papers in top 10% of field as proportion of all papers % Number of papers in top 10% of field 6 Stanford USA 13, Cambridge UK 11, National U Singapore SIN 10, Seoul National 12, Yonsei Korea SungKyunkwan Korea AI S&T Hanyang Kyung Hee Pusan National Pohang U S&T Ewha Women s
25 World-Class Universities: Japan World rank on paper volume University Papers World rank on citation quality Papers in top 10% of field as proportion of all papers % Number of papers in top 10% of field 13 Cambridge UK 11, National U Singapore SIN 10, Tokyo 14, Kyoto 11, Osaka Tohoku Kyushu Hokkaido Nagoya Tokyo IT Advanced I S&T Tsukuba Keio Hiroshima
26 Asian HEIs, top 10% papers, world university papers world university papers 29 Tokyo JAP Nanjing CHI NU Singapore SIN Sun Yat-sen CHI Tsinghua CHI Chinese U HK HON Zhejiang CHI Sichuan CHI Nanyang SIN Harbin IT CHI Kyoto JAP Yonsei KOR Peking CHI Korea AI S&T KOR Seoul National KOR Jilin CHI Shanghai Jiao Tong CHI Huazhong U S&T CHI Fudan CHI Shandong CHI Osaka JAP Nankai CHI National Taiwan TAI Dalian UT CHI U Hong Kong HON Nagoya JAP U S&T China CHI HK Polytechnic HON Tohoku JAP City U Hong Kong HON 406
27 The state and accelerated growth: Journal papers, China
28 PISA performance at top and bottom
29 A distinctive East Asian university?
30 A global conversation
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